Ukrainian Artillery losses Running Total: 300
RuZZian Tank losses Running Total: 2061
June 2023 – 60
May 2023 – 90
April 2023 – 5
March 2023 - 127
February 2023 – 118
January 2023 – 61
December 2022 – 76
November 2022 – 105
October 2022 – 212
September 2022 - 217
August 2022 – 74
July 2022 – 108
June 2022 – 67
May 2022 – 148
April 2022 – 243
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 350
RuZZian Artillery losses Running Total: 673
June 2023 – 44
May 2023 – 43
April 2023 - 24
March 2023 - 37
February 2023 – 41
January 2023 – 31
December 2022 – 19
November 2022 – 55
October 2022 – 64
September 2022 - 73
August 2022 – 21
July 2022 – 21
June 2022 – 18
May 2022 – 20
April 2022 – 52
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 110
Previous day’s thread: https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4163145/posts
You can really fill up a thread.
Good job.
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 24, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ Russians Set Record Aircraft Losses Due to Mutiny | Russian Civil War Day 2 ]
••Day 486: Jun 24
The Wagner rebellion continued, and Prigozhin gradually consolidated control over the captured territories.
If yesterday, Wagner forces just crossed the border of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions in multiple places and took control over the military objects in the Rostov region, then today, the Wagner forces reached the doorstep of Moscow.
The rebellion started and developed so rapidly that many people seriously consider whether it is just a big show to distract the Ukrainians from their counteroffensive operation.
However, today the Head of Ukrainian Intelligence, Budanov, confirmed that the internal Russian armed conflict is real and that removing the Russian Ministry of Defense is a matter of survival for Prigozhin.
Today, Prigozhin released a video where he showed the captured headquarters of the Southern Military District.
He effectively took captive the Russian commanders, who were not allowed to leave, and said that he would set everyone free only in exchange for Shoigu and Gerasimov.
In order to increase the leverage, Prigozhin moved further and also captured the airfield and several villages east of the city, and started reinforcing the flanks while moving towards Moscow.
Putin gave a speech to address the situation, and despite the fact that Prigozhin claimed to be acting in the best Putin’s interests, Putin did not support Prigozhin’s actions.
Putin called it a stab in the back that threatened to break Russia just like it happened in 1917, which is why he ordered all special detachments to suppress the rebellion.
He gave the Wagner soldiers the last chance to surrender and said that whoever remains will answer before the nation.
Shortly, Russian forces started using their assault helicopters and fighter jets to bomb Wagner columns.
Prigozhin said that Russian Air Force disregarded the fact that there were more civilian cars than Wagner cars and that the pilots had terrible accuracy because everyone who could shoot was already on the front.
Still, some bombs managed to hit the trucks on the road.
One helicopter also blew up an oil depot in the Voroniezh region, which by that time was also captured by the Wagner forces.
Wagner forces responded reciprocally and started shooting down Russian aviation.
The widely circulated footage confirms that Wagner forces managed to shoot down multiple aerial objects, including 1 assault helicopter Ka-52, 1 multi-purpose helicopter Mi-8, 3 Electric Warfare helicopters, 1 transport helicopter, and 1 aerial command point plane IL-18.
Soon, Russian forces started bombing the occupied military headquarters in Rostov.
Wagner forces responded by reinforcing air defense in the region and asking the civilians to evacuate from the area.
Russian forces also tried to block the roads with trucks to complicate the movement of the Wagner forces, however, Wagners just moved them to the side of the road.
Sometimes, Russian soldiers on the block posts did not welcome Wagner forces warmly, and there were violent confrontations.
In general, Russian forces failed to provide reasonable resistance, and Wagner forces developed a presence not only in the Rostov and Voronezh regions but also Kursk, Oriol, Lipetsk, Tambov, and Tula regions, reaching the doorstep of the Moscow region.
Here the situation became more complicated as the Russians blocked all bridges.
Simultaneously, the Chechen units entered the Rostov region to strike Wagner’s flanks.
The conflict was about to escalate, and after putting all cards on the table, the parties decided to try to negotiate.
The President of Belarus, Lukashenko, volunteered to mediate the negotiation, in part because he has been a close friend of both Putin and Prigozhin for more than 20 years.
Suddenly, Prigozhin announced that he was withdrawing.
Russian officials stated that the charges on Prigozhin and participating Wagner soldiers were dropped.
It looks like the Russian Ministry of Defense evaluated the situation and understood that they had no chance and fulfilled all of Prigozhin’s demands, more precisely, the removal of Shoigu and Gerasimov.
Even though Russian officials stated that no changed to the structure of the Ministry of Defense were discussed during the negotiation process, no one in the media space believes that.
It is expected that in order to avoid the escalation, Putin will remove the highest officials in the Russian Ministry of Defense over the course of around 2 months.
Even though the turmoil inside the Russian Ministry of Defense is not explicit, it is happening, and the chaos inside the Russian War Machine creates very favorable conditions for the Ukrainians.
Prigozhin managed to succeed in this endeavor primarily because it was unexpected.
••Russian poll on Prigozhin results:
157.8K [ Clown ] | 51.2K [ Thumbs Down ] | 45.8K [ Heart ] | 21.2K [ Thumbs Up ] | 7.1K [ Fire ] | 5.5K [ Poo Pile ] | 3.6K [ Grey Face Left ] | 2K [ Exploded Head ] |1K [ Burning Heart ] | 533 [ Goofy Face ] | 519 [ Smily Face with 3 small Hearts ]
Reflects great disappointment with Prigozhin. And no one will support him militarily in the future.
Shows image of Lukashenko holding baby Putin. Putin and Russian Government are weak. Shows that 300 armored vehicles and 4,000 men are enough to take power in Russia.
Another reason that Prigozhin may have stopped his march to Moscow is no Russian oligarch openly supported him. [ Perhaps this was a sign that there would be no more money to continue to support Prigozhin and pay the troops after July? ]
==
When the FSB raided the Wagner Center in St. Petersburg, they found passports with Prigozhin’s image but a different name, and some with his name but a different image. So is Prigozhin really Prigozhin?
==
Russian online shops reopened selling merchandise with the Wagner logo on them - [ hurry & get yours while supplies last! ]
==
The Kadyrov troops reported to be stuck in traffic outside of Rostov on Don were actually just parked on their road. No one knows where they went, if anywhere.
==
Southern Front Line:
Novodanylivka Region: the UA continues to advance, getting closer to Robotyne.
Velyka Novosilka: UA advanced on the northern side and on the western side toward Pryiutne
Kherson Region:
UA forces landed somewhere near Oleshky. The Armed Forces of Ukraine successfully crossed the Dnieper in the area of the Antonovsky Bridge, there is a battle going on - Z-channels. Not yet confirmed.
==
Shoigu, Gerasimov together with Putin are stupid crazy fools who may do something even more stupid that just destroying the Nova Kakhovka Dam. See Below.
As for military gains by Russia - these days are past, especially with the disbanding of the Wagners, which forces will no longer fight in Ukraine.
He addressed world leaders [ yesterday ] with a warning that Russia is preparing to undermine [ destroy ] the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.
“Our intelligence received information that Russia is considering a scenario of a terrorist attack at the ZNPP with a release of radiation.
They have prepared everything for this.
Unfortunately, I have repeatedly had occasion to remind that radiation does not know state borders, and who it hits, is determined only by the direction of the wind.
We pass on all available information to our partners, all evidence - Europe, America, China, Brazil, India, Africa, the Arab world - all countries and international organizations should know this.
This time it should not be like with Kakhovskaya [ Nova Kakhovka ]. The world has been warned.”
==
Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan & Prigozhin agrees.
I wonder where Shoigu and Gerasimov are today?
How did they make out in the settlement deal?
Some similar events in history can be drawn on. Charles de Gaul of France warned a unit of the Foreign Legion to stand down or he would bomb the scat out of them. They were marching on the Palace of Versailles. They kept marching until they looked up and saw the planes. They returned to barracks...
Daily Mail (UK) reports:
“As part of the hasty peace deal between Putin and Prigozhin - brokered by Belarus tyrant Alexander Lukashenko - the billionaire Wagner chief will pay compensation of almost half a million pounds to the families of the slain Russian airmen”
@EuromaidanPR 5h
“Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan will cooperate in the transportation of Kazakh oil through the territory of Azerbaijan, bypassing russia. The relevant agreement was signed by the national company of Kazakhstan “Kazmunaigaz” & the state oil company of Azerbaijan (SOCAR).”
@bayraktar_1love 4h
“Russians placed explosives near 4 of 6 power units of the ZNPP.
“The plan for a terrorist attack on ZNPP has been fully developed and approved.”, “The situation has never been as serious as it is now,” - head of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine”
@Azovsouth 14h
Medvedchuk was involved in Prigozhin’s rebellion
The column of wagners ate free & poured fuel at Putin’s godfather’s gas stations while moving to Moscow.
Prigo is not alone. Many Russians want the fall of the Kremlin regime. This is the beginning of the end of the RF.
Danilov~
@NOELreports 2h
“In the direction of Bakhmut, our units are taking the initiative, continuing assault actions, and are crowding the enemy. During the day, 600-1000 meters were covered on the southern and northern flanks around Bakhmut,” said Serhii Cherevaty, spokesman of the Eastern Group.
@FreudGreyskull 4h
Rybar reports a small AFU team has secured the left bank of the Dnipro at the Antonivsky bridge.
What Prighozin doing?
Cryptic message from the Wagner grey zone channel (Plans love silence).
Tatiana Stanovaya @Stanovaya 5h
“Below is a brief description of Prigozhin’s mutiny and the factors that contributed to its outcome. We, as observers, initially missed important details due to the scarcity of information and lack of time for in-depth analysis. Here’s the perspective that currently seems most plausible:
1️⃣ Prigozhin’s rebellion wasn’t a bid for power or an attempt to overtake the Kremlin. It arose from a sense of desperation; Prigozhin was forced out of Ukraine and found himself unable to sustain Wagner the way he did before, while the state machinery was turning against him. To top it off, Putin was ignoring him and publicly supporting his most dangerous adversaries.
2️⃣ Prigozhin’s objective was to draw Putin’s attention and to impose a discussion about conditions to preserve his activities - a defined role, security, and funding. These weren’t demands for a governmental overthrow; they were a desperate bid to save the enterprise, hoping that Prigozhin’s merits in taking Bakhmut (that’s why he needed it!) would be taken into account and the concerns would catch Putin’s serious attention. Now it appears that these merits helped Prigozhin to get out of this crisis alive, but without a political future in Russia (at least while Putin is in power).
3️⃣ Prigozhin was caught off-guard by Putin’s reaction and found himself unprepared to assume the role of a revolutionary. He also wasn’t prepared for the fact that Wagner was about to reach Moscow where his only option remained - to “take the Kremlin” - an action that would inevitably result in him and his fighters being eradicated.
4️⃣ Those in the elites who were able reached out to Prigozhin with offers to surrender. This likely added to his sense of impending doom. However, I don’t believe any high-level negotiations took place. Lukashenko presented Prigozhin with a Putin-endorsed offer to retreat on the condition that Prigozhin would leave Russia and Wagner would be dissolved.
5️⃣ I don’t think Prigozhin was in a position to make demands (such as the resignation of Shoigu or Gerasimov - something many observers expect today. If that happens, it will be due to another reason.) After Putin’s address in the morning of June 24th, Prigozhin’s primary concern was to find an off-ramp. The situation would have led to inevitable death in merely a few hours. It is possible that Putin has promised him safety on the condition that Prigozhin remains quietly in Belarus.
I stand by my previous assertion that Putin and the state have been dealt a severe blow (which will have significant repercussions for the regime). However, I want to emphasize that image has always been a secondary concern for Putin. Setting optics aside, Putin objectively resolved the Wagner and Prigozhin problem by dissolving the former and expelling the latter. The situation would have been far worse if it had culminated in a bloody mess in the outskirts of Moscow.
And no, Putin doesn’t need Wagner or Prigozhin. He can manage with his own forces. He’s now certainly convinced of that.”
Rob Lee @RALee85 21h
Some early thoughts:
-More questions than answers
-Short-term compromise ≠ long-term solution
-This was a mutiny not a coup
-Too soon to say Putin will fall anytime soon
-Not clear this will affect Ukraine’s offensive
-The previous Kremlin-Wagner relationship is over...
-Given Wagner’s presence overseas, the greatest effects from this event may be felt in MENA/Africa
@FreudGreyskull 12h
“Russian tg (Telegram) reports the loss of another KA-52”
@FreudGreyskull 11h
Chongar bridge continues repairs. Initial estimates indicated 2-3 weeks to be repaired
Video: https://twitter.com/FreudGreyskull/status/1672896135965601793?cxt=HHwWgsDTpYOLqbcuAAAA
@KofmanMichael 1day
“It first reminds me of a Russian saying that those who have served in the army don’t laugh in the circus.”
https://twitter.com/ChuckPfarrer/status/1673079382812815360
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1672542143280234496
All is forgiven.
