Posted on 10/27/2022 6:31:07 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Small arms, ATGMs, MANPADS, loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles, trailers and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it is not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
RuZZian Tank losses RunningTotal: 1425
October 2022 – 218
September 2022 - 217
August 2022 – 74
July 2022 – 108
June 2022 – 67
May 2022 – 148
April 2022 – 243
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 350
RuZZian Artillery losses Running Total: 373
October 2022 – 58
September 2022 - 73
August 2022 – 21
July 2022 – 21
June 2022 – 18
May 2022 – 20
April 2022 – 52
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 110
“Europe is suddenly sitting on a glut of natural gas, sending prices lower and easing fears of winter fuel shortages and rationing as the continent weans itself off Russian energy.
Just a few months ago, officials, executives and analysts worried that as Europe pivoted from Russian gas in the wake of Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine—and as Russia throttled exports in retaliation for sanctions—the continent wouldn’t have enough for winter. They urged consumers and companies to conserve fuel, warned of mandatory rationing if they didn’t and bought massive amounts of shipped gas from places like the U.S. and Qatar.
Those measures—coupled with a blast of unseasonable warm weather recently—have resulted in vast supplies of gas in storage onshore and in tankers floating just off the coast.
“Supply is good,” said Roland Harings, chief executive of Aurubis AG, Europe’s biggest copper producer and a major energy user. “We’re not through it. I’m not calling that it’s over now. But it looks much better than it did two months ago.””
“An abandoned Russian BTR-80 armored personnel carrier was destroyed by the Ukrainian Air Assault forces in the East using adapted M430A1 HEDP 40x53mm grenades dropped from a drone”
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1585316127982305282
“Two Russian 2S5 Giatsint-S 152mm self-propelled guns were targeted and reportedly destroyed by two high-precision GMLRS strikes from HIMARS of the Ukrainian army.”
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1585315133743849473
“Ukrainian drone drops grenade on large group of Russian soldiers near Bakhmut”
https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/ydzc4s/ukrainian_drone_drops_grenade_on_large_group_of/
“HIMARS hit Russian-occupied Shakhtarsk”
“The fuel storages at the train station of Shakhtarsk have been hit. The guy recording that video was a bit giddy.”
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1585355633129586688
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1585349129181757440
From last nights attack on RuZZian fuel tanks:
https://twitter.com/antiputler_news/status/1585525703142957056
“ Mobilised men of the Russian 55th Motorized Rifle Brigade deployed near Lyman in Ukraine have little water, no food, fake training, only small arms, a tank with no fuel and are taking heavy casualties. Their relatives complain that they are being treated like pigs.”
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1585545359622918145.html
“It’s over a month since Vladimir Putin announced Russia’s “partial mobilisation”, but the chaos has by no means stopped
Local TV in the city of Oryol reports that dozens of Uzbek migrant workers at a waste processing plant have received call-up papers to fight in Ukraine”
https://twitter.com/francis_scarr/status/1585566508989784069
“Ukrainian Artillery fire destroyed a Russian IFV (Possibly a BMD-2) after it was spotted by a drone.”
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1585556946194669575
“Reportedly footage of a Russian UR-77 MICLIC destroyed by Ukrainian territorial defense forces in Donetsk Oblast.”
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1585617060389945349
“Another video from Ukraine’s 93rd Mechanized Brigade showing artillery and air strikes (presumably from S-8 rockets) on Russian positions.”
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1585576240899055616
“Politico: US accelerates plans to update nuclear bombs in Europe. The U.S. has rescheduled the arrival of the upgraded B61-12 air-dropped gravity bomb to NATO bases in Europe to December 2022, Politico reported, citing a U.S. diplomatic cable and two unnamed sources.”
https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1585578345403670529
“After House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy suggested last week that Republicans might pull back funding for Ukraine next year if they take the majority, the GOP leader has worked behind the scenes to reassure national security leaders in his conference that he wasn’t planning to abandon Ukraine aid and was just calling for greater oversight of any federal dollars, sources told CNN.
McCarthy told key Republican national security committee members – some of whom reached out to McCarthy – that his comments that Ukraine wouldn’t get a “blank check” in a Republican majority were being taken out of context, the sources said. Rather, McCarthy told his members he was simply saying that a GOP-led House would not automatically rubber-stamp a request from the administration for additional Ukraine aid.
“McCarthy was not saying, ‘We wouldn’t spend money.’ McCarthy was saying, ‘We’re gonna be accountable to the taxpayer for every dollar we spend,’” one GOP lawmaker familiar with McCarthy’s thinking told CNN. “A ‘blank check’ means that people get whatever they ask for. What we’re saying is there’s going to be some thought, there’s going to be accountability, and taxpayer dollars are going to be used appropriately.””
https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/26/politics/kevin-mccarthy-house-gop-ukraine-funding-blank-check
Good news but probably means feds taking interest rates higher...
“ECONOMY: U.S. GDP accelerated at 2.6% pace in Q3, better than expected as growth turns positive”
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Oct 26, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named War in Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... )
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
-—> Ukraine Situation Report: Just 13% Of Russia’s Iskander Ballistic Missiles Left, Kyiv’s Intel Chief Claims <——
Russia is buying thousands of Iranian drones to keep up its strikes against cities and other targets, according to Ukraine’s intelligence chief.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-russia-has-just-13-of-its-iskander-ballistic-missiles-left-kyivs-intel-chief-claims
Excerpt:
“About 13 percent remains for Iskanders, about 43 percent for Kalibr-PL, Kalibr-NK missiles, and about 45 percent for Kh-101 and Kh-555 missiles,” Budanov told the Ukrainian newspaper. “It is generally very dangerous to fall below 30 percent because it already goes [in]to ‘NZ’ [reserve stocks]. … Due to the lack of missiles and their low efficiency and accuracy, they were forced to use Iranian drones. They use ‘Shahed’ en masse here.” Budanov said Russia is ordering suicide drones from Iran “all of the time” and have used about 330 against Ukrainian targets. Of those, 222 have been shot down, he claims.
—
-—> Russian Media Floats Batshit Fake Iskander Missile Dirty Bomb Claim <——
A purported Ukrainian plot to shoot down a radiation-laced missile over the Chernobyl Exclusion Zone joins other evidenceless Russian claims.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russian-media-floats-batshit-fake-iskander-missile-dirty-bomb-theory
—
-—> Ex-Afghan Commandos Fighting For Russia In Ukraine: Last Afghan Army Boss <——
The Afghan Army’s last commander told The War Zone former Afghan troops, recruited by Iran and Russia, are already fighting in Ukraine.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ex-afghan-commandos-fighting-for-russia-in-ukraine-last-afghan-army-boss
Excerpts:
... former Afghan special operations forces (SOF) - trained by the U.S. and allied SOF - are now fighting in Ukraine on behalf of Russia, the last commander of Afghan troops told The War Zone Wednesday ... They are among tens of thousands of former Afghan troops - including about 5,000 former SOF - who fled to Iran last year, many of whom are being recruited with offers of income and security for them and their families, said Haibatullah Alizai, who became the last commander of Afghan’s army in the days before the Taliban took over last August ...
“These troops know all the Western tactics,” said Alizai. “They know the technical stuff used on the ground and they know how to fight because they are very experienced in the last 20 years. The Special Forces were one of the forces that were fighting every day in every part of Afghanistan in every direction and every situation and every weather.”
Those troops are being recruited by the Russian embassy in Iran, working with the Wagner Group mercenary organization and Iranian intelligence, said Alizai. Those former troops are being offered about $1,500 per month plus security for their families, said Alizai.
—
-—> First Two NASAMS Air Defense Systems Are In Ukraine: Raytheon CEO <——
The U.S has promised eight NASAMS batteries and an unspecified amount of ammunition to help Ukraine deal with Russian missiles and drones.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/first-two-nasams-air-defense-systems-are-in-ukraine-raytheon-ceo
———————————————————————————————————————
Summary:
No major changes.
Key areas:
- Oskil river area: no changes.
- North Donbass area: no changes.
- Central Donbass (Donetsk West): no changes.
- Zaporizhya: no changes.
- Kherson bridgehead: no changes.
———————————————————————————————————————
••There is not much going on generally right now seeing some more or less stable and all is quiet on the Western Front in Ukraine for today; doesn’t mean that its going to continue.
••General Strategic Situation:
••China Situation skipped:
••Russia Economic Situation - mostly skipped:
Russian leadership can project next six months where its gonna be, and they understand the economy cannot afford the war. I said it will lead to a 1917 moment in Russia; they are testing the water to see if there is opportunity for peace negotiation.
I want to summarize where both sides stand, and the problem is that both sides are way too far apart. For Ukraine: the territorial integrity is non-negotiable and that’s problem for Russia, especially as it has a vested interest with Crimea.
The problem is that Russian leadership is in a way hostage of its own propaganda; there was a lot of propaganda about Crimea, about how recapturing and gaining control of Crimea, how wonderful it is. The population is very brainwashed and now if you say goodbye Crimea.
There will be a first of all shock in that brainwashed population, and then there will be a huge psychological discomfort, and it may turn into some coupe, leading to a 1917 moment.
Russian leadership is in a way hostage of itself, of its own action in 2014, and Ukrainian side simply does not accept anything but this full territorial integrity. The problem with the Ukrainian side that its not trying to compromise in terms of dropping EU, dropping NATO, and trying to be a neutral State as a concession to the Russian side.
Russian side needs to go through more pain and Ukrainian side will go through more pain before they will start discussing the scenarios that I was describing were Ukraine gets a territorial integrity and Russia will get neutral Ukraine on its borders.
Let’s say there is a compromise that satisfies interests of most parties: Ukraine gets everything back and continues its life, while Russia will not get super stressed out about, as they claim, Western troops on their borders, even though this is a false claim.
The real Russian interest is the ability to pump natural gas to Europe and to remain a monopoly, but that whole thing is gone, and that’s out of fashion. Nevertheless, the military part remains, given that Russia understands that they are fighting with the Western Coalition where the West is supplying Ukraine with financial resources and military resources. Ukrainian population is extremely determined to protect itself and protect the country in this situation Russia is in the corner.
••Military Situation:
••North Luhansk’:
Things here are more or less stable. Russian side was reporting that Ukrainian troops again tried to attack near Kuzemivka without my success. Russia has enough troops there, enough density, due to conscripts, the front line essentially stabilized.
The long-term perspective is Ukrainian ability to do offensives is extremely limited, for the following reason: A. Russia has more troops and will have many more troops on the ground, so more soldiers changes the balance of power from Ukrainian advantage to essentially no advantage, because Ukraine significantly outnumbers Russia in the number of soldiers on the ground.
Ukraine used to lack heavy equipment; Russia dominated in heavy equipment. Now the situation has changed somewhat, not in tanks, not in IFV, but in artillery. Ukraine still has fewer artillery pieces, but Ukraine has a lot of super potent and precise rocket systems and artillery pieces that Russia does not have, and that really created the balance in artillery, and that balance A initially allowed Ukraine to successfully counter attack.
Ukraine liberated this part of this Kharkiv region, and then part of Kherson region, but now that and that was to as I said two two factors first advantage in artillery and in certain types of artillery and including rocket systems like HIMARS and then number of troops.
When you are outnumbered, its hard to defend, and that’s what’s going on with Russian army. Now that that situation is over and Ukraine is still somewhat dominates the Russian artillery, but its not enough in general, strategically to change the situation to allow Ukraine to continue successfully advancing.
On the negative Ukrainian side is completely lack of offensive skills - its done in the most inefficient brutal, the worst way you can do it. It’s extremely resource intensive and the most important is human life.
It leads to a lot of losses the way its being done, well it was the exception of the Kharkiv area, it was because the Russian troops were so outnumbered that it simply collapsed collapsed like a house of cards, but in Kherson, it wasn’t easy walk, and there was quite a bit of losses.
Since Russia is pumping up number of soldiers, they also bring some equipment - its not the match to modern artillery system, but nevertheless, its it still shoots artillery shells and creates like a balance of power where the Ukrainian side is not able to continue offenses, unless it gets some advantage.
An advantage can be for example, the skills know how to do offenses at all levels, starting from the soldier and finishing with the general who plans it. That’s lacking and that’s what’s in Ukraine’s ability to fix on its own, and unfortunately, that’s not being done, because the advantage in the number of people in manpower is probably gone for good.
From the very beginning, it was clear Russian population is 3.5 times more than Ukrainian and so Ukraine cannot rely on on the number of soldiers as a way to gain advantage in the fight.
This may mean that the front line becomes really static for a long time. I still maintain the point that Kherson Bridgehead will be lost for the Russian side, regardless just because its cut off by the Dnipro River from the rest of the Russian troops.
and so on so this is going to be lost one where another just a question of time whether its going to be in a month or two weeks or five days or in 60 days unclear but simply because of the Dnipro River on the Russian side and HIMARS and generally precision artillery, Russian side will not be able to hold on to it for the long term.
••North Donbas:
There was Ukrainian attack here as I said yesterday, putting Russian troops in a dangerous situation, but Russian troops managed to control the situation, and did not lose the ground keeping their defensive positions.
••Kherson Bridgehead
Here also quite stable, no major changes continued Ukrainian attacks against the Russian supply lines they are a little bit lower in number and scale today and probably less successful but it looks like Ukrainian site continues on those attacks.
You can’t help but laugh at corrupt Putinist Russia sometimes:
“Ukrainian infantry are being trained by NATO instructors.
Russian infantry are having to crowd source basic training from volunteers organized by a Telegram channel called “Rokot Z.”
This isn’t a wealth, technology or capability gap - it’s basic state competence.”
Haven’t heard much lately about RuZZia buying artillery shells from North Korea.
The reports from a few weeks ago was an indication that RuZZia MAY be running short of artillery shells or some expectation of that.
Any updated thoughts on RuZZia’s artillery status?
The RuZZian military just isn’t that good.
We’ve learned that.
From equipment, to men, to supplies.
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