We’ll see how that logistics advantage works in a month or so. Russia is currently sending train loads of troops in to Belarus, not just a couple 1000. They have moved tons of gas, diesel and jet fuel to at least 3 parts of their boarder. Not sure what the Russian troop build up is, probably pretty large. Only know about the Belarus one because it was confirmed by their president. There are most likely others in Russia proper.
Let’s not count our chickens to early, this ain’t over.
Then there’s all the formerly enlisted reserves that they called up, they are all former military. Similar to our military system, you can get called back up within such a period of time. Yet the western media would have you believe, the are just general people conscripted, what BS.
Take a grain of salt, it’s looking that Russia has only started.
The problem isn't going to be moving stuff to the border - the problem is going to be getting it from the border distributed to frontline units inside Ukraine. A hostile country, bad weather, no air superiority, etc..
And then what happens if they decide they need to shift troops across that front? Trying to reposition all those troops and supplies from Belarus to the Donbass, or Donbass to Kherson, etc., means moving those troops, equipment, and supplies along x peria lines of communication hundreds or even thousands of miles, in terrible weather. And then when they finally start to set up distribution points within Ukraine itself, they'll get nailed from HIMARs. Those logistics would be a nightmare.
Then there’s all the formerly enlisted reserves that they called up, they are all former military. Similar to our military system....
Their military reserve system isn't remotely like ours. They have nothing comparable to our established reserved system, and these guys they've called up wouldn't even qualify as IRR in the U.S.. This is 42 year old Sergei who works at a gas station and hasn't seen military service for 20 years. These aren't guys who have been guys reporting to reserve centers for monthly or even annual training.
Hell, the vast majority of these guys were one year conscripts, and we don't even have those in the U.S.. The absolute minimum you can serve in the US military is 2 years, and even that is unusual. Most terms of enlistment are for at least three or four years.
Also, considering the past practices of the Russian army, the vast majority of those one year conscripts would have seen combat anyway. As in most armies, the vast majority of them wouldn't even have been infantry. They have been truck drivers, cooks, radio men, etc., for one year, a decade or more ago. And now, they're going to be handed old/inadequate equipment, and stuffed into the front lines as line infantry.
I mean...good luck, because they are going to need it.