Bet me otherwise, you bloviating neocon freak.
51 posted on 11/9/2022, 2:15:55 PM by Kazan
RuZZian Tank losses RunningTotal: 1465
November 2022 – 46
October 2022 – 212
September 2022 - 217
August 2022 – 74
July 2022 – 108
June 2022 – 67
May 2022 – 148
April 2022 – 243
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 350
RuZZian Artillery losses Running Total: 392
November 2022 – 13
October 2022 – 64
September 2022 - 73
August 2022 – 21
July 2022 – 21
June 2022 – 18
May 2022 – 20
April 2022 – 52
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 110
“Amazing footage of the first Ukrainian troops reaching Kherson’s main square.”
https://twitter.com/yarotrof/status/1591058239680311296
Bet me otherwise, you bloviating neocon freak.
51 posted on 11/9/2022, 2:15:55 PM by Kazan
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Nov 10, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named War in Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... )
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
-—> Ukraine Situation Report: Rumors Swirl Around Bombardment Of Russians Fleeing Kherson <——
Reports state that retreating Russian troops are apparently panicking as Ukrainian forces close the noose around Kherson City.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-rumors-swirl-around-bombardment-of-russians-fleeing-kherson
Excerpt:
In a confidential arms deal, South Korea will sell the U.S. about 100,000 rounds of 155mm howitzer ammunition, which will then be shipped to Ukraine ... will provide Ukraine with at least several weeks’ worth of howitzer ammunition
—
-—> Avenger Air Defense Systems Headed To Ukraine <——
The U.S. AN/TWQ-1 Avenger short-range air defense systems will help guard key target areas against the scourge of Iranian drones.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/avenger-air-defense-systems-headed-to-ukraine
—
-—> Russia’s MiG-31 Foxhounds Proving To Be A Threat To Ukrainian Aircraft <——
The unique MiG-31BM with its very long-range air-to-air missiles is a serious menace to Ukrainian aircraft.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russias-mig-31-foxhounds-proving-to-be-a-threat-to-ukrainian-aircraft
Excerpt:
The MiG-31 (NATO Foxhound-A) is playing an important, if generally unsung role ... these jets currently forward deployed at two bases closer to Ukraine to take part in the fighting. From here, they are fulfilling an important role by virtue of the extreme distance at which they can engage aerial threats - a role in which they are now also joined by the SU-35S Flanker multirole fighter. Stationed at Belbek Air Base, Crimea
———————————————————————————————————————
Summary:
Russian troops are almost done evacuating Kherson bridgehead
only rear-guard units left
they are attempting to cross to the Eastern side of Dnipro river.
Key areas:
- Oskil river area:
exchange of Russian and Ukrainian attacks/counterattacks. No changes
- North Donbass area: no changes.
- Central Donbass (Donetsk West): no changes.
- Zaporizhya: no changes.
- Kherson bridgehead:
Russian troops essentially gone with only rear-guard units doing defensive operations.
Ukrainian forces are entering empty villages/towns.
———————————————————————————————————————
••Strategic Situation:
First of all as always we’re gonna pay a lot of attention to China. US President (Brandon) is to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping on November 14th to officially to discuss Russian aggression, Taiwan, economic policies, but really the purpose of the meeting is to have a last attempt to talk Chinese President out of plan of Taiwan invasion. There will be an attempt to warn and and dissuade from an impeding invasion - whether that’s gonna succeed or not nobody knows. We’ll find out probably unlikely, but never you never know.
Brandon also has a warning directed towards Xi Jinping - he gave a warning that the US is not prepared to give concessions to China on fundamental questions. What this means is the US, I wouldn’t say defend, but will provide as weapons as necessary to Taiwan to protect its independence. Both sides are firmly on a collision course, and this is one final last call for negotiations, before things start to heat up significantly.
US and Japan are doing large military exercise; everybody understands why, it’s very clear it’s also a deterrent to China to show that, ‘we have Japan, US together, and we are prepared to stand against China’.
It’s unclear if Xi Jinping is going to attend G20 meeting - it’s like up in the air - probably that is dependent on the result of the meeting with Brandon on the 14th of November that’s speculative, but just it’s not normal, because China is one of the centers of power of G20, and then Russian President (Putin) confirmed that he’s not going to attend this meeting. It does look like that meeting was another attempt for reconciliation of differences, without using military force, and it does look like it’s falling apart. Another dangerous data point this time is coming from India where the Indian Minister of Defense who said India does not agree with the current world order.
Skipped Big Section on Foreign Affairs & Inflation
North Donbas:
Wagner mercenaries are continuing their non-stop attacks, all super energetic - so far no reports of advances for today, but as I said many times ago it’s this typical pattern: there’s nothing happening for 5-10 days, and then they breach somewhere.
Kherson Bridgehead:
It’s unclear where everything is; what is clear is majority of the Russian troops apparently managed to get on the other side on the Eastern side of Dnipro river. Ukrainian troops are already entering Kherson, and probably will see on the 11th Ukrainian troops advancing near Nova Kahovaka. They are moving much faster in this area because Kherson is a symbol, because here it is more important for propaganda purposes.
Ukrainian authorities want to make a show of Kherson, but the point is a majority of the Russian troops managed to escape; there are some rear guard units that might be stuck, it’s unclear the number of those troops - might be 1,000-3,000 at most, but we’ll find out I guess on the 11th what’s going on there, because there’s Ukrainian propaganda saying it’s like 20,000 Russian troops, which is completely incorrect, because the withdrawal really started on the 18th of October by the Russian command, and majority of the troops were withdrawn.
At this point in terms of assessment, this is absolutely correct move by the Russian Command again, which tells us that they are pretty intelligent, despite the other failures, but at the higher level, at the command level, there is a clear thinking and very realistic assessment of the situation. They held for as long as they could, and once they could not anymore, they they left, and they left in a pretty organized fashion, given that there are a lot of problems at lower level in the Russian army and middle level.
There’s a lot of raw that I mentioned this many times before it’s a Soviet army with all of its problems and an example of these problems is abandoned Russian equipment which was broken, run out of fuel. What happens is Russian troops don’t destroy the equipment, they just leave it behind intact for Ukrainian troops to pick up. The reason they do that is because if they burn it, they would have personal responsibility, and I don’t know to what extent they can be sentenced to jail or something, but there is personal responsibility for that.
They are completely incentivized in the wrong way, and disempowered, and that’s a key feature of the Soviet army or the Soviet system as a whole; it’s just complete disempowerment of individual - something similar to be fair, is happening in Ukrainian Army because its largely a Soviet Army - not really a huge difference, it just has more modern equipment relative to the Russian army, but in essence, they are twins, not much of a difference.
Russian command made correct in a timely move and withdrawal probably started on October 18th, and it tells us that either it was done completely in a discrete way, or the other interpretation of the situation is Ukrainian Command saw it, but did not want to push or put pressure, and then we can always speculate on why this is happening.
There’s speculation that there is back door agreement - you never know, but we can have even find a simpler assumption; our explanation is all of these attacks by Ukrainian troops lead to extremely heavy losses on human side, and you want to minimize that, but because Ukrainian troops don’t know how to do how to attack in a proper way; it’s probably also very logical decision on Ukrainian Command side, ‘let’s just let them leave, and we save lives of the soldiers, and then we’ll we’ll go from there and see what happens next’.
That’s probably also a rational decision, given the state of the affairs of Ukrainian troops, but it also means lost opportunities. If the troops were much more prepared and skilled, all of this 30-40,000 Russian troops could be encircled on this bridgehead and destroyed, which would open up really opportunities in other sides of Ukraine and speed up liberation of the captured territories, but as they say pigs don’t fly, it’s better to be realistic, than try to do something that you cannot do.
@bayraktar_1love
6h
It is reported that the advance of Ukrainian forces to the center of Kherson has slowed down as they have to break through the crowds of local residents trying to hug the soldiers.
NOVA KAKHOVKA DAM+LOCK: It looks like several spans of the bridge along the dam were blown up by Russians during the retreat
Nov 11, 2022
Update on Russian military operations in and around Ukraine for November 11, 2022.
- Russia completes withdrawal from Kherson city to east bank of the Dnieper River;
- Ukraine has lost its last major opportunity to corner and destroy/capture large numbers of Russian forces/equipment;
- Russia continues stated process of de-militarizing Ukraine;
- US aid to Ukraine becomes increasingly unrealistic - Hawk missiles designed in the 1960s and unused for 2 decades are being "refurbished" for a lack of better options;
- "Avenger" systems to be sent in small numbers (4) which are essentially Stinger missiles attached to a Hummer - after training for Ukrainian operators is completed;
- Dwindling amounts of basic ammunition continue to be sent to Ukraine, prolonging the conflict, but not in quantities to even allow Ukraine to hold what it has;
- As Russian forces withdrew from Kherson city, they advanced elsewhere in southern and northern Donbass.
The ground in Ukraine will likely freeze in the next 4-7 weeks. When that happens, we will see everything change in Ukraine.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6o3vxogGFZM
Top Russian propagandist is so mad about Russia's retreat from Kherson that he forgot the name of his own show and admitted to missing life the way it used to be. Watch his furious tirade, full of sighs, insults and outlandish lies.
