Volya June 09, 2023
Despite the stubborn statements of the Russian Defense Ministry about the strength of the Russian defense, according to reports from the Russian and Ukrainian military from the field and from headquarters, the Armed Forces of Ukraine successfully pushed through the first line of defense of the Russian Armed Forces on the southern front.
The Russian troops, reinforced over the past night with reserves, avoided quick breakthroughs and encirclements, but they cannot hold their positions, slowly retreating almost along the entire line of contact.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine achieved the greatest success by advancing from the direction of Vuhledar to Staromlynovka. According to the Russian military in the combat zone, the Ukrainian army has begun to deploy strike units that can break through the defenses of the Russian Armed Forces and, thus, bring down the entire defense on this sector of the front.
If the Armed Forces of Ukraine succeed, then the RF Armed Forces in the southeastern direction plan to retreat to Volnovakha and occupy the defensive line between Volnovakha and Mariupol (Maloyanisol-Andreevka). What will happen to the formations of the RF Armed Forces in the Gulyai-Polye and Orekhovsky directions is a question, because the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be able to attack them on the flank and go behind their lines.
“They will squeeze ours in the southeast, they will have to drape to Melitopol, to the north of the city there is a line of fortifications. We might be able to stay there for a day or two. It can be seen that in the morning today at the Ukrainians, assault units, experienced and evil, went into action.
Our command is pumping up reserves to the front line, but it is already felt that there are few of them left, our artillery has been knocked out in many places, the density of fire is decreasing. During the day there was a meeting, tank counterattacks were discussed, which we will carry out where the Ukrainians become completely insolent.
In short, we fight in the Soviet way. Let's burn all our stored tanks like this, but at least we'll have time to withdraw without panic and defeat, ”a Russian staff officer located north of Melitopol is not too optimistic about the chances of the RF Armed Forces.
While there is no talk of defeat, the offensive is at the very beginning.
Southeast direction. The green line marks the approximate position of the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The settlements underlined in green are taken under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The red line is the approximate position of the RF Armed Forces. Used map Deep State with our notes
Since Sunday, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have not yet used the main strike units assembled for the offensive. Judging by the information from the front, this may happen in the next day or has already happened, the information comes with a delay. According to our information, the RF Armed Forces have already committed more than 40 thousand soldiers from the reserves into battle.
The transfer of newly formed units from the Crimea to the Genichesk region is hastily going on, from where they can be transferred further to the front line. The locations of Russian reserves are under constant fire from Ukrainian artillery and MLRS. Also under fire are the roads connecting the rear with the front line.
In the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation there are large losses of trucks and vehicles. On the front line in many units there is a problem with drinking water, the supply of which cannot be replenished.
The situation in the Orekhovo region.
The green line marks the approximate position of the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The settlements underlined in green are taken under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
The red line is the approximate position of the RF Armed Forces. Used map Deep State with our notes
An employee of the presidential administration of the Russian Federation, working in Melitopol, said that as early as June 8, officials and business travelers from the Russian Federation were ordered to be ready to leave just in case. The end point was called Simferopol. This is not yet an evacuation, but preparation for it.
If the front is broken through in the area of Tokmak or Pologov, then the occupying authorities will have no more than five to seven hours to run to the Crimea. The roads are under artillery fire of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Open data scientists and Russian opposition military experts would be better off not placing too much hope on the “fortification lines” dug up throughout the Zaporozhye region. They work mainly on maps, although in some places they really slowed down the advance of the Ukrainian army. Slowed down but didn't stop.
We are also in a hurry to disappoint civilian lovers of history and tanks. Tank wedges and attacks in the spirit of the Battle of Kursk during the offensive have not yet been seen by anyone, except for the experts mentioned above. Armored vehicles and tanks are used, but not at all like in the movies. Ukrainian infantrymen with rolled up sleeves do not march behind the formation of fifty "Leopards".
There are heavy battles, serious losses on both sides.
Legend to the maps: the green line marks the approximate position of the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The settlements underlined in green are taken under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The red line is the approximate position of the RF Armed Forces. The settlement of Pologi underlined in red is the key position of the RF Armed Forces in this direction.
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