Friction and Turmoil

Simplicius' Blog ^ | 9/20/23 | Simplicius

[EnderWiggin1970]

Because I’m a stickler for getting to the root of things, and will always follow up on important issues as they develop, I wanted to start with a continuation of a previous line. In one of the last reports we talked about the potential mobilizations on both sides, troop numbers, and how that relates to upcoming conflict developments in the medium-term future.

I related how there had been new indication that Russia’s newly recruited 300k force would be used to rotate the previously mobilized troops from September-October of 2022.

However State Duma Chairman Andrey Kartapolov has now put speculation to rest with a new decree which states directly that previously mobilized troops will not be “demobilized” as I had thought, and that their term will end only when the SMO itself ends:

"They will return home after completing a special military operation. No rotation is provided. They are entitled to leave for every six months served, and they now go on these vacations, " the deputy said.

However, they are still stating that the newly recruited will be used for ongoing rotations of the normal variety, like wounded people, etc., but simply that the 300k mobilized from last year will not be mass demobilized until the war is over.

This is good news as it means Russia is building up its forces. Interestingly, on this topic, General Milley made a new statement where he referenced that Russia has 200k or “200k plus” troops in Ukraine. Once again we recall that I’ve repeatedly hammered the point that Russia is using far less troops than people were led to believe...

[EnderWiggin1970]

I've found Simplicius to be an excellent source of news/data and of in-depth analysis going _way_ beyond what regular media sources provide.

This update covers the most recent Russian mobilization, the Poltava statement that the last Ukrainian mobilization has taken 80-90% losses, the "Volga" radio frequency being used to more safely process the stream of Ukrainian units surrendering, the difficult/deadly situation Western mercs are finding themselves in, and a good deal more.

[EnderWiggin1970]

"Here is a small but curious piece of news. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have announced the change of name and therefore the transformation of the 92nd Mechanized Brigade into the 92nd Assault Brigade."

LOL... translation: they've lost their armored vehicles.

[struggle]

>LOL... translation: they’ve lost their armored vehicles.

At the end of this war, we’ll have half a million dead Ukrainian men and hundreds of NATO armored vehicles destroyed, at the cost of only $150,000,000,000.

[NEMDF]

If it is a blog, why is the article excerpted?

[EnderWiggin1970]

Because it’s bloody long. And there is a lot of video and whatnot that I wouldn’t want to go through the bother of linking to directly.