Posted on 08/06/2023 7:07:24 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Here’s a very cogent analysis of what might happen and how it can be done by Michael Clarke a UK military analyst; YT 27 min
Ukraine’s plan to trap Putin in Crimea
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eijBpNpdFcs
My guess is 3 Storm Shadows were fired and none were shot down.
According to the pic below, it took 92 HIMARs hits to shut down then antonovsky bridge.
It would be nice if there were a car next to the crater below. My vote is Storm Shadow.
The "Classic" defense is "Vertical Dispersal."
Every flyable aircraft would be airborne during "Air Raid Red."
The concrete strips visible on the right side of the road are 6-8 feet so you can use that.
Which makes in HIMARS size - there was a very LR HIMARS hit some time back that was supposed to be impossible, but it happened. Ukraine was the USSR weapons factory so its very possible they made some mod to the HIMARS system.
The Social Democratic Party of Germany, which is headed by German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, called for the first time to transfer Taurus long-range missiles to Ukraine.
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1688147918065147904
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taurus_KEPD_350
Warhead 481 kg (1,060 lb) MEPHISTO’(multi-effect penetrator highly sophisticated and target optimised)
Operational range:
>500 km (310 mi)[5]
Flight altitude 30–70 m (98–230 ft)[6]
Maximum speed:
Mach 0.60-0.95[6]
Guidance system:
IBN (image-based navigation), INS (inertial navigation system), TRN (terrain-referenced navigation) and MIL-GPS (Global Positioning System)
FIRMS fire map today shows only 4 arrivals at Starokonstantinov air base. If it was a massive attack, Ukraine air defense must have done a good job last night.
“”The Russian attacks on Ukrainian airfields do not produce the desired results. Our aviation has time to redeploy before the missile attacks,” Air Force spokesman Yuriy Ignat said.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1688230744416514053
“Imagine blowing your entire load of missiles to take out storm shadows only to have storm shadows hit you a few hours later.”
https://twitter.com/AndrewPerpetua/status/1688203084558651392
“The Czech Republic transferred a simulator to Ukraine to prepare pilots on the F-16. On this simulator, the Ukrainian military is currently studying the features of modern technology and its capabilities. Zelenskyi personally tested the simulator.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1688269993299828736
Pretty good accuracy hitting the bridge abutment.
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