“the hole in the road in the bottom image looks more line a HIMARS hit than a Storm Shadow ...”
That was my first impression as well, but I am no expert - just what I got from watching the slow demolition of the Antonivsky Bridge with HIMARS strikes.
According to the pic below, it took 92 HIMARs hits to shut down then antonovsky bridge.
It would be nice if there were a car next to the crater below. My vote is Storm Shadow.