I think that time, distance, energy, and manufacturing we'll decide to sworn it is in Russia's favor.
The defence industry of Russia is a strategically important sector and a large employer in the country. Russia has a large and sophisticated arms industry, capable of designing and manufacturing high-tech military equipment, including a fifth-generation fighter jet, nuclear powered submarines, firearms, and short range/long range ballistic missiles. It is the world's second-largest exporter of arms, behind only the United States.
It has been widely described as an energy superpower;[31] as it has the world's largest natural gas reserves,[32] the second-largest coal reserves,[33] the eighth-largest oil reserves,[34] and the largest oil shale reserves in Europe.[35] It is the world's leading natural gas exporter,[36] the second-largest natural gas producer,[37] and the second-largest oil exporter,[38] and producer.[39] Russia's foreign exchange reserves are the world's fourth-largest.[40] It has a labour force of roughly 70 million people, which is the world's sixth-largest.[41] Russia is the world's second-largest exporter of arms.[42] Russia also has the world's fifth-largest number of billionaires.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Russia
“It is the world’s second-largest exporter of arms, behind only the United States.”
That doesn’t really seem to support your hypothesis that time will work in Russia’s favor.