“A request was received from the ambulance stations to place 40 wounded - mainly officers - in the hospitals of the city of Sevastopol. The number of dead officers is hidden, - Sevastopol publics”
https://twitter.com/GloOouD/status/1705191504048701645
“Western Estimates of Russian Military Capabilities and the Invasion of Ukraine”
“ABSTRACT
The poor performance of the Russian military during the invasion of Ukraine came as a surprise to many in the West. This prompted a debate about why Russian capabilities had been overestimated. Fingers were pointed at the work of Western military analysts who, in the eyes of some critics, had based their estimates almost entirely on numbers and technology, resulting in mistaken predictions of a quick and decisive Russian victory. It has since been suggested that changes to the practices of Western military analysis are required if similar future failures are to be avoided. This article takes stock of this debate, proposing that the reasons for Western overestimates of Russian military capabilities and the lessons to be learned from this are far more complex than suggested by the critics. Discussing the political nature of military assessments and defense debates, the problems inherent in military analysis, and the difficulties associated with predicting outcomes in war, it concludes that laying blame for overestimates of Russian military power on Western experts is a fallacy. Expectations of achieving accurate future military assessments by refining the analytical base need to be tempered.”
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10758216.2023.2253359
(Black Sea Fleet HQ does its part, intercepting Ukrainian missiles)
NBC reports: “Firefighters battled the blaze, and more emergency forces were being brought in, an indication the fire could be massive…
… A stream of ambulances arrived at the fleet’s headquarters, and shrapnel was scattered hundreds of meters (yards) around, Russian state news agency Tass reported.”
I’m reading that the ukes are taking out a lot of rus air assets. On the day that the rus can no longer provide air support for their troops on the front lines—things change.
The quickest way to take the south is to put 10k-20k uke soldiers equipment on the south side of the dneiper behind rus lines—and with a secure supply train. then drive down to azov sea and drive east. They don’t even need to take mariopal. Just surround it. The main thing is to cut off the rus frontline troops from their supplies. do that and they instantly fold.
All this becomes possible after the ukes have shaved off rus air cover.
two times to do it are in the winter when the ground is frozen and in summer when the ground is hard.
The current trench warfare works to rus advantage. they win by not losing. their job is to run out the clock. why? ukes do not have an endless supply of goodwill from the west. rus have a command economy. they have no such worries.