Posted on 11/05/2022 8:46:27 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Small arms, ATGMs, MANPADS, loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles, trailers and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it is not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
RuZZian Tank losses RunningTotal: 1420
November 2022 – 1
October 2022 – 212
September 2022 - 217
August 2022 – 74
July 2022 – 108
June 2022 – 67
May 2022 – 148
April 2022 – 243
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 350
RuZZian Artillery losses Running Total: 380
November 2022 – 1
October 2022 – 64
September 2022 - 73
August 2022 – 21
July 2022 – 21
June 2022 – 18
May 2022 – 20
April 2022 – 52
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 110
“The 4th BrOP of the National Guard set fire to the butt of a T-72B3 Rusnyavos near Bakhumt.”
https://twitter.com/antiputler_news/status/1588552208911859714
As we know, the RuZZian military just isn’t very good.
“”Moscow has not been able to destroy a single one of those HIMARS launchers to date, according to a Senior Defense Department Official...””
https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status/1588644584090763264
“Video from Ukraine’s 45th Artillery Brigade of artillery strikes on a Russian Pantsir-S1 and Tunguska air defense systems (not an Osa-AKM). Possible Excalibur strikes.”
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1588905221341982726
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1587785403146305537
RuZZia used to fire 60,000 rounds a day pre-HIMARs.
“-Consumption rates in this war are high: Ukraine fires 4,000-7000 artillery rounds each day, while Russia fires 20,000 a day.”
https://twitter.com/laraseligman/status/1588635518744543235
“ISW: Putin likely to continue covert mobilization. According to the Institute for the Study of War, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin’s plans to continue with covert mobilization suggest that partial mobilization did not produce sufficient forces for Russia’s war in Ukraine.”
https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1588767127322112000
I'm surprised that Russia hasn't developed a foxhole cover that could also be laid on the ground around a foxhole to make it difficult for the drone operator to find the real foxhole. Here's one from Colemans Military Surplus.
Thanks for the ping.
Ukrainian losses to date:
In total, 330 airplanes and 168 helicopters, 2,422 unmanned aerial vehicles, 384 air defence missile systems, 6,297 tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles,
882 fighting vehicles equipped with multiple rocket-launching systems, 3,547 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 6,996 units of special military hardware
have been destroyed during the special military operation.
‘“They are hiding from us”: a Ukrainian prisoner of war announced the heavy losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kharkiv direction’
https://russian.rt.com/ussr/article/1069954-ukraina-plennyi-poteri-harkovskoe-napravlenie
.
.
“The Armed Forces of Ukraine suffered very heavy losses during the advance in the Kharkiv direction, said Alexander Barlyan, a soldier of the 25th separate assault brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, who is in captivity in the LPR. He also noted that foreign mercenaries often use Ukrainian soldiers as human shields.”
- US assistance to Ukraine increasingly depends on "refurbishing" antiquated weapons kept in storage as current inventories of weapons run low;
- Russian tanks continue to roll out of factories while those in storage are also being upgraded and deployed;
- British state media admits Ukraine faces difficulties in taking Kherson city;
- Russian forces continue preparing for protracted combat while Ukraine races against the clock in terms of energy, economics, and material support for combat operations
‘US Sending Moth-balled Gear to Ukraine as Russian Reinforcements Continue to Gather’
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C2r-zUVqDjI
Long been telling you all for a couple months now that the West/US/UK/EU/NATO running out of military hardware and munitions to send Ukraine....
I’m reading reports of 500-800 russian troops being killed on single days. These reports come in regularly. this is the most recent today https://news.yahoo.com/ukrainian-armed-forces-kill-over-071828396.html
I don’t have any particular insight as to what’s true and what’s propaganda. nor do I read battlefield reports so well that I can infer what the true casualties would look like.
If true, russian casualties would be unsustainable. If false then what are the true numbers.
Its said that the russians have lost roughly 72000 troops kia. If you take that over 8 months and so divide 72000 by 3520 days (or 8 months since the beginning of the war)—you get roughly 200 russian troops kia on average each day
Again though its hard to know if the 72k kia russian troop number is accurate.
Do you know what’s true and what’s propaganda?
Kazan is the name of a city in RuZZia.
Is that where you live?
RuZZia still needs men.
“Putin signs law to mobilize Russian citizens convicted of serious crimes”
“Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a law Friday that allows for conscripting citizens with un-expunged or outstanding convictions for various serious crimes.
Russians convicted of murder, robbery, larceny, drug trafficking and other grave offenses under the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation can be called up for military service, according to the law.
That makes it possible to mobilize hundreds of thousands of people who have been sentenced to probation or have recently been released from colonies who were previously forbidden to serve.
The only group of criminals exempted from the decree are those who committed sex crimes against minors, treason, spying or terrorism. Also excluded are those convicted of the attempted assassination of a government official, hijacking an aircraft, extremist activity and illegal handling of nuclear materials and radioactive substances.
The Kremlin has already mobilized an additional 18,000 soldiers above its goal of 300,000 to fight in its war in Ukraine from the general male population of Russia, Putin said Friday. “
RuZZia is taking HEAVY losses.
“Luhansk regional military head describes devastation in the eastern region”
“A Ukrainian military official surveyed the devastation in de-occupied parts of the eastern Luhansk region, leaving him with “rather mixed feelings,” he said Friday.
Serhiy Hayday, head of the Luhansk region military administration, described the pain of seeing what the Russians left behind. He found destroyed villages, cattle that are ill or dead, and empty houses, according to a Telegram post about his visit.
Hayday said his party found five to six people “who remained there up to the last” and helped take them out of the settlement. He recommended civilians stay away due to shelling and mines in the area.
Fierce fighting in the region: There are constant battles in Luhansk’s Svatove-Kreminna area, north of Russian-occupied Severodonetsk, according to Hayday. He said the Russians are increasing their manpower in the area.
“Every time during the attack, the Russians send their soldiers (numbering up to a platoon) for reconnaissance, in which they cannot survive. They die, and the next ones go forward. Every new attack is accompanied by the fact that the Russians are trampling their dead. Of course, no one takes the bodies out. There is no such thing as value of human life for them,” Hayday said Friday.”
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Nov 4, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named War in Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... )
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
-—> Ukraine Situation Report: Russian Troop Mobilizations Hit 318,000 <——
Faced with increasing losses on the battlefield, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced the latest tally of mobilized reservists.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-russian-troop-mobilizations-hit-318000
Excerpts:
Putin on Friday announced that 318,000 draftees had been mobilized, with 49,000 of them already in combat ... while Ukraine sees these troops as mere cannon fodder, it is possible that by staggering their deployments to the front lines, giving troops more time to train and backfill existing units, Russia could complicate Ukrainian efforts ... Ukrainian forces suffered a communications problem when 1,300 of the SpaceX Starlink satellite units went offline over funding issues with the service ... “The recent outage started on October 24 and was described by one person briefed on the situation as a ‘huge problem’ for Ukraine’s military,” CNN reported. “The terminals had been disconnected, this person said, due to a lack of funding.” ... the outage affected a block of 1,300 terminals that Ukraine purchased from a British company in March and were used for combat-related operations.
Ukroboronprom, Ukraine’s state defense industry, launched its own production of 122 mm and 152 mm ammunition to feed its old Soviet-era artillery
—
-—> Ukraine’s Post-Apocalyptic-Looking ‘Ark’ Eyed As Battlefield Medical Vehicle <——
A volunteer medical unit says the Ark, originally designed as a custom tour bus, could be a boon on the battlefield.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraines-post-apocalyptic-looking-ark-eyed-as-battlefield-medical-vehicle
—
-—> Ukraine To Get 90 T-72B Tanks From Czech Republic <——
The U.S. and Netherlands will split the $90 million cost to refurbish the Czech tanks as part of a $400 million aid package announced Friday.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-to-get-90-t-72b-tanks-from-czech-republic
Excerpts:
In addition to paying to refurbish the tanks, the package also includes 1,100 additional Phoenix Ghost loitering munitions, 40 armored riverine boats, funding to refurbish 250 M1117 Armored Security Vehicles (ASV) and an undisclosed number of missiles for the medium-range Homing All the Way Killer (HAWK) air defense systems provided to Ukraine by Spain. It’s worth noting that months after their delivery was announced, we have still not seen a Phoenix Ghost loitering munition, at least that we know of.
The missiles for the HAWKs come from existing stocks that the U.S. no longer uses because it no longer fields that system, Singh said. The HAWK system, first introduced in 1959, has been updated several times since. The last version, the Improved-HAWK (or I-HAWK), came out of U.S. service in 2002 without ever being used in combat. Spain has agreed to provide four such systems to Ukraine. The I-HAWK system comes in three different phases designated as Phase I through III, and Spain possesses the MIM-23B I-HAWK Phase I and Phase III.
The I-HAWK’s technical specifications vary between phases, but the improved version overall uses an M192 launch unit and features a 163-pound blast-fragmentation warhead and an M112 rocket motor with a boost and sustain phase on top of the improved guidance package noted earlier. The new motor increased the I-HAWK’s engagement envelope, with the missile boasting a minimum range of just under a mile and a maximum range of just under 22 miles.
Guardian of the Skies - The I-Hawk Missiles
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3cq9dy-vKU
———————————————————————————————————————
Summary:
No major changes.
Key areas:
- Oskil river area: no changes.
- North Donbass area: no changes.
- Central Donbass (Donetsk West): no changes.
- Zaporizhya: no changes.
- Kherson bridgehead: no changes.
———————————————————————————————————————
••Asia:
I was talking about China and that’s what I’m gonna do today, because its really heading towards war, and probably sooner than later. I spoke about the China fixing its relationship with Vietnam, which they formally did: they control Burma, and now the Chinese Prime Minister is going to Cambodia. The whole point of this is to ensure that during the attack on Taiwan, this area is going to remain neutral, and China is not going to get backstabbed. China has at least a guarantee that Pakistan is not going to do anything. This whole area is also quiet. China has a lot of influence on Kazakhstan. The only question is India, and that’s pretty much it, and there is 100% support from Russia - there is no question about that, then also from North Korea.
North Korea is a Chinese puppet regime - its really China - North Korea is a similar relationship as Russia and Belarus, where Belarus does what Russia needs and is just an extension, another puppet or mask on international affairs, but don’t fool yourself its China. That’s why you see the activity of North Korea shooting missiles to create stress in South Korea and Japan and potentially tie them up so they will not focus on situation in Taiwan.
The only question still remaining is what is that southeastern part of Asia: Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, Australia. Australia is definitely not going to be friend of China, but its far enough and small enough not to be critical for China. Plus Iran, there is revolution going on there, but whether it succeed or not nobody knows. Turkey is guaranteed to be neutral; China is ensuring neutrality of most of Asia, and Saudi Arabia is going to be neutral - recently it has had a really bad relationship with the US, then Qatar also somewhat negative tones, because ...
I forgot to mention yesterday, when UK tried to introduce its crude oil price ceiling through the marine insurance, Qatar said that if they try to do it, they will stop supplying natural gas. This whole system is not working; this whole energy policy being pursued by the West, by the current governments in the West, is putting ammunition in the hands of Russia and China. I won’t say Iran, but its its strengthening the rivals.
Why I’m I saying, ‘what the hell is going on in China that makes it very dangerous?’
First of all, German Chancellor Scholz visited China, and Xi Jinping openly, very openly said, without any diplomacy, said Europe should not be controlled by a third party, meaning the US. He said, ‘let’s boycott these sanctions being applied to Russia’, well he didn’t say Russia, but that’s double speak.
His goal is to create a crack or wedge in the West, in Europe, using Germany or trolls as a tool to do that, because, first that created already wedge inside of his government and coalition, I mean it was coalition from the very beginning, it also created rifts with France, where the French President didn’t go on the trip. That created a really big crack in continental Europe, because the two largest economic engines are France and Germany, and now there is a bad relationship there.
China so far playing all of its cards extremely wisely, and extremely successfully politically.
They offered to Scholz in return, and also very cleverly, they signed an agreement to buy 140 Airbus airplanes, which is roughly worth of US$17 billion. They’re not in kindergarten; they play it in a very clever way. Then an additional statement was made by Minister of Defense of China, saying US position forces China to prepare for war - that’s its it all of this together tells us that this war is probably going to happen sooner than later, and probably much sooner than many people expect.
That’s extremely explosive - in reality its not Russia’s war against Ukraine, its really two huge plates are colliding, China and US, and two blocks are built around them - one is China, Russia, Iran and many countries are silently participating, and then the West where there are cracks, where Germany is trying to do its own thing.
••US Assurances:
Also US National Security Advisor visited Ukraine on Friday, and assured Zelinski the supply of weapons will continue, probably to ensure that after the elections - where it looks like the Democratic side is going to lose and Republican side is going to win, because there is a lot of fear what’s going to happen as a result.
There were some assurances that things will not change, and if they do, then that will really embolden China. By the way, many people in US think, ‘this support of Ukraine’, is really just about support of Ukraine - no, its a holistic system where all of this is extremely interconnected, and its all part of one big system and, unfortunately, in US, people are not trained to think in systems; they are train to very have a myopic view of a specific situation without considering, without really thinking holistically, and that’s the weakness that China is really exploiting in Russia as well, because their is approach is strong systemic thinking. That’s where dictatorships are stronger organizationally, relative to the West.
••Crude Oil:
Its now pushing back to US$100 and probably will go higher, given the whole backdrop that we’re seeing. Also US exhausted its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and stopped releases at least for now, because its so low, that if you continue doing it for much longer, you’re gonna run dry, plus the looming EU embargo on Russian crude starting December 5, plus crude oil ceiling, all of it creates explosive the situation with energy, and again this will, if this goes the way it goes, and there is no indication that it will change direction. This is going to be a really a difficult situation with inflation, with energy, with supplies. It can royally backfire against the West and create a very explosive and dangerous social situation - as its already creating in Moldova & Czech Republic.
I’m sure there are there are other countries where a problem similar to that, and again I want to highlight that this whole approach, this war on conventional energy, because that’s what’s really happening, because all of the sanctions, and its an excuse to continue the war on conventional energy.
It creates problems inside of the West, but it also alienates many other countries around the world against the West, and that’s where the problem is, because it forces those countries into the hands of China as being at least neutral - some some of them might may become allies with Russia.
••US Federal Reserve & Inflation:
This really means that inflation is not gonna stop, and the next step is that US Federal Reserve will have to hike interest rates even higher, which will literally create a Depression in the West. There’s still no visibility, but the mortgage rates in the US are above 7% and they are the highest in the West, and people, the average consumer cannot afford that; this really gonna have a cold stop on the whole housing sector, other sectors of the economy, and this means US housing will need to crash by at least 40%, and probably more. (Edit: US Federal Reserve: saving the US economy by destroying it.)
It’s going to be much worse than 2008, where the crash was about 30% ; this could lead to really devastating economic hurricane in the West and in the US, specifically - so that’s the world we’re living in - just prepare yourself the way you can, to the best of your abilities, that’s all I can say.
••Tactical Warfare or Why the UA Army Cannot Attack Russian Lines Successfully:
We’re gonna look at the example of, because I say frequently Ukrainian troops don’t know how to attack, and sometimes Russian troops win. What happens, and why Ukrainian troops cannot break through the Russian defenses, at this point, and why there are heavy losses with nothing to show for those heavy losses.
This is going to be an illustrative example. First all, so everybody understands, its not taken literally from some specific area, it just schematically explains how things work, and why, so far Russian defenses are holding, and specifically, this example is taken from the Kherson Bridgehead and a typical recent Russian defensive position.
Let me explain the way it works: there is no cover here, except the tree lines; the nature geography there is the land is more or less pretty flat with artificially planted rows of trees
—> Edit - an attempt to illustrate with words, the graphing in the video:
—> Picture a horizontal double line representing forest strip with 4 descending vertical forested strips 15-30 m wide, spaced 1.5-2 km apart.
—> Each of the of lines are 1.5-2 km from previous line, each side using the forest strips as cover.
—> The 1st strip on the right is the UA lines in the tree strip, facing the Russian lines.
—> The 1st Russian line in the 2nd tree strip facing the UA line is made up of reconnaissance scouts whose job is to spot advancing UA troops and to delay them; they are not a real defensive line. In front of that line and behind the 1st line, are mine field strips.
—> The 2nd Russian line in the 3rd tree strip is made up of infantry with heavy weapons.
—> The 3rd Russian line in the 4th tree strip in made up of reserve troops, tanks an IFVs, still further behind them is the artillery - towed and self propelled.
—> When the UA scouts or advancing troops - usually small teams - make it through the facing mine feed and the Russian scouts, the Russians deploy their loitering Orlan-10s which relay and correct the artillery fire on the UA advancing troops, while the UA teams are trying to make it through the rear or second mine field and under fire of the 2nd Russian line.
••UA troops are usually trapped at the Russian 1st line of defense, taking heavy losses from both the corrected artillery fire and from the heavy weapons of the Russian 2nd line.
Even when Ukrainian troops can take the 1st defensive line, they are destroyed by the artillery fire, and in most cases they just retreat with heavy losses, without being able to achieve anything at all.
Sometimes if there are more forces, its a is better situation, because, if they manage to get somewhere and make a crack in the 2nd line, then Russian troops continue hitting it with artillery fire, then they use the troops in 3rd line more, and specifically tanks and IFVs to counter attack. Then they again kick out Ukrainian troops out.
As a result, its pretty cleverly organized defensive line, not even a line, but a defensive system, and with the skills that the Ukrainian side has, this is a mission impossible, just a suicidal mission, not to mention there is no effective counter battery fire.
In order to penetrate this very well organized defensive system, you really need to first knock out artillery before you do anything, and there is no effective counter battery fire, even though Ukraine has a lot of precision long-range artillery pieces, which Russia doesn’t have; they just do carpet shelling in the area where UA troops have gathered. Whenever the Russians do attack Ukrainian troops its with super imprecise old systems, even some of them are from World War II, or at least they have the same ballistic profile as the systems or World War II - not much different.
As you can see, there is a problem and the part of the problem is Ukraine still doesn’t have the equivalent Orlan-10. In their organization there is no structure where there is embedded the equivalent of an Orlan-10 with the artillery unit. As a result, you have horrific results, and that’s why you see this stalemate building, start to build up, and the problem is getting worse and going in the wrong direction for Ukraine, because Russia is getting more and more troops, more boots on the ground. Its becoming more and more challenging and difficult and every attack costs a lot of lives for no result,.
I want people to understand how & why things are stuck, and why there is no movement, at this point, and in my opinion there won’t be any movement; this is a strategic dead end that Ukraine has found itself in, at this point, because you need to grow skills to effectively use weapons that Ukraine has, and its not just pressing a button and the rockets fly - its not enough to press the buttons on HIMARS to be actually successful in this war.
••Iranian Drones:
Russia is getting Kamikaze drones from Iran, and they turn out to be super effective and efficient. Just today was a black day for Ukrainian Army: it lost at least two self-propelled howitzers M-109s, it lost a FH 70 155mm howitzers (towed) from Italy and some other pieces of equipment.
It’s really creating a big big problem for Ukrainian troops, and its primitive, very slow moving. Iranian drones are not terribly precise; one was moved by the wind, and it literally it blew up next to the target, probably somewhat damaging target, but really not destroying it. But they do work in large numbers. If you have non-existent anti-air defense system and a lot of red tape as in the Ukrainian Army, and lack of initiative or initiative is suppressed and punished as in the Ukrainian Army - this is the result you get, and it may get really bad if Russia uses them in large numbers.
This is very interesting because Switchblade-600s that Ukraine got, they did not achieve any large successes or they were pretty useless largely, however much more primitive equipment is achieving quite a bit of successes on the battleground.
••Energy System:
Ukraine its hanging in there; its almost dead, but still manages to survive simply because Russia did not continue its attacks.
••North Luhansk’:
Things here are more or less the same; the futile attempts by Ukrainian troops to attack but without any success and my explanation, hopefully, makes more sense now why these attacks are useless, because of the way the strategy Ukrainian command is using makes them waste of resources and human lives.
••North Donbas:
Wagner mercenaries are continuing their attacks which are quite probably are costly in human lives, and if you look at the tactical front line with all the trenches, it looks like either World War I or World War II on the Eastern front, not the Western Front. Its really a picture of World War I; if anyone watched “All Quiet on the Western Front”, which is excellent movie, highly recommend - it does start to look similar to here, and what I’m trying to say that all dead soldiers are 20-50 meters away from you just laying there. Just really apocalyptic like the picture there, but so far no luck for the Wagner mercenaries today - without much success.
••Central Donbas:
There are a unconfirmed reports that Russian troops are actually making more advances ... that’s creating a lot of problems here on a tactical level for Ukrainian defenses. Then unsuccessful Russian attacks on Marinka and Russian troops really got bogged down, however its turning into little like a Verdun, where both sides lose heavily there, its not just quiet stalemate, its it looks like a meat grinder.
••Kherson Bridgehead:
Things here are also quiet I explained already why. The key here is the Dnipro River and and attacks by HIMARS which Russia also doesn’t have any strategic answer to; they continue and Ukrainian troops are getting to the point that they are starting to destroy single boats ; this really means that Russia will will be eventually deprived of the ability to supply.
Eventually it will situation will be such that if Russian troops stayed there for much longer, they may not be able to be withdrawn on the Eastern side ... the troops Russia has here are probably the best troops it has in general on the on on the front line in this war; so if Russia loses this troops here this would be catastrophic because of the quality of troops, not the the number of troops ... the troops here are mostly Airborne units.
Now we see the Putin Stooges are hoping Ukraine runs out of ammunition before Putin runs out of cannon fodder.
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