https://twitter.com/ChuckPfarrer/status/1674944373836980224
Posted on 06/30/2023 4:51:25 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Small arms, ATGMs, MANPADS, loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles, trailers and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it is not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
I am registered on YouTube, which is a Google account, so I can try this. So far I have tried to minimize registering on websites because I have just wanted to read comments, watch videos etc., but not to comment myself (YouTube and Freerepublic are exceptions).
There will be a popup or some such on the upper right to log in with - I have multiple accounts so I can log in with one or another.
Once you log on, you will go to some main page - you will have to go to where you found the link & re-click the link you wanted to visit before you logged in.
The 'west' is currently unable to produce as much ammunition as Ukraine wants to fire. And while the U.S. still has some Bradleys and Abrams battle tanks in its reserves the depots for 'every weapon' in other NATO countries are already empty. There are no more tanks, armored vehicles or howitzers they could give away.
In total there simply is not enough to replace the losses the Ukraine has on a daily base. Meanwhile Russia is already producing more of every weapon than its military needs for its daily operations.
There is no way the Ukraine can win this fight or even hold on to its current positions. That was easy to foresee and predict. Those who urged Ukraine on should be condemned for the murderous slaughter they caused.
Ukraine needs to make peace with Russia. Yes, it will come with conditions that are not easy to swallow. Still, there is no other way out.
To continue the fight, with ever increasing losses of men and land, is not a sustainable alternative.
It seems to be working. Thank you.
Russia reducing personnel at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant - Ukrainian intelligence
Reuters
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-reducing-personnel-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-plant-ukrainian-intelligence-2023-06-30/
I am unable to view Twitter posts anymore (as of today), since I don’t have an account. They have apparently changed their long-standing policy.
Twitter was the source of the bulk of the posts that I usually made on this thread, so I am going to have to look for other sources, and will likely have less to post during the transition.
Any recommendations for other sources (that would preserve privacy) would be welcome.
How unfortunate that this blackout occurred just as things seem ready to accelerate in the Ukraine.
Won’t reply to any of them anymore, shh don’t tell them that I am talking behind their borscht. Must be freelancing since St. Petersburg was shut down maybe moved to Belarus
Lol a few bradlys and abrams, try thousands
100000 cluster shells and Russia thinks they can outproduce the west
Send in the armadas and 57s boyzz
https://twitter.com/ChuckPfarrer/status/1674944373836980224
This guy on YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cqtK1D5_R8U ) reports that Russian media was buzzing about six Ukrainian brigades (20-30K troops) massing around Kreminna.
Am curious what the makeup of vdv units are these days veterans vs conscripts
The fact that elite always prefaces them seems generous
“””Ukrainian soldiers were seen sitting and smoking before launching the next assault.”””
It seems a lot of young soldiers have short attention spans, and when they are at the front throwing hand grenades, dodging artillery shells, and shoving fresh magazines into hot rifles, many of them forget to read the health warnings on the cigarette packs.
ISW reports: “The GUR (Ukrainian Military Intelligence) reported that Ukrainian employees at the ZNPP who have signed contracts with Rosatom received instructions that they must evacuate the facility by July 5”
ISW, 30 June, on the ZNPP:
“Russian forces remain unlikely to cause an intentional “accident” at the ZNPP, and Russia is likely continuing to use the threat of an intentional radiological incident to attempt to constrain Ukrainian counteroffensive actions and Western support for Ukraine ahead of the upcoming NATO summit.
ISW has previously assessed that Russian forces would not be able to control the consequences of an intentional radiological incident at the ZNPP and that a radiological incident could further degrade Russia’s ability to cement its occupation of southern Ukraine by leaving areas uninhabitable and ungovernable.[27] The likely Russian destruction of the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant (KHPP) dam also adversely impacted Russian forces, however, and possible Russian plans to sabotage the ZNPP cannot be ruled out.
Russian forces could conduct several possible radiological man-made incidents at the ZNPP, some more serious than others. Russian forces could discharge irradiated water from the ZNPP into the Kakhovka Reservoir to disrupt a potential Ukrainian crossing of the now largely drained reservoir. Russian forces could also attempt to create a radiological plume to cover a larger area of southern Ukraine, although the reactors are designed to make doing so difficult.
The prevailing winds in Zaporizhia Oblast are most often from the north from June 9 to September 3, although forecasted wind directions in the area following the reported July 5 evacuation deadline include days of predominantly easterly winds.[28] A radiation plume from the ZNPP would most certainly affect the Russian forces in Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts and possibly in Crimea and would likely impact the Russian forces to a greater degree than the Ukrainian forces given the usual direction of the wind in the area.
Russian forces could conduct a man-made “accident” that creates a smaller radiological radius immediately focused on preventing Ukrainian advances near the ZNPP itself. None of these options provide more military benefit for Russian forces than the likely consequences they would create. Ukraine, for its part, would derive no benefits from causing a radiological incident at the ZNPP remotely consonant with the enormous price it would pay in irradiating lands and peoples it seeks to liberate and hindering its own ability to advance in the area, making Russian informational efforts to set conditions for blaming Ukraine for such an incident entirely implausible even if it could do so without physically occupying the plant”
The big problem with driving heavy vehicles across the old dneiper lake bed is that its still too soft.
But what if you could go in night after night and spray on material that would harden the old lake bed.
Consider Road Hard
ROAD-HARD delivers a long-lasting, hardened, and water-resistant soil body that vastly improve transportation routes and work areas, keeping them accessible year-round. Road-Hard is easy and safe to use. It minimizes grading and maintenance upkeep on unpaved roads and soil surfaces so your equipment and manpower can be used on other critical infrastructure.
Rapid Construction—A supervised, unskilled labor crew can treat 1 mile of two-lane road per day.
Within hours you have the beginnings of a hard, water-resistant road structure that is functional.
Hardening to 200 psi continues for 72 hours, and full cure time continues over the course of 2 -3 weeks. Soil compression strengths reach 500 psi or greater allowing heavy equipment to operate without hindrance.
​(Untreated, compacted soil often ranges between 45 to 75 psi).
https://www.l-q-international.com/about_road-hard.html#:~:text=ROAD%2DHARD%20is%20a%20new,in%20soils%20and%20around%20animals.
..........
Road Hard may not work for a half dried lake bed.
So I googled “how do you harden a dirt road”
How do you harden a dirt road?
To harden a dirt driveway, mix lime with sand or dirt. Lime is a natural, inexpensive material that is effective at absorbing moisture from the soil. It can come in various forms, including quicklime or hydrated lime. The basic mixture is simple: three parts dirt to one part sand, and one part lime.Jul 23, 2022 https://www.drivewaysnottingham.org.uk/how-to-harden-a-dirt-driveway/
or this
How do you solidify soil?
Solidification techniques involve either mixing cement or other additives into the soil to bind the soil particles together. The process works by filling the interparticulate voids in the soil. This prevents excess pore water pressure, which stops liquefaction from occurring.
How do you solidify soil?
Solidification techniques involve either mixing cement or other additives into the soil to bind the soil particles together. The process works by filling the interparticulate voids in the soil. This prevents excess pore
water pressure, which stops liquefaction from occurring.
https://www.seismicresilience.org.nz/topics/strengthening-strategies/ground-remediation/solidification-techniques/#:~:text=Solidification%20techniques%20involve%20either%20mixing,which%20stops%20liquefaction%20from%20occurring.
None of these ideas may work. But if you put a bunch of people together to figure what does work—you might be able to come up with something that would enable uke troops and transport to drive across the old lake bed.
as well some pontoon bridges would need to be dropped across the dneiper in very short order and probably at night.
The job would have to be done in a night or two and be better protected from russ missles and planes than the antonine bridge—and the ukes beneath — that the russ just pummeled.
ISW 30 June:
“Key Takeaways:
Ukrainian forces conducted counteroffensive operations in at least three sectors of the frontline on June 30.
Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi stated on June 30 that Ukrainian forces continue to advance in eastern and southern Ukraine despite lacking essential resources.
The Russian information space is reacting disproportionately to the Russian military’s failure to drive a small Ukrainian force from east (left) bank Kherson Oblast.
Ukrainian intelligence reported that Russian forces and officials are gradually leaving the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) possibly in preparation for an intentional “accident” at the facility.
Russian forces remain unlikely to cause an intentional “accident” at the ZNPP, and Russia is likely continuing to use the threat of an intentional radiological incident to attempt to constrain Ukrainian counteroffensive actions and Western support for Ukraine ahead of the upcoming NATO summit.
The Wagner Group is reportedly still actively recruiting personnel within Russia, although it is unclear if new recruits are signing Wagner contracts or military contracts with the MoD.
The Wagner Group reportedly will operate three large field camps in Belarus and an apparent Belarusian milblogger reported that Wagner Group personnel will deploy to Asipovichy, Belarus, soon.
A Kremlin-affiliated news outlet reported that the Wagner Group will continue operating in Africa, although the details of its operations remain unclear.
Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin reportedly dissolved his domestic media company Patriot.
Russian and Ukrainian forces continued to engage in battles along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line.
Ukrainian forces continued to counterattack and reportedly made some gains in the Bakhmut area.
Ukrainian and Russian forces continued to skirmish on the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, and Ukrainian forces advanced as of June 30.
Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in western Zaporizhia Oblast and on the administrative border between Donetsk and Zaporizhia oblasts.
Russian authorities continue efforts to improve monetary and educational benefits to servicemen in order to retain loyalty and incentivize military service.
Russian officials and occupation authorities are attempting to explain away the deportation of Ukrainian children to Russia.”
There are pre-existing road beds across the (now former) Khakova Reservoir, from back before the area was flooded by the dam. (4 were significant Highways)
Expedient roads might be possible relatively quickly (weeks?), but the much smaller remaining River would also need hasty bridging (also doable)
Budanov Says Russian FSB Assigned to Eliminate Prigozhin
Kyrylo Budanov (Ukrainian Military Intelligence) believes that any potential assassination attempts on Prigozhin won’t be swift, and only time will reveal whether the FSB will carry out this order.
by Kyiv Post | June 30, 2023
Macgregor predictions for banks, 2024 election, Ukraine.
75 seconds video https://twitter.com/DailyNoahNews/status/1674568376318849025?s=20
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