Posted on 07/01/2023 4:51:01 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Small arms, ATGMs, MANPADS, loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles, trailers and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it is not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
Ukrainian Artillery losses Running Total: 300
RuZZian Tank losses Running Total: 2082
July 2023 – 8
June 2023 – 73
May 2023 – 90
April 2023 – 5
March 2023 - 127
February 2023 – 118
January 2023 – 61
December 2022 – 76
November 2022 – 105
October 2022 – 212
September 2022 - 217
August 2022 – 74
July 2022 – 108
June 2022 – 67
May 2022 – 148
April 2022 – 243
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 350
RuZZian Artillery losses Running Total: 679
July 2023 – 3
June 2023 – 47
May 2023 – 43
April 2023 - 24
March 2023 - 37
February 2023 – 41
January 2023 – 31
December 2022 – 19
November 2022 – 55
October 2022 – 64
September 2022 - 73
August 2022 – 21
July 2022 – 21
June 2022 – 18
May 2022 – 20
April 2022 – 52
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 110
Previous day’s thread: https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/4164508/posts
Another nice jump in RuZZian tank losses
“The Russian source, Rybar, reports that the forest west of the city of Staromaiorske is under the control of the Ukrainian Army.
In addition, there are 3 different approaches to the village of Pryyutne.”
https://twitter.com/BarracudaVol1/status/1675094087190315013
“On the left bank of the Dnipro River, just outside Oleshky, #Kherson Oblast, a Russian Tigr-M infantry mobility vehicle was destroyed by Ukrainian forces.”
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1675064469184036864
Anybody ever figure out why during a period of the most intense fighting, there was about a month with ZERO tank losses reported?
My post will be late today as other things took over the morning.
When a Russian T-62MV repurposed as a crude VBIED was disabled by an AT mine yet drone-dropped munitions failed to destroy it, Ukrainians used an FPV loitering munition instead- to extremely explosive effect.
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1674810259251003392
A vehicle-borne improvised explosive device (VBIED).
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1675056809953091585
The 2S1 Gvozdika is a Soviet self-propelled, 122mm howitzer introduced in 1972.
Good shooting.
To some posters Russia sure is “kicking ass” /s
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update - June 30, 2023
Extras:
——> Ukraine Situation Report: Counteroffensive Criticism “Pisses Me Off” Says Top General <——
In a scathing Washington Post interview, Ukrainian Gen. Valery Zaluzhny blasted those who complain his counteroffensive is moving too slowly.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-counteroffensive-criticism-pisses-me-off-says-top-general
==
——> Poland Wants To Host NATO Nukes To Counter Russia <——
Poland says Russian nuclear weapons in Belarus are driving its desire to be part of NATO’s nuclear sharing program.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/poland-wants-to-host-nato-nukes-to-counter-russia
==
Reporting from Ukraine:
Narrated by Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny.
Translated into 18+ languages.
Note: other versions of this report are found elsewhere on FR, but this is guaranteed to be the complete transcript - unlike the others.
[ Genius. Ukrainians Make The Most Fatal Trap | Amphibious Ambush ]
••Day 492: Jun 30
Today the fiercest battles took place in the Kherson region.
After the disastrous Russian ground operation, where Russian airborne units suffered from friendly fire, Russian forces temporarily switched to distant methods of eliminating the Ukrainian bridgehead.
Russian sources reported that Russian forces used incendiary munitions to burn the houses held by Ukrainians and then fired from heavy flamethrower [thermobaric] systems TOS-1 to amplify the damage.
However, in the morning, Russians discovered that Ukrainians not only maintained a presence in this region, but also conducted a planned reinforcement and continued moving further.
Russian forces responded to these developments by organizing an even bigger ground assault.
Russian sources reported that Russian airborne assault units used virtually all types of armored fighting vehicles to get their troops to the contact line and reduce the area of Ukrainian control.
Unfortunately for Russians, Ukrainians used distant mining to scatter mines along the only road that Russians could use.
Geolocated footage confirmed that Russians lost several pieces of equipment, barely crossing the bridge near Oleshky.
Russian military-affiliated sources also reported that those units that managed to get to the zero line struggled to implement their plans due to the overwhelming artillery and mortar fire.
The Ukrainian side of the river is steep and high, which makes it easier for Ukrainians to provide fire support and repel Russian attacks.
Russian analysts started suspecting that Russian forces were doing precisely what Ukrainians wanted them to do, which was launch suicidal assaults along the only road that is also mined just to push Ukrainians from under the bridge.
Russian fighters also started expressing discontent and stated that the Russian command was wasting manpower to do the job that must be done with a missile strike.
Coincidentally or not, later that day Russian Air Force launched an Iskander strike on the main Ukrainian fortification.
Many Russian sources promptly reported that Ukrainian positions were destroyed, and Ukrainians no longer held the strongest part of the region.
In order to capture the rest of the territories and kill the remaining Ukrainian soldiers, Russian forces used boats to deploy to the region in order to avoid scattered mines along the road.
Unfortunately for Russians, it was a Ukrainian trap.
The moment Russians reached the beach and turned off the motor, Ukrainian drone operators started targeting Russian boats.
Russian soldiers immediately jumped into the water because starting the engine takes time, and staying in the immobilized boat was sure death.
The drones chased Russians closer to the beach, where Ukrainian infantry met and killed the Russian assault unit.
It turned out that there is a huge bunker under the bridge.
Russian drone operator discovered that Ukrainians have an entrance to the underground facilities right near the bridge, so collapsing the bridge with the Iskander strike did not change the situation.
In fact, very soon, Russian sources had to admit that the situation actually deteriorated.
Not only did Ukrainians increase the bridgehead, but they also started attacking the Russian bridge near Oleshky with kamikaze boats.
The goal of these attacks was to cut off the last chance that Russians had to exert any control over the island and also get on the doorstep of Oleshky.
Kamikaze boats proved to be incapable of achieving such tasks.
However, Ukrainian did not stop here.
According to various sources, the number of Ukrainians on the islands has gradually increased to up to 300 soldiers.
Assaulting such a powerful group became even more challenging, so the number of Russian attacks decreased, and Ukrainians gained more freedom of movement in the region.
After conducting intense drone reconnaissance and identifying Russian blind spots, Ukrainians started moving further.
The latest reports indicate that Ukrainians somehow already got to the Russian side of the island.
The drone footage shows how soldiers are carrying some cargo toward the foundation of the bridge.
Russian analysts are raising the alarm that Ukrainians unexpectedly managed to mine the only Russian artery that supplied Russian positions on the island.
••Southern Region near Robotnye:
Much closer and took high ground. Lots of defense lines to penetrate.
Velyka Novosilka Region:
Near Novodonetske a UA convoy was ambushed with the loss of tanks and armored vehicles, plus a French-made IFV, an AMX-10 RC.
Bakhmut Region:
UA took the forest and is now is 2.75km from Klishchiivka; Russia still holds the heights.
==
Another attack on Berdansk yesterday.
==
Satellite images of the Wagner camp in Western Belarus, near the Russian border.
==
Lukashenko said any aggression by NATO on Belarus will be met with tactical nukes on the NATO centers - as they know all the coordinates. [ Another insane person. ]
But so far, according to US intel, no Russian nukes have been transferred ... yet.
==
“Hungarians will not give more money to Ukraine”: Hungary against the plan of the European Commission to provide Ukraine with $50 billion - Orban
“We Hungarians ... will not give more money to Ukraine until they tell us where the previous about 70 billion euros went,” he said.
The only country that continues to block aid to Ukraine.
==
Poland wants to place an American nuclear weapon at its place in order to answer a deployment of a Russian one in Belarus, - Prime Minister of Poland
==
The Russian Federation will remotely blow up the ZNPP immediately after the station comes under the control of Ukraine in order to blame us for this - Zelensky
==
Evacuation of civilian personnel at Zaporizhia nuclear power plant to be completed by July 5th.
He addressed world leaders [ yesterday ] with a warning that Russia is preparing to undermine [ destroy ] the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
“Our intelligence received information that Russia is considering a scenario of a terrorist attack at the ZNPP with a release of radiation.
They have prepared everything for this.
Unfortunately, I have repeatedly had occasion to remind that radiation does not know state borders, and who it hits, is determined only by the direction of the wind.
We pass on all available information to our partners, all evidence - Europe, America, China, Brazil, India, Africa, the Arab world - all countries and international organizations should know this.
This time it should not be like with Kakhovskaya [ Nova Kakhovka ]. The world has been warned.”
==
[ Think of this disaster as Chernobyl times 6, only worse as the reactor explosions will be deliberate. This is not hyperbole, over reaction or anything of the sort. Why mine something like this if one does not, at some point, plan to detonate the mines?
Maps of the Chernobyl effected Zones:
http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/commonwealth/chornobyl_radiation96.jpg
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/e0/7d/73/e07d7397c6d629c6f1c6a8e294c31085.jpg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster
##•• It bears repeating: if the Russians and Putin go through with this plan, the release will render Ukraine and several surrounding countries uninhabitable, and if the cloud moves over Europe, it too will become uninhabitable. This will be the worst crisis in all of human history, bar the Mt. Toba eruption 74,000 years ago. ••## ]
••We didn’t get the Leopard to be paraded or photographed by politicians or celebrities. They came here to fight. And the Leopard on the battlefield is a target - Zaluzny
What else did the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine say in an interview:
With the head of the Joint Chiefs of Staff of the United States, General Mark Milley, they are in touch 24/7.
“Sometimes I can call on the phone and say, ‘If I don’t get 100,000 shells in a week, 1,000 people will die.’ Take my place.”
About Prigogine’s rebellion. “If anyone thinks that the Ukrainian counter-offensive got a happy nudge over the weekend, it’s not.”
The Wagnerites have already left the front line for a long time. And after the rebellion, we did not feel that their defense had weakened somewhere. ”
The worst scenario under consideration is the use of nuclear weapons. However, this is only a scenario for which you need to be prepared.
“That doesn’t stop me at all. We are doing our job. For some reason, all these signals come from outside: “Be afraid of a nuclear strike.” So, should we give up?”
==
Level of US naiveté and denial:
Donald Trump says Ukraine may have to cede territory to Russia to stop war.
In an interview with Reuters, he said that the United States should become a negotiator between the parties to the war.
At the same time, Trump stressed that the Ukrainians “have the right” to keep most of the territory for themselves, and that Russia, in his opinion, “will agree to this.”
Separately, he acknowledged that Putin was weakened after the Wagner PMC attempted military coup.
I think that Ukrainians have the right to keep all of the territory, not the most.
==
An oil and gas reservoir owned by the Tatneft oil and gas company exploded in Tatarstan (Russia). The workers who were engaged in its purification died on the spot
==
Ukrainian counter-offensive will be very long and very bloody - US General Mark Milley
According to him, a war on paper and a real war are two different things.
“The counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is slower than predicted, but this is not surprising. The defense forces are advancing confidently and purposefully. Ukrainians are fighting for their existence.
They are fighting against a huge country with a population of 140 million and a large army with a lot of military equipment,” said the US Army General.
==
Level of French naiveté and denial:
Computer games caused riots in France - Macron
The Internet should be censored more severely. The rioters are “poisoned by video games” and simply repeat their plots; “Hate rhetoric and disinformation are also spreading through social media and Tiktok.
==
Russian Military bloggers and propaganda started to say that Bakhmut was not really important. It was Wagner’s own decision to fight for that useless city and they lost a lot of solders and ammunition. Bad Wagners, useless city.
==
Ukrainian armed forces resumed the transfer of troops to the eastern coast of the Kherson region, according to British intelligence
It is noted that since June 27, fighting on the east coast has intensified.
Hopefully there is something behind that operation.
==
Video: soldiers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces rescue a comrade who was buried in the ground after the projectile landed.
Literally in a minute, the warrior was pulled out of the trap with his bare hands without any injuries
==
Russian convoy was ambushed. T-90 tank Kaboom
==
Image: And here is a video with a German Leopard 2A4 tank, which the Ukrainian military “coated” with DZ blocks in order to increase the survivability of the vehicle.
==
Now there is no understanding when Ukraine will be able to get the F-16 - Zelensky
According to the president, it has already been possible to form a coalition of countries involved in training Ukrainian pilots. But there is still no training schedule. It is not known why some partners are dragging this out.
==
Video: Destruction of an entire battery of 152-mm Msta-S self-propelled artillery installations of the occupiers with the help of a package of the HIMARS system.
After such an attack, it is unlikely that any of the crews of the Russian self-propelled guns managed to survive.
Videos of the destruction were published from slightly different angles.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan & Prigozhin agrees.
Russia is a 14th century feudal empire running a gas station with nukes in the backroom.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update - June 29, 2023
Extras:
——> Russia Plotting To Assassinate Prigozhin, Ukraine’s Spy Boss Tells Us <——
In a wide-ranging interview, Budanov says Wagner is no longer a threat in Ukraine and what would’ve happened if Prigozhin went all the way.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russia-plotting-to-assassinate-prigozhin-ukraines-spy-boss-tells-us
==
——> Ukraine Situation Report: U.S. Warming To Sending ATACMS <——
The Biden administration appears to be closer to sending Ukraine two weapons it has long-sought, ATACMS and cluster munitions.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-u-s-warming-to-sending-atacms
==
——> Guerrilla Warfare Exercise In West Virginia Looks Heavily Influenced By Ukraine War <——
The latest iteration of the U.S. military’s Ridge Runner drills include Russian SAMs and apparent enemy suicide drone launch teams.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/guerilla-warfare-exercise-in-west-virginia-looks-heavily-influenced-by-ukraine-war
[ Unfazed Ukrainian Fighter vs. Russian Fighter Jet ]
••Today there is a lot of news from the east.
Here, after conducting a series of successful operations to the south of Bakhmut, Ukrainians have shifted their focus to the northern part of the region.
The main axis of advance became the Sloviansk highway, where Russians used the dense tree lines along the road to conceal extensive trench networks.
Ukrainian 30th Mechanized Brigade recently released a video that showed how exactly Ukrainians managed to breach Russian defense.
As you can see, Russians have developed a very long system of trenches, which means that using traditional means, such as mortars and artillery, is highly inefficient.
That is why Ukrainians decided to deploy multiple assault drone crews to target Russians precisely.
Unlike artillery and mortar crews that shoot their shells blindly, drone operators see their target directly and can drop explosive shells precisely on the spot where Russian forces are located.
Such an approach increases the effectiveness significantly and allows them to inflict substantial losses on the enemy already in the first 20 minutes.
After the first stage of the operation was completed, Ukrainians rolled out their tanks and unleashed devastating fire on the proximate branches of the trench network.
This not only allowed to undermine Russian defense by demolishing the main fortifications, but also drove Russians away from the out edge, giving some space for the Ukrainian assault units to enter the first trenches.
Soon, the positions were taken, and Ukrainian soldiers were seen sitting and smoking before launching the next assault. In the aftermath of coordinated actions between various detachments, Ukrainians have advanced by up to 1 km.
Russian forces tried to compensate for the losses of land by launching a counterattack.
Their target, however, was in a slightly different region - near Berkhivka.
And this is not surprising because the situation for the Russians in this village was very dire, and it became harder and harder to continue holding this settlement each day.
That is why Russians decided to at least return control over the tree lines around the reservoir to increase the stability of their flanks.
Ukrainian fighters met Russian assault units with fire.
Ukrainian artillery was working with high intensity, and very soon, Ukrainian drone operators noticed how Russian soldiers collected their things and went away.
In the meantime, Ukrainian forces continued slowly intensifying their actions north of Bakhmut.
The main idea of this group of forces is to slice off the bridgehead that Russian forces developed west of Soledar and set conditions for the encirclement of Soledar and Bakhmut.
If we take into account the topography of the region, we can quickly understand that the most important settlement in this region is Yakovlivka.
Yakovlivka is located on a hill above both Soledar and Bakhmut, so by breaching the Russian defense here, Ukrainians will open access to the Russian rear.
Recently released footage indicated that Ukrainians have already launched artillery preparation on this settlement.
Russian forces understand the value of this village very well.
That is why they are not saving resources in this direction and trying to eliminate the Ukrainian 10th and 109th Assault Brigades that are responsible for this region by any means, including extremely risky airstrikes.
A Ukrainian fighter spotted one such Russian fighter jet in the middle of the mission and shot down the Russian fighter jet, saving dozens of soldiers from his detachment by preventing a devastating rocket strike.
Russian aviation remains a huge threat to Ukrainian soldiers, so supplies of air defense systems, including man-portable ones, change the situation on the ground tremendously.
••ATACMS Blk 1 range is 103 miles; Blk 1A range is 186 miles.
[ Relative to other ground launched missiles, the US does not have a large supply of these missiles, but the system is obsolescent & awaiting the arrival of a newer system. ]
1,650 M39 were produced between 1990 and 1997, when production ceased in favor of the M39A1.
During Desert Storm 32 M39 were fired at Iraqi targets and during Operation Iraqi Freedom a further 379 were fired.
The remaining M39 missiles are being updated to M57E1 missiles. This is the only variant that can be fired by all M270 and M142 launcher variants.
==
•M39A1• (ATACMS Block IA) missile with GPS-aided guidance. It carries 300 M74 Anti-personnel and Anti‑materiel (APAM) bomblets. Range: 20–300 kilometers (12–186 mi).
610 M39A1 were produced between 1997 and 2003.
During Operation Iraqi Freedom 74 M39A1 were fired at Iraqi targets.
The remaining M39A1 missiles are being updated to M57E1 missiles.
The M39A1 and all subsequently introduced ATACMS missiles can only be used with the M270A1 (or variants thereof) and the M142.
==
•M48• (ATACMS Quick Reaction Unitary [QRU]) missile with GPS-aided guidance.
It carries the 500-pound (230 kg) WDU-18/B penetrating high explosive blast fragmentation warhead of the US Navy’s Harpoon anti-ship missile, which was packaged into the newly designed WAU-23/B warhead section.
Range: 70–300 km (43–186 mi). 176 M48 were produced between 2001 and 2004, when production ceased in favor of the M57.
During Operation Iraqi Freedom 16 M48 were fired at Iraqi targets and a further 42 were fired during Operation Enduring Freedom. 118 remaining.
The remaining M48 missiles are in the US Army and US Marine Corps’ arsenal.
==
•M57• (ATACMS TACMS 2000) missile with GPS-aided guidance.
It carries the same WAU-23/B warhead section as the M48. Range: 70–300 km (43–186 mi). 513 M57 were produced between 2004 and 2013.
Accuracy is 9 m (30 ft) CEP (Circular Error Probability).
==
•M57E1• (ATACMS Modification [MOD]) missile with GPS-aided guidance.
The M57E1 is the designation for upgraded M39 and M39A1 with re-grained motor, updated navigation and guidance software and hardware, and a WAU-23/B warhead section instead of the M74 APAM bomblets.
This variant includes a proximity sensor for airburst detonation.
Production commenced in 2017 with an initial order for 220 upgraded M57E1s.
There >2154 M57E1 with some of those used for testing and training.
Confirmed: There will be 3 Wagner bases, one is near the Russian border, the other two near the Polish/Lithuania/Latvia borders.
They will be used to train Belarus troops foe “further military action”.
==
Russia now using artillery shells made in 1939, very rusty.
==
Storm Z Russian convict battalion, on the southern front lines, refused to continue to fight because they do not have enough ammo, supplies or food. They are one of the groups that supported P last weekend.
He addressed world leaders [ yesterday ] with a warning that Russia is preparing to undermine [ destroy ] the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
“Our intelligence received information that Russia is considering a scenario of a terrorist attack at the ZNPP with a release of radiation.
They have prepared everything for this.
Unfortunately, I have repeatedly had occasion to remind that radiation does not know state borders, and who it hits, is determined only by the direction of the wind.
We pass on all available information to our partners, all evidence - Europe, America, China, Brazil, India, Africa, the Arab world - all countries and international organizations should know this.
This time it should not be like with Kakhovskaya [ Nova Kakhovka ]. The world has been warned.”
==
[ Think of this disaster as Chernobyl times 6, only worse as the reactor explosions will be deliberate. This is not hyperbole, over reaction or anything of the sort. Why mine something like this if one does not, at some point, plan to detonate the mines?
Maps of the Chernobyl effected Zones:
http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/commonwealth/chornobyl_radiation96.jpg
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/e0/7d/73/e07d7397c6d629c6f1c6a8e294c31085.jpg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster
##•• It bears repeating: if the Russians and Putin go through with this plan, the release will render Ukraine and several surrounding countries uninhabitable, and if the cloud moves over Europe, it too will become uninhabitable. This will be the worst crisis in all of human history, bar the Mt. Toba eruption 74,000 years ago. ••## ]
••Occupied Berdyansk airport hit this morning. Not long time ago Russia send more of the helicopters over there…
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan & Prigozhin agrees.
Russia is a 14th century feudal empire running a gas station with nukes in the backroom.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update - June 28, 2023
Extras:
——> Purges Underway In Russian Security Apparatus After Prigozhin’s Mutiny <——
Reports say Gen. Sergei Surovikin, head of the Russian Air Force and erstwhile Prigozhin ally, was arrested for his part in the mutiny.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/purges-underway-in-russian-security-apparatus-after-prigozhins-mutiny
==
——> Ukraine Situation Report: Naval Strike Missiles May Be Headed To Ukraine <——
The stealthy Naval Strike Missile, as used by the U.S. Navy, would provide a versatile long-range weapon for use at sea and on land.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-naval-strike-missiles-may-be-headed-to-ukraine
[ Incredible Operation | Ukrainians Capture a Large Group of Russians in The Forest ]
••Day 490: Jun 28
Today there are a lot of updates from the east. [ South of Klishchiivka ]
First of all, more information became available about the massively successful Ukrainian operation along the canal.
As Russians understood that it was just a matter of time until Ukrainians finished what they started west of the canal, Russians mined the approaches to their positions.
Each tree line, therefore, became a formidable defense line, which required a lot of preparation and technical excellence to overcome.
The first thing Ukrainians did was to clear several pathways through the field by blowing up the mines with a special line charge.
Next, Ukrainians used 3 armored fighting vehicles to close the distance and simultaneously suppress enemy fire.
As we can see, Ukrainians used only one of the pathways created by the line charge.
Creating multiple lines is necessary for several reasons, one of which is to confuse the enemy and make them panic in trying to identify at the last minute which way the assault units are going to turn, but more importantly, to dissipate enemy artillery and mortar fire.
The assault was quite short, and the first line of defense was breached with no hurdles, which is why Ukrainians immediately started pushing further.
The next Ukrainian target became an extensive trench network just several hundred meters away from the newly captured positions.
After cutting the distance and entering the first trenches, Ukrainians engaged in close combat fighting. Judging by the footage, Ukrainians had an absolute tactical advantage just because they had drones.
As you might expect, it is extremely difficult to navigate inside a trench network because it is effectively a labyrinth.
However, looking from above reduces the complexity virtually to zero.
Ukrainian drone operators continuously notified the troops on the ground about the number of Russian soldiers in front of them, the movement of these soldiers, how many turns they are away from them, and especially when Russians are reloading.
A group of Russians that started reloading simultaneously immediately got charged and killed.
Soon, Russian soldiers that were cut off from the rest started surrendering, while other soldiers tried to flee by crossing the canal and reaching other Russian positions separated by the water.
But the biggest news today is that Ukrainians took a large number of Russian troops into a pocket near Klishchiivka.
Here, the main goal of Ukrainians is to breach the Russian defense in Klishchiivka and start encircling Bakhmut from the south.
Last time I told you that Ukrainians cleared the last tree line in front of the main Russian fortification, which also opened access to the forest.
Since there is no point in immediately rushing to the strongest Russian position, Ukrainians decided to develop their success further in the forest and managed to reach the main part of it.
Today a Ukrainian fighter from the 24th assault brigade reported that they noticed that a Russian airborne company lost connection with other units.
Ukrainians conducted a pincer movement by advancing from the Bakhmut’s gardens and the newly captured tree line.
Russian soldiers appeared in a pocket before they even knew it.
Soon, Ukrainian fighters offered them to surrender, and some soldiers even published it on social media.
4 minutes later, another Ukrainian soldier reported that the Russian airborne company surrendered.
Overall, Ukrainians continue being extremely flexible with their plans and trying to capitalize on any opportunities that they identify in the battleground.
Such a quick reaction to the news about no radio connection of a Russian forefront position allowed Ukrainians to save a lot of lives that otherwise would have been lost in direct assaults of the same positions when Russians would have fixed the issue.
Unfortunately for Russians, this position was quickly lost today, and Russian control over the forest shank even more.
If the current trend continues and Ukrainians completely clear the forest, the main Russian fortification on the hill will no longer be as formidable due to the lack of supplies.
It looks like Ukrainians are undermining this trench network as much as possible before the main confrontation.
••Russian military correspondents and Z-channels report that Army General Surovikin is in the Lefortovo pre-trial detention center.
Surovikin knew in advance about Prigozhin’s plans to start a rebellion in Russia, - The New York Times
An alliance between Sergei Surovikin and Yevgeny Prigozhin could explain why Prigozhin is still alive, sources say. Washington is now trying to find out if Surovikin helped Prigozhin.
There are indications that other Russian generals supported Prigozhin’s attempt to change the leadership of the Russian Defense Ministry. Prigozhin would not have started the uprising if he did not believe in help.
The Kremlin called this information “speculation and gossip.”
==
Our fighters with MANPADS-Igla shot down one of the Ruzzian SU-25 attack aircraft in the Bakhmut direction.
==
It is very likely that the current year is decisive in the war in Ukraine - Pistorius
“It is very likely that this will be a decisive year, now decisive months. That is why Germany came up with a big support package worth 2.7 billion euros a few weeks ago,” German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said.
According to him, today he bets on the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and “everything else will fall into place.”
==
Americans support giving Ukraine weapons has skyrocketed from 46% in May to 65% now - Reuters
The transfer of military aid is supported by 81% of Democrats, 56% of Republicans.
Also, the survey showed that 76% of respondents believe that providing assistance to Ukraine demonstrates to China and other rivals that the United States has “the will and ability to protect its interests, and the interests of its allies.”
Hopefully we also play some role with our efforts. Stay awesome
==
KA-52s and mine continue to be the main weapons holding Ukraine back; F-16s would take care of the first. KA-52s can take out Ukraine armor from 9 miles away. More KA-52s have been sent to Berdyansk.
==
Chinese 152mm shells are arriving via Iran. They were evidently sold to Iran a long time ago.
==
New Wagner camp is being built 90km from Minsk. The camp is closer to Russian border, Smolensk and Moscow than to Ukraine border. The main forces of “Wagner” will be concentrated in a camp on the territory of the Mogilev region, Belarus.
Russia building a new military base for Ukraine in Crimea, not far from Simferopol.
==
“Putin” in Dagestan.
==
Ahmed Brigade troop shown wearing a $700 ball cap. Brigade said it was just waiting for Putin to give the word before attacking Wagner troops. They clam they were only a few 100 meters away. But then there are the images of them pulled over to the side of a highway which caused them to be stuck on the shoulder in a traffic jam on an otherwise deserted road.
==
Head of military recruitment in Odessa region busted by journalistic association. He had bought many expensive cars an a villa in Spain during the past year. Bribes likely came from people who do not want to serve in the army.
He addressed world leaders [ yesterday ] with a warning that Russia is preparing to undermine [ destroy ] the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
“Our intelligence received information that Russia is considering a scenario of a terrorist attack at the ZNPP with a release of radiation.
They have prepared everything for this.
Unfortunately, I have repeatedly had occasion to remind that radiation does not know state borders, and who it hits, is determined only by the direction of the wind.
We pass on all available information to our partners, all evidence - Europe, America, China, Brazil, India, Africa, the Arab world - all countries and international organizations should know this.
This time it should not be like with Kakhovskaya [ Nova Kakhovka ]. The world has been warned.”
==
[ Think of this disaster as Chernobyl times 6, only worse as the reactor explosions will be deliberate. This is not hyperbole, over reaction or anything of the sort. Why mine something like this if one does not, at some point, plan to detonate the mines?
Maps of the Chernobyl effected Zones:
http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/commonwealth/chornobyl_radiation96.jpg
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/e0/7d/73/e07d7397c6d629c6f1c6a8e294c31085.jpg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster
##•• It bears repeating: if the Russians and Putin go through with this plan, the release will render Ukraine and several surrounding countries uninhabitable, and if the cloud moves over Europe, it too will become uninhabitable. This will be the worst crisis in all of human history, bar the Mt. Toba eruption 74,000 years ago. ••## ]
••It turns out that 20 years ago, the head of the Wagner PMC, Yevgeny Prigozhin, published the children’s fairy tale “Indraguzik” about the country of small people with a “shrinking” king.
Prigozhin wrote it together with his daughter Polina and son Pasha, then he was known only as “Putin’s chef”.
According to the story, the main character accidentally turns the king into a giant, capable of destroying his small people by mistake. With the help of a magic flute that does “anything”, he enlarges the whole country and creates a dystopia where even dogs have the same name - Tuzik.
Spoiler or not?
==
Ukraine’s counteroffensive is now at an early stage. Major events will take place over the coming weeks and months. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have everything for success - Blinken
==
“The Wagner PMC center resumes work in Novosibirsk.
Posters were again hung near the building where recruitment is underway.” The mayor of the city declined to comment on the situation. Previously removed advertising posters for PMC “Wagner” are being hung in the city.
Prygozhyn was spotted in Saint Petersburg yesterday…
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan & Prigozhin agrees.
Russia is a 14th century feudal empire running a gas station with nukes in the backroom.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update - June 27, 2023
Extras:
——> Ukraine Situation Report: U.S. Replenishes Kyiv’s Bradley Fighting Vehicle Force <——
With Ukraine facing mounting losses the Pentagon announced Tuesday it is sending another 30 Bradleys and 25 Strykers.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-u-s-replenishes-kyivs-bradley-fighting-vehicle-force
Excerpts:
Another 30 Bradley Infantry Fighting Vehicles and 25 Stryker Armored Personnel Carriers will be headed to Ukraine as part of the Pentagon’s latest tranche of aid, valued at up to $500 million.
The package was not expedited as a result of Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin’s aborted mutiny, said Air Force Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder, the Pentagon’s top spokesman.
To date, Ukraine has seen 10 of 109 Bradley variants already delivered destroyed, two damaged, and another 12 damaged and abandoned, according to the latest figures from the Oryx open source intelligence tracking group. That figure could be higher, because Oryx only tabulates equipment it can visually verify.
Curiously, none of the 100 Strykers provided to Ukraine have been reported damaged, destroyed or abandoned, which could be an indication of just what Kyiv is holding back in its counteroffensive.
He later added that there was no timeline for the delivery of these vehicles.
==
——> Belarus Wants Prigozhin’s ‘Wagnerites’ To Train Its Army <——
Lukashenko said battle hardened Wagner troops can train his forces but won’t have any role with Russian-provided nuclear weapons.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/belarus-wants-prigozhins-wagnerites-to-train-its-army
Excerpts:
Three days after ending his attempted mutiny against Moscow, Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of the Wagner Private Military Corporation, landed in his new home of Belarus, according to the leader of that nation.
Though free from charges connected with the weekend’s aborted ‘march on Moscow,’ he is facing an uncertain future. The troops and equipment he amassed are being prepared for turnover to the Russian Defense Ministry and his role remains murky.
“Yes, indeed, he is in Belarus today,” Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko said Tuesday during a speech after a military promotion ceremony, according to the official Belarusian BelTa news service. However, no images have yet emerged of him there.
Allowing Prigozhin in Belarus raises questions about how he can be contained. What happens next with Wagner, meanwhile, particularly in Africa, is something the Pentagon said it is keeping an eye on.
Lukashenko said he talked Putin into accepting diplomacy instead of military action and negotiated with Prigozhin.
Lukashenko said his first round of discussions with Prigozhin “was spoken for 30 minutes in swear language.”
He added that he told Prigozhin, “you will be crushed halfway like a bug” by Russian forces in any attempt to reach Moscow.
Lukashenko said Prigozhin agreed to stand down in return for security guarantees. Those were offered, the Belarusian President said, after Prigozhin agreed not to harm civilians, stop his march and abandon his demand that Russian President Vladimir Putin get rid of his top two military leaders, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Army Chief of Staff Valery Gerasimov.
While Prigozhin could have been killed, Lukashenko argued that would not prove a lasting solution to the question of what to do with his forces, according to BelTa.
“Who is Prigozhin?” Lukashenko asked rhetorically. “He is a very authoritative person today in the armed forces. No matter how much someone would like it. Therefore, I thought: ‘we can kill [him]. I said to Putin: ‘We can kill [Prigozhin].’”
But he opted not to, “because then there will be no negotiations. These guys who know how to stand up for each other, who fought there and in Africa, Asia, Latin America, they will do anything. We can also kill [him] but thousands, thousands of civilians and those who will resist the Wagnerists will die.”
“In no case to make a hero out of me, out of Putin and Prigozhin,” Lukashenko told reporters, saying he and Putin misread the situation and that it didn’t resolve itself until Prigozhin ultimately backed down.
==
——> A-10 Warthog’s Death Looms Larger With New Basing Changes <——
The Air Force is steadily moving ahead with its plans to retire the A-10 for good by 2030, if not before then.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/a-10-warthog-death-looms-larger-with-new-basing-changes
Excerpts:
The U.S. Air Force has announced formal plans to close out A-10 Warthog ground attack aircraft operations at two bases. F-35A Joint Strike Fighters will take the place of A-10s at one of those locations, while the other will see the arrival of F-16C/D Viper fighters.
This is all in line with the service’s goal of divesting the last A-10s before the end of the decade, if not sooner, something Congress now seems inclined to acquiesce to after decades of blocking such divestments.
It should be noted that these plans may still be subject to change in various ways, especially as move through the environmental impact analysis process. Environmental impact here includes a wide variety of things, including any possible increases in noise pollution.
The F-35 and F-16 are both louder than the A-10 in many contexts. Gowen Field, in particular, is in an urban area, co-located with Boise Airport in Idaho’s capital of the same name. In 2019, Idahoans notably sued the Air Force over its use of urban areas in the southwestern end of the state for training exercises that included aircraft flying overhead.
The Air Force’s press release about the changes coming to Moody says that the service has currently laid out plans to divest a total of 54 A-10s in the next few years. This includes the expected retirement of 42 Warthogs just in Fiscal Year 2024. The service will, of course, need Congress to sign off on this before it can proceed.
The Air Force already has approval to cut 21 A-10s in Fiscal Year 2023, which began on October 1, 2022, and ends on September 30 of this year. As of June 15, the Air Force had already sent eight A-10s to the boneyard at Davis-Monthan Air Force Base in Arizona as part of those divestments, according to data from the 309th Aerospace Maintenance and Regeneration Group, which manages that facility.
At the time of writing, the Air Force has around 273 A-10s still in service, spread across active-duty, Air Force Reserve, and Air National Guard squadrons. With the exception of the 25th Fighter Squadron assigned to the 51st Fighter Wing at Osan Air Base in South Korea, all of the remaining Warthog units are in the United States.
[ Russias Kill Each Other | Footage: Confused Russian Assault Units Kill Each Other ]
••Day 489: Jun 27
Today the biggest news comes from the Kherson region.
Here, Ukrainians continue conducting amphibious operations on the Dnipro River with the goal of developing a bridgehead on the other side of the river, while Russian defense is still weak in the aftermath of the destruction of many Russian fortifications due to flooding.
Geolocated footage shows that day after day, Ukrainians are successfully reinforcing the assault group, and if yesterday Russian sources reported that there were up to 50 Ukrainian soldiers in the region, then today this number increased to 100.
At first, Russians tried to use their aviation to bomb the residential area, and especially the bridge, which Ukrainians are using as their main fortification and shelter. However, the usage of aviation proved to be extremely problematic.
First of all, the munitions are not very precise, which requires more airstrikes or getting closer to the contact line.
And this is impossible because, secondly, Russian sources reported that Ukrainians had redeployed multiple S-300 air defense systems to the towns and villages in the vicinity of this bridgehead.
Some Russian fighters also complained that they could not even use drones, due to the fact that they lost connection half the way towards to bridge because Ukrainians put somewhere electronic warfare systems.
That is why, if Russians wanted to eliminate the enemy bridgehead, they needed to conduct direct ground assaults.
The first Russians assault group tried to use armored fighting vehicles to deliver the assault units directly to the Ukrainian positions.
This did not work very well because Ukrainians had mined the approached to the bridge, so the vehicle got immobilized by the mine, and Russians immediately ran away in all possible directions.
Next, Russians decided to take it into account and drive not all the way to the bridge but just to the first houses. Russian forces used 3 armored personnel carriers to deliver 3 assault squads, 30 troops in total.
Ukrainian reconnaissance drone operators spotted the movement of Russian troops and immediately communicated their coordinates to the Ukrainian artillery crews.
Shortly, the artillery hit the area of the deployment of the Russian troops, inflicting significant losses and putting an end to the planed assault.
The remaining Russian troops dissipated throughout the region and requested support and evacuation.
Unfortunately for Russians, the coordination and communication between the assault units were nonexistent in the aftermath of the artillery strike.
So, when the first Russian group that assumed positions in the forest noticed movement in the residential area, they assumed that this was a Ukrainian counterattack and opened fire at the second group of Russians in the houses.
When the support arrived, the Russian armored fighting vehicle advanced while simultaneously firing precisely at the houses with the Russian airborne unit.
The armored fighting vehicle picked up several wounded soldiers from the other group and drove away.
Judging by the footage, the machine gun fire fired though all the houses along the road.
Given the caliber of the gun, the brick walls of the houses provided as much protection as paper, so Russian forces who successfully got a toehold in the residential area likely suffered heavy losses due to the friendly fire.
Overall, Russian forces proved to be incapable of controlling the islands.
Even though they had a paved road leading right to the residential area, Ukrainians took it under total fire control, not allowing Russians to deliver supplies or rotate troops.
Russian sources reported that using small high-speed boats proved to be extremely effective for the purpose of controlling the river because they were extremely mobile and an impossible target for the Russian artillery.
The only real danger for the Ukrainian boat crews is Russian troops near the river.
With that in mind, we can see that by pushing Russians from these small islands and residential areas, Ukrainians are gradually gaining complete freedom of movement on the river, even without controlling the other bank.
Russians analysts are warning that once Ukrainians push Russians to the mainland, Ukrainians will start looking for a weak spot, and given the length of the front line, the probability that Ukrainians will find one is extremely high.
••In the east, Russia artillery shelled its own positions near Pisky allowing the UA to advance. Russia’s army gets weaker by the day.
==
Prigozhin went to Mindy to meet Lukashenko for 5 hours. See linked story above.
Many National Guard pilots refused to fire on Prigozhin’s forces and now risk prosecution.
==
Putin in his great wisdom and genius has managed eliminate Russia’s most capable army. Slava Ukraina!!
Putin spouts war statistics from Shoigu who is a creative writer of fiction.
[ Various Pro-Russian sources ran with these number to make many videos, proving the might and superiority of the RGF. Some of which are posted on FR. ]
==
Poznan, Poland will be the supply and repair hub for Abrams tanks.
==
Hungry’s Orban says Putin is not a war criminal [ eventhough he is wanted by the international court ], and Ukraine is no longer an independent country because peace depends on the US [ supplying weapons to expel the Russians ].
With those leaders, Hungry has no future in the EU and should be expelled, as well as cut off from all financial aide.
==
A WAPO article on the war says that at the current pace, it will take Ukraine 16 years to liberate all of its territory. And if there is no significant progress, the US will push for peace talks.
==
Chia said it has no objection to Ukraine getting all of its territory back including Crimea. [ Same as China getting back its claim on the Russian Far East. ]
==
Kirby claims there is no treat to the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant , in contradiction of Zelenski, locals, UA MI, sherifs etc.
==
Sergey Lavrov is assuring everyone that Russia is not mining the Plant and has no plans to blow it up, just like he assured everyone that Russia was not going to invade, 3 days before Russia invaded. [ Does this mean that Russia will blow the Plant in 3 days? ]
He addressed world leaders [ yesterday ] with a warning that Russia is preparing to undermine [ destroy ] the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
“Our intelligence received information that Russia is considering a scenario of a terrorist attack at the ZNPP with a release of radiation.
They have prepared everything for this.
Unfortunately, I have repeatedly had occasion to remind that radiation does not know state borders, and who it hits, is determined only by the direction of the wind.
We pass on all available information to our partners, all evidence - Europe, America, China, Brazil, India, Africa, the Arab world - all countries and international organizations should know this.
This time it should not be like with Kakhovskaya [ Nova Kakhovka ]. The world has been warned.”
==
[ Think of this disaster as Chernobyl times 6, only worse as the reactor explosions will be deliberate. This is not hyperbole, over reaction or anything of the sort. Why mine something like this if one does not, at some point, plan to detonate the mines?
Maps of the Chernobyl effected Zones:
http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/commonwealth/chornobyl_radiation96.jpg
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/e0/7d/73/e07d7397c6d629c6f1c6a8e294c31085.jpg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster
##•• It bears repeating: if the Russians and Putin go through with this plan, the release will render Ukraine and several surrounding countries uninhabitable, and if the cloud moves over Europe, it too will become uninhabitable. This will be the worst crisis in all of human history, bar the Mt. Toba eruption 74,000 years ago. ••## ]
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update - June 26, 2023
Extras:
——> Ukraine Situation Report: Breakthrough Across The Dnipro At Antonvosky Bridge <——
The bridge is the scene of heavy fighting after a breakthrough by Ukrainian forces into the Russian-controlled left bank of the Dnieper.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-breakthrough-across-the-dnipro-at-antonvosky-bridge
==
——> Prigozhin Is Back On His Soapbox Two Days After Outright Mutiny <——
After more than a day of uncharacteristic silence, the head of the Wagner mercenary group opened up about his mutinous march on Moscow.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/prigozhin-is-back-on-his-soapbox-two-days-after-outright-mutiny
==
——> Denmark Accelerating F-16 Retirement, Could Benefit Ukraine <——
Denmark says its accelerated F-35A plans and the start of F-16 pilot training for Ukraine have created space to talk about donating Vipers.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/denmark-accelerating-f-16-retirement-could-benefit-ukraine
[ Checkmate in 2 moves | Clever. Ukrainians Cut Supplies & Russians Immediately Retreat ]
••Day 488: Jun 26
After Ukrainians liberated Novodanylivka and Makarivka, the next logical step became pushing Russians out of Rivnopil.
In order to facilitate faster development of the events, first of all, Ukrainians focused on undermining Russian supply lines.
Russian forces had already appeared in a salient, so when Ukrainians started pushing from 2 sides, the situation for Russians became critical.
In order to buy themselves more time to get all the ammunition and equipment out of this previously important forefront logistical center, Russians tried to divert Ukrainian attention and resources away from Rivnopil by launching a series of powerful assaults in the direction of Makarivka.
Unfortunately for Russians, it came at a great cost because Ukrainians controlled the hills west of the settlement, so very soon, Ukrainians retook the initiative and continued undermining Russian defense.
And by undermining Russian defense in this particular place, Ukrainians could collapse the most tactically significant positions in this region with minimal direct engagements because if we look at the topographic map, we can see that Rivnopil is located right in the center of the elevated platform.
And this is exactly what happened today.
Today Ukrainian 31st Mechanized Brigade released a video confirming that they established total control of Rivnopil.
Russian sources reported that Russian forces retreated to more reliable positions since Rivnopil was at a huge risk of being taken into a pocket.
Some Ukrainian fighters reported that not all Russians managed to retreat, mostly because they were killed by the heavy artillery fire that Ukrainians concentrated on the key Russian retreat routes.
Ukrainians tried to capitalize on the disarray associated with the retreat and push Russians even further, however, imperfect weather conditions and mine fields complicated advances.
According to the latest updates, Russian forces assumed positions along the tree lines immediately south of Rivnopil.
However, as they are cut off by the gully from the next elevated platform under Russian control, these Russian positions remain extremely vulnerable, and many analysts agree that Russians will likely retreat behind the gully.
In the meantime, Ukrainians around Levadne have already started undermining Russian defense here.
Their main axis of attack is toward Pryiutne because if Ukrainians successfully push along this ridge, Ukrainians will once again undercut this vast elevated platform and collapse the Russian defense without bumping into the most fortified part of the front line, where Russians have a tactical advantage.
Geolocated footage shows how Ukrainians are successfully chasing a small group of Russian troops from their positions just east of Levadne, which Ukrainians recently liberated.
Ukrainian 36th Marine Brigade posted a video showing how they are destroying Russian armored fighting vehicles near Pyiutne.
Ukrainian 501st Mechanized Brigade also showed how they hunted down Russian equipment near Pryiutne.
Lastly, after joining their efforts, the above mentioned Brigades even destroyed a tank on the Russian defense line.
Overall, Ukrainians have liberated more than 200 sq km only south of Velyka Novosilka.
Ukrainian President recently visited the Zaporizhia front and met with the soldiers that were responsible for this massive progress.
The President thanked everyone for their service and sacrifice and awarded all fighters who distinguished themselves during the liberation of the Ukrainian land.
••Denys lost his best friend, Dmitry, in the fighting in the south today and is quite sad and broken up about it. The information about what happened is classified, but he was a fantastic guy. They flew together for the same airline, and also in the same 737, and Dmitry was top rated on 777s. He was in the same aviation motorcycle club with Denys.
==
Today the United States will announce a new package of military aid to Ukraine worth up to $500 million, including ground equipment. Reuters
The new package from the USA will include:
30 BMP M2 Bradley;
25 M1126 Stryker armored personnel carriers;
additional ammunition for “HIMARS” MLRS, “Patriot” air defense system;
MANPADS “Javelin” and “Stinge
==
Denmark is already training Ukrainians on F-16s. It own F-16s will be phased out as F-35s arrive - this should be completed by 2025.
==
Kherson Region:
Russian supply is so bad that some soldiers were forced to fight without boots - just bare feet.
==
More and more Ukrainian officials are spreading their word on what to do when the Russians blow the reactors at the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
==
Sergey Lavrov is assuring everyone that Russia is not mining the Plant and has no plans to blow it up, just like he assured everyone that Russia was not going to invade, 3 days before Russia invaded. [ Does this mean that Russia will blow the Plant in 3 days? ]
He addressed world leaders [ yesterday ] with a warning that Russia is preparing to undermine [ destroy ] the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
“Our intelligence received information that Russia is considering a scenario of a terrorist attack at the ZNPP with a release of radiation.
They have prepared everything for this.
Unfortunately, I have repeatedly had occasion to remind that radiation does not know state borders, and who it hits, is determined only by the direction of the wind.
We pass on all available information to our partners, all evidence - Europe, America, China, Brazil, India, Africa, the Arab world - all countries and international organizations should know this.
This time it should not be like with Kakhovskaya [ Nova Kakhovka ]. The world has been warned.”
==
[ Think of this disaster as Chernobyl times 6, only worse as the reactor explosions will be deliberate. This is not hyperbole, over reaction or anything of the sort. Why mine something like this if one does not, at some point, plan to detonate the mines?
Maps of the Chernobyl effected Zones:
http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/commonwealth/chornobyl_radiation96.jpg
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/e0/7d/73/e07d7397c6d629c6f1c6a8e294c31085.jpg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster
##•• It bears repeating: if the Russians and Putin go through with this plan, the release will render Ukraine and several surrounding countries uninhabitable, and if the cloud moves over Europe, it too will become uninhabitable. This will be the worst crisis in all of human history, bar the Mt. Toba eruption 74,000 years ago. ••## ]
••Armed Forces of Ukraine advanced 1.5 km in the Tauride direction, - speaker of the Joint Press Center of the Defense Forces of the Tauride direction Valery Shershen
This, in particular, is about the successful offensive operations of the Tavria group in the Melitopol direction.
Now the Armed Forces of Ukraine are waiting reinforcements at the achieved levels. Aerial reconnaissance of the area is carried out, mine clearance is carried out, fire damage is inflicted, artillery is working on detected enemy targets, and measures are being taken for counter-battery combat.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan & Prigozhin agrees.
Russia is a 14th century feudal empire running a gas station with nukes in the backroom.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update - June 25, 2023
[ Unique Chance | Ukrainians Seize a Great Opportunity Brought by Wagner Mutiny ]
••Day 487: Jun 25
The unexpectedly rapid and peaceful reconciliation of the conflict between the Russian Ministry of Defense and the private military company the Wagner Group, especially as there is no confirmation that Prigozhin’s demands were met, left many people very suspicious.
Some analysts started building theories as to how such a large-scale act could be used to achieve strategic objectives and concluded that this would be a great opportunity to redeploy forces to the Kharkiv region and take the city into a pocket, as the returning from Moscow Wagner forces were very close to the Belgorod region.
It is reasonable to some extent to consider such a possibility because both sides are monitoring each other’s movement of troops very tightly, and the only way to show up somewhere unexpectedly is by tricking the other party into thinking that they don’t need to care about it.
However, firstly, it’s not like all of the Wagners were heading north - most troops were occupying Rostov and military objects nearby. So, the Wagner forces got dispersed.
Secondly, there is not much of Wagners left anyways.
According to Prigozhin, he had 85 thousand troops to take Bakhmut, and it took him more than 8 months and mind-boggling losses to take it.
The Kharkiv front is 10 times bigger, Kharkiv itself is 10 times bigger, and Ukrainians have 10s of 1,000s of soldiers in the region.
So, even if all Wagner units suddenly redeployed here, the prospect of a quick victory would be virtually non-existent.
Besides, Russian forces had already tried to take Kharkiv with more troops and under much better conditions, and it ended up in a disaster.
Lastly, Wagner forces were initially in Luhansk, so making a several-day detour towards Moscow is less productive.
And this is where other analysts concluded that, in reality, Wagner forces are redeploying to Belarus to attack Kyiv or Lviv. On the surface, this also ties in nicely with the fact that the President of Belarus, Lukashenko, got involved and eventually offered shelter to Prigozhin.
However, all previous points remain relevant counterarguments here as well: dispersing troops by occupying Rostov would be counterproductive, the front line is 30 times bigger, Ukrainians have 10s of 1,000s of soldiers on guard, Russians already tried anyways, and here there are also dense forests, which prove to be an extremely hard barrier.
On top of that, during the mutiny, Russian forces lost 7 aircraft and 15 pilots.
Half of them are extraordinarily valuable.
And this is not taking into account the blown-up Wagner convoys and violent engagements with the regular Russian forces that were caught on camera and shown in my previous video.
Nonetheless, one thing the Wagner mutiny actually achieved was completely cutting off supplies of the eastern Russian Group of forces for at least two days and confusing the soldiers on the ground, of which Ukrainians successfully took advantage.
Ukrainian fighters from the Bakhmut region reported that when Prigozhin posted a video and said that the regular Russian forces bombed Wagner camps and the Wagner forces were marching on Moscow, the Russian radio exchanges became completely wild.
Eventually, it caused a series of violent confrontations between the regular Russian formations and a few Wagner units that were still in Bakhmut to help.
First of all, Ukrainian fighters from the 24th Assault Brigade reported that Ukrainians finally breached the Russian defense in the tree line along the road and started storming the last remaining fortification on their way to Klishchiivka, namely, the infamous trench network on the hill.
Secondly, after clearing the tree line, Ukrainians could attack Russian positions in the forest from 2 sides, and by the end of the second day, the Ukrainian 5th Assault Brigade reportedly cleared up to 40% of the forest.
Lastly Ukrainians finally pushed Russians from the remaining positions west of the canal and some sources even claimed that the Ukrainians made a few attempts to establish control over Kurdiumivka and Ozarianivka.
Russian forces reportedly retreated to the western part of the village to create a buffer zone which at the moment remains a gray zone
However, the biggest news by far is that Ukrainian crossed the Dnipro River and established a bridgehead on the eastern bank near the Antonivskyi Bridge.
Geolocated footage confirms that Ukrainian boats have deployed Ukrainian forces to this region.
Russian forces tried to chase Ukrainians away with direct assault, however, they faced tough resistance.
Ukrainians posted footage of Ukrainian helicopters targeting Russian assault units.
Eventually, Russian sources reported that the units on the ground got almost encircled, which is why they decided to retreat.
Zelinski stated that the Wagner Mutiny created unique opportunities for the Ukrainians that
may lead to the biggest turning points in the history of this war.
••Kherson Oblast:
Fighting in Oleshky. UA wants to maintain as much secrecy here as possible. All videos here come from the Russian side. One video we see a Russian BTR with some troops near some UA positions, but the video stops and we do not see what happened.
Russian Mil Bloggers say 50 UA troops landed over 3 days. There were lots of losses from artillery fires, and the Russians were forced to retreat.
The UA continues to send more troops & supplies, even heavy ammo used. Russian artillery is unable to precisely target UA boats because they are too fast, and the river his narrow.
UA is using jammers so Russians are unable to launch FPV or standard drones. They requested aviation support, but they went unanswered.
Any actions by Russians will cause UA artillery responses. UA troops are hiding mostly under the bridge.
==
Robotyne:
UA moving closer to the important road which goes to Tokmak.
==
Zelensky:
Current operations are the main preparation for the main strike still to come.
Budenov:
Not satisfied with mining the cooling and reactor buildings, 4 out of 6 ZNPP power units are mined with explosives and ready to explode - Budanov
Russia has completed preparations for a terrorist attack at the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant. According to him, nuclear reactors without cooling can melt down in a period of 10 hours to 14 days.
“The situation has never been as serious as it is now,” Kirill Budanov stressed.
https://t.me/pilotblog/5012
See below for consequences of blowing these reactors.
==
Yesterday it was reported that Wagners shot down a Russian Air Force Ilyushin Il-18, but it was actually an Ilyushin Il-22 which is modified with surveillance and command plane for Russian generals - it carries a crew of 10, and usually a one or more generals.
==
Prigozhin began his march when he was denied direct access to Putin. He didn’t want to get rid of Putin. Wagners took over the Rostov airfield and robbed the pilots.
==
Kremlin leaks say shortly Shoigu will resign and his place will be taken by Duman, Putin’s ex-security manager, and currently the governor of the Tula Oblast.
Duman met with Prigozhin yesterday and released a poster with Prigozhin saying “Plans mean silence”. It is said that there is some sort of Prigozhin plan. We’ll see. [ Could it be connected to the plan to blow the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant? ]
==
Ukraine signs agreement to get 45 more Gepard anti-air systems. They are very effective agains any low flying drone or helicopter,
[ Russia is a 14th century feudal empire running a gas station with nukes in the backroom. ]
He addressed world leaders [ yesterday ] with a warning that Russia is preparing to undermine [ destroy ] the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
“Our intelligence received information that Russia is considering a scenario of a terrorist attack at the ZNPP with a release of radiation.
They have prepared everything for this.
Unfortunately, I have repeatedly had occasion to remind that radiation does not know state borders, and who it hits, is determined only by the direction of the wind.
We pass on all available information to our partners, all evidence - Europe, America, China, Brazil, India, Africa, the Arab world - all countries and international organizations should know this.
This time it should not be like with Kakhovskaya [ Nova Kakhovka ]. The world has been warned.”
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan & Prigozhin agrees.
==
[ Think of this disaster as Chernobyl times 6, only worse as the reactor explosions will be deliberate. This is not hyperbole, over reaction or anything of the sort. Why mine something like this if one does not, at some point, plan to detonate the mines?
Maps of the Chernobyl effected Zones:
http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/commonwealth/chornobyl_radiation96.jpg
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/e0/7d/73/e07d7397c6d629c6f1c6a8e294c31085.jpg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster
##•• It bears repeating: if the Russians and Putin go through with this plan, the release will render Ukraine and several surrounding countries uninhabitable, and if the cloud moves over Europe, it too will become uninhabitable. This will be the worst crisis in all of human history, bar the Mt. Toba eruption 74,000 years ago. ••## ]
••Terrorist Strelkov:
“This rebellion showed how easily a 10,000-strong heavily armed army can pass 700 km in one day and find itself on the threshold of Moscow without encountering any resistance” -Girkin summed up the failed military coup
Main:
Russia is absolutely not protected and is on the verge of collapse.
If Shoigu and Gerasimov still manage to keep their posts, then they will no longer have such huge power.
The military leadership was completely absent. Defense of Moscow - 12 bags of sand and an AGS firing point.
There are a lot of claims against Wagner: the armed men went to Moscow, aircraft were shot down and pilots died.
The population is not ready for war.
In the end, the “angry patriot” called on Putin to start acting as the supreme commander in chief or resign.
==
Rivnopil was liberated according to Ukrainian army statement
==
Germany plans to deploy an additional 4,000 troops in Lithuania on a long-term basis.
In addition, NATO will change the status of the air force mission for the protection of the skies of the Baltic countries from police to combat.
Thus, NATO fighters will be able to participate in hostilities and will be integrated into the defense plans of Lithuania.
There are some rumors that Putin has the nuke plan on the table. But those are just rumors…
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan & Prigozhin agrees.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 24, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ Russians Set Record Aircraft Losses Due to Mutiny | Russian Civil War Day 2 ]
••Day 486: Jun 24
The Wagner rebellion continued, and Prigozhin gradually consolidated control over the captured territories.
If yesterday, Wagner forces just crossed the border of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions in multiple places and took control over the military objects in the Rostov region, then today, the Wagner forces reached the doorstep of Moscow.
The rebellion started and developed so rapidly that many people seriously consider whether it is just a big show to distract the Ukrainians from their counteroffensive operation.
However, today the Head of Ukrainian Intelligence, Budanov, confirmed that the internal Russian armed conflict is real and that removing the Russian Ministry of Defense is a matter of survival for Prigozhin.
Today, Prigozhin released a video where he showed the captured headquarters of the Southern Military District.
He effectively took captive the Russian commanders, who were not allowed to leave, and said that he would set everyone free only in exchange for Shoigu and Gerasimov.
In order to increase the leverage, Prigozhin moved further and also captured the airfield and several villages east of the city, and started reinforcing the flanks while moving towards Moscow.
Putin gave a speech to address the situation, and despite the fact that Prigozhin claimed to be acting in the best Putin’s interests, Putin did not support Prigozhin’s actions.
Putin called it a stab in the back that threatened to break Russia just like it happened in 1917, which is why he ordered all special detachments to suppress the rebellion.
He gave the Wagner soldiers the last chance to surrender and said that whoever remains will answer before the nation.
Shortly, Russian forces started using their assault helicopters and fighter jets to bomb Wagner columns.
Prigozhin said that Russian Air Force disregarded the fact that there were more civilian cars than Wagner cars and that the pilots had terrible accuracy because everyone who could shoot was already on the front.
Still, some bombs managed to hit the trucks on the road.
One helicopter also blew up an oil depot in the Voroniezh region, which by that time was also captured by the Wagner forces.
Wagner forces responded reciprocally and started shooting down Russian aviation.
The widely circulated footage confirms that Wagner forces managed to shoot down multiple aerial objects, including 1 assault helicopter Ka-52, 1 multi-purpose helicopter Mi-8, 3 Electric Warfare helicopters, 1 transport helicopter, and 1 aerial command point plane IL-18.
Soon, Russian forces started bombing the occupied military headquarters in Rostov.
Wagner forces responded by reinforcing air defense in the region and asking the civilians to evacuate from the area.
Russian forces also tried to block the roads with trucks to complicate the movement of the Wagner forces, however, Wagners just moved them to the side of the road.
Sometimes, Russian soldiers on the block posts did not welcome Wagner forces warmly, and there were violent confrontations.
In general, Russian forces failed to provide reasonable resistance, and Wagner forces developed a presence not only in the Rostov and Voronezh regions but also Kursk, Oriol, Lipetsk, Tambov, and Tula regions, reaching the doorstep of the Moscow region.
Here the situation became more complicated as the Russians blocked all bridges.
Simultaneously, the Chechen units entered the Rostov region to strike Wagner’s flanks.
The conflict was about to escalate, and after putting all cards on the table, the parties decided to try to negotiate.
The President of Belarus, Lukashenko, volunteered to mediate the negotiation, in part because he has been a close friend of both Putin and Prigozhin for more than 20 years.
Suddenly, Prigozhin announced that he was withdrawing.
Russian officials stated that the charges on Prigozhin and participating Wagner soldiers were dropped.
It looks like the Russian Ministry of Defense evaluated the situation and understood that they had no chance and fulfilled all of Prigozhin’s demands, more precisely, the removal of Shoigu and Gerasimov.
Even though Russian officials stated that no changed to the structure of the Ministry of Defense were discussed during the negotiation process, no one in the media space believes that.
It is expected that in order to avoid the escalation, Putin will remove the highest officials in the Russian Ministry of Defense over the course of around 2 months.
Even though the turmoil inside the Russian Ministry of Defense is not explicit, it is happening, and the chaos inside the Russian War Machine creates very favorable conditions for the Ukrainians.
Prigozhin managed to succeed in this endeavor primarily because it was unexpected.
••Russian poll on Prigozhin results:
157.8K [ Clown ] | 51.2K [ Thumbs Down ] | 45.8K [ Heart ] | 21.2K [ Thumbs Up ] | 7.1K [ Fire ] | 5.5K [ Poo Pile ] | 3.6K [ Grey Face Left ] | 2K [ Exploded Head ] |1K [ Burning Heart ] | 533 [ Goofy Face ] | 519 [ Smily Face with 3 small Hearts ]
Reflects great disappointment with Prigozhin. And no one will support him militarily in the future.
Shows image of Lukashenko holding baby Putin. Putin and Russian Government are weak. Shows that 300 armored vehicles and 4,000 men are enough to take power in Russia.
Another reason that Prigozhin may have stopped his march to Moscow is no Russian oligarch openly supported him. [ Perhaps this was a sign that there would be no more money to continue to support Prigozhin and pay the troops after July? ]
==
When the FSB raided the Wagner Center in St. Petersburg, they found passports with Prigozhin’s image but a different name, and some with his name but a different image. So is Prigozhin really Prigozhin?
==
Russian online shops reopened selling merchandise with the Wagner logo on them - [ hurry & get yours while supplies last! ]
==
The Kadyrov troops reported to be stuck in traffic outside of Rostov on Don were actually just parked on their road. No one knows where they went, if anywhere.
==
Southern Front Line:
Novodanylivka Region: the UA continues to advance, getting closer to Robotyne.
Velyka Novosilka: UA advanced on the northern side and on the western side toward Pryiutne
Kherson Region:
UA forces landed somewhere near Oleshky. The Armed Forces of Ukraine successfully crossed the Dnieper in the area of the Antonovsky Bridge, there is a battle going on - Z-channels. Not yet confirmed.
==
Shoigu, Gerasimov together with Putin are stupid crazy fools who may do something even more stupid that just destroying the Nova Kakhovka Dam. See Below.
As for military gains by Russia - these days are past, especially with the disbanding of the Wagners, which forces will no longer fight in Ukraine.
He addressed world leaders [ yesterday ] with a warning that Russia is preparing to undermine [ destroy ] the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
“Our intelligence received information that Russia is considering a scenario of a terrorist attack at the ZNPP with a release of radiation.
They have prepared everything for this.
Unfortunately, I have repeatedly had occasion to remind that radiation does not know state borders, and who it hits, is determined only by the direction of the wind.
We pass on all available information to our partners, all evidence - Europe, America, China, Brazil, India, Africa, the Arab world - all countries and international organizations should know this.
This time it should not be like with Kakhovskaya [ Nova Kakhovka ]. The world has been warned.”
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan & Prigozhin agrees.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 23, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
==
——> Next Generation Air Dominance Fighter Program Involves Three Demonstrators: Report <——
New revelations about the secretive NGAD program indicate two companies are in the final running to build the Air Force’s next combat jet.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/next-generation-air-dominance-fighter-program-involves-three-demonstrators-report
[ Russians Kill Each Other in a Sudden Violent Coup | Russia Breaks in Half ]
••Day 485: Jun 23
Today there was an insane sequence of events that ended up with the Head of the biggest Russians private military company, the Wagner Group, Prigozhin, starting a coup on the territory of the Russian Federation and declaring that his goal is to remove the Russian Defense Minister, Shoigu, and the Chief of the General Staff, Gerasimov, and that anyone who stands in his way will be destroyed.
The day started with the release of an exclusive interview with Prigozhin, where he raised the most uncomfortable questions, exposed the biggest lies told by the highest Russian officials, and revealed the terrifying reality of the war.
In particular, he exposed the fact that the main reason why Russia started the war is that, firstly, the Russian Defense Minister, Shoigu, wanted to go down in history as a Marshal and a two-times Hero of the Russian Federation, and secondly, because the Russian elite wanted to usurp Ukrainian assets.
He exposed that this elite has been preparing Putin’s relative Medvedchuk to become the new Ukrainian president who would allow the Russian elite to raid Ukrainian businesses.
He exposed that due to the mind-boggling corruption, the Russian army was completely unprepared for large-scale offensive actions.
He exposed that they knew that the so-called special military operation was a complete catastrophe in the first 3 days because the only capable Russian forces were sent on suicide missions in Kyiv, where they died in thousands.
Finally, he said that Shoigu and Gerasimov must be prosecuted for the created genocide, which is why he filed an action against them in the Investigation Committee.
4 hours later, Prigozhin published a video showing that Wagner forces’ camps in the deep rear suffered a terrible strike.
He claimed that Shoigu, who recently visited the Rostov region, did so in order to personally command the special operation to destroy Wagner forces.
He claimed that their camps were hit with rockets and artillery, and then raided by assault helicopters.
Prigozhin said that he was gathering all his forces and heading toward Moscow to wipe out the Russian Ministry of Defense.
In response, the Russian Ministry of Defense effectively launched a criminal investigation for instigation of a coup, threatening Prigozhin with up to 20 years in prison; they effectively seized Wagner’s centers in Saint Petersburg; and forbade all media channels to even mention Prigozhin’s claims and declarations.
Prigozhin did not back down, there was a hacker attack on Russian channels, which started translating Prigozhin’s announcement that he was heading to Moscow.
The Russian Ministry realized that this was getting serious, shut down the internet in some regions, set ready all their special forces, such as Rosgvardia, Grom, and SOBR, closed the border with the Luhansk and Donetsk regions, closed the highways, enacted the Fortress Plan, and started building fortifications on the roads to meet and destroy the Wagner forces.
The streets in the Russian cities were gradually filled with heavy equipment for direct and heavy confrontations.
As a last desperate move, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a series of appeals to the Wagner soldiers: at first, the videos featured many different regular Russian formations along the whole front line who asked Wagner to return to the front.
Then they used Prigozhin’s friend - general Surovikin - to ask Prigozhin to stop, and finally, they even asked the Deputy Chief of the General Staff, Alekseev, who helped Prigozhin to establish his private military company, to stop before it is too late.
Prigozhin claimed that despite the Ministry’s orders, they passed the border and initial block posts with no hurdles because the oppressed Russian soldiers were reportedly happy that someone was finally going to push back.
He asked others to do the same because whoever stood in their way would be destroyed.
Next, the Russian Ministry of Defense ordered to conduct an airstrike on the Wagner’s convoys, which had already entered the Rostov region, and Prigozhin claimed that they shot down several helicopters.
Later, videos emerged of direct confrontation between the regular Russian detachments and Wagner forces.
Eventually, the Wagner forces prevailed and continued their movement.
Locals continued releasing footage of Wagner columns passing through the region, where Wagner forces were moving all types of weapons: from machine guns, drone launchers, and mortar systems to tanks and artillery.
Soon, this equipment was used to seize their first target - the headquarters of the Southern Military District, which commands 70 thousand soldiers.
Wagner forces surrounded the building with tanks and blocked the movement.
Later they also seized police stations, Federal Security Services, and regional administration, effectively ceasing control over the whole Rostov region.
Right now, the Wagner forces have just entered the Voroniezh region.
Locals are posting videos with audible gunfire. In the meantime, the Russian Ministry of Defense is reinforcing Moscow.
••Putin continues to live in a parallel reality where he thinks he can handle this [ problem against ] at least 25K troops.
Prigozhin spoke with the generals at the Rostov-on- Don Russian HQ, and told them he would not interfere with their military duties.
PMC captured, according to some sources, all the military facilities around Voronezh. Next steps are likely Lipetsk and Tula, then to Moscow.
Prigozhin has a good chance to take power in Russia, but for how long is an open question.
Now that Putin has given the order to resist, there will likely be more fighting. Most of the Russian army is in Ukraine, leaving Putin no military to back up his resistance order. As for the PMC, they can only go forward - there is no way back for them.
Prigozhin can get rid of everyone including Putin or he can lose his life. Because Putin does not want to negotiate with Prigozhin, the Civil War has officially started.
At the moment of this video, PMC has destroyed 3 helicopters.
One of the PMC tanks got stuck in some concrete gates in Rostov City.
On the road to Moscow, the Russian army used civilian traffic as shields to create a huge traffic jam.
Russian regular army troops, 180, have begun to surrender to the PMC. “Among those who retreated were the security forces. They refused to interfere with the action of the PMC Wagner and laid down their arms,” Prigozhin said.
Prigozhin decided to act now because he only has finances for a few days.
The Russian Storm Battalion will join the PMC.
The chances of taking Moscow are quite high, depending on the political backing of mayors and governors of the cities and regions.
If Prigozhin gains control of Moscow, Chechnya and the North Caucasus regions will start to collapse, and Kadyrov will try to create his own Republic. Other Russian States may follow suit. A very awesome scenario for Ukraine.
Meanwhile, the UA is not moving forward on the front, according to DeepState map.
He addressed world leaders [ yesterday ] with a warning that Russia is preparing to undermine [ destroy ] the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
“Our intelligence received information that Russia is considering a scenario of a terrorist attack at the ZNPP with a release of radiation.
They have prepared everything for this.
Unfortunately, I have repeatedly had occasion to remind that radiation does not know state borders, and who it hits, is determined only by the direction of the wind.
We pass on all available information to our partners, all evidence - Europe, America, China, Brazil, India, Africa, the Arab world - all countries and international organizations should know this.
This time it should not be like with Kakhovskaya [ Nova Kakhovka ]. The world has been warned.”
==
[ Think of this disaster as Chernobyl times 6, only worse as the reactor explosions will be deliberate. This is not hyperbole, over reaction or anything of the sort. Why mine something like this if one does not, at some point, plan to detonate the mines?
Maps of the Chernobyl effected Zones:
http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/commonwealth/chornobyl_radiation96.jpg
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/e0/7d/73/e07d7397c6d629c6f1c6a8e294c31085.jpg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster
##•• It bears repeating: if the Russians and Putin go through with this plan, the release will render Ukraine and several surrounding countries uninhabitable, and if the cloud moves over Europe, it too will become uninhabitable. This will be the worst crisis in all of human history, bar the Mt. Toba eruption 74,000 years ago. ••## ]
••Urgent statement of the RF Ministry of Defense
We appeal to the fighters of the Wagner PMC assault squads.
You were tricked into Prigozhin’s criminal adventure and participation in an armed rebellion.
Many of your comrades from several squads have already realized their mistake by asking for help in ensuring the ability to safely return to their permanent deployment points.
Such assistance from our side has already been provided to all the fighters and commanders who applied.
Please be prudent and get in touch with representatives of the Russian Ministry of Defense or law enforcement agencies as soon as possible.
We guarantee everyone’s safety.
==
Rostov fast food restaurant with heavily armed Wagnerites standing in line with civilians.
Russian armed forces received the necessary order to neutralize those who organized the armed rebellion - Putin.
Putin called the heroes of the Wagner fighters fighting in the Northern Military District, their name and glory were betrayed by those who organized the rebellion.
==
Reportedly the Russian front-line aviation is ready to work along sections of the M4 highway in order to prevent the further advancement of Wagner PMC - Russian media.
==
1700 units of Wagner’s equipment arrived to the Russian Federation from Ukraine.
==
A convoy of Wagnerites is going to the airfield in the Rostov region. They are armed with the Pantsir air defense system. It seems that with its help, the helicopter was knocked down.
==
Dozens of military men landed near the bridge over the Oka River near Serpukhov. The highway M2 “Crimea” towards Moscow is now blocked there.
==
We will destroy everything around, we are all ready to die - all 25 thousand, and then another 25 thousand, since the Russian people must be liberated,” Prigozhin.
==
“Prigozhin lied about the “shell shortage” and prepared for a civil war for 2 months, accumulating ammunition” - Gulag.net
==
The first skirmish between the Wagner and units of the Russian Guard has just taken place on the Rostov-Moscow highway, - RosSMI.
The National Guard fled, leaving their weapons and several armored personnel carriers, and the Wagnerist column continued to move towards Moscow.
==
Telegram servers are overloaded due to the mass login of users monitoring the situation
There may be problems and delays when sending / receiving messages.
==
Prigozhin: “The president was deeply mistaken about the betrayal of the motherland. We are patriots of our motherland. We fought and are fighting - all the fighters of the Wagner PMC. And no one is going to come to confession at the request of the president, the FSB or anyone else. We are not we want the country to live on in corruption, deceit and bureaucracy.
When we were told that we were at war with Ukraine, we went and fought. But it turned out that ammunition, weapons, all the money that is put on them, are stolen, and bureaucrats save them for themselves just for the case that came today, when someone goes to Moscow.
We are patriots, and those who oppose us today are those who have gathered around the scum.”
==
Seems like the Russian army hit the oil depots to cut supplies for the Wagner army. Oil storage in Voronezh goes up in black smoke.
==
The Russian army plans to blow up the bridges if the Wagner advances to prevent them from entering Moscow
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 22, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
Excerpts:
Recent long-range attacks made by Ukraine - like the one today on the Chongar Bridge in Crimea - have spurred speculation as to what weapons are being employed.
One of those that has been promised but has still not been confirmed as operational is the U.S.-donated Ground Launched Small Diameter Bomb (GLSDB), although there certainly has been rumors and claims about its use.
But a top Pentagon official on Thursday testified before Congress that those weapons won’t come online until this Fall. She also said while controversial cluster munitions would “be useful” to Ukraine, the U.S. has no immediate plans to provide them for a host of reasons.
The issue of GLSDBs, a fairly recent adaptation of the GBU-39/B Small Diameter Bombs (SDBs) first promised to Ukraine in February, was brought up by Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Russia, Ukraine, and Eurasia U.S. Department of Defense Laura Cooper Thursday. She was testifying before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Europe.
Cooper was responding to a question by Committee Chairman Tom Kean (R-NJ) about why the U.S. has yet to provide Ukraine - having a tough go in its counteroffensive - with Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) short-range ballistic missiles.
Those weapons can destroy fortified targets about 200 miles away and have been repeatedly requested by Ukraine and its supporters in Congress.
Cooper said her concerns related to “the practical aspects of availability” of the weapons.
Cooper has previously noted that when providing weapons to Ukraine, U.S. stocks are taken into consideration.
There are a limited number of ATACMS - Lockheed Martin has produced about 4,000 ATACMS in various configurations over the past two decades, according to Politico.
Some have been sold to allied nations, which bought the missile for their own multiple rocket launcher systems, while about 600 were fired by U.S. forces in combat.
Some of these may have been retired from service or fired in training and testing, as well.
ATACMS is seen a critical weapon that would be needed in a peer conflict and until its successor arrives in large numbers, the existing inventory is viewed as strategically important to maintain.
“Our military analysts have confirmed that DPICMs [ Aka, Steel Rain ] would be useful especially against dug-in Russian positions on the battlefield,” Cooper testified.
“The reason why you have not seen a move forward in providing this capability relates both to the existing congressional restrictions on the provision of DPICMs and concerns about allied unity. But from a battlefield effectiveness perspective, we do believe that would be useful.”
DPICM shells, each of which disperses 88 submunitions when fired, had been in use with the U.S. military since the 1970s and can be equipped with shaped or fragmentation charges, which are ideal for anti-armor and anti-personnel operations respectively.
Image of system and how it deploys, 22.5km range:
https://www.thedrive.com/uploads/2023/06/23/DPICMSchartj.jpeg?auto=webp&optimize=high&quality=70&width=3840
Video commentary of its use in Iraq:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IroOVamQZHQ
Committee Chairman Tom Kean (R-NJ), the committee chairman, suggested that because Ukraine is seeking to use these weapons on its own soil, that mitigates concerns about the long-term effects.
“The Ukrainians believe that the battlefield benefits outweigh the costs,” said Kean. “And since these would be used on Ukraine’s own territory, Kyiv would be incentivized to judicially limit the post-war threat to civilians.”
==
——> Ukraine Strikes Key Bridge To Crimea, Hints At More Long-Range Attacks <——
A major span linking occupied Crimea and Kherson Oblast was hit by what Russians say was a Ukrainian cruise missile attack Thursday.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-strikes-key-bridge-to-crimea-hints-at-more-long-range-attacks
[ Crimean Bridges Destroyed | Russian Collapse Countdown Begun ]
••Day 484: Jun 22
Today there was a series of powerful missile strikes on the Crimean bridges.
Recently released footage shows that the first target of the missile strike became the highway bridge near Chonhar.
Judging by the shape of the missile, it was highly likely a Storm Shadow missile.
When it comes to the destruction, as we can see, each missile made a huge hole in the bridge floor and rendered at least 1 lane inoperable.
In total, the first Chonhar Highway Bridge was hit by 2 missiles, while the second Chonhar Highway Bridge was hit by 1 missile.
Some sources speculated that the destructions are not characteristic of Storm Shadow.
However, judging by the remnant found on the ground, it was definitely a product of the leading French firm Matra BAE Dynamics Alenia, which produces long-range precision missiles, including Storm Shadows.
This explains why the rocket managed to cross the whole Kherson region without being shot down.
Some sources published footage of the Russian air defense work that operated right near the Chonhar Bridge.
The video shows how a Russian air defense system, Pantsir S1, is trying to intercept the Ukrainian cruise missile.
It looks like the system identified the rocket too late, and it hit the target before the Pantsir rocket managed to achieve its task.
The Russian Ministry of Defense reported that Russian forces shot down 5 Storm Shadow missiles and 2 HIMARS missiles, although it was not mentioned how many rockets reached their destinations and what where the targets.
And as it turned out today, Ukrainians have conducted a series of strikes, not just one.
Local residents reported that they saw direct hits not only on the Chonhar Highway Bridge, but also Syvash Railway Bridge.
Later, Russian reporters confirmed that the railway bridge also suffered a strike.
Crimean occupation authorities announced that Russian experts are evaluation the damage and will temporarily close the bridges.
Occupation authorities’ representatives immediately filmed a segment on the bridge claiming that the damage is insignificant, the bridge would be repaired in a couple of days, and that such strikes have little effect on the course of the war.
Ironically, Russian officials used precisely the same words and phrases to describe the situation when Ukrainians started hitting the Antonivskyy Bridge ahead of the Kherson counteroffensive operation.
The problems with logistics have already started to set in.
People already posted a lot of videos showing massive traffic jams and the disarray in Russian logistics.
Chonhar bridges were extremely important for the stability of the Russian supply lines because they had direct highway and railway connections to the hottest part of the front line.
Some Russian analysts claimed that Russians can easily create multiple pontoon bridges, and it will solve all the problems.
However, when it comes to transferring heavy equipment in large numbers, especially via the railways, pontoon bridges are simply not a viable solution.
Right now, Russians have to start making massive adjustments and rely on the last remaining connection between Crimea and the mainland.
Such monumental changes not only dramatically increase the supplied shoulder but also put substantial pressure on this line, which inevitably leads to bottlenecks and inflexibility.
The spokesman for the Ukrainian Main Intelligence Directorate stated that the actions that are currently taking place will continue, which basically means that Ukrainians are entering the next phase of the counteroffensive operation, where the main goal is to take out the Russian logistics.
Russian analysts are already raising the alarm about the fact that Ukrainians are setting Russian forces for a complete failure.
They claimed that Ukrainians chose the Chonhar bridges first because it forced Russians to use longer routes and more distant bridges.
Once Russians adjust, Ukrainians can take out the next bridges, increasing logistical issues exponentially and possibly topping it all off with the destruction of the Kerch Bridge, which will serve as the last straw, after which Russian will face a complete logistical collapse in all regions simultaneously.
••Chonhar bridge:
Russian sources said that Russia use this bridge [ road & railroad were both hit ] to supply 70% of all weaponry for Zaporizhia & Kherson. The bridge closure creates a 130km detour for supplies to the Zaporizhia region.
==
UA advanced to the old border between the DPR and Ukrainian controlled territory near Krasnohorivika.
==
Pentagon approves use of cluster munitions in Ukraine. Useful against trenches and defense lines. They have not been legally approved yet because of Congressional restrictions and concerns from Allies. Goes to the Senate and then to the WH for approval.
==
Should Russia use nukes in Ukraine, the West will respond by finding a way to get rid of the person responsible with prejudice.
He addressed world leaders [ yesterday ] with a warning that Russia is preparing to undermine [ destroy ] the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
“Our intelligence received information that Russia is considering a scenario of a terrorist attack at the ZNPP with a release of radiation.
They have prepared everything for this.
Unfortunately, I have repeatedly had occasion to remind that radiation does not know state borders, and who it hits, is determined only by the direction of the wind.
We pass on all available information to our partners, all evidence - Europe, America, China, Brazil, India, Africa, the Arab world - all countries and international organizations should know this.
This time it should not be like with Kakhovskaya [ Nova Kakhovka ]. The world has been warned.”
==
[ Think of this disaster as Chernobyl times 6, only worse as the reactor explosions will be deliberate. This is not hyperbole, over reaction or anything of the sort. Why mine something like this if one does not, at some point, plan to detonate the mines?
Maps of the Chernobyl effected Zones:
http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/commonwealth/chornobyl_radiation96.jpg
https://i.pinimg.com/originals/e0/7d/73/e07d7397c6d629c6f1c6a8e294c31085.jpg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernobyl_disaster
##•• It bears repeating: if the Russians and Putin go through with this plan, the release will render Ukraine and several surrounding countries uninhabitable, and if the cloud moves over Europe, it too will become uninhabitable. This will be the worst crisis in all of human history, bar the Mt. Toba eruption 74,000 years ago. ••## ]
••The IAEA denied Budanov’s words about the mining of the ZNPP cooling pond.
But they noted that the station was indeed mined around the perimeter and in some places inside, “which, as the station’s security officials explained, were intended for defensive purposes.” At the same time, Grossi the head of the IAEA, said that “the main safety functions of the nuclear power plant are not violated”
Grossi also says that ZNPP plans to resume pumping water, which is still available in the pond and does not yet require the use of a cooling pond.
==
Armed Forces of Ukraine have partial success in the Novodanilovka-Robotino and Malaya Tokmachka directions
The offensive in the Melitopol and Berdyansk directions continues, the defense forces are consolidating themselves at the achieved lines - Andrey Kovalev, Speaker of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
On Kupyansky and Limansky directions, the Ukrainian military stopped the offensive of the Russians.
==
The head of “Wagner” PMC Prigozhin:
“The Ministry of Defense is deceiving the public and telling the story that there was aggression on the part of Ukraine for 8 years, and they were going to attack us together with all of NATO. Ukraine did not attack the civilian population, only the positions of the Russian army”
No one killed 60 leopards, this is complete total nonsense, now the Russian army is retreating in the Zaporizhia, Kherson directions - Prigozhin.
“The Armed Forces of Ukraine are pushing through the Russian army, we are washing ourselves with blood, no one gives reserves, there is no control.”
He is clearly the main fan of our victory.
It is very important to understand that he is our enemy and he just tells what is profitable for him in his conflict with Shoigu.
But it is interesting to watch.
Zelensky, when he became president, was ready for agreements. All that had to be done was to get down from Mount Olympus, go and negotiate with him,
“What was the war for? The war was needed for Shoigu to receive a ‘hero star’. The oligarchic clan that rules Russia needed the war. The war was needed to install Medvedchuk as president of Ukraine.”
==
By the way this is the founder of Wagner. His surname is Utkin. He was in the special forces and fought in Chechnya since that time he is an open Nazi. His nickname (call sign) is Wagner.
Now you understand why Kadyrov army and Wagner hate each other.
==
The Russian army plans to blow up the bridges if the Wagner advances to prevent them from entering Moscow
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 21, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
==
——> Ukrainian T-72 Tank That Ran Over MRAP Seen In New Ground-Level Video <——
Exactly why the T-72 ended up on top of the MaxxPro MRAP remains a bit of a mystery.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukrainian-t-72-tank-that-ran-over-mrap-seen-in-new-ground-level-video
==
——> Romania Could Host F-16 Training For Ukraine <——
Romania is being eyed as the epicenter of a multinational effort to train Ukraine to operate F-16s, and contractors could play a major part.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/romania-could-host-f-16-training-for-ukraine
==
Reporting from Ukraine:
Narrated by Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Valery Zaluzhny.
Translated into 18+ languages.
Note: other versions of this report are found elsewhere on FR, but this is guaranteed to be the complete transcript - unlike the others.
[ Russians Were Not Prepared For This Attack | New Plan ]
••Day 483: Jun 21
Today there are a lot of interesting developments on the southern front.
First of all, Ukrainian sources reported that Russian forces tried to use a new tactic in order to recapture Piatykhatky.
After Ukrainians completely demolished Russian columns that tried to attack Piatykhatky along the main road, Russians started moving along the field roads south of Zherebianky in order to escape direct Ukrainian fire.
Unfortunately for Russians, some assault units blew themselves up on their own mines.
Even though Ukrainian fighters reported that Russians did not take significant casualties from mines, they noted that this had a huge impact on the morale and determination of the Russian soldiers.
In fear of mines, other units started being extremely careful and, therefore, slow.
So, when they faced Ukrainian fire, many Russian units knew that if they continued being slow and careful, Ukrainians would highly likely destroy them with mortars, which is why many of them promptly retreated in the first minutes of engagement.
Ukrainian fighters remarked that only convict detachments did not stop and continued to push because otherwise, certain Chechen units who reportedly act as blocking forces would kill them for desertion.
In the meantime, Ukrainian forces are successfully expanding their bridgehead westward.
If yesterday, I told you that Ukrainians started moving along the gully to attack Russian positions from the north, then today, several sources confirmed that Ukrainians completely captured this area.
The whole Russian defense in the region relies on a trench network located between Zherebianky and the forest.
Ukrainians were already spotted moving along the tree lines to attack these fortifications, so Ukrainians are around 700 meters away from the settlement, not only from the east but also from the north.
Moreover, some prominent Russian sources started mentioning that logistical problems appear not only on the Luhove-Zherebianky section of the road but also Lisne-Luhove.
Some sources also reported engagements between Ukrainian and Russian troops approximately 1.2 km away from Luhove.
This suggests that Ukrainians cleared the tree line west of the gully, which immediately exposed a plethora of Russian positions, and, most importantly, logistics - by controlling the fields right above these two settlements, supplying Russian troops on the zero line becomes an incredibly difficult task, which gradually weakens their defense.
In fact, Russian authorities just openly demonstrated that they are not confident about the stability of this front line by launching an evacuation of the regional administration in Vasylivka, which is 10 km away from Zherebianky.
Several days ago, the occupation authorities closed all governmental facilities, stopped giving passports and other papers, and moved to Vesele, which is 55 km south of Vasylivka.
Another reason why Russians are afraid that their defense may collapse in this region is that the reservoir has almost completely dried up.
As you can see, one of the driest regions is exactly around Vasylivka.
20 km of water have slowly turned into a desert, which Ukrainians may be able to cross and launch a powerful mechanized assault right in the least fortified part of the contact line.
Some analysts have already started building projections as to which settlement along the new front line is the most probable target.
Ukrainian High Command is already considering new possibilities.
While overseeing the ongoing battles along the current main axes of advance, where Russians have created an extensive system of fortifications with dense mine fields and large reserves, Ukrainian Commanders are also reevaluation the situation and looking for new weak spots or even out-of-the-box opportunities.
••Prigozhin said the situation is getting worse foe the Russian Army. And they have taken Urozhanie on the approach to Staromaiorske bypassing a Russian defense line. Also claims a group of UA soldiers is somewhere in the area of Tokmak - hard to believe, if true.
DeepState map updates are delayed at least 2 days.
Prigozhin said Pyatikhatki under the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Robotino, the northern part - under the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Harvest - under the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Near to Tokmak - the Armed Forces of Ukraine, no weapons, no ammunition, the soldiers even need grenades, they write letters to the command.
The information is being shut up, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are going to the Molochne Lyman lake, if possible, they will return most of the territories occupied by the Russian Federation.
The crossing of the Dnieper begins, in Hola Pristan there is already a DRG, soon regular troops.
All this is hidden from military correspondents. “There is a direct betrayal of the Russian Federation,” and all this is happening against the backdrop of losses, with a shortage of personnel of 50-60%.
All that the leadership of the NWO is doing is juggling the facts for the transfer to the leadership of the Kremlin. They are deceiving Putin and the Russian people.
At yesterday’s collegium of the Ministry of Defense, an exhibition was discussed, which was organized by Shoigu’s relatives and the parade.
In general, everything is going according to “plan”.
==
Putin:
But, Putin gets only the information that is upbeat from his generals. Putin says the UA has lost more than 200 tanks and 800 armored vehicles since the offensive began; that the loss is 50 tanks per day. Obvious nonsense, which even the Russian military bloggers understand to be complete nonsense [ FR trolls excepted ].
This nonsense from Putin raises the question of who exactly is running the Russian army. Not Putin, not Shoigu who is completely unprepared to run anything, let alone an army at war.
It could be that as the offensive goes on, Prigozhin will be the only one capable of mounting a force to hold the Russian lines.
But where will he go? To Ukraine? To Moscow? His main ambition is power, and eliminating all internal conflicts, form Putin, Shoigu, Kadyrov, & the FSB.
==
In there last 10 days, Russia has lost at least 6 KA-52s. Now they are using MiG-24 helicopters instead. It caries the same types of armament, but its aiming instruments are nothing compared to 52s.
==
Zelenski:
Advance of Ukrainian forces is not easy as 200,000 km² of Ukrainian territory is mined by Russian troops - Volodymyr Zelenskyy for Air Force
“Whatever some people want, including attempts to pressure us, with all due respect, we will advance on the battlefield as we see fit,” the president stressed.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy also noted that the counteroffensive is slower than we would like.
“Some people think this is a Hollywood movie and are waiting for the results now. This is wrong. People’s lives are at stake.
No matter how far we advance in the counteroffensive, we will not go for a frozen conflict, because this is a war, this is a hopeless development for Ukraine,” the president said.
As for the use of nuclear weapons by the Russian Federation, Vladimir Zelensky does not believe in such a prospect.
Zelensky addressed world leaders with a warning that Russia is preparing to undermine the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
“Our intelligence received information that Russia is considering a scenario of a terrorist attack at the ZNPP with a release of radiation.
They have prepared everything for this.
Unfortunately, I have repeatedly had occasion to remind that radiation does not know state borders, and who it hits is determined only by the direction of the wind.
We pass on all available information to our partners, all evidence - Europe, America, China, Brazil, India, Africa, the Arab world - all countries and international organizations should know this.
This time it should not be like with Kakhovskaya. The world has been warned.”
[ ##•• It bears repeating: if the Russians and Putin go through with this plan, the release will render Ukraine and several surrounding countries uninhabitable, and if the cloud moves over Europe, it too will become uninhabitable. This will be the worst crisis in all of human history, bar the Mt. Toba eruption 74,000 years ago. ••## ]
==
Budanov said he does not expect Russia to use tactical nukes on Ukraine. But. There is a risk from the mined reactors.
==
Onyx:
Reports that Russia on the defense loses more vehicles than Ukraine on attack. Usually, the attacker loses 3X more than the defender.
Only 1 Leopard 2A4 & 1 Leopard 2A6 have been destroyed - the rest have been recovered and are in for repairs.
The Russians lost 60 vehicles and Ukraine lost 40.
==
New F-16 hub for training could be opened Romania - very convenient.
==
US House Resolution 488 passed and calls for the US to send M140 ATACMs to Ukraine.
==
European sanction cuts off supplies from the northern Druzhbah pipeline from Moscow to Belarus and to Germany. The southern line was cut by unfortunate smoking incidents causing explosions. So no more Russian oil to Europe.
==
Latvia will send it all of its MiG-8s and MiG-24s helicopters to Ukraine
••The efficiency of British cruise missiles “Storm Shadow” reaches 100 percent. “Of the total number of Storm Shadow launches that took place, all were 100% hits on the targets specified by the General Staff. 100 per 100, absolutely effective” - said the Minister of Defense of Ukraine.
==
The bridge that goes to Crimea in “Chongar” was attacked… Ukrainian army continue to cut supplies for Ruzzia. There are couple of bridges. Situation as with Kherson city repeats….
==
MiG-24 helicopter of the Russian Aerospace Forces crashed in Belarus. The helicopter crashed in the area of the M1 highway between Ivatsevichi and Baranovichi. Crew members were injured, the Ministry of Defense of the Republic of Belarus reported. The reasons for the crash are being investigated.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan. Part 1: Blow the Nova Kakhovka dam. DONE. Part 2: Blow the Zaporizhia reactor complex. Pending.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 20, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
==
——> Ukrainian MiG-29 Fighter Appears With Mystery Weapon Pylons <——
An official photo from the Ukrainian Air Force shows a MiG-29 fitted with an apparently previously unseen set of unusual weapon pylons.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukrainian-mig-29-fighter-appears-with-mystery-weapon-pylons
[ Russians Try Counterattack. Fail Miserably & Get Demolished ]
••Day 482: Jun 20
Today there are a lot of updates from the south.
First of all, in order to dispel all doubts about the decisiveness of the victory attained in the battle for Piatykhatry, Ukrainian fighters released a lot of combat footage.
The videos show intense shelling and destruction of Russian positions as a part of the preparation for the assault.
Interestingly, this artillery preparation took place right between Piatykhatly and Zherebianky, exactly where one of the attacks was delivered.
This attack allowed Ukrainians to achieve 2 crucial tasks: cut off Russian forces from support and set conditions for the encirclement.
Next, Ukrainians showed how they used UR-77 de-mining systems on the approaches to the settlement.
Judging by the footage, Ukrainians did not use it to clear the way from mines but rather eliminate Russian positions in a tree line in front of the Ukrainian positions in the forest.
After clearing the surroundings and opening the gate for the attack on the settlement, Ukrainians identified the areas where Russians started creating the biggest resistance points and used their artillery to suppress Russian fire and undermine Russian defenses, which finally allowed Ukrainians to enter the western part of the village.
The footage shows that Russians rolled out their tanks in the center of the settlement and started demolishing the houses that Ukrainians used as cover.
The next fragments show how Russian forces started withdrawing their heavy equipment because of the dwindling prospects of a successful defense.
However, as mentioned at the beginning, the first axis of the Ukrainian attack became the road that connects the 2 villages, so the column was ambushed by the Ukrainian ATGM crews and destroyed.
Ukrainian drone operators also released plenty of videos, which suggest that many Russian infantry fighting vehicles and personnel carriers were destroyed by kamikaze drones.
Such a rapid change in conditions allowed Ukrainians to pull their tanks closer to the village, as the footage shows Ukrainian tanks operating in the western part of Piatykhatky.
Soon after that, Ukrainians took into a pocket the Storm Ossetia Battalion and completely liberated the settlement.
Nonetheless, today in the morning, Russian forces once again tried to launch a powerful mechanized assault and recapture Piatykhatky. Unfortunately for Russians, Ukrainians established extensive fire control over the main Russian roads and spotted the Russian column already on the approach.
Geolocated footage shows that Russian tanks and armored fighting vehicles entered the trap, faced destructive artillery fire already in Zherebianky, and the furthest Russian vehicles got before being destroyed was around 50 meters out of the settlement.
Ukrainian fighters reported that after losing almost all equipment, Russian units on the zero line had to continue storming with pure infantry, which did not work very well in this particular scenario.
In the meantime, Ukrainians continued moving forward. Today it was confirmed that Ukrainian forces conducted successful offensive actions in the vicinity of the first northern gully.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see that this area is very convenient for advancing because such a narrow gully allows to avoid crossfire.
Given that Ukrainians already controlled Lobkove, such actions allowed them to fully secure the hill, from which Ukrainians could start assaulting Russian positions in the tree lines.
Today many Russian sources reported that Ukrainians established fire control over the road that connects Zherebianky to Luhuve, meaning Ukrainians likely achieved significant success and got closer to Zherebianky from the north.
As you might have noticed, Ukrainians are using basically the same approach here as with Piatykhatky because Ukrainians are once again putting their main emphasis on cutting off supply and support of the Russian group, isolating individual Russian positions, and setting conditions for an encirclement.
Even though it is hard to encircle Russian forces physically, Russian forces still have no escape: the road to the west is under total fire control, the fields to the south are mined, and Ukrainians are advancing from the north and east.
••On the eastern front, in the Torske and Dibrova directions, the Russian attacks were demolished by mine fields and artillery.
==
UA Intelligence warned that when the Russians mined the dam a year ago, the risk of them blowing it was very high. Now the same source is warming that the morning of the cooling systems of the reactor presents the same high risk.
If the Russia deliberately blow the cooling systems the 6 reactors will melt down and blow up - the biggest technological disaster possible that the human race has ever faced.
Most of Ukraine will be uninhabitable, plus all of Moldova, portions of Romania, Turkey, southern Russia and Suni, Kursk, and Belgorod regions, northward to Belarus.
Radiation clouds could reach Europe, Africa, and even most of Russia itself. [ The Russian do not fear radioactivity as the West does: Empire of Calamity - Making Plutonium in Stalin’s Russia - https://www.ucis.pitt.edu/nceeer/2011_825-07_Brown.pdf ]
Nothing is being done to stop the Russians from blowing the reactors - it’s a mined military based for them. [ And perhaps, Putin’s Ace-in The-Hole to take Ukraine on his terms; further the blowing of the dam was the first step in his Plan. ]
All of Europe could be abandoned, sending refugees to the US, South America, Australia etc. And cause a wider war. [ I’m beginning to think Putin has the same disease as the Mad Mullahs of Iran. It’s not Vlad Putin, but Mad Putin. ]
==
Because of the wonderful success Russia has had in its Ukraine war, all of the leaders, including Putin, are beginning to drink more [ is that possible? ]. This increased drinking helps them cope with the depression stemming from UA counter attack. [ Copium has spread over the Empire, with cope cages and now cope vodka. ]
If you thought Russia leaders made poor decisions before, now they will make even poorer ones - like blowing 6 nuclear reactors.
==
Loss of still another KA-52 last night.
==
If the UA offensive goes to Melitopol, it is only 87km because of the big lake to its south. While from Velyka Novasilka to Berdyansk its 115km.
They needs Western aviation assets to make this offensive work the way it should, but do not have them, so the offensive will be slower than it needs to be with higher casualties.
==
Retired US General Ben Hodges said that during WWII when the Allies opened a second front, it was also very slow going.
••Advance of Ukrainian forces is not easy as 200,000 km² of Ukrainian territory is mined by Russian troops - Volodymyr Zelenskyy for Air Force.
“Whatever some people want, including attempts to pressure us, with all due respect, we will advance on the battlefield as we see fit,” the president stressed.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy also noted that the counteroffensive is slower than we would like.
“Some people think this is a Hollywood movie and are waiting for the results now. This is wrong. People’s lives are at stake.
No matter how far we advance in the counteroffensive, we will not go for a frozen conflict, because this is a war, this [that] is a hopeless development for Ukraine,” the president said.
As for the use of nuclear weapons by the Russian Federation, Vladimir Zelensky does not believe in such a prospect.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 19, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
Excerpt:
There are increasing warning signs about the massive flow of weapons to Ukraine.
The New York Times on Monday reported that Ukraine has “paid contractors hundreds of millions of dollars for weapons that have not been delivered, and some of the much-publicized arms donated by its allies have been so decrepit that they were deemed fit only to be cannibalized for spare parts.”
Kyiv had paid arms suppliers more than $800 million since the Russian invasion in February 2022 for contracts that went completely or partly unfulfilled, the newspaper reported, citing Ukrainian government documents.
Some of the missing weapons had eventually been delivered, and that in other cases brokers had refunded the money, two people involved in Ukraine’s arms purchasing told the Times.
“But as of early this spring, hundreds of millions of dollars had been paid - including to state-owned companies - for arms never materialized, one of these people said.”
“We did have cases where we paid money and we didn’t receive,” Volodymyr Havrylov, a deputy defense minister working on arms procurement, told the Times in a recent interview. He said the government this year had begun analyzing its past purchases and excluding problematic contractors.
==
——> Horrors Of Trench Warfare Captured In Viral Ukrainian Special Ops Footage <——
One by one, Russian troops are gunned down after the Ukrainian special operators enter a trench in a surprise attack.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/horrors-of-trench-warfare-captured-in-viral-ukrainian-special-ops-footage
==
——> Ancient Russian T-54 Tank Turned Into Rolling Bomb Explodes In Massive Shockwave <——
In a new development, Russia appears to be using antique T-54/55 tanks as vehicle-borne improvised explosive devices.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ancient-russian-t-54-55-tank-turned-into-rolling-bomb-explodes-in-massive-shockwave
[ Ukrainians Trap & Destroy 300 Russian Troops | Dreadful End ]
••Day 481: Jun 19
Today there are a lot of updates from the Zaporizhia region.
Here, the most intense fights took place around Pitykhatky.
First of all, today, Ukrainian fighters have finally provided visual confirmation that Piatykhatky is under total Ukrainian control.
The fighters of the 128th Assault Brigade stated that they captured lots of Russian ammunition.
Interestingly, yesterday Russian sources reported that they conducted a tactical retreat and safely moved back to more reliable positions around the settlement.
However, today, Russian sources confirmed that by attacking Russians from 2 sides, Ukrainians cut off all retreat routes, took Russian forces into a pocket and completely eliminated Storm Ossetia Battalion together with their commander, meaning that more than 300 Russian troops together with equipment were destroyed.
Today Ukrainian forces finished regrouping and launched the next series of attacks.
Yesterday, I told you that Ukrainians would likely launch 2 attacks on the flanks and 1 towards Zherebianka, and this is exactly what happened today.
Russian sources reported that the fighters from the 128th Assault Brigade advanced from the western part of the village.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see that these are the tactical heights that Russians supposedly retreated to.
The engagements were extremely heavy because it turned out that at the same time, Russian forces decided to conduct a counterattack.
Fortunately, prior to the attack, Ukrainians spent all the time digging trenches and fortifying the western part of the village against such a counterattack, so, during the encounter battle, Ukrainians rolled back to their newly formed defensive positions and repelled the attack.
Select Russian sources claimed that Piatykhatky was recaptured by Russians, however, even the most prominent Russian sources stated that this is false.
After this encounter battle, the intensity of fights in this region decreased, as both parties were taken by surprise and did not have enough resources to launch the second wave, especially given that simultaneously, another big battle was happening in front of Zherebianky.
Russian sources reported that Ukrainians advanced from the forest and assaulted the first line of trenches and fortifications on the line.
Several Russian sources mentioned that these Russians conducted a tactical retreat to the hills around Zherebianka but noted that Ukrainians could not take the emptied positions due to the intense artillery fire.
Ukrainian sources reported that Ukrainian forces successfully breached 2 Russian strong points in a tree line on a small hill and continued penetrating Russian defenses deeper and deeper.
Ukrainian sources also reported that in fear that Russians would run out of reserves and see a complete collapse of the front line, Russian forces decided to increase the artillery support of the units on the ground by redeploying more guns to this region.
Ukrainian Intelligence discovered that Russians are relocating thermobaric artillery systems TOS-1 and also tanks and multiple-launch rocket systems somewhere around Dolynka.
Unfortunately for Russians, such redeployment processes recently turned out to be deadly.
Ukrainian Melitopol mayor reported that around 2 days ago when Ukrainians had just launched the first attack toward Piatykhatky, Russian forces decided to reinforce these troops by relocating heavy equipment from the Kakhovka region.
However, the column never got to the front because Ukrainian partisans destroyed the column, likely by detonating explosives on the road.
He also added that Ukrainian partisans blew up an important railway connection just south of Melitopol, which further complicated Russian logistics and made it significantly harder to plug the holes in the defense line.
••UA forces use high mobility vehicles o get behind Russian lines and launch attacks from the rear. Tactic seems to be working and leading to capturing more ground quicker.
==
Confirmed to be in Ukraine:
SAMP/T Air Defense System (France & Italy)
https://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/defense-systems/sampt-air-defense-system/
==
Lockmart ready to train F-16 UA pilots.
••Zaluzhny: Together with the Chief of the General Staff Shaptala, worked in groupings of troops performing the most difficult tasks in areas where the most fierce fighting is taking place.
According to the Russian propaganda Zaluzhny is dead. According to Putin he is abroad.
==
Russia may have begun redeploying units from the east bank of the Dnieper river - British intelligence
This is probably being done to strengthen the Zaporozhye and Bakhmut areas, according to intelligence.
“The redeployment of the Dnieper Group of Forces likely reflects Russia’s vision that a major Ukrainian offensive across the Dnieper is now less possible following the destruction of the Kakhovka dam and the resulting flooding,” the statement said.
==
32 from 36 drones were hit. Unfortunately some of the drones made it to their targets
==
Budanov: Russians additionally mined Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant.
Due to the fact that the Russians destroyed the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, they destroyed the normal access of water to the coolers at the ZNPP.
“But the second, the worst thing, is that the ZNPP was additionally mined. And the worst thing is that the cooler is mined. If they disable it, then there is a high probability that there will be significant problems,” the head of the GUR said.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 18, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ Nice. Ukrainians discover & Destroy Russian Mercenary’s Base ]
••Day 480: Jun 18
Today there is a lot of big news from the southern front.
First of all, today at night, there was a decisive battle for Piatykhatky.
Russian sources elaborated on their tactical retreat and said that the decision to abandon the settlement was made when Ukrainians established control over half of the settlement.
Russian fighters reported that Ukrainians felt the momentum and started reinforcing their offensive efforts, while Russian forces, in many ways, were cut off from their reserves.
Recent combat footage shows that Ukrainians finally started using mine-laying drones in large numbers.
Even though such drones cannot be driven far behind the front lines, they are very effective at mining the roads that go along the front line, especially those that connect Russian positions between the tree lines.
Today at night, Russian forces tried to make a counterattack and recapture the village, however, these attacks did not go well.
It turned out that after a successful assault, Ukrainians did not withdraw their reserves altogether, but rather scattered them in small units in the vicinity of Piatykhatky, which allowed immediate engagement and destruction of enemy forces.
Since Russian ground attacks were almost immediately rebuffed, Russians doubled down on using their artillery and aviation.
Russian forces reportedly pulled in the region thermobaric artillery systems and also utilized their assault helicopters.
Russian sources showed several damaged and destroyed pieces of equipment inside the village, claiming that this was the result of work of KA-52 assault helicopters, while the Ukrainian General Staff confirmed that they shot down 2 such helicopters.
Eventually, in the morning, most Russian sources admitted that Ukrainians managed to entrench and now hold tight control over the settlement.
Some Russian analysts pointed out that the fall of Piatykharky means that Russian positions in the tree lines around this settlement were, to a large extent, cut off from supplies and would either be abandoned or captured in the next days, if not hours.
Other analysts reported that Ukrainians have already started regrouping and accumulating forces for the next attack in this region, namely, a lot of infantry reinforced with tanks and armored vehicles.
It is expected that there will be at least 2, but more likely 3 series of attacks: 1 or 2 to clear the flanks and widen the bridgehead and 1 on Zherebianky.
Ukrainian fighters from 47th Mechanized Brigade released footage showing that their drone operators have already started destroying Russians in the next trenches on the line.
Russian control over the situation on the zero line has also greatly diminished because Ukrainians conducted a successful precision strike on the command post of the Russian 80th Brigade.
Today, multiple Russian sources confirmed that Russian officers indeed suffered a strike.
Ukrainian sources reported that in the aftermath of a successful Storm Shadow missile strike, Ukrainians eliminated up to a dozen officers.
Another powerful strike happened a little bit south of the main action, namely in Mykolaivka.
Here, Russian forces recently redeployed a lot of forces as reserves due to the increased risk of a breakthrough in this direction, so there were many bases in the vicinity of this settlement.
Today, Ukrainian fighters reported that in the aftermath of the last strike, Ukrainians eliminated 170 Russian troops.
It was also mentioned that the eliminated detachment fully consisted of contractors, not mobilized soldiers.
But the biggest news today is that Ukrainians have destroyed a massive ammunition depot south of Melitopol.
News sources on both sides are speculating that this is also the result of the Storm Shadow missile strike.
The location was quite obvious, as the Russians were spotted building and filling warehouses right on one of the official train stops on the way to Melitopol.
Satellite footage shows that the explosion completely wiped out all the buildings in the region and also damaged those near the warehouses.
Overall, today’s successes on the front line, in combination with the destruction of the commanders, reserves, and warehouses that were responsible for the stability of this region, create very favorable conditions for further advancement.
••Speculates on where the main thrust could happen.
Lots of ammo and supply lines destroyed. Key was the railway station and ammo supply depot at Rykove which cut supplies to the Zaporizhia region. Also depot sites in the south on the Crimean border.
==
The Russian Army is built as a railway-supplied army, and they rarely use roads and highways.
==
Russia lost 2 KA-52 copters early in the day and then another in the afternoon - making a loss of 3 of these attack helicopters at $13 million each in one 24 hour period. This marks the loss of half of the KA-52 fleet since the invasion began.
Recent information indicates that all of the KA-52 helicopters, it recently sent to the Berdyansk airfield, have been lost.
The sanctions prevent Russia from producing more because they rely on Western made parts. Pilot training takes years. Crew ejection takes place through the top - the rotor blades separate allowing ejection.
But if anything goes wrong or they are too low, no ejection is possible, and every one dies. Russia has tremendous loss of aircrews on these low-flying copters.
==
No information on the losses from yesterday’s strike on there Russian Command building.
No information on Kadyrov’s best buddy’s condition.
==
Western media releases panic articles on the offensive - it’s all over, in short. Again.
The media does not realize how slow all the extensive mine field and the continually mine scattering artillery makes progress. Also without Western planes and more long range missiles, progress slows and more people die on both sides.
Aviation works for the Russians, but not for Ukraine and that makes things worse than it needs to be.
==
Estonian Intelligence estimated that 10% of all Western gear, since Feb 2020, have been lost.
==
Avdiivka:
UA advanced very close to Vesele.
==
US House GOP members blocked the bill to increase missile production for Ukraine, saying the Pentagon presented no justification for the plan.
==
Putin is asked were is UA General Zaluzhny. He say with a grin, “I think I know. He’s abroad.”
On the fronts as of the end of the day on June 18, 2023
Belomoskov, Belgorod, and Siver shades - unchanged .
The matchmaker shade is unchanged. Heavy fighting continues in Bilogorivka (L).
The Bakhmut shade - fighting continues to the west and north-west of Klishchiivka: the Defense Forces are successful. The situation near Berkhivka is yet to be clarified.
The Avdiiv shade - the enemy tried to improve his tactical position north and south of Maryinka, but was unsuccessful. A shooting battle took place near Pervomaiskyi: the result is unknown.
Berdyansk direction - artillery damage is inflicted on the enemy. Rumors about Staromayorsk do not correspond to reality, the enemy is sitting there.
Zaporizhzhya flavor - expect official information from one mountain-assault brigade in Pyatikhatki.
Taurian shade - no changes.
••Kremlin officials resort to drinking to cope with the war stress - The Telegraph. According to the publication, high-ranking members of the Russian government come to meetings drunk, drinking vodka, cognac and wine during the day.
A particular increase in drunkenness began in March, when Ukraine began talking about a planned counteroffensive, and Putin was put on the wanted list by the International Criminal Court.
==
Peskov said that the Russian occupiers would not allow UN representatives to enter the left bank of the Kherson region flooded after the explosion of the Nova Kakhovka, hydroelectric power station, because it is “difficult to guarantee security” for them
Basically they don’t want the investigation team to inspect the destroyed dam.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 17, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ Mission Successful | Full Ahead: Ukrainians Capitalize on Tactical Superiority ]
••Day 479: Jun 17
Today the most intense clashes once again took place in the Orikhiv direction.
Here, Ukrainians tried to immediately capitalize on yesterday’s gains and develop their success further.
As you remember, Ukrainians have cleared a 1km wide forest between Zherebianky and Pitykhatky, which secured Ukrainian flanks against a sudden counterattack from the west, and set proper conditions for assaulting the next settlement on the line - Piatykhatky.
Russian sources reported that prior to the attack, Ukrainians covered the whole area with a smokescreen.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see that this area is located in the lowlands, which is a perfect condition for the smokescreen as it just fills the hollow space and does not dissipate for a long time.
The first target of Ukrainian forces became the farms north of the settlement.
Russian sources reported that Ukrainians used the same tactic as yesterday.
They used several armored fighting vehicles to quickly deliver the assault units right to the contact line and immediately withdrew, while several tanks in the distance provided cover for the assault units and returning vehicles.
By attacking this strong point, Ukrainians not only gained a second foothold just on the doorstep of Piatykhatky but also fixed Russian troops in the opposite part of the settlement relative to the second attack.
The second attack was conducted from the forest. According to Russian sources, here Ukrainians used a different tactic and mostly used just infantry.
This is not surprising because, firstly, Ukrainians were attacking from the forest, and forests are convenient for accumulating personnel, not equipment; and secondly, Ukrainians were already close to the settlement, meaning that they immediately engaged in street fighting, where armor is usually not very useful.
Russian forces struggled to keep Ukrainians out of the outskirts, and after several minutes of fighting, Ukrainians had already entered the western part.
Russian sources reported that Ukrainians filled all of their multiple-launch rocket systems with mines and scattered these mines all over the approaches to the settlement, which is why Russian reserves were afraid to launch a counterattack.
This left Russian forces only the artillery to rely on.
Due to the heavy artillery fire, Ukrainians temporarily retreated back to the forest, but also quickly came back and continued fighting in the center of the settlement.
Some analysts say that Ukrainians did not withstand the fire and retreated due to loses until they received reinforcements, while other analysts stated that Ukrainians learned from yesterday’s battle how the Russian artillery works.
They decided to trigger a mass unloading on the empty region and when empty Grads drove off to the nearest ammo station to reload, they used this time to move in an assault Russian positions with more freedom.
It seems like the second version is correct because shortly after the intense artillery fire ended, Russian forces were pushed out of the settlement.
Russian sources reported that Russian forces conducted a tactical retreat and assumed more reliable positions on the hills around this settlement while simultaneously destroying the enemy with fire.
In the end, the settlement was declared a grey zone, and as you already noticed, so far, whenever the village becomes a grey zone, it is confirmed to be under full Ukrainian control the next day.
It is possible that Russians will still decide to launch an even bigger counterattack and retake Piatykhatky, however, right now, it looks like the Ukrainian attack was successful.
Such a development automatically collapses Russian defensive positions along the gully in front of Stepove and Shcherbaky and gives significantly more freedom in the fields.
This puts Russians in Zherebianky in a very inconvenient situation because all the pressure now falls on this settlement. Here, Ukrainians can open at least 3 axes of advance: from the forest, northern gully, and southern gully.
On the one hand, unlike Pitykhatky, this village is located on the highlands, giving Russians an advantage. But on the other hand, this village is 5 times smaller than Pitykhatky, making it more vulnerable to artillery devastation and comprehensive attacks from multiple directions.
••UA is now using IFVs and de-mining vehicles instead of tanks. Tanks will pay a significant role later when breaching the Orc’s Second line of defense. But without F-16’s they will be unbleto penetrate that line using only tanks as they will be mostly lost.
Russia sending lots of KA-52 tank killers to Berdyansk, whose missiles have a range of ~7km.
Russian forces are disbursed along the 150km front line because they do not know where the main attack will fall.
==
A 2nd damaged Bradley was removed by volunteers and on the way to be repaired.
==
Russian surveillance towers used the Myrom-P system and have been repeatedly targeted by UA drones.
==
NYT: It was Russia that blew up the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station. New York Times journalists came to this conclusion after talking with experts. The base of the dam, 20 meters high and up to 40 meters wide, took on most of the load of the dam.
There was a technical tunnel inside the base, you can get into it from the engine room, which is under the control of the Russian side. The tunnel is marked on drawings seen by the New York Times.
The publication writes that where the dam is destroyed, the concrete base is not visible, and in the preserved parts of the dam, the upper part of the base remains.
==
Russia confirmed the they attack Kiev with missiles at the same time the African Peace Team was there and who then went to St Petersburg to work a peace deal with Putin. They only represent their own countries - not all of Africa. A useless trip.
==
Denmark announced its readiness to transfer F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine Danish Defense Minister Pulsen said that this requires the approval of the United States as the manufacturer of these combat vehicles. In addition, partners should help with infrastructure development and aircraft maintenance. Earlier, the Ukrainian military said they needed at least 40 F-16 fighter jets.
==
Portugal will supply its AR3 surveillance drones - two versions - one is a vertical take off and the other is standard.
==
There still is no video of other confirmation about the HIMARS strike on the troop formation at Kreminna. There is no other evidence it took place.
••Russia bears the greatest losses since the March battles for Bakhmut - British intelligence. The British Ministry of Defense notes that heavy fighting has continued in recent days, the most intense of which was fought in the Zaporozhye region, in the west of the Donetsk region and around Bakhmut. Ukraine continues to lead the offensive and is making progress.
In the southern direction, Russian troops are conducting defensive operations, also having some success. Intelligence officials say there are casualties on both sides, but Russian casualties are likely the highest since the Battle of Bakhmut peaked in March.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 16, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
==
——> Ukrainian Fighter Pilots Will Get Training On Sweden’s JAS-39 Gripen <——
Sweden say Ukraine wants an “operational evaluation” of Gripen, which could point to an interest in acquiring the jets in the future.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukrainian-fighter-pilots-will-get-training-on-swedens-jas-39-gripen
[ New Tactic | Ukrainians Capture The Whole Forest in 1 Hour ]
••Day 478: Jun 16
Today there is a lot of news from the Orikhiv direction.
After a short pause due to unsuitable for fights weather conditions, Ukrainians have finally launched their next series of attacks. The most intense clashes took place around Lobkove.
Over the last several days, Ukrainians have conducted a series of light-reconnaissance operations around Zherebianky, and judging by today’s actions, the main goal of these reconnaissance attacks was to see where Russian firing points in Zherebianky are and how Ukrainians can secure their flanks against a counterattack from this village.
Today in the morning, Ukrainians finally launched the first assault in the direction of Pitykhatky.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Piatykhatky is also located in the lowlands, which is why it became the next logical target.
Russian sources reported that Ukrainians used 5 armored fighting vehicles and 2 tanks.
Russian sources also reported that Ukrainians started applying a new tactic, which proved to work much better on the Zaporizhia front: Ukrainians are quickly delivering their assault units directly to the contact line with various armored carriers, the carriers immediately leave while several tanks provide fire support from a distance and drone operators help to navigate the situation on the ground.
The reason why this tact works better than direct heavy assaults is that in most places, Russians have created multiple small defensive positions instead of one big fortification.
Such conditions require extremely high mobility of small assault units for the highest efficiency of attacks.
After 1 hour of continuous fights Ukrainians reportedly completely chased Russians from probably the most important position in this region - the forest.
This forest is 1 km long and 300 meters wide, which means that the assault went extremely swiftly. The forest gives a substantial tactical advantage.
Not only does it allow hiding and accumulating assault units right on the doorstep of 2 Russian-controlled settlements, but it also secures Ukrainian flanks against a sudden counterattack from Zhebianky.
After achieving this initial success, Russian sources reported that Ukrainians started preparing reinforcements to develop their success even more. Shortly, Ukrainians were ready and launched the next series of attacks.
One small assault unit approached Russians from the northern bank of the river and opened fire on Russian positions, which made Russian troops less agile, while the second assault unit attacked the settlement from the southern bank of the river, more precisely from the forest.
After around 1 hour of intense clashes, Ukrainians pushed Russians out of the western part of the settlement.
Russian sources reported that Russian forces faced many difficulties in rebuffing the Ukrainian attack, primarily because prior to the attack, Ukrainians once again used Remote Anti-Armor Mine shells to mine the roads for the Russian reserves.
However, even after Russian reserves finally arrived, they did not have enough forces to make a decisive blow, and both parties got stuck.
Both parties heavily relied on artillery, however, Russian sources reported that Ukrainians prioritized counterbattery fire over direct support of the units on the ground, and Russians were forced to respond reciprocally, so 2 separate battles took place here simultaneously: between the infantry and between the batteries.
In order to break the situation, Russian forces requested airstrikes on Ukrainian positions, and soon, the Russian assault helicopters Ka-52 arrived on the spot and started targeting Ukrainians with missiles.
The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainians managed to shoot down one of those helicopters in the process.
In the end, it seems like Ukrainians had to retreat to the forest, and they did not manage to establish full control over the settlement at this time.
Nonetheless, even the most prominent Russian sources admit that Ukrainian almost took the village, which is why they are expecting a new attack on Piatykhatky very soon.
And this new attack will likely be even harder to repel, as Ukrainians now understand the setting much better and will avoid many mistakes.
After Piatykhatky, the next logical step is Zherebianky, which due to the local geography, will require even more coordination between multiple assault units in multiple directions and tactical excellence.
••Kherson region:
Near Nova Kakhovka, UA troops landed on the south side of the Dnipr River yesterday. No news if the operation was successful or not.
Russia fired everything they have into the general area: artillery shells, rockets, and drones, including aviation strikes, losing 2 Ka-52 helicopters. Shelling also reached the Ukrainian side of the river as well.
==
Next year, there is a strong possibility that the UA will have around 50 ATACMs, if the proposed defense bill passes.
==
Zelensky said that Russia is planning to destroy or demolish the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, if the UA Offensive is successful. That action by Russia will cause the biggest technological and environmental disaster in human history. It will be 6 times worse than Chernobyl.
Putin will just go to the Far East and be safe - every other country around Ukraine, including Russia, will be in harms way. The destruction of the dam proves they are not above causing huge environmental and human disasters.
Russia will claim innocence, blaming it on Ukraine for blowing the dam.
==
Putin’s Fantasy Land:
Putin, in a public venue, claimed Russia has 10X fewer casualties than Ukraine. But just a few days ago, he said it was 3X less. Further, Russia has destroyed 5 of the 2 Patriot systems, and if something goes wrong with Russian sovereignty, he will use nukes.
==
In other acts of pure genius, the same day the African delegation arrives in Kiev on their way to Moscow to negotiate a cease fire & peace agreement, Putin launches a rocket attack on the city.
However, the leader of the African group said he heard nothing, and did not acknowledge that the Patriot systems saved his rear end.
==
The Kadyrov Tic Tokers were sent to protect the Belgorod Oblast. These fierce fighters refused to engage the RFL and stayed behind the Russian army units to provide security behind the front.
==
Image of 15 Russian troops fleeing from the Rivnopil direction across an open field with fresh craters some still smoking - one of the troops nearest one new craters appears KIA.
==
The Deep State map [ https://deepstatemap.live/#6/49.438/32.053 ] shows the Russian defense lines by clicking on the icon on the left top. The nuclear icon can calculate the result of the charge [ kt/mt ] you enter at the location you mark.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 15, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
==
——> Israel’s Merkava Tank Has Possible Export Customer In Europe <——
Israel is negotiating sales of Merkavas with two countries, including one in Europe, prompting speculation about a possible deal for Ukraine.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/israeli-merkava-tank-has-possible-export-customer-in-europe
==
——> Ukraine’s Armor Appears To Have A Russian Attack Helicopter Problem <——
Russian Ka-52 attack helicopters’ presence at the front highlights the need for highly mobile and survivable short-range air defenses.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraines-armor-appears-to-have-a-russian-attack-helicopter-problem
[ Finally! Ukrainians Started Slicing Russian Defense in Bakhmut |Second Counter Offensive ]
••Day 477: Jun 15
Today there are a lot of updates from the east.
Here, Ukrainians managed to breach several Russian defensive positions and assault multiple settlements that are protecting the northern Bakhmut’s flank. The main axis of the attack became Berkhivka.
After the regular Russian forces exhausted their offensive capabilities and failed to recapture the tactical heights around Bakhmut, as reported by the Russian Ministry of Defense, Russian forces conducted a tactical regrouping to more reliable positions.
The Head of the Wagner Group, Prigozhin, who spent considerable resources gaining the ground that the regular forces were losing, immediately stated that the fact that Ukrainians captured all tactical heights meant that the fall of Berkhivka and the whole northern flank was just a matter of time.
Over the last week, after achieving their tactical objectives in the southern part of the region, Ukrainian forces could finally prioritize the northern flank. Judging by the combat footage, Ukrainians opened multiple vectors of attacks. The first attack was launched south of the railways.
As Prigozhin himself mentioned in an interview, the combination of tree lines and the embankment makes it very easy for a mechanized group to quickly close the distance and assault the trenches.
The second line of attack became the pathway between the reservoir and the railways. Russian sources reported that Ukrainians lost multiple tanks and armored fighting vehicles and that their attempt to take Berkhivka completely failed.
However, Berkhivka was not the main goal of this attack. The main purpose of this attack was to clear all the tree lines between the reservoir and railways in order to set conditions for what was coming next.
And the next Ukrainian attacks were directed toward Yahidne. So, by improving their tactical position in the vicinity of Berkhivka, Ukrainians effectively blocked Russians from conducting a flank attack and undermining their offensive efforts.
The Head of the Wagner Group, Prigozhin, was asked to evaluate the situation, and he said that his reconnaissance crews clearly recorded that Ukrainians had indeed populated the tree lines and entrenched themselves even more.
In the meantime, the intensity of engagements around Yahidne has been increasing significantly. Russian sources indirectly confirmed that Ukrainians are attacking Berkhivka and Yahidne.
Meamwhile. the Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister stated that Ukrainian forces managed to advance by up to 1.5 km, which is precisely the distance between Yahidne and the previous Russian defense line in the tree lines.
Ukrainian 57th Motorized Rifle Brigade released a highly graphic video of how those Russian soldiers who were trying to escape the heat, only got under devastating mortar fire that instantly killed the entire squad.
Ukrainian 14th Mechanized Brigade released a video showing how they were destroying Russian tanks in the vicinity of Yahidne.
Ukrainian 77th Airmobile Brigade showed how they were destroying enemy ammunition depots and equipment also in Yahidne.
The sentiment of the Ukrainian fighters that are reporting news from Bakhmut is quite positive, and they also signaled that many moves are not being reported yet.
However, if everything goes according to the plan, Ukrainians will be able to slice off the Russian salient north of Bakhmut and start moving further.
In fact, there is already a lot of footage that shows how Ukrainian artillery has started undermining the next Russian defense line, namely in Blahodatne and Pidhorodne.
Today Ukrainians also released footage of the aftermath of a successful Ukrainian attack in the vicinity of Sakko i Vantsetti.
Such actions are not only stretching Russian forces along the whole front line but also indicate that the scale of the potential offensive is much bigger, and just line last time, Ukrainians may very well end up conducting several back-to-back counteroffensive operations on various parts of the front line.
••Some gains on the Deep State map south of Orikhiv which open the way to Tokmak.
==
Leopard 2 tanks hit in the 12 vehicle ambush were taken to Poland for repairs.
==
UA took the heights overlooking Bakhmut 2 days ago. Link to video:
https://t.me/pilotblog/4670
==
In the Russian Belgorod area, the Russians entered and took back control over Novaya Tavolzhanka. Orcs then began looting local homes of TVs, refrigerators, washing machines, shocking the locals.
==
Kherson region:
Near Nova Kakhovka, UA troops landed on the south side of the Dnipr River. Fighting is ongoing.
==
Denmark and Netherlands will sent 14 more Leopard 2 tanks, but delivery will be at the beginning of next year.
==
Germany handed over two armored de-mining vehicles “Wisent 1” based on the tank “Leopard 1”
==
The Israeli Merkava tanks are not well suited for Ukrainian terrain, but they could be used for certain special operations.
==
Swedish BMP CV9040C with 40mm auto-cannon is in Ukraine. In total, about 50 such combat vehicles were announced to be transferred to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
This CV9040C is also equipped with the Barracuda camouflage kit, which reduces its visibility in the thermal and radars.
==
The Turkish drone manufacture began test of its 200km mimi-cruise missiles.
••It seem like Russia fired everything they have in the region of Nova Khahovka to stop Ukrainian forces crossing. Hopefully the operation from our side will be successful. Will update you in the morning.
==
Germany will immediately transfer 64 more Patriot guided missiles to Ukraine. This was reported by ntv with reference to German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 14, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
Excerpts:
In a follow-up to our feature on how Australia’s surplus upgraded F/A-18 Hornets could be well suited for reequipping Ukraine’s war torn air force, The War Zone has confirmed that Ukraine is indeed exploring if the jets could be a fit for its very pressing needs.
“We are at the early stage studying the technical characteristics and operability of the aircraft,” Vasyl Myroshnychenko, Ukraine’s ambassador to Australia, told The War Zone Wednesday afternoon.
While Myroshnychenko told us that “Ukraine has not officially requested the Hornets” just yet, buzz about RAAF Hornets possibly heading to Kyiv has been building.
“High-level international negotiations are continuing between Australia, Ukraine, and the United States over the fate of the decommissioned fighter aircraft, in what could become this country’s largest-ever single transfer of military equipment to a foreign power,” the Australian Broadcasting Company (ABC) wrote last week.
A day earlier, the Australian Financial Review posited a similar idea, saying that the Biden administration “is favorably disposed to the idea of gifting Ukraine the F/A-18s.”
After the upgraded FA/-18A/Bs were retired in 2021, Texas-based adversary air contractor RAVN Aerospace (then called Air USA) entered into an agreement to purchase up to 46 of the multi-role fighters. They are currently housed at RAAF Base Williamtown in varying states of airworthiness.
Sources familiar with the negotiations told ABC that “RAVN Aerospace is willing to ‘on-sell’ the Hornets to Ukraine but first requires approval from the White House given the fourth-generation fighters have American intellectual property.”
The War Zone understands that if the jets don’t get transferred to another party, and soon, they will be shredded.
“Considering what is happening in Ukraine, and the country’s extreme need for Western fourth-generation fighter capabilities, having dozens of upgraded F/A-18s in good condition just languishing in storage seems like a remarkable missed opportunity.
With this in mind we set out to get to the bottom of the status of the Hornets and what could be possible not just in terms of providing fighters for Kyiv’s cause but also rapidly training pilots and ground crews to support that cause.”
Australia’s ability to consider such a transfer is only possible because it transitioned to more modern F/A-18F Super Hornets, EA-18G Growlers, and F-35 Lighting II Joint Strike Fighters. The RAAF’s first squadron of F-35s became operational in 2021.
While all this remains in the discovery stages at this time, at least publicly, we have seen other advanced weapons acquisitions for Ukraine ramp up drastically if the powers that be come together on the subject.
The optics of shredding capable jets that are well suited for Ukraine’s needs while the country is begging the world for 4th generation fighter capability would be abysmal, regardless.
==
——> Ukrainian Tank Crushes Friendly MRAP In Wild Battlefield Video <——
A Russian drone’s view shows a Ukrainian T-72 tank roll over a MRAP vehicle while under heavy fire.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukrainian-tank-crushes-friendly-mrap-in-wild-battlefield-video
Excerpts:
After watching the video, a U.S. defense official with years of armor operations and Bradley tactics experience told us it appeared the tank was trying to crush the MRAP on purpose.
“I believe the tank was moving that vehicle into an angle where it could crush it,” the official told us. “I believe that MRAP was possibly stuck in an awkward angle, and potentially had damage to its suspension.”
The tank tried to push the MRAP, possibly stuck in a ditch, but may have damaged the axel in the process, the official said.
“The tank crew made the decision to destroy the vehicle so the enemy can’t recover it or use it for propaganda purposes,” the official said.
This also matches our own internal analysis of the video.
[ Biggest Russian Massacre | Unbelievable: Russian General Kills His Troops in The Yard (by setting them up for a strike) ]
••Day 476: Jun 14
Today there is a lot of good news from the south.
Ukrainian forces continued successfully advancing in all main directions.
Yesterday, I told you that Levadne may very soon become the main axis of advance, and today Russian sources confirmed that after de-mining the field and conducting small reconnaissance-in-force operations, Ukrainians launched a much bigger attack.
Russian sources reported that Ukrainians are advancing not only eastward but also southward and that today Ukrainian assault units established control over multiple Russian positions in the tree lines.
Ukrainian forces are also ramping up the intensity of the attacks in the direction of Rivnopil.
Today Russian sources reported that Ukrainians assaulted this settlement with up to 5 tanks and 5 armored fighting vehicles.
The goal of this combination of attacks remains to even out the front line and set the conditions for a broader line of advancement.
Ukrainian fighters continue releasing footage showing their newly captured positions and the process of sorting the captured equipment, cleaning the trenches, and preparing the trenches for defending against potential Russian counterattacks.
Other Ukrainian assault units demonstrated their trophies captured in the aftermath of heavy fights.
They said that judging by the quality of the equipment, they were fighting against extremely well-prepared Russian forces, not some under-equipped mobilized soldiers that did not know how to effectively use complex weapons, which makes the victory only more meaningful.
Ukrainians also confirmed that they captured multiple pieces of heavy equipment, such as tanks and armored fighting vehicles.
When it comes to the Russian counterattack, as expected, Russian forces failed to recapture Makarivka due to the weak control over the tactical heights around this settlement.
Russian sources reported that they relocated their forces from the Orikhiv front to increase the scale and potency of their counterattack and opened another direction, namely, Urozhaine.
Some sources claim that the village is now in the grey zone, and the ongoing clashes do not cease because Ukrainians stubbornly continue to hold the line.
In order to undermine Russian offensive capabilities, Ukrainian forces have deployed several HIMARS crews to the region to conduct precise counterbattery fire.
Geolocated footage showed how Ukrainians destroyed 5 Russian artillery systems: 2 near one tree
line and 3 near another tree line.
All self-propelled artillery systems were located near Yalynske, which is approximately 17 km behind the front line.
In a desperate attempt to change the situation, Russian forces hacked the radio in the region and started broadcasting a message.
They claimed that Ukrainian positions were cut from two sides and there was no escape, and the Ukrainian command did not plan to save them, which is why other forces have already left their positions.
They said this was their last chance to capitulate because all Ukrainian reserves had been destroyed.
Ironically, in the meantime, Ukrainians conducted a massive HIMARS strike on Russian reserves and eliminated more than 200 Russian soldiers.
This caused a massive scandal and unofficial investigation in the Russian media space, and Russian sources quickly found out and published the cause and results of the Ukrainian strike.
If you still remember, around 3 months ago, I made a video about the biggest tank battle in Ukraine that took place in front of Vuhledar.
I told you that in the aftermath of disastrous planning, Russian forces lost almost 150 tanks and armored fighting vehicles and several brigades worth of troops.
There were 2 people responsible for this disaster: Lieutenant-General Rustam Muradov and Colonel Sakhrab Akhmedov.
Interestingly, in their reports, they claimed that they achieved unbelievable success, which is why Putin signed an executive order to give both of them a higher rank, and Rustam Muradov became a Coloner-General, while Sakhrab Akhmedov became a Major-General.
As you might have already guessed, the success of the Ukrainian HIMARS strike was only possible because these commanders were left in charge.
Russian sources reported that Sakhrab Akhmedov wanted to give a motivational speech to his troops and called everyone to assemble in the yard and wait for him.
Unfortunately for Russians, Ukrainian reconnaissance drone operators quickly noticed the parade, gave the coordinate to the HIMARS crews, and eliminated at least 200 Russian troops.
So, Akhmedov effectively killed his own troops by ordering everyone to gather in the plain sight of the enemy and forcing everyone to wait for an extended period of time.
Even the most prominent Russian sources are calling for the execution of General Akhmedov by firing squad, and they claimed that such Russian commanders killed more Russians with their criminal orders than Ukrainians did with weapons.
••Rivnopil:
UA troops very close to the village. Drone footage of the fight.
==
Bakhmut:
More occupied territory taken in the direction of Klishchiivka.
==
UA demolished many armored vehicles near Opytne, south of Avdiivka, in Russian occupied lands.
==
Area where the 12 vehicle convoy was ambushed is now under UA control and the vehicles were evacuated. None of the vehicles were captured by the Orcs because they lack engineering vehicles to tow them away.
==
Australia could sent 40 FA/-18A/Bs. [ See War Zone story above. ]
••Many Ruzzian prisoners were captured in the last few days.
==
As for the Chechen General there is no video evidence of him to be well and alive. Maybe he isn’t dead but something went wrong with him since he is not posting anything on his social media.
Before he was very active there. Plus Duma speaker confirmed the wounds of the general. We will see tomorrow.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 13, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
==
——>Russian Capture Of Ukrainian Leopard Tank, Bradleys Seen In Video <——
The Russian Ministry of Defense has released video showing the capture of Leopard 2 and Bradley fighting vehicles in an incident last week.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russian-capture-of-ukrainian-leopard-tank-bradleys-seen-in-video
==
——>Ukraine To Receive Five More Patriot Systems By End Of 2024 <——
Raytheon aims to increase production of Patriot to 12 systems annually in to try to meet demand, with Ukraine becoming a major customer.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-to-receive-five-more-patriot-systems-by-end-of-2024
[ Ukrainian Tanks Breach Russian Defense | Epic Battle ]
••Day 475: Jun 13
The most intense clashes continue to take place south of Velyka Novosilka.
Today Ukrainian 35th and 137th Mechanized Brigades finally released footage of how they managed to generate such a deep and powerful breakthrough along the hills west of the river.
First of all, Ukrainians launched massive artillery preparation on the first Russian line of defense along the tree lines.
Judging by the footage, it seems like Russian sources did not exaggerate its devastation.
Next, Ukrainians launched a mechanized attack, where multiple armored fighting vehicles drew enemy attention to themselves, suppressed enemy fire, and provided cover for the infantry.
The infantry quickly closed the distance and started storming whatever was left of the Russian defense line.
The key was to repeat this process non-stop, and with each iteration, the Russian defense was collapsing faster and faster, as the fallback positions did not have a chance to be properly manned and supported.
In the aftermath of the first wave of attacks, Russians were forced out of Neskuchne, Storozheve, and, Blahodatne.
Yesterday I told you that Ukrainians launched the second wave of attacks here and that Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister confirmed that these attacks resulted in the liberation of Makarivka.
Today Ukrainian 35th and 137th Mechanized Brigades also released a video of how it happened.
As you can see, the attacks were heavier, and Ukrainians already started using tanks to demolish Russian trenches in the tree lines around the village while the infantry was assaulting the village itself.
The fighter reported that Russians were not prepared to face such a powerful attack and abandoned their positions immediately after Ukrainians entered Makarivka.
He also said that Russians immediately started using aviation and regular and thermobaric artillery to level the village with the ground while the whole Ukrainian assault unit was still in the region.
However, he noted that they were prepared for such a development, his artillery units quickly returned the fire, and Russian artillery strikes immediately stopped.
Yesterday, I also told you that Russian forces launched a counterattack in the direction of Makarivka, and I told you that this move was highly likely done to protect the flanks of the retreating from Rivnopil forces.
And this is exactly what was happening today. Russian sources reported that Russian forces conducted at least 3 powerful attacks on Makarivka during the day, which forced Ukrainians to use their forces here.
Such actions alleviated pressure from Rivnopil and allowed Russian troops to repel small Ukrainian attacks, even though part of the personnel had departed to the next line of defense.
Russian sources reported that in the meantime they are actively digging trenches 700 meters south of Makarivka. Simultaneously, Ukrainian forces are destroying Russian troops and reinforcements in the rear.
Today Ukrainian sources confirmed that they relocated here the most feared drone detachment, namely, Madiar’s Birds Assault Drone Battalion.
Just over the last day, Madiar’s Birds destroyed 8 Russian tanks. 4 of those strikes were geolocated, and it was revealed that they destroyed 2 tanks in Staromaiorske, 2 tanks in Zavitne Bazhannya.
Ukrainians also relocated Special Operators Omega, who also posted footage of destroying Russian tanks in Staromaiorske.
Finally, reconnaissance drone detachments from 55th and 129th Brigades showed how they identified and in coordination with artillery crews, destroyed at least 4 pieces of equipment in Staromlynivka.
When it comes to the further development of the counteroffensive operation, today, Russian sources reported that Ukrainians finished the de-mining process between Levadne and Pryyutne and conducted a reconnaissance-in-force operation.
This is a strong indicator that the next powerful attack may come from this direction, and as Ukrainians also attacked Rivnopil today, it seems like Ukrainians are planning to even out the front line before conducting another deep penetration of the Russian defenses.
And this makes sense because if we look at the topographic map, we can see that by evening out the contact line, Ukrainians will gain very wide access to the next elevated platform, which will make it easier to breach the next Russian defense line.
••Makarivka is under UA control.
==
Russia sends more than 20 helicopters to the Berdyansk airfield. 5 KA-25s, 13 KA-29s, 7 MiG-8a60/MiG- 24. There are too widely separated or out or range for HIMARS and it would require at least 15 cruise missiles.
==
Putin holds conference with mil bloggers in Moscow. Gives them the talking points and the numbers to push in propaganda [ New pro-Putin troll lines expected. ]
Putin shows he has no clue what is happening on the front line by commenting that the Belgorod region has been cleared of the enemy. He also said after they withdrew from the Kiev region that some sort of peace deal would be made, but the Ukrainians attack his forces!
He said his main problem is Ukraine attaining Western weapons. Not one blogger said anything to the contrary, even though they probably knew the real situation.
Put only deals with paper and TV reports & never uses the internet. He lives in his own bubble. Most people know more about the real war situation than he does. [ This shows how slavishly pro-Putin trolls follow Putin’s every pronouncement. ]
This seems to indicate that Russia has no real leader or commander.
==
UA troops are still training in Germany on Leopard 1A5 tanks. These tanks and the Challengers will likely be used in assaulting the next and major line of Russian defenses.
==
Prigozhin went to a special rally to visit lots of Russian cities with his conferences. 80% of what Prigozhin says is actually true - mostly about terrible conditions and state of the RGF and the Russian system as a whole.
Putin said in the recent offensive the UA lost 160 tanks, while at the same time Prigozhin said the UA only lost 2 tanks, which is confirmed. He admitted the UA is getting closer, taking territories and Russia has nothing to respond.
He went on to say that there is no movement by the Russian command to handle the situation in the south. He said the UA has a good chance of having a successful offensive and, unless they are stopped, will reach Crimea.
He plans the come back to the Wagner army in Ukraine on 5th of August.
==
Russian MoD releases images of how they demolished a Western tank, but actually it’s a Russian tank. One of the images shows a patch which is worn by Russian Tactical Beard Brigade
••The convoy of “right hand” of Kadyrov was Ambushed. The main Chechen general Delimkhanov destiny is unknown for now. He is not responding to phone calls…
Kadyrov’s associate Delimkhanov was wounded, but he is alive - the press service of the State Duma of the Russian Federation. The convoy was ambushed in Ukraine. There is some strange information coming from the Russian side about Delimkhanov. Some say that he is alive, some say that there is still no contact with him. I think we should wait till the evening…
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 12, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
Excerpt:
The Pentagon tomorrow will announce a new aid package that will include additional Bradley Fighting Vehicles and Stryker Armored Vehicles, a U.S. official tells The War Zone.
“I can confirm that the next Presidential Drawdown Package (expected tomorrow) contains roughly two dozen Bradleys and Strykers,” a U.S. official said in a statement to The War Zone.
To date, the U.S. has donated 109 M2A2-ODS Bradley variants and four B-FIST variants as well as as 90 Strykers.
==
——>Armor Expert Breaks Down Ukraine’s Loss Of Bradleys During Breaching Operation <——
The crews of the first Bradleys known to be lost in Ukraine appear to have mostly operated according to doctrine, an expert tells us.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/armor-expert-breaks-down-ukraines-loss-of-bradleys-during-breaching-operation
Excerpts:
The Ukrainian officer tasked with sending Bradley Fighting Vehicles on the breaching mission south of Mala Tokmachka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast last week faced a horrible decision. Does he leave his marooned troops to fend for themselves or risk more lives and equipment to try to rescue them?
What we know from a limited amount of widely disseminated imagery is that a platoon of four U.S.-donated Bradleys had apparently already been damaged or destroyed, along with a Leopard-2 tank and two demining vehicles, in a well-prepared Russian minefield.
It was the first confirmed damage to Bradleys during this conflict. And it happened during one of the most dangerous and complex maneuvers possible - a breaching operation. Making matters worse, it was conducted without air support and questionable suppressive artillery fire.
Since our initial story came out, and additional imagery emerged of the incident, the armor expert told us that from what he observed, it looks like a third platoon of Bradleys attempted to come to the rescue. The first, he thought made it through the area before the second got bogged down and attacked.
But as the company commander would have been taught during intensive training at the Grafenwoehr Training Area in Germany, sending another platoon of four Bradleys into that killzone would have violated basic doctrine for such operations, the expert told The War Zone.
“If it puts at risk your soldiers and your equipment - the resources available for future action - then you would not assume the risks and we already saw that the risks were high,” said the official, speaking anonymously to discuss operational details. “We saw that they could not accomplish their mission. And to put more people out there at a high-level risk would not be worth the costs.”
But that doesn’t take into account the human factor in the heat of battle, the official said.
“The other aspect too is you never want to leave someone behind,” said the official. “This is one of those universal battlefield dynamics that has never changed from the start of warfare when we started killing each other.”
Asked what he would do if he were in charge of the operation, the official said his first instinct would be to make a similar decision.
“Initially, when I hear the screaming going on and the request for help, to provide assistance and recover potential casualties and equipment, my first reaction would be to send them in,” said the official. “But after a minute or two and thinking logically about it, I would have concluded that the risks were too high.”
But contrary to some commentary, the expert said that it appears under the circumstances the Ukrainians performed as well as could be expected and as close to established doctrine as possible.
Videos:
Oliver Alexander@OAlexanderDK
Hard to say anything positive about this.
After initially losing 4 M2A2 Bradley ODS-SA IFVs, 1 Leopard 2A6 and a BMR-2 armored demining vehicle in one location, 4 more M2A2 Bradley ODS-SA IFVs drove to the exact same position and started taking loses.
https://twitter.com/OAlexanderDK/status/1667190618248847360
—
Def Mon@DefMon3
1.Videos showing combat from where that pile of Bradley’s were lost.
https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1667336830008557569
2. Video
https://twitter.com/i/status/1667336834119086081
—
Друкар @PanDrukar
You’ve probably seen photos of blown-up Bradleys, one of them is mine, alas. Below is a short video of how the crew evacuated. I am really asking for your help, because almost all of the boys’ belongings remained in the car
https://twitter.com/PanDrukar/status/1668189563901149185
“These guys are now withdrawn from the breach site to suppressive fire and you’re seeing the crews act, reacting correctly,” the expert said. The dismounted troops tossing the smoke grenade and the operable Bradley crew using its advanced optics to scan for threats “shows these guys were well-trained,” the expert said.
Aside from there being limited visual information about this particular incident and no official comment, this is not an omen for the outcome of Ukraine’s counteroffensive, the official told us.
During preparation for such situations at the National Training Center at Fort Irwin, U.S. troops using U.S. equipment typically fail in their first crack at these high-risk operations, the official said.
“You get jacked up all the time,” said the official, adding that about “90% of breaches that we do for the first time [in training] are failures.”
Given that and the limited amount of information available about this incident - either in terms of visual confirmation or official comment - the expert says no real conclusions can be drawn about what this incident portends for the future of Ukraine’s counteroffensive.
“Give these guys a chance,” he said. “Their cherry got popped. They are actually fighting real Russians instead of fake Russians that we trained against.”
According to its latest tabulation, the Oryx open source intelligence group says that Ukraine so far has lost 16 Bradley M2A2 ODS-SAs - five destroyed, and 11 damaged and abandoned. The group only counts those vehicles for which is has visual confirmation, so the real numbers could be higher.
But it appears the Pentagon doesn’t see this incident or other Bradley losses as a reason to tighten supplies.
==
——>Ukraine Accuses Russia Of Blowing Up Another Dam <——
A dam along the Mokri Yaly River in eastern Ukraine is the latest such barrier to have been breached by Russian forces, Kyiv claims.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-accuses-russia-of-blowing-up-another-dam
[ First Class Execution | Clever. Ukrainians Take 2 Towns Without Firing a Single Shot! ]
••Day 474: Jun 12
Today, the biggest news comes from the southern front.
Ukrainians continued releasing footage of the total liberation of new settlements. Today, Ukrainian 35th Marine Brigade posted a video of clearing the houses and raising the Ukrainian flag above Storozheve. This is the village that Russians previously tried to preserve control of and even launched mechanized counterattacks.
The Marines also showed one of such counterattacks, and judging by the footage, Russians used several squads of infantry reinforced with 1 tank and 3 armored fighting vehicles. Since Ukrainians were in control of the tactical heights, the counterattack was quickly rebuffed, and the whole assault unit was eliminated.
The moment the driver of the last BMP realized that they were done, he launched in the opposite direction so fast that one Russian soldier fell off the vehicle. It turned out that he was lucky because Ukrainians took him captive while the vehicle that he fell off of exploded on a mine.
Today, Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister also confirmed yesterday’s claims and speculations and verified that Ukrainians successfully pushed Russians from Levadne and gained an important foothold on the next ridge of tactical heights.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see that from Levadne, Ukrainians can conveniently continue slicing off Russian defenses.
If you still remember, yesterday I told you that the fall of Levadne means that the Russian defense in Novodarivka and Rivnopil will automatically collapse due to the threat of encirclement. And this is exactly what happened today.
After seeing that the escape window was closing at an unprecedented rate, Russian forces wasted no time and retreated from Novodarivka.
Ukrainian forces have already entered Russian fortifications in and around the settlement, and as Russian Intelligence reported, Ukrainians are de-mining the field between this settlement and Novopil and overall preparing the roads for easy and stable supplies for further development of the counteroffensive operation.
Some Russian sources reported that Russian forces launched a powerful counterattack in the direction of Makarivka and are about to return everything that they lost.
However, it looks like this is just a supporting attack that tries to protect the flanks of the retreating forces from Rivnopil because some Russian sources already started mentioning that the village is in the grey zone.
Yesterday, I told you that the fact that Russians blew up the dam highly likely means that they abandoned Urozhaine because otherwise, they would doom their own forces by cutting them off with the flooding.
Today some sources started to confirm that Ukrainians established full control over this settlement, and started developing their attack further.
In order to complicate Ukrainian advances even more, today, Russian forces blew up the second dam on this river, which means that Ukrainians will not be able to assault Russian settlements from the east.
This saves the Russian defense from the immediate and uncontrollable collapse because right now, Russian forces at least manage to organize a coherent retreat.
When it comes to the eastern part of the region, the fights around Novodonetske continue. Today, Ukrainian 4th Tank Brigade released a video of how they are destroying Russian fortification in the tree lines west of the settlement and widening the bridgehead.
It is expected that very soon, Ukrainians will also launch an attack on Kermenchyk, as they are already on the approach to this settlement.
In the meantime, Ukrainian Air Force continues conducting precision strikes on Russian military bases and command posts.
One of the biggest strikes happened in Henychesk, which was previously considered one of the safest parts of the Kherson region, which is why it gradually became the occupational administrative center.
Ukrainian sources reported that they stuck one of the biggest Russian headquarters in the south. Ukrainians also continue conducting HIMARS strikes on Melitopol, Tokmak, and Molochne.
Russian sources confirmed that in the aftermath of one of these strikes, Ukrainians have destroyed the headquarter of the highest level of command and eliminated the commander of the 35th Russian Army, Major General Goryachev.
It was reported that this time almost all Russian generals were deployed to the Zaporizhzhia direction to be in touch with what is happening on the front and prevent another catastrophe, even the Chief of the Russian General Staff, Gerasimov, is reportedly somewhere in Zaporizhhzia, so Ukrainians Intelligence and Air Force are currently on a big hunt.
••Southern front line is 171 km long, with the Velyka Novosilka direction being the most successful line of attack.
The numerous attacks along that line says the UA is searching for the weak spots.
The Russians First Line of defense or the Zero Line runs across the FEBA, which means that is breached in one or more places, and that the UA is approaching the second line in the Velyka Novosilka direction. The Second and Third lines should be more robust.
However, Russian reinforcements are coming from the Second and Third lines, weakening them.
UA supplies lines are in good shape, while Russian supply lines are in disarray. Because of all the interdiction by the UA, Russian is unable to send reinforcement and supplies from other areas, meaning they have to use what they have in the area and will face exhaustion.
At the point of exhaustion, the main UA blow will fall.
==
Russia has modified its mobile coastal defence missile system so they can be used ground to ground, and moved them closer to the Ukraine border.
—
K-300P Bastion-P / Bastion-E
Wiki:
“The Bastion is the primary launch platform of the Onyx missile during the Russian Invasion of Ukraine. Sevastopol in particular has seen a number of recorded Onyx launches, distinguished by the missile’s distinctive “one-turn” launch sequence. These are primarily used to strike cities in the south of Ukraine.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K-300P_Bastion-P
==
In the past 3 days, Russia lost 2 K-52 helicopters to UA air defense systems along the frontline.
==
The loss of Major General Goryachev is a major blow to Russian Command during the UA offensive. Denys said he’s sure the attack was planned and the UA knew his exact location.
==
Satellite image reveal the the inlet for the reservoir at the nuclear power plant is dried up, and no new water can enter.
==
The German Welt reports the the RGF has sent 90% of its military in Ukraine to the Zaporizhzhia region. Also so far, the UA has only used about 25% of the resources set aside for the counter offensive.
==
Prigozhin is now offering any soldier in the RGF and any in other PMCs, a home in his PMC.
While Prigozhin refused to sign the contract with the RGF, the Ahmad Battalion did sign. It was filmed and published by the Zed Publix, showing their opposition toward Prigozhin. Shoigu now controls them, leaving Prigozhin as a total outlaw. Denys said its a clown theater play.
••Russia targeted the residential building in Krivyi Rih, the home city of President Zelensky. Many people are dead, many injured. Russia is a terrorist state.
==
US set to approve DU rounds for Ukraine - WSJ
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 11, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ First-Class Execution! Ukrainians Capture Tactical Heights And Collapse Russian Defense ]
••Day 473: Jun 11
Today there is a lot of big news from the southern front.
If yesterday we received only verbal confirmations that Ukrainians have conducted a series of successful offensive actions and established control over multiple settlements at once, then today, Ukrainian fighters have finally started releasing footage that confirmed these gains.
First of all, volunteer detachment Arey raised the Ukrainian flag above Neskuchne. This is the village that Ukrainians managed to secure by establishing control over the tactical heights around the settlement, and basically smoking Russians out of the village by unleashing devastating fire that did not allow Russians to move even inside the village itself.
Simultaneously, fighters of the 68th Jager Brigade raised the Ukrainian flag above Blahodatne. This is the village that Ukrainians managed to capture without a single shot being fired.
Ukrainians understood that these Russian positions were inconsequential, and by attacking Urozhayne, they created an extremely high risk of encirclement of Russian troops and forced them to retreat.
And Russians made a very prudent decision by retreating because today, Russian sources started reporting about further advancement of the relentless Ukrainians assault units.
If yesterday the fights were taking place in the tree line in front of the settlement, then today in the morning, Ukrainians breached the last defense line protecting this settlement and entered the northern part. So, If Russians in Blahodatne had not retreated, they would have been taken into a pocket and destroyed in a matter of hours.
The freshest reports from the fighters that are currently storming Russian defense indicate that Ukrainians made another push along the hills, which caused an immediate collapse of the next Russian fortifications on the line.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see 2 things. First of all, Ukrainians have completed the operation for capturing the first cluster of heights.
And secondly, Russians in Makarivka found themselves in exactly the same situation as the settlements above - they are staying under Ukrainian hills and suffering from a devastating fire.
That is why the Russian command once again decided to conduct a tactical regrouping to more reliable positions. Several hours ago, the Ukrainian Deputy Minister of Defense reported that Makarivka was successfully liberated by Ukrainian forces.
But this is not the end of the good news. The most recent reports indicate that Ukrainians finally pushed Russian from Levadne and entered a new ridge of tactical heights by moving toward Pryiutne. As you can see, now Russian forces in Novodanylivka and Rivnopil are at risk of encirclement and will highly likely abandon their positions.
And this is a very painful blow to the Russian defense because, as you remember, here, Russians had the most powerful fortifications that Ukrainians failed to penetrate in the first series of attacks.
In a desperate attempt to slow down Ukrainian advances, Russian forces blew up a dam south of Staromalynivka. By emptying the reservoir, the water levels in the lowlands will increase and prevent Ukrainians from quickly moving their forces between the eastern and western banks of the river.
Such an action is also a very strong signal that Russians abandoned Urozhaine because this is the only settlement on the eastern bank in the region, and with the flooding, they simply would not be able to get additional reinforcement or retreat.
In the meantime, Ukrainians are already testing new lines of attack in order to widen the bridgehead further and significantly increase the scale of their operation.
Today, Russian sources reported that Ukrainians conducted a series of reconnaissance-in-force operations near Novodonetske and Novomaiorske.
This is another indicator that Ukrainians have taken Urozhaine because such attacks would help Ukrainians to even out the front line precisely on the level of this settlement.
At the moment, the offensive actions continue, and if everything goes according to the plan, we can expect the collapse of the Russian Novodarivka-Rivnopil-Staromaiorske tactical group.
••The main force is not yet in use - mostly just High-Mobility Vehicles like Humvees.
The water from the blown dam at Klichove will not be a significant obstacle.
Russia sending reinforcements from Kherson where they arena longer needed because of the flood.
The UA is still quite far from the 2nd and main defense line.
==
All PMCs in Russia must sign contract with the Shoigu’s RGF. Including Wagners. The RGF wants to give the orders and not have Prigozhin go off on his own, doing whatever he wants, and to get rid of him entirely. Prigozhin’s commanders and troops all say they will not sigh any contract with the RGF.
==
Denys, the leader of the RLF, asks returning Russian POWS to join them. One guy from Wagners joined. Prigozhin named him and called him a traitor. This gives Russian POWs some options.
==
Fake News: Russia releases photos of 4 de-ming vehicles, a pair of Leopards, a Max vehicle and a Bradley destroyed in a new convoy, but in reality lots of photoshopping of one de-mining vehicle, plus inserting others put in one photo - all from the 12 vehicle convoy hit several days ago.
The vehicles were imaged from different angles and perspectives and placed in one photo.
==
Ukraine releases the photo of the 100 POWs they got back [ in the background 2 guys are taking a leak ].
••Five more Patriot systems will be manufactured for Ukraine. According to Raytheon CEO Greg Hayes, these anti-aircraft missile systems are planned to be produced before the end of 2024. In general, the company decided to increase the production of Patriot to 12 systems per year.
According to The Wall Street Journal, Ukraine has finalized the Patriot software so that it can track and destroy hypersonic missiles.
==
The Ukrainian drone commander Madyar was able to rise the record $2.7M in one week for 20000 drones for Ukrainian army. Madyar is the guy I trust. Soon there will be more “Jaga-Jaga”
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 10, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ Russian Retreat En Masse | Footage: Russians Run For Their Lives. Defense Collapses! | Their Distance Was Futile ]
••Day 472: Jun 10
Today there is a lot of news from the Velyka Novosilka direction.
Here, after a short regrouping, Ukrainians ramped up the intensity of their attacks in order to leverage newly captured positions and generate new gains. One of the main axes of advance became the hills west of the river.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Ukrainians gained a foothold right above the settlements, and as I told you last time, even if Russian claims were true and they indeed recaptured the settlements, they would not stay there for long due to the overwhelming fire from the hills. And this is exactly what happened.
Today Russian sources confirmed that they decided to retreat from Neskuchne to more reliable positions. Ukrainian sources also posted drone footage that confirms that Russians abandoned their positions around Storozheve as well.
Some non-mainstream Russian sources claimed that the front line collapsed under the pressure of the second wave of Ukrainian attacks all the way to Makarivka.
But this is just the beginning because Ukrainians also launched a massive attack from Zolota Nyva. Russian sources reported that, at first, Ukrainians launched a small attack on Novodonetske to fix Russians forces and protect the flanks while almost immediately launching a powerful attack towards Urozhaine.
Even the most prominent Russian sources confirm that Ukrainians very quickly cleared the tree lines, and the fighting is taking place right in front of the settlement.
As you can quickly notice, this attack completely cut off Russian forces in Blahodatne, and Russian sources confirmed that Russian forces retreated to avoid being taken into a pocket, which means that Ukrainians secured Blahodatne without a single shot being fired.
There are also at least 3 more lines of attack along the western section of the front line, namely toward Rivnopil, Novodarivka, and Levadne.
The freshest reports indicate that Ukrainians secured new tree lines in front of the settlements, however, the assault units are reportedly small, so for now, these are just supporting attacks.
Overall, in 1 week of storming operations around Veluka Novosilka, Ukrainians managed to liberate around 95 sq km of the ground.
When it comes to the Kherson region, in the aftermath of the destruction of the Kakhovska Hydroelectric Power Plant dam, 600 sq. km of the ground appeared under water. This means that the topography of the region has completely changed.
90% of Oleshly and Hola Prystan, which are the main Russian strongholds where they were hiding most of their equipment, were submerged under the water.
The flooding has also destroyed many Russian first-line field fortifications that the Russian military intended to use to defend against Ukrainian attacks. Rapid flooding has forced Russian personnel to evacuate as fast as possible.
Recently released footage shows how Russians are using boats from the local tourist center. Unfortunately for Russians, there were only blue and yellow boats left.
Recent footage also shows that Russians had to use their transport helicopters to evacuate from the Kinburn Spit because the flooding had reportedly cut off the main supply roads.
Ukrainian Southern Operational Command Spokesperson Nataliya Humenyuk stated that in some places, Russian forces had to roll back by up to 15 km.
Local residents also showed what happened above the dam. As the reservoir has been gradually emptied, the river width has shrunk by multiple kilometers. In fact, if we look at the satellite footage, we can see that vast areas have turned into land.
If we increase the contrast of the image, we can also see how narrow is main river path. This means that if the water levels continue to recede, Ukrainians will be able to establish a pontoon bridge and conduct a mechanized assault on a completely naked and unfortified part of the front line.
••Breaking through the first line defense means the UA strategy was good in general. Break throughs happened at Lobhove, near Huliaipole and Neskuchne.
==
Russia claims it has thousands of FPV drones from China’s iFlight company - but in the video they used a green screen to show the drones.
FVP drones are more reliable than the standard DJI drones because they re less vulnerable to counter measures. Because the user is ‘in’ the drone, it makes them very accurate and able to hit specific parts. Video was all fake.
==
Germans confirm the RST system was damaged, but it is still operational.
==
Bakhmut:
Russian sources say their troops are leaving the Yahidne village. A very important as once taken it half encircles the city in the north.
==
Russians are using sidecar motorcycles. But they were droned and their season is over.
Denys gave his motorcycle to the UA where its working for a drone unit.
==
The UK said it only took the UA 48 hours to break the Russians first line of defense.
==
CNN said the main offensive has not yet begun; Denys agrees - as most of the Western Equipment has not yet been brought to bear. [ As of this video. ]
==
Hungry’s Orbon negotiated with Putin that Hungarians fighting in Ukraine will hold a press conference and verbally attack Ukraine and praise Russian Orthodox Church.
••The Russian Federation has built a powerful line of defense in a three-line system with different levels of fortifications - The Telegraph.
Carefully constructed ditches stretch for many kilometers, and British intelligence described the fortifications of the Russian Federation as “one of the most extensive systems of military defenses that have ever been seen anywhere in the world.”
The Russians had a year to prepare for the counteroffensive, so it should be understood that our heroes are making incredible efforts to break through their defenses. The counteroffensive will not be easy, but we are ready and confident of victor
Map
https://t.me/pilotblog/4608?single
==
Kherson Weather:
Armed Forces of Ukraine cannot go on a counteroffensive because of the rain - The Telegraph. Heavy rain turned the land of southern Ukraine into mud and slowed down the Ukrainian counteroffensive.
The Leopard tanks that Ukraine has placed at the forefront of the offensive are forced to fight in a large swamp, which makes it difficult for our troops.
[ Rain: Monday Tuesday Wednesday. Scattered / isolated thunderstorms: Next Monday - Thursday. ]
==
Video of the channel that was used to supply 75% of the water to Crimea. [ Now just a mud flat with isolated pools of still water ]
==
Finally we payed back! Video of the ambushed column of Russian military equipment on the march. With the detonation of ammunition (in the second video).
The place is geolocated - this is the road next to the settlement. Zapovitnoe, Zaporozhye region, far enough from the front. Most likely, the cover was from somewhere in Nikopol or Marganets from the opposite bank of the reservoir (which has almost dried up as a result of the Russian undermining of the dam).
==
Putin wants to take PMC Wagner troops from Prigozhin The conflict is gaining momentum, now, before July 1, all volunteer units must sign a contract with the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation - this also applies to Wagner PMC. What it does is the complete transition of the Wagnerites to the RF Ministry of Defense.
Prygozhyn reacted to the order from Russian defence ministry. He stated that the Wagnerites would not be subordinate to the RF Ministry of Defense.
“Those orders and decrees that Shoigu forms, they apply to employees of the Ministry of Defense and military personnel. PMC “Wagner” will not sign any contracts with Shoigu.
“PMC “Wagner” is organically built into the overall system, PMC “Wagner” coordinates its actions with the generals on the right, left, with unit commanders.
“What can happen after this order - we will not be given weapons and ammunition - we will figure it out, as they say, when the thunder strikes, they will come running and bring everything”, said the leader of the mercenaries.
Girkin called Prigozhin’s actions a “military mutiny”.
==
Ukrainian Armed Forces liberated Blagodatne, Donetsk region The operation was attended by the soldiers of the 68th separate brigade.
==
The Dam:
Map of possible flood area:
https://t.me/pilotblog/4470
Image of new Leopard 2 tanks in Ukraine
https://t.me/pilotblog/4487
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 9, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
==
——> U.S. Infrared Early Warning Satellites Help Investigate Ukrainian Dam Destruction: Report <——
U.S. satellites designed to spot ballistic missile launches reportedly detected a blast at the Nova Khakovka dam at the time of its failure.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/u-s-infrared-early-warning-satellites-help-investigate-ukrainian-dam-destruction-report
==
——> Russia Has Destroyed Its First Ukrainian Bradley Fighting Vehicles <——
The first images of destroyed Bradley Fighting Vehicles have emerged as Ukraine’s full-on counteroffensive continues to face heavy opposition.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russia-has-destroyed-its-first-ukrainian-bradley-fighting-vehicles
[ Russians Panic | Huge Success. Ukrainians Penetrate 16km Wide Front. 1st Line Breached ]
••Day 471: Jun 09
Today there is a lot of good news from the Orikhiv direction.
When it comes to the western flank, today Ukrainian 130th Brigade finally released a video of how they stormed and successfully captured Lobkove.
The video shows how the main attack group advances along the tree lines and prepares to enter the settlement. Ukrainians used small mortar systems to be able to react very quickly to the organized enemy defense and suppress their fire. After around 5 minutes of work, Ukrainians were ready to enter the outer edge of the settlement.
Today, Russian sources reported that Ukrainians were already digging trenches and preparing fortifications in the southern part of the settlement right near Piatykhatky.
Russians once again claimed that they unleashed their artillery and Ukrainians abandoned the village without a fight, however, some sources specified that only 1 personnel carrier arrived at the village, collected the wounded, brought reinforcements, and left.
The freshest reports indicate that Russians engaged several Ukrainian assault units in the vicinity of Zherebianky, however, the specifics are yet unknown.
When it comes to the main direction of attack, first of all, today, Ukrainian sources reported that battalion and brigade commanders had a meeting with higher-level commanders specifically to communicate the solutions to the problems that they encountered in the first days, and it was confirmed that all plans were adjusted.
One of the lower-level commanders said that mistakes were inevitable at the beginning because it was simply impossible to predict everything on paper.
He said that one of the things that they implemented is a new approach to engineering reconnaissance, and Russian mines have already become a lesser problem.
Ukrainians forces also received a lot of critique for not using mine rollers, however, it turned out the initial Russian footage just did not include Ukrainian mine rollers to show the enemy in a bad light. Recent footage confirms that Ukrainians did not attack unprepared.
Today, Ukrainians also confirmed that they successfully evacuated Leopard tanks, and most of them had minor damage, so Ukrainians quickly changed the road wheels and tracks, and the tanks were ready for use.
And Ukrainians managed to evacuate those tanks from the front line because in the aftermath of yesterday’s battle, the front line shifted by up to 3 km.
Over the last 3 days, Russian sources were continuously reporting that even though Ukrainians managed to take several positions, their attacks were repelled, and later all lost positions were recaptured.
However, if we look at these Russian maps, we can that see that over the last 3 days, the front line shifted south significantly. In fact, Ukrainians managed to penetrate a 16 km wide front by up to 3 km.
And this is consistent with the reports that Ukrainians managed to get very close to Robotyne and also capture tactical heights because if we look at the topographic map, we can see that Ukrainians captured precisely the hill that we discussed yesterday, even according to Russian maps.
This is also consistent with reports of Ukrainian fighters who claimed that they now have direct visual control of the main Russian strongholds.
Recently a Russian commander elaborated on the Russian tactics.
The goal of the first line of defense is to exhaust Ukrainian attackers and, if the attack it too intense, retreat to the second line.
Once Ukrainian attackers exhaust their offensive capabilities, Russians deploy their reserves, counterattack the exhausted Ukrainians and recapture all the positions.
It seems like, so far, the second part of the plan did not really work.
One of the reasons why it doesn’t work is that after the attack, Ukrainians use Remote Anti-Armor Mine systems or RAAM to distantly mine the roads that are used by Russian reserves.
RAAM is a specialist artillery shell that scatters anti-armor mines up 17 km away from the firing unit.
Today Russian sources reported that Ukrainians managed to mine all the main Russian roads between Robotyne and Verbove, which is exactly where Ukrainians are trying to advance.
Several hours ago, Russian sources reported that Ukrainians launched artillery preparation, which is why they are preparing to face yet another wave of attack at night.
Russian sources complained that Ukrainians switched to night attacks because Western equipment gives them the edge on the battlefield at night.
The Head of one of the Russian organizations for the inspection and supplies of weapons, Rogozin, stated that he does not share the enthusiasm around the reports of the Ukrainian defeat.
He said that Ukrainians have accumulated 600 tanks in the Orikhiv direction and that we are yet to see the main phase of the counteroffensive operation.
••The problem with the direction of the offensive is that Russia expected it, unlike the Kharkiv offensive.
Because UA troops and drone operators are not allowed to post on social media about the offensive, the only information comes from the Russians.
Russian video images are truthful, but the comments are not. People see the images of the damaged tank, read the captions, then believe them - without digging deeper.
Denys said if the flaws and mistakes are not talked about, then they will not be corrected, and people will think the Russian propaganda is truthful.
==
Strikes were conducted on Melitopol, Tokmak and Berdyansk. There is only one railroad to bring in supplies and it runs to all those cities. The only other way is from Crimea, and across their damaged Kersh Bridge.
The are 3 Russian defense lines, each with its own amount of artillery shells, cutting their supplies means there’s only a limited time each line can hold.
==
Failed convoy make up:
Leopard 2A4 was modified with extra armor. T-55 modified de-mining vehicle. Badly damaged and maybe burned out Bradleys. Some of the Russian images of Bradley’s are not from Ukraine - they sell have desert paint jobs. A Leopard 2A6 may have burned out - but not sure if it was an A6, maybe A5. Leopard 2R de-mining vehicle left de-mining device behind.
Social media plays a big part in the informational war; when only one side puts out information, the other side appears to be losing - even if they are actually winning.
Russians continue to say that many Leopards and Bradley were lost when that is not true. But Westerners see that and without information to the contrary ask to stop sending equipment to Ukraine, which is the Russian objective here.
==
Mistakes:
1. Too close together
2. No drone defenses
3. Daylight, minefield, very narrow road, flat terrain.
4. Lack of military intelligence about the entire situation.
Who in the Command chain was responsible for giving the particular order to use that road at that time and in that configuration?
==
The nuclear power plant
The last working reactor went to cold idle
Bakhmut:
Wagners say the UA continues to advance and the Regular troops continue to run away. PMC is very disappointed. The UA finally crossed the water channel separating the sides, allowing for more advances
••From the Wagner channel:
Unfortunately, the situation is not developing in the best way on the southern flank of the Bakhmut direction.
The day before, the 57th Motorized Rifle Brigade lost a section on the western bank of the Seversky Donets canal 1200 m wide and up to 180 m deep. No more than 3.5 km to the village of Andreevka.
In December, the Wagner fighters did a titanic job of occupying the territories west of Andreevka. Now they sometimes give up in a matter of hours.
==
The Armed Forces launched a missile attack on the headquarters where Putin held a meeting in April - OSINT analyst. According to reports, it is about the headquarters of the “East” Troop Group of the National Guard of the Russian Federation on the Arabatskaya arrow (Kherson region).
Storm Shadow missiles flew there early in the morning.
==
Hard to say what is really happening now in the Zaporizhzha frontline with details. Last night there was the intensive artillery fire from Ukrainian side, but Ukrainian Army didn’t move in to penetrate the defence of the Ruzzian army. Ukraine had lots of reserves but they are not infinite. Looks like UAF attacked on one of the most defended places.
Again information is coming with tiny little parts and it is hard to see the whole picture at this point. Officially Ukraine is not on the Counterattack attack, but in fact it is.
==
The Russians are fighting better than expected - Bild.
Whoever expected that Ukraine would quickly win as soon as Western tanks and armored personnel carriers appeared in service was mistaken.
Everything looks like that Ukraine will not conduct a massive offensive with all the new weapons, but will use it purposefully in different places.
It becomes obvious that there will be no victory until the end of the year. Ukraine’s efforts to liberate the territory could drag on for years, as the Russian Federation has built a very powerful line of defense over the past 15 months.
BILD journalist Julian Repke, who previously reported the defeat of the German-made IRIS-T air defense system, clarifies that the system has not been destroyed and continues to work.
==
The Dam:
Map of possible flood area:
https://t.me/pilotblog/4470
Image of new Leopard 2 tanks in Ukraine
https://t.me/pilotblog/4487
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 8, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ Russians Lost The Hills | Ukrainians Storm The 1st Line of Defense | New Gains Secured ]
••Day 470: Jun 08
Today the most intense clashes took place in the Orikhiv direction. First of all, more information became available about the results of yesterday’s attacks.
When it comes to Lobkove, if yesterday Russian sources claimed that this village is in the grey zone, then today Russian sources confirmed that Ukrainians had established total control over the settlement and started moving further.
It was reported that in order to capitalize on these tactical gains, the size of the assault group has doubled: yesterday, Ukrainians used 4 Humvees and 2 tanks, while today, Ukrainians reportedly had 8 Humvees and 4 tanks.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see that this time Russians have a tactical advantage, so in order to overcome it, Ukrainians need to fix Russian troops while simultaneously closing the distance as fast as possible, which is now possible to do by moving through Lobkove.
When it comes to the attacks south of Orikhiv, more information became available here as well.
Russian sources released combat footage of the aftermath of 2 Ukrainian attacks south of Mala Tokmachka, which features real Leopard tanks.
During the first attack, Ukrainians used around 9 pieces of equipment, and during the second attack, they used around 11 pieces of equipment.
Unfortunately, the first assault group ran into mines, which allowed the Russian reconnaissance team to quickly spot the movement, request artillery support and repel the attack on the approach.
After this incident, Russian drone operators were closely monitoring the region for hours on end and managed to detect the second group timely as well.
This time the attack was prevented mostly by artillery fire, not mines.
In total, Ukrainians lost at least 4 armored personnel carriers and 1 Leopard tank. Other equipment was reportedly damaged and later pulled back for reparation [ repair ].
Based on the footage, we can identify that Ukrainians were moving along the tree line and were stopped right in front of the H-08 highway.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Ukrainians were advancing in the direction of tactical heights.
Ukrainians quickly rectified their mistakes. Recently released footage shows how yesterday Ukrainians used M58 to de-mine the problematic areas.
Ukrainians also conducted de-mining in multiple regions because otherwise, Russians would know that Ukrainians have only 1 viable path.
Ukrainians also launched the attack before dawn in order to complicate the early detection of troops, and it worked out.
Today Russian sources reported that the first Ukrainian assault group managed to reach the first line of defense and start close combat fighting.
It turned out that Ukrainians picked the area right in between 2 separate Russian companies, which allowed Ukrainians to exploit the lack of coordination on this section of the front line.
After gaining a foothold, Ukrainians reportedly reinforced the attack group with 10 armored fighting vehicles, including several tanks, and around 100 troops to support 5 lines of attack.
At 5 am, Russian sources reported that they lost 1 tactical height, which means that Russian forces were also successfully split.
After receiving more reinforcements, Ukrainians immediately started storming Russian defenses on the next tactical height, which Ukrainians reportedly shelled non-stop for 3 hours.
The fights continued almost until the evening.
The aftermath of the fights is hard to determine at this time.
Mainstream Russian sources reported that Ukrainians did not manage to take more positions.
Less prominent Russian sources cited a soldier on the ground who said that, in total, Ukrainians took several positions but did not breach the main line of defense.
A Ukrainian soldier on the ground reported that they could finally see Polohy in binoculars, further confirming that new tactical heights in the region were successfully taken.
The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed Ukrainians used 150 tanks and armored fighting vehicles.
They stated that they repelled the attack and destroyed 30 tanks, including 3 Leopards and 10 other armored vehicles.
This contradicts the reports of unofficial Russian sources, who also claim that a lot of equipment was destroyed, but unanimously say that Ukrainians are using far more wheeled vehicles, such as Humvees, than tanks.
On top of that, due to the ongoing media hunt on Leopards, confirming losses became even more difficult as some sources started photoshopping Leopards into the real footage.
Overall, Russian sources reported that Ukrainians managed to succeed in only 1 out of 5 lines of attack.
However, it is important to note that not all attacks are conducted to secure new positions.
Just line in chess, some moves are meant to fix the enemy forces, stretch the forces as thinly as possible, distract the enemy drone operators, stretch the artillery fire as thinly as possible, confuse the enemy command as to where is the main attack, and create uncertainty about the deployment of the reserves.
••Denys admits the counter attack has started because of the 3 days of fighting in the south. Shows UA column on a road the the front. There are 12 armored vehicles, including Leopard-2 tanks and a de-mining vehicle at the column front.
The took the only road that was not mined on the way to the front. They were traveling only a few meters apart, just inviting a strike. The ‘book’ says there should be at least a 15 meter separation.
[ Obviously a trap, and the Russians had already input the coordinates to their artillery. They just need their drone to spot the UA on the road. ]
He is quite disappointed at what happened to the column. After the initial, strike the video shows the tanks all bunched up in a single spot on the road.
Denys says the commanders of this column should be dismissed and prosecuted. Losses like the in battle are understandable, but not such losses on the way to the front. A big mistake. Plus, the Russian drone was flying freely over the column, ceding any air cover.
Where are the anti-drone electronic systems?
Where are the air defenses?
Where is the UA Military Intelligence that should have checked the possible directions for the future counter attack?
Where is the vaunted meticulous planning?
Denys said he well knows the actual place where the strike happened, and that all the surrounding fields were mined by the UA.
Denys said they should have reformed the army before the counter attack, but obviously they had not.
[ Where is the command personnel who were Western trained? The commanders who would not have led columns Soviet-stye? ]
Denys points to Ukrainian MoD Reznikov, who should’ve resigned a long tine ago, who was directly involved in corruption and the food scandals in the UA. [ Apparently, Reznikov is in command of the overall operation, not the Western trained generals. ]
There are still many ‘dinosaur’, inflexible, Soviet-stye commanders in the UA. These commanders do not care about human lives or equipment losses.
Continuing with the counter attack will bring more losses than there should be because of the Dinosaurs - so we should expect to hear more unnecessary losses of life and equipment.
Ukrainian media is silent on the losses and the reason for them. Just like the Russians: nothing is happening here.
Denys asks the Western allies to go into the Army, to figure out what is wrong with it, and make the changes needed. The utility of the Western weapons is on the line here, and wasting it before even getting close to the front is very bad.
Denys said some of the losses on the front are from traitors among the locals and the Army itself that gave the Russians the exact locations of pieces of equipment and troop locations. Many of these were eliminated, but some remain.
Analysis of the loses in that column are 4 M-113 vehicles and at least 1 Leopard-2 tank; there were others destroyed that remain unidentified due to poor video quality.
These Russian are not running away, unlike the ones around Bakhmut.
••In case of an unsuccessful counteroffensive, they will probably no longer help Ukraine - Politico. According to the publication, if the counter-offensive fails, then Western assistance may be stopped, and more pressure will be put on Ukraine to agree to peace talks with the Russian Federation.
“The White House is watching the Ukrainian counteroffensive with concern, realizing that Biden’s reputation is also at stake.”
==
Drone targeted residential building inVoronezh (Russia). The drone was flying towards an aircraft factory, Russians started jamming it with electronic interference warfare, it lost its course and altitude and flew into a residential building. Three people were injured, they were cut by glass fragments.
==
Video of a UA amphibious vehicle crossing a river when 2 fish jump aboard - one going into the driver’s hatch for a dinner appointment.
==
As for the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant. It is unable to get the water to the cooling reservoir any longer because the water level in the Kahovka water reservoir dropped below the limit to enter the NPP lake. IAEA says that for now the NPP is safe and for the next month the water in NPP system is enough for cooling.
The question is what will happen after one month.
==
Video of maybe 100 Russians leaving their positions in a village in the south.
==
F-16 fighters will be in Ukraine in 2-3 months, - ex-commander of the ground forces of Poland Skshipchak.
He also said that before the NATO summit (to be held in July) “something should happen that will show that Ukraine is worthy of trust.” [ Possibly referring to a successful country attack? ]
Ukraine worthy of trust?
NATO should show if they are ...
==
The deployment of Russian nuclear weapons in Belarus will begin after July 7-8. Dictator rises stakes…
==
Hungary must be excluded from NATO if it is on the side of Russia - Polish general. “If Hungary is on Putin’s side, then it need to see a” yellow card “ we say: if you do not change your position, then leave NATO. It cannot be that Hungary is terrorizing the entire Alliance. If Orban wants to blackmail us, then Hungary must be excluded from the Alliance,” he said.
==
Image of 4 abandoned heavy infantry fighting vehicles M2A2 Bradley ODS-SA and one Leopard 2A6 as a result of a yesterday’s convoy ambush. Very sad
Russia says that the counterattack failed but little by little they are leaving their positions on the south. Again the main attack forces yet to be used.
==
NATO reconnaissance planes circle the Black Sea. According to the Flight radar resource, an American Lockheed EP-3E Aries II electronic reconnaissance aircraft is flying over the territorial waters of Romania.
Also, the Romanian Black Sea coast is patrolled by a Boeing RC-135W Rivet Joint aircraft of the British Air Force.
They provide information about the Russian forces to Ukrainian army command.
==
The Dam:
Map of possible flood area:
https://t.me/pilotblog/4470
Image of new Leopard 2 tanks in Ukraine
https://t.me/pilotblog/4487
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 7, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
==
——>Ukraine’s Prized IRIS-T Air Defense System Attacked By Russian Drone In Video <——
The advanced truck-mounted TRML-4D radar the Russian loitering munitions look to have targeted may be the only one Ukraine has received.
==
——> Dozens Of Dutch F-16s Were Just Freed Up Potentially For Ukraine <——
Draken, a U.S. adversary air contractor, will now take just six former Dutch F-16 fighter jets, leaving more potentially for Ukraine.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/dozens-of-dutch-f-16s-were-just-freed-up-potentially-for-ukraine
[ Tactical Genius | We Were Done in 20 Minutes ]
••Day 469: Jun 07
The most intense clashes took place in the Zaporizhia region.
The first attack was directed toward Lobkove. Ukrainians reportedly used at least two squads consisting of 4 armored fighting vehicles and 2 Humvees, which means that it was a light reconnaissance-in-force operation.
After a short engagement, Ukrainians understood the most current Russian positions and the number of troops defending them and withdrew with minor losses.
Immediately after the attack, Ukrainian artillery shelled the region intensely in cooperation with drone operators, who corrected the fire to maximize the damage.
After a quick regrouping, Ukrainians assaulted Russians in Lobkove again. One assault unit advanced from Stepove and attacked Russians from the hills. If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Lobkove is located in the lowlands, which means that Ukrainians had a tactical advantage.
However, Russians in Zherebianky are also at elevated positions and could with ease fire at Ukrainians. That is why the second Ukrainian group advanced along the gully and assaulted Zherebianky, drawing their attention away from the main target.
Russian sources reported that they stopped Ukrainians 1 km away from Zherebianky, which means that Ukrainians never left the gully and confirms that they were just distracting the enemy.
Russian sources reported that Ukrainians also used 2 tanks to provide fire support from a distance and help to take Lobkove as fast as possible. As a result, Ukrainians destroyed Russians in Lobkove and penetrated Russian positions by 2 km.
Some Russian sources reported that Ukrainians immediately abandoned Lobkove, and the village became a grey zone, but just like the last time, these reports were based on the fact that Ukrainians withdrew heavy equipment away from the contact line after a successful assault. Despite tactical successes, judging by the small number of forces involved, this was still a reconnaissance-in-force operation.
The goal of these attacks was to check Russian defenses, the speed of reaction and cooperation, force Russians to reveal their artillery positions, and map the minefields.
In the long run, a successful development of attacks here will secure the flanks and allow to consider deep penetration in the main direction, which is south of Orikhiv.
And when it comes to the main direction, Ukrainians conducted a mass reconnaissance-in-force operation here as well. Many sources reported that at around 2 pm, Ukrainians opened 4 lines of attack: toward Nesterianka, Kopani, Robotyne, and Novopokrovka. It was reported that Ukrainians used approximately the same size of assault units, namely around 4 armored vehicles, 4 Humvees, and sometimes 2 or 3 tanks.
When it comes to the Velyka Novosilka direction, Russian sources reported that Ukrainians attacked Levadne from Olhivske, Novodarivka, and Rivnopil from Novopil and the hills west of Storozheve.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Ukrainians are not necessarily aiming to secure settlements but rather tactical heights. Ukrainians already control the highest position in the region, which is Novopil, so by gradually increasing the area of control in the tree lines around Novodarivka and Rivnopil, Ukrainians gradually undermine Russian defense.
This is extremely visible south of Novosilka - by controlling the hills west of the river, Ukrainians will be able to force Russians out of the settlements in the lowlands without a fight, and it seems like this is already happening.
Even though Russian sources claim that they did not lose Neskuchne and Storozheve, they confirmed that Ukrainians successfully established control over the hills around these settlements, which put Russians in a very difficult position.
Lastly, when it comes to the previous successful Ukrainian attack on Novodonetske, the area of Ukrainian control has shank due to the Russian counterattacks. Nonetheless, Russian sources confirm here as well that Ukrainians retained a foothold south of the river, which is located on the tactical heights west of the settlement.
We can observe that the Head of the Wagner forces, Prigozhin, was likely right when he criticized the obsession of the Russian High Command with settlements.
He said that regular Russian forces often prioritize holding or capturing settlements over tactical positions around these settlements, which basically means choosing the path of the most resistance. Prigozhin said that this produces good-looking reports instead of good situations on the ground.
Prigozhin also ridiculed the most recent Russian situational report, where Defense Minister Shoigu reported that they destroyed 8 Leopards during the fights around Novodonetske.
Russian Ministry of Defense decided to back up its claims and solidify its reputation and posted combat footage of how its assault helicopter Ka-52 destroyed 4 Leopards just 3 km north of Novodonetske.
Unfortunately for the Russian Ministry of Defense, people quickly identified from the silhouette that all of the targets were combine harvester. Fortunately, there were casualties as the farmers were not working at the time.
Today real combat footage was finally released, and it confirms that Ukrainians mostly used T-64 tanks. So far, the strategic reserves, namely the 9th and 10th Corps, that Ukrainians created specifically to participate in the main phase of the counteroffensive remain untouched, and Leopard tanks have not been used as well.
Just like during the previous counteroffensive operations, Ukrainians are increasing the intensity of attacks along the whole front line slowly, and only when they reach the main line of fortification and can no longer advance by conducting small attacks Ukrainians will pick the weakest spot and finally use their Leopards to deliver the main blow.
••Bakhmut:
To the south, a significant move of 4km. The 3rd Assault Battalion does not have river crossing equipment which is needed to advance further east. They could cross further along the front to the south, but it is risky.
To halt this advance, the Russia sent more reinforcements to the south, to the Klishchiivka area.
To the northwest of Bakhmut, Berkhivka mostly taken. This blocks the Russians to the west and can only leave the area by climbing over the hills to the north.
The problem fore the UA remains with the 90 meter high hill. This hill must be taken before entering the city.
Taking the hill means control over Yahidne, Dubovo-Vasylivka, and maybe Krasna Hora.
Prigozhin said the city will be under UA control in no more than 45 days, with the Russian army fleeing further east.
Light push keeps the frog in the pot and little by little the frog will boil.
==
Shebekinio:
RLF has been in Novaya Tavolzhanka, Russia for one week now. Taken by ~100 guys with guns bought at a local hardware store :). Russian sent reinforcements to Shebekinio thinking they are in that area.
If the Russian begin to push them, they will just withdraw to Ukraine - the main thing is to limit losses as they only have ~100 people.
Russian Media is silent on this situation - for them it does not exist.
==
Kherson:
Russia is evacuating Kinbersky Peninsula. UA could take this spit, as it is very important to guarding the ships bound for Mykolaiv port.
Woman trapped on roof in the flood area near Oleshky was given water sent by UA via drone, later some troops went and rescued her. Russians do not care about the people that are still trapped.
No help is being received from the UN or Red Cross.
The water channel soon will not have enough water to send to Crimea which is 80% of the water going to Crimea.
Nuclear power plant has enough water to keep the reactors cool.
Satellite images are arriving of the flooding.
The people on the Ukrainian side mostly evacuated. However, on the Russian side, nothing is being done, and the Russians reassured everyone ‘nothing huge is happening’.
Ukraine sent volunteers to Russian controlled Oleshky to evacuate people from their roofs where they were sunbathing and taking in the view, creating selfies to post on social media, etc. Because ‘nothing huge is happening’.
Zelensky:
Because of the Russian criminal terrorists who blew the hydroelectric power plant all the interconnections to the Ukraine power grid are no more and there could be an issue later causing the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant to shut down.
All of this eliminates 1/3rd of Ukraine’s power, and there will likely be parts of the country blacked out again.
Because of Russia created a flood and humanitarian crisis, the southern part of Ukraine may turn into a desert, which creates a food crisis, which creates a demographic crisis.
==
Western drive-by media is mistaking UA reconnaissance-by-force as the main offensive.
==
Parking lot in Kiev were there UN parks, someone spray painted them “Useless”.
==
The UK Guardian is reporting some NATO members may send troops to Ukraine. This, after the main NATO-Ukraine Summit in Vilnis does not create security guarantees.
==
F-16s:
Zelensky in the Moldova: Ukraine will get many F-16s. The actual number surprised him and made him very happy. They will not arrive in drips and drabs like Western artillery, tanks and IFVs, but all at once.
••Demonstration of how the Russian fake images:
Sometimes photos might be photoshopped like for example this one. They took their own damaged tank and put the leopard-2 model. You may see it if you look at the smoke cloud.
==
Wagnerites kidnap Russian soldiers, torture and lower them, sometimes forcing them to be “slaves” - Russian Defense Ministry lieutenant colonel Vinivitin
The commander of the 72nd brigade of the RF Armed Forces, who was recently captured by the Wagnerites, was probably released from captivity and is now reading a new video message from the sheet:
“I was captured, kept in the basement, mocked in the way that any embittered Russian soldier would not mock a captured soldier of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
I was beaten, not allowed to sleep, three times a night they simply dragged me out of the basement and tried to shoot me. The video of my interrogation is the result of pressure.”
“There was a case related to the threat of reprisals against the fighters of the EW company, who were promised to be surrounded and “zeroed out” only because they did not work the way the “Wagners” wanted.
The foreman of one of the battalions was kidnapped, he was tortured, tortured, splashed with acid in his eyes, poured gasoline on him.
“A fighter from a neighboring formation was “lowered”, and out of hopelessness, he simply ended his life by suicide. There were cases when fighters were kidnapped and people tried to exchange them for ammunition.”
Another aggravation of relations between the Kremlin towers.
==
President Zelensky visited the Kherson area that was flooded because of the dam destruction
==
Video: Russians launched the attack on the volunteers who evacuate people from the flooded houses ...
==
The Dam:
Map of possible flood area:
https://t.me/pilotblog/4470
Image of new Leopard 2 tanks in Ukraine
https://t.me/pilotblog/4487
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 6, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
==
——> Ukraine’s F-16s Could Come With These Weapons <——
A detailed breakdown of the munitions Ukraine is likely to get, and some it is less likely to get, with its F-16s.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraines-f-16s-could-come-with-these-weapons
==
——> Dam Destroyed, Accusations Fly, Waters Rise, War Plans Could Change <——
The loss of the dam is a huge ecological and humanitarian disaster, but it also changes the very topography of the battlefield.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/dam-destroyed-accusations-fly-waters-rise-war-plans-could-change
==
——> Russia Blows Up Farm Equipment, Claims They’re Leopard Tanks <——
Russia’s bogus ‘Leopard hunt’ in Ukraine is the latest in a long line of easily disproven propaganda claims.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russia-blows-up-farm-equipment-claims-theyre-leopard-tanks
[ Counter Offensive Canceled | Major Turmoil!!! Ukrainian 20km ]
••Day 468: Jun 06
Today the biggest news comes from the Kherson region.
Here, due to the partial destruction of the Kahovka Hydroelectric Power Plant, the water has wiped out dozens of settlements and islands and caused a huge ecological and humanitarian problem.
In this video, I will tell you how the dam was destroyed, how it affects the nuclear power plant, and how it affects the Ukrainian counteroffensive operation.
First of all, we need to understand the scale of the destruction.
The areas that took the hardest hit are located in close proximity to the dam.
In Nova Kahovka, the water levels increased by 5 meters and completely flooded the town.
Some videos show that the current carried whole houses down the stream.
The walls of other buildings often collapsed under pressure, which resulted in the total demolition of the houses.
The islands in front of the town have almost completely disappeared.
When it comes to other settlements down the stream, the level of destruction turned out to be even higher.
Because of their location, the settlements on the eastern side of the river were hit by the wave.
By noon, 13 settlements appeared underwater, and it is expected that up to 40 settlements will appear underwater in total because the hole in the dam gradually becomes bigger, sending more and more water down the stream.
Apart from the settlements, hundreds of cemeteries, land fields, and also burial grounds for infected cattle were flooded as well, which means that there is an extremely high risk of contamination of the water with infectious and fatal diseases.
On top of that, the flood damaged the oil refinery in Kozatske, and some sources reported that hundreds of tons of oil spilled into the river.
The only good news comes from the nuclear power plant.
The engineers protected the nuclear power plant against such accidents. The power plant has two separate water pools operating in a closed circuit.
The only times when the power plant takes the water from the reservoir is when the water level in the pools slightly drops due to evaporation.
So, even if the dam down the stream completely disappears, the water can still be pumped via pipes.
But refilling is a very rare event, and given that right now, the power plant only works at 33% capacity and uses only 2 out of 6 blocks, there will be no shortages of water.
At first, Russian state media reported that Ukrainians intensely shelled the dam and damaged the flood gates resulting in uncontrolled water release.
Ukrainian analysts responded to these claims by pointing out that Ukrainians could not even destroy the Antonivskyi Bridge with HIMARS by shelling it for 2 months.
The dam is an extremely powerful structure that can only be damaged by planting tons of explosives.
The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed that this is exactly what Ukrainians did.
Defense Minister Shoigu reported that Russian forces completely defeated the Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Zaporizhzhia region, Ukrainians decided to compensate for the losses by redeploying everyone from the Kherson region, and because Ukrainians were afraid that Russians would take advantage of the empty front line and again capture Kherson, Ukrainians blew up the dam.
The Ukrainian side responded by pointing out that the hole in the dam is located in the middle, and since Russians had destroyed the bridge on the Ukrainian side, only Russians had access to the middle section of the dam, and only Russians could transport tons of explosives.
Ukrainian officials claimed that Russians decided to blow up the dam because Ukrainians had gradually established control over all islands and were ready open a second southern front and conduct an amphibious operation.
In fear that they would not be able to cope with the Ukrainian offensive in Zaporizhia and Kherson simultaneously, Russians blew up the dam and wiped out all Ukrainian positions on the islands.
Interestingly, some Ukrainian sources pointed out that the same occupation officials that blamed Ukraine at first pretended that there were no explosions.
The news about the explosion started appearing at 2 am.
At 3 am, the occupation mayor of Nova Kahovka reported that the news about the explosion is fake and that he is in the town and confirms that the night has been quiet.
50 minutes later, he said that Ukrainians were shelling the dam all night and damaged the flood-gates.
The analysts concluded that Russians tried to make a relatively small hole in the dam to flood only Ukrainians on the islands.
Close to 4 am they understood that they had screwed up because the power of water gradually amplified the destruction, and the top part of the dam started to fall apart.
As a result, the Ukrainian counteroffensive from the Kherson direction is temporarily canceled.
The river is 4-5 kilometers wide, so Ukrainians will be spotted and destroyed before even getting close to the other side of the river.
Right now, Ukrainians are conducting an evacuation of their troops and ammunition that they shipped to the islands.
Interestingly, Russians are doing the same.
Because the flood turned out to be much bigger than expected, a lot of Russian positions were gradually cut off from the mainland and turned into shrinking islands.
In the morning, many Russian social media channels started warning all Russian soldiers that they had only 2 hours to leave, not 3 days.
This means that Russian forces were preliminarily informed to abandon their positions, however, because the timing turned out to be off, not all Russians soldiers could be saved on time, and many of them were wiped out by the current.
Because the flood turned out to be much more severe, in the long run, Russian may even end up inflicting more damage to themselves.
Some Ukrainian analysts reported that many parts of the first line of Russian defense have already appeared underwater.
Most of the ammunition and equipment will not be saved, the trenches will be turned into pools, and the fortification along the bank will be wiped out.
The water is expected to recede in around 2 weeks, and it is unlikely that Russians can resupply the whole Kherson group.
Simultaneously, as the water level upstream is rapidly dropping, the width of the river in this region can shrink to the point where Ukrainians will unlock a new direction for an amphibious attack and will be able to pick the place on a 250km front instead of just 70km.
Such an attack will be even more destructive to the Russian plans, as they will not be able to deploy enough troops to police the whole eastern bank, while simultaneously defensing against the counteroffensive in Zaporizhia.
••Most of the flooding will be on south side, the Russian controlled side of the Dnipro River. This is the biggest ecological and humanitarian disaster for Ukraine since Chernobyl.
The Kinburn Spit will turn into an island. Most of the water in the reservoir was used for agriculture. It will take about 3 days to drain, leaving only the normal Dnipro River.
All of the canals leading from the reservoir will be dry and that part of the south of Ukraine will be terrible for agriculture; it is expected to decline by 70%. Worse, some parts of the south and Crimea could turn into deserts.
As far as the nuclear power plant goes, the biggest risk is not the cooling, but the Russian soldiers that control it. [ Look what they did to the dam they controlled! ]
The Russian did not just destroy the dam, they also destroyed the hydroelectric power plant. Images of the damage shows smoke coming from the part of the plant nearest the shore, indicating an internal explosion.
Other images, taken after the initial explosion, show ongoing detonation of the remaining mines.
All of this area was under Russian control and only they had the ability to bring in the necessary tons of explosives.
When there Russian pulled out of Kherson region, they blew up the northern most part of the road across the dam. The Ukrainians shelled the southern most part of the road, but no one bombed the plant or the dam itself.
Last summer some Russian troops said on social media that they had mined the inside of the dam. This was later confirmed by UA Intelligence, and Zelensky mentioned it in one of his speeches.
Prior to the explosion of there dam, the Russians drastically limited the water release to create a lot more pressure on the dam, helping to ensure its total destruction.
Many animals and pets will or have died in the flood, including an entire local zoo.
US Intelligence claims it has proof the Russians blew the dam.
What was the Russians motive for this wanton destruction? They lost many troops, equipment and their first line defense. Ostensibly, it was to stop the future UA offensive in the region, so with their flood it is impossible for an offensive to take place there.
==
Bakhmut:
UA’s limited forces are still unable to take the 90 meter heights.
==
Russia claimed it shot down a Ukrainian drone over Crimea, but it turned out to be an Iranian drone - one of their own.
==
Prigozhin commented on the attack against the harvesters, calling the Russian army very stupid. He goes on to say Russia is preparing to use nukes, not in Ukraine, but against Russia itself.
He continued saying, the Russian Command needs to show they are a mighty power and are crazy enough to use nukes. They will use them in the Belgorod area, which is why they are evacuating the area. This is Prigozhin’s opinion; there are no facts supporting his opinion.
••The Dam:
Map of possible flood area:
https://t.me/pilotblog/4470
==
From Prigozhin:
Russian command has probably a stupid Idea to drop a tactical Nuclear bomb on its own territory to show the world the mighty power and how crazy sick we are.
Because Russian army scared of dropping nukes on other countries. Probably that is why we are leaving the territories in Belgorod region.
Also it is a big question weather the bomb will work based on the chaos in the Russian army.
Prigozhin, it is time for you to move to Moscow… all bridges are destroyed for you… civil war awaits Russia…
==
More From Prigozhin:
Today, the Ministry of Defense reported on the defeat of the Leopard 2 tank, however, the destroyed vehicle looks more like a John Deer 4830 combine.
Yevgeny Prigozhin hastened to congratulate the military department on another victory:
“You can clearly see how the Leopard tanks move in a strange tactical maneuver towards each other. These tanks are disguised as agricultural combines, their muzzles are bent down, but this did not prevent our ATGMs from seeing enemy equipment in them.
The behavior of dill is especially outrageous. These bastards have learned to disguise tanks as combines, and tankers as combiners. Thank you for your work. We will destroy everything that has a bent barrel.”
Image of new Leopard 2 tanks in Ukraine
https://t.me/pilotblog/4487
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 5, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ It’s not. ]
==
——> Guy Built An Airsoft Phalanx CIWS In His Garage <——
The scale model of the Phalanx makes mincemeat of paper targets by spewing airsoft BBs like its big brother fires 20mm rounds.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/guy-built-an-airsoft-phalanx-ciws-in-his-garage
[ Raising home defense to whole new level - get one before the rush. ]
[ Russians Miss The Main Attack!!! | Watch Out!! | We Tricked Them ]
••Day 467: Jun 05
Today there is a lot of good news.
When it comes to the Belgorod region, the insurgent forces are ramping up the intensity of their attacks, and today the commander of the Russian Volunteer Corps reported that they completed the clearing of Tavolzhanka.
The head of the Belgorod region confirmed that Russian forces lost control over the settlement and that the situation does not look promising for Russians at this time.
As the clashes continued, combat footage showed how the insurgent destroyed at least 4 new tanks and armored fighting vehicles.
Combat footage also confirmed that the insurgents took captive new Russian soldiers.
Due to the reluctance of the Head of the Belgorod region to organize a prisoner exchange, the head of the Wagner Group, Prigozhin, made an announcement stating that if the Russian officials do not care about their people, then he will take care of it himself.
The commander of the insurgent detachment recognized a unique opportunity to drive another wedge between Prigozhin and the Russian Ministry of Defense and made an announcement that from now on, they will cooperate with Prigozhin.
When it comes to the Bakhmut direction, Ukrainians continue to advance.
Today the Ukrainian Deputy Minister of Defense reported that Ukrainians made a series of successful assaults on the northern Bakhmut’s flank.
The Head of the Wagner Group, Prigozhin, took an opportunity to criticize the regular Russian army for letting Ukrainians enter Berkhivka.
Some sources indicate that other attacks were directed toward Dubovo-Vasylivka, Paraskoviivka, and Zaliznianske, but at the moment, there is no geolocated footage to confirm the gains.
The situation of the southern Bakhmut’s flank is even more favorable for Ukrainians.
As expected, Ukrainians quickly started using their gains to conduct a pincer movement on Klishchiivka.
A commander of a detachment on the ground reported that Russians in Klishchiivka are about to abandon their positions because Ukrainians destroyed their logistics in the region, and there is no hope of support.
Ukrainian soldiers released a warning to the Russian soldiers to leave their positions as soon as possible, or they will die from artillery fire.
After seeing no movement, the Ukrainians opened intense fire.
The intercepted radio exchanges revealed extreme panic and desperation.
After demonstrating what was waiting for them, the Ukrainian stopped the fire and issued another warning to leave Klishchiiivka because they were operationally encircled.
But the biggest news today once again comes from the south.
Russian sources claimed that today Russian forces conducted a counterattack and pushed Ukrainians out of Neskuchne.
Later, Russian sources reported that Ukrainians somehow assaulted the next settlement on the line - Storozheve - and again used several motorized rifle companies.
Russian sources claimed that the attack was repelled, and Ukrainians were pushed out of these two settlements. Ukrainian sources reported that they captured Storozheve.
It looks like Russians saw how Ukrainians were withdrawing their heavy equipment from the contact line after the assault and considered that Ukrainians retreated due to their intense artillery fire.
However, as some analysts pointed out, Ukrainians likely left light infantry in the trenches to hold the area while prudently saving the equipment from the artillery fire.
And such a decision is not surprising, especially given how small and vulnerable to artillery fire these settlements are and how intensely Russians used incendiary munitions today at night.
When it comes to Novodarivka, here it looks like Russian forces indeed managed to recapture the village.
Nonetheless, Ukrainians retained control over the fields in front of the settlement, which made it easier to attack. Russian sources reported that Ukrainians assaulted Novodarivka and Rivnopil from the north and used up to 1 battalion tactical group.
However, the main Ukrainian attack came from the opposite direction.
The commander of the Russian Volunteer Battalion Vostok reported that Ukrainians tricked Russian forces by making it look like they were preparing to reinforce the small attacks in the western part.
He stated that this allowed Ukrainians to close the distance almost undetected, and because Ukrainians also simultaneously jammed radio signals, Russians could not request support and were defeated.
Shortly, Ukrainians also launched assaults in the direction of Urozhaine and Novomaiorske, but just like last time, the goal was not to immediately capture the next settlements but rather widen the bridgehead and establish positions in the fields.
Such a combination of highly coordinated actions allowed Ukrainians to achieve a very difficult task - cross the river, dissipate and establish a wide bridgehead.
The Russian Ministry of Defense reported that Ukrainians launched a large-scale counteroffensive operation, but were stopped by the Vostok Battalion and did not achieve any objectives.
They also reported that Russian forces destroyed 30 tanks, 11 Leopards and АМХ-10, more than 100 armored fighting vehicles, and 1500 soldiers, which almost exceeds the number of forces used for these attacks.
The lower-level commanders of the Russian forces on the ground reported that they faced a new issue. Because the fields and roads are overly mined, Russian forces started blowing themselves up on their own mines.
It looks like due to the increasing intensity of the Ukrainian counteroffensive, Russian forces start making mistakes because of the immense emotional pressure.
It was reported that Russian forces lost their best assault and reconnaissance drone operators right before the Ukrainians delivered their main blow.
This means that Russian forces put themselves in a very inconvenient situation: by mining everything around them, if Ukrainians attack from an unexpected direction, Russians may find themselves between the attackers and minefields - cut off from reinforcements and retreat routes.
••Has the offensive begun or not? Deep State map not updated because the UA Command asked everyone to be quiet.
Russia started to move more artillery systems to the southern area of the UA attack.
Denys says based on the information he has about the units used in that area it is not the full-scale offensive. Only a single battalion used in that area. He also draws that conclusion from many other bits and pieces of information.
Logically, this is the Second Stage of a counter attack, but no one is sure.
Russian are already scared, but now a tsunami of information moving toward them, scaring the troops in the south even more.
==
Denys shows an image, from a video, showing what looks to him like American trucks coming under Russian fires, as the attempt to move forward. UA forces used are not enough to break through the Russian defense lines.
He thinks that this action could be a deflection and the main attack happen somewhere else along the southern front; or if it is the main attack, then they need lots of heavy armor and other resources to achieve a breakthrough.
He’s believes the the main attack will be elsewhere, as the forces he knows about are too small for a big attack, and too big just for surveillance and probing.
Denys has more information from his sources among the UA troops, but is keeping it quiet.
==
Bakhmut:
Berkhivka, just north of Bakhmut, may be under UA control, according to Prigozhin. After his forces pulled out of the area, Russian troops moved in and stayed only two days before they too left. Possibly even there high ground as well but because of the information blackout, it cannot be confirmed.
Prigozhin confirmed they have left Bakhmut, he even took away Biber and Dolik.
He is now in a special military camp inside Russia. His next move is unknown.
==
Belgorod:
Novaya Tavolzhanka, Russia is confirmed by multiple sources, including Russian ones, to be under control of the Russian Legion of Freedom [ RLF ]. Russian Governor says locals are blocking the Russian army from moving in.
Denys expects the RLF to capture all of the area south of the river from Novaya Tavolzhanka over to Shebekino, then eastward - the area is flat and easy to more around in fast.
The RLF has been there for 3 days.
The RLF has successfully de-militarized a Russian VDV colonel who was responsible for the area’s defense. His body was found in a nearby drainage ditch, along side of the road were his car was hit by a drone.
Russian troops in the area are mainly young men serving their mandatory service time. They complain they have been left alone without weapons and reinforcements. This is why the Russian forces are so weak here, against maybe 100 RLF soldiers.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
They were promised 500 tanks, but got only 100; promised 700 Bradleys, but got only 400.
And to put icing on the cake, only 50% of those are usable. Why? Because they were not given spare parts.
So right now the UA has only 50 Western tanks and 200 Bradleys operational, with no spare parts for any of them.
So the Western weapons is pretty much a zero as far as any offensive goes.
••Putin gets furious when he hears about Russia’s failures - ONET. Russian dictator Vladimir Putin has stopped listening to any criticism from the Kremlin about the war with Ukraine.
The President of the Russian Federation immediately becomes angry, and then accuses the one who reports to him that he “fell under the influence of Western propaganda” and “brings confusion.”
==
The Dam:
Map of possible flood area:
https://t.me/pilotblog/4470
Crimea will stay without water from Dnipro river until the new dam will be built… Plus the soil will be dehydrated. It is not only about the Crimea water channel…
Why it was Russia that blowup the dam? Before the explosion they closed the water gate and rose the water level to maximum.
Their main goal was to flood our position on the islands lower on the river.
Ukrainian army was able to create a hub for a possible offensive over there.
From what I understood Russians wanted to partially flood the area, but something went wrong.
Now Ukrainian positions and the Russian positions are flooded down the river.
Only Russian army could do it because the dam was on their part. They cut the bridge of the dam from the north when they retreated from the north last year.
So Ukrainian side couldn’t physically control the dam gate of mine the dam itself.
IAEA: The water level in the reservoir for cooling ZNPP systems has decreased. It’s really bad.
==
President Zelensky openly said that the dam was mined by Russians last autumn. There was the confirmation of it from the Russian soldiers too.
==
Kherson region, there is a problem with mines. Minefields are washed away, mines detonate. The Ministry of Defense of Ukraine warns of mine danger.
==
Translation of newest video by Prigozhin:
Prigozhin gave the Russian ministry of defence 2 weeks to solve the issue in Belgorod region, otherwise Wagner will enter the Belgorod region without any hesitation…
Russian command has probably a stupid idea to drop a tactical Nuclear bomb on its own territory to show the world the mighty power and how crazy sick we are. Because Russian army scared of dropping nukes on other countries. Probably that is why we are leaving the territories in Belgorod region. Also it is a big question weather the bomb will work based on the chaos in the Russian army.
==
Videos show that the dam was blown up form inside, the side under Russian control, and due to past damage of the road, it was impossible for the UA to move to the Power Plant area.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 4, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ Finally! Ukrainians Took by Storm The Southern Front | Counter Offensive Begun ]
••Day 466: Jun 04
Today there is a lot of good news.
In the Belgorod region, after seeing that Russian forces were simply incapable of holding off even small assault groups, the Freedom of Russia Legion and Russian Volunteer Corps decided to rapidly increase the scale of their operations.
The insurgent forces opened 7 more lines of attack and managed to secure at least 4 settlements, namely, Solntsevka, Sereda, Maryno, and Leninskiy; while the fights are taking place in 9 more settlements, including Zibrovka, Shebekino, and Voznesenovka.
Combat footage confirms the ongoing operations in multiple settlements.
Russian officials were forced to admit that the issue was not resolved and started a massive evacuation.
At the moment, Russian forces lost control over 200 square kilometers of the Belgorod region.
The crisis continues to escalate, and more and more sources start to consider Belgorod as a new front line.
The scale of the operation also implies that the losses increase, which is why the commander of the Russian Volunteer Corps asked the Head of the Belgorod region to swap prisoners of war.
The Head of the Belgorod region declined the offer, called them terrorists, and said that he doubted that Russian soldiers were alive anyways.
The Head of the Wagner Group, Prigozhin, immediately responded by viciously criticizing the decision to basically abandon Russian soldiers and said that it costs nothing to organize a regular prisoner exchange that happens all the time anyways.
Simultaneously, it was revealed that the Russian Ministry of Defense tried to ambush and kill the withdrawing Wagner forces from Bakhmut.
Prigozhin said that his troops noticed strange activity in the rear, and when they checked the roads, it turned out that someone completely mined them as if planning to take out the whole convoy.
Prigozhin said that they de-mined the area, but when withdrawing, they were hit with artillery fire that was probably supposed to take out the survivors after the mines detonated.
The Wagner forces conducted an internal raid and took captive the artillery crew that fired at them.
Later they showed a video with the commander of the Russian 72nd Brigade, that confessed that a group of 12 people under his command fired at Wagner forces.
Prigozhin saw an opportunity in all these situations and basically said that for security reasons, he would not report when and where his forces deploy and that all operations would be conducted at his discretion, bypassing the Russian Ministry of Defense.
Prigozhin immediately took action and started redeploying certain elements of his forces to the Belgorod region, claiming that if the Russian Ministry could not do its job and protect the Russian people, then he would do it himself.
The Head of the Chechen Republic, Ramzan Kadyrov, recognized this opportunity as well and also said that he could help.
In the meantime, Russian forces started losing Bakhmut.
The moment the Wagner Group withdrew from the city and the DPR units became solely responsible for Bakhmut, Ukrainians entered the southwestern part of the city.
If you still remember, before withdrawing, Ukrainians made a very prudent decision by blowing up several high-rise buildings exactly in this area.
Later, Ukrainian Air Force conducted an airstrike and completely demolished the rest of the buildings that could be used by Russians to protect the southern part of the city.
Today a commander from the Wagner Group confirmed that Ukrainians entered the southern part of the city, which Wagner was previously holding.
Russian analysts are extremely worried that Ukrainians will leverage these gains in order to conduct a pincer movement on Klischiivka and breach the most formidable strong point without even storming it.
Today a fighter from the Aidar battalion reported that they are exacerbating the situation by blocking the rotation process with artillery fire, and based on the intercepted radio exchanges, Russians in Klischiivka may soon abandon their positions from lack of food and sheer exhaustion.
However, the biggest news by far comes from the south.
Here, Ukrainians launched a series of mechanized assaults. During the first stage of the offensive operation, Ukrainians opened 2 lines of attack: toward Novodarivka and Neskuchne.
Russian sources reported that Ukrainians used up to 2 motorized rifle companies with several T-72 tanks.
As a result, Russian defense was breached, and Russian troops retreated.
Shortly, Ukrainians launched the second stage of the offensive operation and opened 4 lines of attack: toward Levadne, Pryiutne, Storozheve, and Rivnopil.
Ukrainians once again decided to use small company-sized units for each of the attacks.
When it comes to the first two attacks, Ukrainians managed to get 3 km deep into the region but ran into mines and decided to retreat.
In Storozheve, Russian forces received reinforcements, which they could quickly and easily do because there are a lot of settlements around it, so after a short engagement, Ukrainian forces retreated.
Lastly, when it comes to Rivnopil, here Ukrainians got into a trap and faced overwhelming artillery
fire.
As a result, Ukrainians lost 1 tank and 9 cars.
Overall, Ukrainians managed to advance by 2 and, in some places, by 5 kilometers in 1 day and secure 2 settlements.
Right now, Ukrainians need to de-mine approaches to the next settlements on the line and suppress Russian artillery around Rivnopil.
So far, this was just a reconnaissance-in-force operation, as the assault units were very light.
Ukrainians also did not use seasoned assault units and heavy Western equipment, and they still managed to slice off multiple kilometers in one go.
••Bakhmut:
Some lost territory in the city regained by the UA as Wagners withdraw and replacements run away.
==
Wagners captured commander of the unit that ambushed them because they are professionals, better trained and have better equipment than the regular forces. The Russian commander was drunk as were many of his unit.
This is the first documented fight between Wagner and the regular RGF forces.
Strilkov said Prigozhin made a mistake by publishing this information for everyone to see. There are lots of friendly fire incidents happening, he said, but they are kept quiet. Further, by publishing this incident Prigozhin raises the confrontation between him and the RGF.
==
Denys’ Telegram channel has video of the small southern UA probing offensive. Not the big offensive. That will start in the next two weeks, he said.
Russians claim that they stopped the UA offensive cold,ac and that Gerasimov was not far from the front lines.
==
For Russian authorities, there is nothing happening in Shebekino. Repeat with eyes closed. Nothing is happening there!
Wagner wants to move here, if the RGF can’t handle their duties. Kadyrov said he has 70,000 troops [ which number equals 5,000 actual troops and 65,000 filming Tic Tok videos ] to send to the area.
Prigozhin says if the local authorities do not take the offered Russian POWs, he will send high ranking commanders to get them back. But no one came to take the POWs, and they were sent to Ukraine for a future exchange.
The Governor of the Oblast called the Kremlin over this issue, but got no response. There is nothing happening in Shebekino.
What is happening now is the worst case scenario of the Russian Federation.
==
In the North East, the UA general in charge, Sursky, the UA gained another 400 meters toward Svatove.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
••To the Brigade Commander
Report
I hereby report that on 17.05.2023, information was received from the Company Employees received information that in the area of village Opytnoe and village Ozarianovka were seen groups of the Ministry of Defense, which mines roads in the rear zone of the Wagner PMC units.
On that day, a group of sappers of the 1st IMR moved out for engineering reconnaissance the specified section of roads. We found land mines in the form of large plastid, anti-tank mines and artillery shells, installed in the guided version and taken to the positions of the Department of Defense.
After a preliminary inspection of the mine sites, the groups began to clear the roads, but were forced to stop work because near Semigorje settlement about 15.40.
They were fired at with small arms fire from the direction of the Ministry of Defense. As a result, the URAL was destroyed by a direct hit to the engine.
The groups dismounted and dispersed in response and took action to eliminate the attack and detain the attackers.
They were Russian Defense Ministry servicemen. The officer in charge of the group was an officer of the Russian Defense Ministry officer in charge of the 72nd Independent Motorized Rifle Brigade Lieutenant Colonel 13647, who was in a state of alcohol intoxication.
17.05.2023
Commander of the ISB
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 3, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ Massive Onslaught | Russians Made a Huge Mistake | Multiple ]
••Day 465: Jun 03
Today the commander of the Russian Volunteer Corps stated they continue conducting a special operation on the Russian territory, successfully drawing even more Russian forces to the Belgorod region.
Judging by the latest geolocated footage, the fighting in and around Tavolzhanka and Shebekino continues.
The headquarters commander of the insurgent forces claimed that Russian forces no longer have full control over these towns.
He said that the Belgorod People’s Republic gradually becomes a grey zone - people have abandoned their houses, regional administration and police are no longer functioning, while thieves and raiders are busy looting their neighbors.
Interestingly, Shebekino, Tavolzhanka, and other settlements in the region together had approximately the same population as Bakhmut, and several reinforced companies had already managed to develop a significant presence.
Interestingly, Shebekino, Tavolzhanka, and other settlements in the region together had
approximately the same population as Bakhmut, and several reinforced companies had already
managed to develop a significant presence.
The Commander of the Freedom of Russia Legion reported that irregular Russian forces, such as police and border guards, turned out to be completely incapable of protecting the border, which is why Russians are primarily resorting to shelling.
Given that the insurgent forces maintain a presence in Russian settlements, Russian forces are wiping out their own towns and villages because they are unable to push insurgents behind the border and keep them out of Russian territory.
The Institute for the Study of War assessed that the Russian Ministry of Defense continues
to respond disproportionately to these raids to project confidence and competence.
The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed that they relocated additional elements of the regular Russian army and conducted heavy air, artillery, and flamethrower strikes.
The Ministry also mentioned a deployment a whole motorized rifle battalion.
Local residents confirmed these claims and posted footage of various reinforcements entering the region.
As we can see, Russian forces continue relocating thousands of troops and heavy equipment to the Belgorod region.
And this is extremely good news for Ukrainians.
Not only does it mean that Russian defense in Ukraine is becoming weaker, but it also means that logistical hubs are now full of military personnel and equipment that Ukrainians can destroy while they are still in transit.
And this is exactly what Ukrainians are doing.
During these 3 days of special operations in the Belgorod region, Ukrainians conducted more than 100 precision strikes, specifically on the areas of forces concentrations.
One of the biggest strikes happened today in Berdyansk.
The footage shows the aftermath of the Russian air defense work and indicates that Ukrainians used up to 10 missiles.
Some of the missiles were shot down, and their remnants indicate that Ukrainians used Tochka-U.
Other footage confirms that some Ukrainian missiles managed to reach their targets, and
while the Ukrainian General staff is estimating Russian losses from today’s strike, more information became available about yesterday’s strike.
Yesterday, Ukrainians struck Berdyansk with around 6 missiles.
Russian sources reported that Ukrainian used Strom Shadow missiles.
Satellite footage clearly shows the complete annihilation of two huge warehouses in the harbor and also the significant destruction of the Azovkabel factory.
Several sections of the factory were completely demolished, although the northeastern part
seems to be still usable.
Today local residents also reported hearing at least 5 huge explosions near Melitopol. Later, it was reported that Ukrainians targeted Russian logistics and destroyed some facilities near the railway.
Ukrainian official Petro Andryushchenko reported that Russian forces are replacing old and
worn equipment in southern Ukraine, including T-72 and T-62 tanks and air defenses, which
explains strikes on logistical routes.
Ukrainians also conducted a series of HIMARS strikes on Russian logistics in the east because
Russian trains are passing through this region.
Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces targeted the eastern outskirts of Alchevsk with four HIMARS rockets.
Russian sources also claimed that Ukrainian forces conducted a HIMARS strike on unspecified factories in Donetsk.
Overall, the activity of the Ukrainian Air Force and precision artillery reaches all-time heights.
And this is not surprising because Russians decided to make a great migration, which turned out to be a huge mistake.
First of all, Wagner forces are leaving Bakhmut, DPR forces are being relocated from Marinka to Bakhmut to substitute Wagner, while Akhmat forces are being deployed to Marinka to substitute DPR units.
Secondly, in anticipation of the counteroffensive operation, Russians are replacing old and worn tanks, armored fighting vehicles, and air defense in the Zaporizhia region.
And thirdly, Russians are reinforcing the Belgorod region with Motorized Rifle elements.
This means that the railways are working at full capacity, and logistical hubs are full of targets.
That is why Ukrainians are conducting hundreds of strikes along the whole contact line.
••Bakhmut:
PMC mostly withdrawn. UA still using limited forces here, but managed to force Russians to withdraw slightly on he southern flank.
Russia has deployed elements of the 76th and 106th VDK (airborne) Divisions, plus two Separate VDK brigades. Note: These are not the same quality VDK units as Russia had at the start; they are much degraded and less flexible.
Prigozhin said that the southwestern outskirts of Bakhmut were abandoned by Russian troops and again came under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
==
Shebekino is now the hottest spot in the war. Long range artillery and drone strikes abound. Freedom fighting Russians bought their gear in local firearms stores, captured lots of tanks and armored vehicles and a few helicopters - all perfectly normal according to Russia in 2014. Aka, payback in same coin to Putin for 2014.
Russian freedom fighters claim to have captured some land near the town - not confirmed yet. They are not able to take as much territory as their last incursion, but with the wild fires from artillery strikes by both sides, the devastation is more dramatic.
==
Zelenski said they are ready to go, but only have marginal weaponry to liberate all of Ukraine. Therefore, it is hard to predict how the counter offensive will develop.
They need more Patriot systems because that is the only system that can shoot down SU-35s and others at a long range, preventing them from firing their air-to-ground missiles at Western tanks and other equipment.
==
Prigozhin says the PMC will deploy to the Belgorod region without asking the MoD, Shoigu. This is a new step in the internal escalation between PMC, RGF, Putin, and the FSB.
“If the Ministry of Defense does not stop the lawlessness that is going on to seize the territories of the Russian Federation in the near future, we will come to the Belgorod Region and protect our Russian people.
I emphasize, we will protect our people: Russians, Dagestanis, Chechens and ethnic Ukrainians, including.
We will not wait for an invitation and ask permission. The only thing is that we will require ammunition, without them it is useless to come.” - Evgeny Prigozhin
The Russian government has lost the ability to control who fights where, against whom, with what.
This is the straight forward road to civil war between the various Russian clans.
Prigozhin talked directly with Kadyrov and the situation between them is in hand. But he PMC is ready for a direct conflict between the PMC and the Ahmad Battalion.
The PMC will win the bloody conflict because it has more resources and more soldiers; the Ahmad Battalion has only poorly equipped 3,000-4,000 soldiers.
PMC “Wagner” threaten the Kadyrovites to repeat the Chechen war and destroy everyone. In 1999, the battles for Grozny began, and in 2000 the Russian army wiped it off the face of the Earth and occupied it. “We can repeat Grozny 2000”, these are the pictures that Prigozhin’s PR began to distribute.
==
Hungry’s Orban went to Moldova and met with the lady President - he tried to turn the handshake into a hand kiss and the lady pulled her had away fast.
==
New Peace Plan floated by the President of Indonesia. All three of his major points are not acceptable. Basically grants Russia held territories.
The countries like Indonesia, Brazil, & China do not care about Ukraine Sovereign Right over its territory, only about ending the war as quick as possible and getting things back to normal.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
••Who will win in the Russian civil war?
Anonymous Poll
11% Putin
18% Prygozhyn
1% Kadyrov
13% FSB
37% Russian freedom legion
19% Other
==
Ok, new information from the night attack
Two Russian missiles hit the operational airfield near Kropyvnytskyi said the Airforce Commander.
During the night attack of the Russians on Ukraine also:
4 out of 6 Kh-101/Kh-555 cruise missiles were destroyed;
3 out of 5 Shahed-136/131 UAVs were shot down;
there is damage to infrastructure facilities in the Sumy region.
Russia started to use the missiles and drones more smart.
It seems like with the current air defence the Kyiv region is the most protected. The rest of the Ukrainian territories are much less robust against the Russian attacks. Bad news, we need more air defence ...
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 2, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
==
——> Patriot PAC-3 Hit-To-Kill Interceptors Also Pack A Little-Known Explosive Warhead <——
Patriot PAC-3 interceptors are touted as hit-to-kill weapons that destroy targets by smashing into them, but they are really a hybrid design.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/patriot-pac-3-hit-to-kill-interceptors-also-pack-a-little-known-explosive-warhead
Excerpt:
——> PAC-3 Missile: How The System Works <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xU9C2iLm764
[ Referendum Sunday | Finally! Russian Citizens Informed When to Vote | Belgorod Leaves Russia ]
••Day 464: Jun 02
Today there are a lot of important developments in the northeast, namely, in the Belgorod
region.
The commander of the Russian Volunteer Corps stated that the second phase of its operations had begun.
As you remember, yesterday, the insurgent forces destroyed border guards and security service forces and withdrew before Russian tanks and other reinforcements arrived at Shebekino.
The goal of today’s raid was to draw these mechanized forces in one direction and destroy them as well.
Russian sources reported that today the insurgents attacked Tavolzhanka from a new and unexpected direction, namely, west of the Sieverskyi Donets River.
To draw heavy Russian units, the insurgents used two tanks.
Geolocated footage confirms that the insurgents entered the town and engaged Russian forces on the territory of the settlement.
Other footage shows heavy fighting between infantry units in the residential area.
As expected, the advancement was very difficult because, today, Russians had more forces in the region.
Some Russian sources reported that Russian forces conducted an intense artillery strike, destroyed 1 out of 2 tanks, after which the crew of the second tank abandoned an intact machinery mid-fight for fear of being the next target, which prompted all other forces to run away as well.
Less prominent sources claimed the tank was not destroyed but just damaged, and the insurgents even managed to return it to the base, while the second tank and the infantry continued their operations.
Local residents reported that Russian forces had lost at least 3 tanks already in the first 90 minutes of fighting.
Local residents also reported that the insurgents are conducting much more intense shelling, especially in the areas of regional administration and law enforcement departments, which are effectively used right now as bases.
However, this is just the beginning.
It was reported that the radio in certain areas was hacked, and the citizens were informed that this Sunday, there would be a referendum and asked to vote for the establishment of the Belgorod People’s Republic.
Simultaneously, the insurgents imitated preparation for a large-scale attack near Grayvoron, which they assaulted last time, and also Urazovo, which would be a new direction.
This prompted Russians to relocate a lot of forces to these directions, which is exactly what the insurgents wanted them to do.
Dozens of drone operators identified and tracked the position of multiple Russian columns.
Based only on the available footage, the insurgents struck at least 3 areas of forces concentrations that together had at least 8 pieces of equipment, including 4 trucks.
Due to the active fighting on the approach to Shebekino, thousands of civilians were evacuated. Later the town was closed, and the emergency services stopped helping the locals because they were either dead or busy fighting.
Hearing about the possible referendum was the last straw, and the town was consumed by chaos.
Some people started fleeing, while others took advantage of the fact the law enforcement was too busy and started raiding supermarkets and even the houses of people who just left.
While the Russian population went mad because of a lack of protection, the infighting in the Russian Army just started a new chapter.
This time, Chechen commanders and officials launched a concerted attack on Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin.
This attack was seemingly a response to Prigozhin’s relatively neutral statement in an interview where he was asked about Chechen forces, and he just said that he is unaware of Chechen units’ new positions and that Chechen forces usually fight for select settlements across multiple directions, and do not have one big distinct area under their control.
Chechen member of the Russian State Duma, Adam Delimkhanov, called Prigozhin a blogger who is constantly crying about problems and said that Prigozhin does not know about Akhmat because he should not know, but if he really wants to know, they could select a time and place and teach him.
Akhmat Special Forces Commander Apty Alaudinov made a statement as well and said that he has no respect for the Wagner Head and that Prigozhin would have been killed for his critiques during World War II.
This is ironic because the first person who started openly and viciously critiquing the Russian Ministry of Defense was the Head of the Chechen Republic, Ramzan Kadyrov.
He was the first who called out Colonel General Alexander Lapin for completely failing at
his job and running away from the front lines and called for demoting him to private for
the massive defeat in the aftermath of the second Kharkiv counteroffensive.
Then Prigozhin started doing the same, which actually united the Wagner and Akhmat forces.
Both formations provide an alternative to traditional forces, which is why they tried
to gain Putin’s favor and therefore gain more power.
However, due to the violent protest inside the Chechen republic and the growing instability, Kadyrov switched sides, likely to receive help from the Ministry of Defense to prevent a coup.
That is why the Chechens attacked Prigozhin, likely by order of the Ministry of Defense.
And this makes sense because it happened the next day after Prigozhin viciously criticized
Shoigu, Gerasimov, and other elites for allowing Ukrainians to conduct a massive drone attack
on Moscow.
So Prigozhin’s critique of the Russian Ministry of Defense at the most vulnerable time was
the pivotal point and the main catalyst of the growing feud between previously friendly
formations.
••Russian freedom fighters still unable to reach Shebekino - 8 km from the border - due to arriving Russian reinforcements. 850 explosions reported by locals.
==
Kursk airport suffered a drone attack, damaging some vehicles & SU-34 bombers.
==
$200 million Starlink contract with the US Pentagon as the mediator, ensures Starlink will work fine for the UA and other groups. Contract details remain classified. Russia lacks secure internet connections and is a weak point.
==
The first factor of the main offensive is to remove its own mines near the breach point(s).
Referenced article behind locked paywall
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/06/02/ukarine-russia-counteroffensive-defenses-fortifications/
Do do this special Leopard 2 tanks will be used - mine rollers? - along with Soviet made defining systems.
==
UK MoD very optimistic and thinks the UA can liberate Crimea. Russian mobilization will not solve their problems, as they are basically out of armored vehicles and other resources.
The only advantage Russia has are their SU-34s and 35s which are way better that any UA planes to date.
SU-35 fighters will be able to spot F-16s from further away because it has the most powerful radar of all. Its long range rockets out-range anything carried by F-16s.
F-16s will be more effective against SU-34 bombers. This type is the last type Russia is able to produce because of the sanctions.
==
Prigozhin announced the withdrawal of 99% of his forces from Bakhmut area. As they withdrew, the roads they used were already mined by the RGF. [ Insert clown face here. ] The mining order came down from Above.
The roads were successfully de-mined without any casualties. Prigozhin said this mining by the Russian Command was to punish them.
==
This seems t indicate that a hot internal war is close between the RGF Command, the Kadyerites and the FSB. Denys thinks Prigozhin will win any conflict.
Russia has many clans and now they are starting to eat themselves. This is like a Game of Thrones in real life.
==
China wants to keep Putin in power because with him, Russia is a slave state. A collapse of Russia, into a democratic state or broken up, could be catastrophic for China.
Also the war helps keep Russia as the enemy of the West, leaving China a free hand behind the scenes, but without the focus on Russia, China could be revealed.
==
Hungry continues to push the line that the UA offensive must be halted before more Ukrainian die. Everything in Hungry’s power must be done to effect a cease fire and start peace talks.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
••”We need additional Patriot systems to protect both civilians and military on the front lines. The Russian Federation has an advantage in the air. The lack of protection from enemy aircraft means that many soldiers will die during the counteroffensive,” the President also said in an interview with WSJ.
==
Prigozhin said that the Wagner is ready to ensure the safety of the residents of the Belgorod region, which is being shelled and attacked by Ukrainian or Russian troops.
==
Russia published the photo of the lying man in uniform, saying that it is a dead Ukrainian soldier. The problem for them is that the soldier has the Russian army boots ...
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 1, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
Excerpts:
The U.S. Army has awarded a Florida-based company a contract worth just over $118 million to supply additional German-made Gepard self-propelled 35mm anti-aircraft guns to the Ukrainian military. The Gepards in question look to be ex-Dutch variants that were then sold to Jordan around a decade ago.
The new U.S. purchase of the Gepards is being funded through the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative (USAI), which was established prior to Russia’s all-out invasion of Ukraine.
It is unclear how many Gepards are being purchased for Ukraine through the U.S. Army contract or when they might arrive in that country. The contract notice doesn’t explicitly say where the vehicles are coming from, but does say that the “work will be performed in Amman, Jordan, with an estimated completion date of May 30, 2024.”
Dutch Gepards differ from the variants that were produced during the Cold War for what was then the West German military in their radar fit. The Dutch version has an X-band search radar and a tracking radar that can operate in the X and Ka bands. The German variant has an S-band search radar and a Ku-band tracking radar. The different radars make the two types visually distinct.
Beyond all this, the U.S. Army’s use of USAI funding to acquire Gepards from a third party highlights the U.S. military’s own limited selection of short-range air defense (SHORAD) assets at present. The U.S. military’s SHORAD capabilities atrophied in the years following the end of the Cold War amid the belief that future conflicts that American forces were likely to find themselves in would be very unlikely to feature aerial threats
A return to great-power competition against near-peer nations like China and Russia, together with the explosion in the use of drones, even among non-state actors like terrorist groups and criminal organizations, has led to a reversal in U.S. attitude when it comes to SHORAD.
At the same time, the U.S. military continues to play catchup in trying to reconstitute these capabilities. In 2021, the U.S. Army just began fielding its first new mobile SHORAD system, the Maneuver Short Range Air Defense (M-SHORAD) vehicle based on the 8x8 Stryker, in decades. M-SHORADs are replacing aging Humvee-based Avenger air defense systems, some of which are also now being sent to Ukraine.
The conflict in Ukraine has only underscored the value of SHORAD systems, even like the Gepard, which until recently, was largely sidelined as a Cold War relic.
==
——> Russia Claims It Foiled Tank-Backed Incursion Across Its Border
This was the second incursion operation Russia says it has fought off in just over a week, but still there was damage within its own borders.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russia-claims-it-foiled-tank-backed-incursion-across-its-border
Excerpts:
The partisans - the far-right Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) and the Freedom For Russia Legion - claimed as of Thursday afternoon local time that they still occupied parts of the region, destroyed several Russian artillery and mortar systems and captured another armored vehicle.
Rybar Belgorod map, May 23rd:
https://www.thedrive.com/uploads/2023/06/01/Rybar.Belgorod.Map_.5.23.23.jpg?auto=webp&optimize=high&quality=70&width=960
Andriy Chernyak, an official from Ukraine’s military intelligence directorate, GUR: Ukraine’s military was not directly involved in the attack, suggesting that it was the Russians’ own initiative. “They are rebelling,” he said.
While it is unknown just how deeply Ukraine is involved in these incursions, speculation goes far beyond just mere communications.
After the May 22 incursion, questions were raised about whether the groups used U.S.-provided equipment inside Russia. The White House and Pentagon are investigating, saying that U.S. equipment is not supposed to be used inside Russia. The two groups claimed they captured the vehicles from Russians, who captured them from Ukrainians.
And during his interview with Financial Times, Chernyak denied having supplied the militias with any equipment. All western weaponry obtained by the Ukrainian armed forces remains “under . . . the toughest control,” he said.
==
——> Pentagon Now Actively Hunting For UFOs With Purpose-Built Sensors
The All-Domain Anomaly Resolution Office isn’t just sifting through existing reports and data, it’s using its own sensors to hunt for UFOs.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/pentagon-now-actively-hunting-for-ufos-with-purpose-built-sensors
[ Slaughter House | Russian Herd Instinct Was Exploited. All Shelters Destroyed ]
••Day 463: Jun 01
Today the biggest news once again comes from the territory of the Russian Federation, namely, from the Belgorod region.
Here, the Freedom of Russia Legion and Russian Volunteer Corps conducted another operation to draw Russian attention and resources to the northern front.
Both detachments fully consist of Russian citizens who are against the current Russian government.
These people reportedly sought and were granted temporary shelter in Ukraine because their current military objectives aligned with Ukrainian ones.
The first target of the insurgent forces became a Russian Control Point on the border.
Prior to the attack, the insurgents conducted several waves of drone and artillery strikes to undermine Russian defense.
Geolocated footage shows how one drone targeted a group of people who were controlling the point.
Later it turned out that the eliminated personnel belonged to the Russian Federal Security Service, which is not surprising because, as mentioned last time, due to the lack of regular forces in the region, Russians deployed to the border all types of Rapid Deployment Forces.
After conducting extensive artillery preparation on the first and second lines of defense, the insurgents launched a ground assault under continuous cover from artillery.
Russian sources reported that several small squads reinforced with one tank tried to attack the Control Point, which was protected by 20 border guards and 20 conscripts.
This is interesting because it indicates that the Federal Security Forces decided to retreat after at least one of their personnel was killed in a drone attack.
Simultaneously, the insurgents opened a second line of attack toward Tavolzhanka.
Russian sources reported that 1 motorized rifle company assaulted the outskirts of the settlement.
The footage confirms that there was a second vector of attack because there is only one place in this region where a highway goes through a forest.
Additional footage released by the Freedom of Russia Legion also confirms that there were active engagements between the insurgent and Russian forces.
The Russian Ministry of Defense released a statement, where they claimed that this is where the incursions ended.
Russian forces reportedly unleashed their aviation and artillery, conducted 11 airstrikes, 77 artillery strikes, and 2 thermobaric strikes, and destroyed the enemy on the approaches to the settlements.
The Ministry of Defense also highlighted that the Federal Security Services played a major
role in repelling this attack, even though other Russian sources claimed that only border
guards and conscripts took the hit.
However, other combat footage shows that the insurgents managed to breach the first line of defense.
The drone footage shows that Russian forces near Tavolzhanka were destroyed by artillery fire.
After that, several pickups moved north along the western part of Tavolzhanka, while simultaneously, there was a strike on the critical energy infrastructure in the eastern part of the settlement.
When it comes to the Control Point, the drone footage showed that insurgents destroyed plenty of Russian equipment, 2 km north of the Control Point, namely, 1 mortar system Tyulpan, 1 truck with ammunition, and 1 armored fighting vehicle.
Ukrainian sources reported that Russians retreated to Shebekino, where they waited for reinforcements.
Local residents also noticed several drones operating above the town.
One of the insurgent detachments, namely, the Russian Volunteer Corps, reported that they saw how police and other rapid-deployment forces went hiding in the only buildings they had access to, in particular, the police station, local administration building, and some warehouses that were already used for military purposes.
Later, the insurgents released footage showing the aftermath of a strike on the police station in the northern part of the town, the building of the regional administration in the central part of the town, and also facilities belonging to the factory Monocrystal in the southeastern part of the town.
Some sources reported that the artillery hit a fuel storage facility, which caused a huge fire.
After successfully folding Russians forces into distinct areas, and after hitting these areas of forces concentrations with artillery fire and emptying the reserves for the protection of the border, the insurgent forces reportedly called their task completed and timely withdrew, avoiding the engagement with the reinforcements that were heading towards the city.
••Some same gains by limited troops east of Vuhledar.
==
Russians may have dropped another bomb on Belgorod again.
==
Russian sent more troops and tanks to the Shebekino region. Russian freedom fighters said the want to take the town and hold it for a long time, and their main goal is to reach Moscow.
Denys show video of drone attack on a Pantsir system close to the front - no more than 15 km - as that is the range of the drone.
Poll: 72% of the citizens of Shebekino support the SMO in Ukraine in April 2022.
==
Rumors of Ukrainian attack on Transnistria.
==
Prigozhin calls Kadyrov Tick Tok warriors, said WWIII has begun. Wagners fought against First and Second Chechen wars and they known how to fight them.
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
••
It is necessary to prevent the counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, because it will only lead to new victims from Ukraine, said Hungarian Prime Minister Orban. “Before the Ukrainians launch a counterattack, we must do everything in our power to achieve a ceasefire and start peace talks.”
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
Opps - sorry I accidentally pasted the entire June file.
You’re giving War & Peace a “run for the money.”
Heh - very very sorry - I promise it will not happen gain. Just careless of me in my doting old age.
But at least, every one who missed this thread this month will get caught up - so there is that.
Oops heh! It happens.
hey seedy
Bakhmut is still liberated!
it’s great that oryx is going belly up and will be gone soon.
no worries - you trolls still have daily mail!
.
don’t forget to count from Bradley Square
https://twitter.com/MarinaN78008197/status/1668165398611783680
Russia may indeed have lost a bunch of tanks (the main claim of your thread) but it isn't running out of tanks, as they can build more relatively quickly.
Ukraine is running out of men. And Ukrainian men are running away. (who can blame them? Imagine spendin g a month fighting to gain 100 yards and then you die. For what?
https://twitter.com/ChuckPfarrer/status/1675214630350729217
Well maybe they can meet up with the Russian men that already fled,
Good times
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