Posted on 11/18/2022 8:22:13 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
Good for Poland keeping the Communist scum out!!!
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Nov 17, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named War in Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... )
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
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Extra:
-—> Ukraine Situation Report: Concerns Continue To Loom Over U.S. Weapons Stocks <——
Nine months of high intensity warfare in Ukraine has taken its toll on U.S. weapons stockpiles.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-concerns-continue-to-loom-over-u-s-weapons-stocks
Excerpts:
The U.S. military has depleted considerable stocks of precision munitions and artillery shells after providing large sums of materiel to Ukraine for use in the ongoing struggle against Russia. However, the Pentagon maintains it will not part with so many weapons that its strategic reserves are threatened ...
Perhaps anticipating a renewed offensive by Russian or allied Belorussian forces from the north, a fortified border wall has been constructed between Ukraine and Belarus. The video below shows that the wall appears to be mainly built of concrete and topped by coiled razor wire. That should at least slow a ground offensive from the northeast while Ukraine focuses on ousting Russian forces it’s the south and east.
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Summary:
no major changes.
Key areas:
- Oskil river area: no changes
- North Donbass area: no changes.
- Central Donbass (Donetsk West): no changes.
- Zaporizhya: no changes.
———————————————————————————————————————
••Energy - Skipped
Ukraine and Russia, Kazakhstan grain deal - Skipped
China and UK
UK government is forcing Chinese company to divest its semiconductor manufacturer they acquired in 2019 called Newport Wafer Fab.
China & Taiwan - Skipped
UK & Taxes - Skipped
Federal Reserve & Interest rates - Skipped
Russian air strikes & electricity distribution infrastructure - Skipped
Military Situation
Understand Ukraine did not maintain all of the military equipment, since it became independent in 1991: it was extremely poorly maintained in extremely poor conditions, and now its no surprised that it actually doesn’t do what its supposed to do, and not to mention that was produced about 40 years ago, where the shelf life may have expired.
Russia got this Kamikaze drones from Iran, and they are extremely successful; they’ve been destroying quite a bit of Ukrainian equipment, especially near the Russian side being using them quite a lot in, and they destroy very good high quality equipment like those Polish self-propelled howitzers, Krabs some I think think even like Ceasars from from France as well, but and then tanks as well so its definitely turning into the big problem and the loss of the equipment that’s happening is not sustainable for Ukrainian side, and at the same time, there is a short window to come up with some strategic answer so far there was there is no answer it just goes unpunished, and there is no even much of the changes in the military or attempts to do anything about that.
Russian mobilized troops official number is 300,000 which I don’t believe its just like you open the well and you never close it so its like evergreen mobilization that’s what’s really what’s going on there, however what I would say is that as I said before majority of this mobilized soldiers will hit the front line in December; so there is very high chance at end of December and sometime in January of Russian Command will try to launch some offensive to achieve whatever goal they decided - hard to say right now - more likely than not, its going to be something about capturing their remainder of the Donetsk region and also Zaporizhya - we’ll see what happens there, but they definitely will try to strike back at Ukrainian side.
Central Donbas:
The only major development is Russian troops managed to capture a Ukrainian strong major stronghold - its like another 50 or 100 meters of the territory, but what is important is they are creating a deeper and deeper crack in Ukrainian defenses - it will not be possible to hold.
Zaporizhya
Things are quiet here as well - as a whole there is no news about redeployment by either side of all.
@visegrad24
12h
Ukrainian Brigade General Olexiy Gromov stated today that Ukrainian troops have taken control of certain sections of the eastern bank of the Dnipro River.
https://www.moonofalabama.org
The targeting of 330 kilovolt transformers in various switching stations has cut some 50% of the distribution capability of Ukraine's electricity network. These transformers weigh up to 200 tons. There are no replacements. You do not buy them at the next corner but will have order them with years of lead time. As far as I can tell Russia is currently Russia the only producer of transformers of that type.
###
The lack of energy is degrading the railway network that brings weapons from the west to the eastern front. It makes redeployment of units from one front section to another very difficult and time consuming. It will give the Russian forces the advantage when they change the Schwerpunkt of their attacks from one corner of the frontline to another.
Another effect of the strikes on the electricity systems and the blackouts in the big cities that follow them is a renewed stream of refugees that will want reach western Europe. It will over time change the public opinion and the political priorities of those countries. If they fail to end the war they will have to carry the burden.
"A Dutch court today (17 Nov) sentenced 3 Russians to life in prison for shooting down the passenger jet MH17 over Ukraine in 2014, killing 298 civilians
Despite Russian lies about the plane having been shot down by a Ukrainian fighter jet, the court said it was clear Russia was behind it."
(Including Igor Girkin, AKA "Strelkov")
War crimes trials from this year's invasion of the Ukraine will be ongoing for many, many years into the futre.
Truepotatriot
@truepotatriot
·
4h
Replying to
@CrimsonJGlory1
@sdtuc2
and
@wartranslated
Naw, tungsten is more dense, and heat resistant than what’s used in a shotgun shell.
Each fragment is specifically placed in a coil like formation to maximize spread.
The rocket slams into the ground at mach 2.5 just the impact force alone is wild.
“Russia got this Kamikaze drones from Iran, and they are extremely successful... its definitely turning into the big problem and the loss of the equipment that’s happening is not sustainable for Ukrainian side, and at the same time, there is a short window to come up with some strategic answer”
This does need an answer.
In addition to Iranian drones, the Russian “Lancet” loitering munition is a big part of the current challenge that needs to be solved.
I’d rather this energy be devoted top documenting where all of our billions of dollars went.
—
The documentation is in the Inflation “Reduction” Act:
Energy Security and Climate Change $369 billion;
Affordable Care Act Extension $64 billion;
IRS Tax Enforcement $124 billion
@ChuckPfarrer 2h
KHERSON AXIS/ 1430 UTC 18 NOV/ RU airstrikes hit Kherson area. UKR air defenses down 5 Shahed-136 UAVs, four RU cruise missiles and two RU guided missiles. UKR Gen’l Staff reports RU airstrike against Antonivka, a location deep in occupied S bank territory.
“The only measurable, impartial data of use right now would be night time photos from orbit, 2021 vs this week.”
The easy source that anyone can check is internet traffic. Ukraine was back at 100% normal volume on Monday. The strikes Wednesday knocked out 30% of traffic. Since then it has recovered to 80%.
At current rates it will take another week until 100% of Ukrainians are reconnected.
“Houston-based energy firm Criterion Research responded to the news of Freeport’s updated reopening timeline:
At long last, Freeport has given clarification of its timeline for a restart of LNG operations at the long-offline terminal. The company reported that the reconstruction work needed to start initial ops at all three LNG trans, two storage tanks, and one berth was 90% completed, with all work on target for completion by the end of November 2022.
With that in mind, they are now targeting the initial startup in Mid-December 2022. They will then work gradually to a 2 Bcf/d operational rate in January 2023. Full operations at both docks will be reached in March 2023. Freeport will phase on each of its three trains in a “in a slow and deliberate manner, with each train starting separately before restarting a subsequent train.” “
Chuck isn't the sharpest tool in the shed. Ukraine has multiple towns named Antonivka, and the strike was almost certainly on the Antonivka on the Right Bank of the Dnipro, just across the destroyed Antonovskiy Bridge.
But obviously that can be bot generated. Lights from orbit, no. That’s the only meaningful data we can rely on.
Someone will get this available soon.
At current levels of production, the US has about 14 years of nat gas remaining in high confidence reserves. This can be seen in the BP World Statistical Report.
US Consumption is about 80% of production and the rest exported. That 20% would buy time.
We should not be exporting gas until there are, assuming there ever are, new discoveries.
So what is your point that Russia can again destroy civilian targets. Very brave of Putin. Didn’t stop England and for that matter didn’t stop German whos war production climbed until late 44. Oil was hit hard but they still produced. So we’ll do e Putin you can kill civilians and cause great harm to civilian population. Brag on
“Ukraine has multiple towns named Antonivka, and the strike was almost certainly on the Antonivka on the Right Bank of the Dnipro”
That does seem more likely.
@visegrad24 21h
The initiative by MEP @weimers to have the European Parliament pass a resolution marking Russia as state sponsor of terrorism is moving forward.
An agreement on the text was achieved today.
Declaring Russia as a sponsor of terrorism will have legal ramifications for sanctions.
@ecrgroup Nov 17
MEP Charlie @Weimers calls on the European Parliament to vote through our resolution to label #Russia so during next week’s plenary session.
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