Ukraine: military situation update with maps - June 7, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
——> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
——> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
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——> The True State of Russian Army, The 2nd Best Army in Ukraine <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
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——> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
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——> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
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——> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
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——> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
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——>Ukraine’s Prized IRIS-T Air Defense System Attacked By Russian Drone In Video <——
The advanced truck-mounted TRML-4D radar the Russian loitering munitions look to have targeted may be the only one Ukraine has received.
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——> Dozens Of Dutch F-16s Were Just Freed Up Potentially For Ukraine <——
Draken, a U.S. adversary air contractor, will now take just six former Dutch F-16 fighter jets, leaving more potentially for Ukraine.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/dozens-of-dutch-f-16s-were-just-freed-up-potentially-for-ukraine
[ Tactical Genius | We Were Done in 20 Minutes ]
••Day 469: Jun 07
The most intense clashes took place in the Zaporizhia region.
The first attack was directed toward Lobkove. Ukrainians reportedly used at least two squads consisting of 4 armored fighting vehicles and 2 Humvees, which means that it was a light reconnaissance-in-force operation.
After a short engagement, Ukrainians understood the most current Russian positions and the number of troops defending them and withdrew with minor losses.
Immediately after the attack, Ukrainian artillery shelled the region intensely in cooperation with drone operators, who corrected the fire to maximize the damage.
After a quick regrouping, Ukrainians assaulted Russians in Lobkove again. One assault unit advanced from Stepove and attacked Russians from the hills. If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Lobkove is located in the lowlands, which means that Ukrainians had a tactical advantage.
However, Russians in Zherebianky are also at elevated positions and could with ease fire at Ukrainians. That is why the second Ukrainian group advanced along the gully and assaulted Zherebianky, drawing their attention away from the main target.
Russian sources reported that they stopped Ukrainians 1 km away from Zherebianky, which means that Ukrainians never left the gully and confirms that they were just distracting the enemy.
Russian sources reported that Ukrainians also used 2 tanks to provide fire support from a distance and help to take Lobkove as fast as possible. As a result, Ukrainians destroyed Russians in Lobkove and penetrated Russian positions by 2 km.
Some Russian sources reported that Ukrainians immediately abandoned Lobkove, and the village became a grey zone, but just like the last time, these reports were based on the fact that Ukrainians withdrew heavy equipment away from the contact line after a successful assault. Despite tactical successes, judging by the small number of forces involved, this was still a reconnaissance-in-force operation.
The goal of these attacks was to check Russian defenses, the speed of reaction and cooperation, force Russians to reveal their artillery positions, and map the minefields.
In the long run, a successful development of attacks here will secure the flanks and allow to consider deep penetration in the main direction, which is south of Orikhiv.
And when it comes to the main direction, Ukrainians conducted a mass reconnaissance-in-force operation here as well. Many sources reported that at around 2 pm, Ukrainians opened 4 lines of attack: toward Nesterianka, Kopani, Robotyne, and Novopokrovka. It was reported that Ukrainians used approximately the same size of assault units, namely around 4 armored vehicles, 4 Humvees, and sometimes 2 or 3 tanks.
When it comes to the Velyka Novosilka direction, Russian sources reported that Ukrainians attacked Levadne from Olhivske, Novodarivka, and Rivnopil from Novopil and the hills west of Storozheve.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Ukrainians are not necessarily aiming to secure settlements but rather tactical heights. Ukrainians already control the highest position in the region, which is Novopil, so by gradually increasing the area of control in the tree lines around Novodarivka and Rivnopil, Ukrainians gradually undermine Russian defense.
This is extremely visible south of Novosilka - by controlling the hills west of the river, Ukrainians will be able to force Russians out of the settlements in the lowlands without a fight, and it seems like this is already happening.
Even though Russian sources claim that they did not lose Neskuchne and Storozheve, they confirmed that Ukrainians successfully established control over the hills around these settlements, which put Russians in a very difficult position.
Lastly, when it comes to the previous successful Ukrainian attack on Novodonetske, the area of Ukrainian control has shank due to the Russian counterattacks. Nonetheless, Russian sources confirm here as well that Ukrainians retained a foothold south of the river, which is located on the tactical heights west of the settlement.
We can observe that the Head of the Wagner forces, Prigozhin, was likely right when he criticized the obsession of the Russian High Command with settlements.
He said that regular Russian forces often prioritize holding or capturing settlements over tactical positions around these settlements, which basically means choosing the path of the most resistance. Prigozhin said that this produces good-looking reports instead of good situations on the ground.
Prigozhin also ridiculed the most recent Russian situational report, where Defense Minister Shoigu reported that they destroyed 8 Leopards during the fights around Novodonetske.
Russian Ministry of Defense decided to back up its claims and solidify its reputation and posted combat footage of how its assault helicopter Ka-52 destroyed 4 Leopards just 3 km north of Novodonetske.
Unfortunately for the Russian Ministry of Defense, people quickly identified from the silhouette that all of the targets were combine harvester. Fortunately, there were casualties as the farmers were not working at the time.
Today real combat footage was finally released, and it confirms that Ukrainians mostly used T-64 tanks. So far, the strategic reserves, namely the 9th and 10th Corps, that Ukrainians created specifically to participate in the main phase of the counteroffensive remain untouched, and Leopard tanks have not been used as well.
Just like during the previous counteroffensive operations, Ukrainians are increasing the intensity of attacks along the whole front line slowly, and only when they reach the main line of fortification and can no longer advance by conducting small attacks Ukrainians will pick the weakest spot and finally use their Leopards to deliver the main blow.
••Bakhmut:
To the south, a significant move of 4km. The 3rd Assault Battalion does not have river crossing equipment which is needed to advance further east. They could cross further along the front to the south, but it is risky.
To halt this advance, the Russia sent more reinforcements to the south, to the Klishchiivka area.
To the northwest of Bakhmut, Berkhivka mostly taken. This blocks the Russians to the west and can only leave the area by climbing over the hills to the north.
The problem fore the UA remains with the 90 meter high hill. This hill must be taken before entering the city.
Taking the hill means control over Yahidne, Dubovo-Vasylivka, and maybe Krasna Hora.
Prigozhin said the city will be under UA control in no more than 45 days, with the Russian army fleeing further east.
Light push keeps the frog in the pot and little by little the frog will boil.
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Shebekinio:
RLF has been in Novaya Tavolzhanka, Russia for one week now. Taken by ~100 guys with guns bought at a local hardware store :). Russian sent reinforcements to Shebekinio thinking they are in that area.
If the Russian begin to push them, they will just withdraw to Ukraine - the main thing is to limit losses as they only have ~100 people.
Russian Media is silent on this situation - for them it does not exist.
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Kherson:
Russia is evacuating Kinbersky Peninsula. UA could take this spit, as it is very important to guarding the ships bound for Mykolaiv port.
Woman trapped on roof in the flood area near Oleshky was given water sent by UA via drone, later some troops went and rescued her. Russians do not care about the people that are still trapped.
No help is being received from the UN or Red Cross.
The water channel soon will not have enough water to send to Crimea which is 80% of the water going to Crimea.
Nuclear power plant has enough water to keep the reactors cool.
Satellite images are arriving of the flooding.
The people on the Ukrainian side mostly evacuated. However, on the Russian side, nothing is being done, and the Russians reassured everyone ‘nothing huge is happening’.
Ukraine sent volunteers to Russian controlled Oleshky to evacuate people from their roofs where they were sunbathing and taking in the view, creating selfies to post on social media, etc. Because ‘nothing huge is happening’.
Zelensky:
Because of the Russian criminal terrorists who blew the hydroelectric power plant all the interconnections to the Ukraine power grid are no more and there could be an issue later causing the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant to shut down.
All of this eliminates 1/3rd of Ukraine’s power, and there will likely be parts of the country blacked out again.
Because of Russia created a flood and humanitarian crisis, the southern part of Ukraine may turn into a desert, which creates a food crisis, which creates a demographic crisis.
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Western drive-by media is mistaking UA reconnaissance-by-force as the main offensive.
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Parking lot in Kiev were there UN parks, someone spray painted them “Useless”.
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The UK Guardian is reporting some NATO members may send troops to Ukraine. This, after the main NATO-Ukraine Summit in Vilnis does not create security guarantees.
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F-16s:
Zelensky in the Moldova: Ukraine will get many F-16s. The actual number surprised him and made him very happy. They will not arrive in drips and drabs like Western artillery, tanks and IFVs, but all at once.
••Demonstration of how the Russian fake images:
Sometimes photos might be photoshopped like for example this one. They took their own damaged tank and put the leopard-2 model. You may see it if you look at the smoke cloud.
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Wagnerites kidnap Russian soldiers, torture and lower them, sometimes forcing them to be “slaves” - Russian Defense Ministry lieutenant colonel Vinivitin
The commander of the 72nd brigade of the RF Armed Forces, who was recently captured by the Wagnerites, was probably released from captivity and is now reading a new video message from the sheet:
“I was captured, kept in the basement, mocked in the way that any embittered Russian soldier would not mock a captured soldier of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
I was beaten, not allowed to sleep, three times a night they simply dragged me out of the basement and tried to shoot me. The video of my interrogation is the result of pressure.”
“There was a case related to the threat of reprisals against the fighters of the EW company, who were promised to be surrounded and “zeroed out” only because they did not work the way the “Wagners” wanted.
The foreman of one of the battalions was kidnapped, he was tortured, tortured, splashed with acid in his eyes, poured gasoline on him.
“A fighter from a neighboring formation was “lowered”, and out of hopelessness, he simply ended his life by suicide. There were cases when fighters were kidnapped and people tried to exchange them for ammunition.”
Another aggravation of relations between the Kremlin towers.
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President Zelensky visited the Kherson area that was flooded because of the dam destruction
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Video: Russians launched the attack on the volunteers who evacuate people from the flooded houses ...
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The Dam:
Map of possible flood area:
https://t.me/pilotblog/4470
Image of new Leopard 2 tanks in Ukraine
https://t.me/pilotblog/4487
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Russian officials said everything is going according to the Plan.
Ukraine’s Prized IRIS-T Air Defense System Attacked By Russian Drone In Video
The advanced truck-mounted TRML-4D radar the Russian loitering munitions look to have targeted may be the only one Ukraine has received.
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Australia To Get One New Build Virginia Class Submarine, Two From U.S. Navy
New details about Australia’s plan to transition to an all nuclear submarine fleet have emerged during intense questioning in Canberra.
[ We don’t need no stinking subs ]