“Across the past few days and weeks, Russians are actively posting about potential areas for the Ukrainian strikes, afraid of repeating the Kharkiv-Kherson disasters. Crossing the Dnieper remains one of the hottest topics of discussion. Large incursions into Russian territory are also expected.”
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1648318665215844352/photo/1
“Not the jolliest of updates from (War Criminal) Girkin, he says Avdiivka will not be encircled before the Ukrainian offensive; Wagner are reinforced with regular army and mobiks as they ran out of people in Bakhmut.”
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1648273902823505921/photo/1
. Crossing the Dnieper remains one of the hottest topics of discussion.
........
imho if the ukes have the right breaching equipment, solid intelligence. If they have properly blinded the rus in their chosen lanes of attack and degraded rus ammunition and supplies— they can cut right through the rus lines anywhere.
It would be impossible for the coming attack not to be planned in excruciating detail.
This has to be the case since we’re sitting in the cheap seats and already have a pretty good idea of the parameters of the play.
imho the dneiper crossings are all beautiful but secondary.
that is, the dneiper crossings would come only after the rus on the eastern side of the dneiper began to get antsy or began their withdrawal in anticipation of withdrawing to the crimea because of uke invasions to their rear.
the questions for the ukes is this...do they want to trap the rus on the eastern side of the dneiper or do they want to quickly push them south to crimea. (if the latter, then yes, dneiper crossing that came AFTER breakthroughs around zaporista would be in order.)
at this point the war aims of the coming counter offensive are unknown.