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To: PGR88

Turchin offers a model and shows the data being used as input to the model. These may be disputed, but it’s a theoretical framework and documented assumptions.

What do you offer?


3 posted on 07/24/2023 10:45:36 AM PDT by oblomov
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To: oblomov

Turchin’s model boils down to Russia has more people therefore it can sustain astronomical losses and will win a war of attrition which explains perfectly Russia’s victories in WWI, the Russo Japanese War and Afghanistan…oh wait never mind or as my Mom would say, a simple mind is a blessing.

Russia will run out of ammo, artillery tubes, and the courage in the bottom of a vodka bottle before Ukraine runs out of bombs, planes, tanks, or manpower not to mention the political will to carry on. There has already been at least one attempted coup.


12 posted on 07/24/2023 12:08:00 PM PDT by your other brother
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