Ukrainian Artillery losses Running Total: 114
RuZZian Tank losses RunningTotal: 1328
October 2022 - 121
September 2022 - 217
August 2022 – 74
July 2022 – 108
June 2022 – 67
May 2022 – 148
April 2022 – 243
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 350
RuZZian Artillery losses Running Total: 342
October 2022 - 27
September 2022 - 73
August 2022 – 21
July 2022 – 21
June 2022 – 18
May 2022 – 20
April 2022 – 52
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 110
Tyler Rogoway
https://twitter.com/Aviation_Intel/status/1580698314949152769
“It’s hard to comprehend how stupid Russia’s ‘vengeance strikes’ for the Kerch Bridge attack truly were, and this is outside of the blatant targeting of civilians. Let me break it down: 1.) They wasted what precious cruise missiles they have left against targets...
with no military value. Fighting a war they are losing, one in which they never achieved air superiority and cannot access the majority of the country with their manned air force, they use the only weapons that can reach these places against worthless targets so that it looks...
‘strong’ in terms of looney brutality back at home. The effects were even poor at that. 2.) This idiotic decision just massively accelerated Ukraine’s acquiring a modern integrated air defense network made up of advanced western systems. Monumental fail. Russia must be in...
total denial of what the capabilities of Ukraine’s air defenses will look like in the near future. Will missiles and drones still get through? Absolutely, many will. Defending against them is very challenging even with the best integrated air defense system (ADS), but the...
(correction *IADS) the foundation is being laid to give Ukraine a top-rate IADS that will make operating any Russian aircraft over the country and even beyond its borders very risky to its enemies and the idea of ever achieving air superiority over the country...
which is a fleeting dream now will become all but impossible in the future. 3.) This means Russia’s fixed and rotary-wing capabilities, standoff weapons, and whatever it buys from Iran etc, will be less effective and will have less of an ROI as time goes on. 4.) The attacks...
did not achieve any tactical or strategic goals. None. The war goes on and Ukraine has some damage to clean up and soals to morn, but beyond that, it was a hollow display that looked more like weakness than strength...
5.) Europe is now going to invest massively heavily in air and missile defense across the continent. Huge deal. Moscow hated Aegis Ashore. Now the possibility of Arrow 3 and patriot covering, etc providing an umbrella over more than a dozen countries is absolutely another level..
6.) With such massive investment will come even more rapid technological development hardening the crust of Europe’s air defenses specifically against the Russian threat. Don’t underestimate this, huge sums of money will be fueling what is coming...
7.) Once again, this attack just binds everyone closer together, including Kyiv and its many allies ready to pour even more advanced weaponry into the country and unites everyone further against a common foe. Allies working together is Russia’s biggest enemy...
and they have been incredible architects at seeing the very thing they despise comes to pass. So yeah, this campaign of standoff airstrikes in response to the Kerch Strait Bridge attack was just about anything but ‘4D chess.’”
In total, Ukraine has lost: 321 airplanes and 161 helicopters, 2,211 unmanned aerial vehicles, 380 air defence missile systems, 5,720 tanks and other armoured combat vehicles, 868 combat vehicles equipped with MLRS, 3,467 field artillery cannons and mortars, as well as 6,529 units of special military vehicles have been destroyed during the special military operation.
“The General Staff continues to accumulate reserves on the Southern Front, at the moment the Armed Forces of Ukraine have assembled a group of 60 thousand, of which half is in Nikolaev and is preparing to strike at Kherson.
The Biden administration is urging Zelensky to storm Kherson in order to retake the city before the 𝗦𝗲𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 and allow the 𝗗𝗲𝗺𝗼𝗰𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲 as a symbol𝘀 Zaluzhny advocates a phased campaign, and warns of 𝗵𝗲𝗮𝘃𝘆 𝗹𝗼𝘀𝘀𝗲𝘀 during the assault on Kherson, which Russian troops have turned into a 𝗳𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀.”
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/14186
this AINT a coincidence that the 5 known Freeper Zelensky Bathhouse Brigade pipe suckers are all present this morning with their daily nonsense.
what time is it in bombed out Ukraine?
Tin Sontsia - With Thunder and Fire#ukraine https://t.co/LykNvjDlDT— Dmytro Turutin (D.Fury) 🇺🇦 (@FurykDayermon) October 14, 2022
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Oct 13, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named War in Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... )
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
-—> Ukraine Situation Report: Gaining Ground In Kherson <——
There are reports that Russians are starting to evacuate residents of Kherson, an indication that Ukraine’s southern offensive is succeeding.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-gaining-ground-in-kherson
Excerpt:
Things continue to go badly for the Russian troops recently called up in what Russia calls a “partial mobilization” of some 300,000 men as Ukraine continues to regain lost territory. The BBC is reporting that mobilized reservists “speak about their command in such a way that it cannot be quoted, they claim that they have never even been to the firing range, and they had to dig in on the front line with bayonet-knives.”
According to some claims, those mobilized reservists, who the Ukrainians derisively refer to as “mobiks” really hate their commanders. Reports are emerging that some of those green troops near Kherson killed their commanding officer who prevented them from surrendering. The War Zone could not verify that claim.
But some of those troops didn’t need to kill their commander, because they apparently managed a successful surrender after just a short time on the battlefield.
The lack of supplies and training provided to these troops is not playing well with Putin’s mouthpieces in the Russian media.
—
-—> Ukraine To Receive HAWK, Aspide Surface-To-Air Missiles From Spain <——
Along with Spain’s air defense donations, France’s Crotale short-range air defense system may also be headed to Ukraine.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-to-receive-hawk-aspide-surface-to-air-missiles-from-spain
Excerpt:
In a press briefing held Thursday, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg announced that Spain would be sending four medium-range Homing All the Way Killer (HAWK) air defense systems to Ukraine. The country is also providing Kyiv with ground-based Aspide anti-aircraft missile systems, on which 19 Ukrainian servicemen have been training since early October. French President Emmanuel Macron has yet to reveal which specific air defense systems France intends to send to Ukraine, but all signs are currently pointing to the Crotale short-range missile system.
Reminiscent of the U.S.-made AIM-7 Sparrow, the Aspide missile comes in four different variants, Mk.1, Mk.2, 2000, and Citedef. While it is unclear which model will be sent to Ukraine, Spain in the past has purchased the Aspide 2000 variant that can be launched from the export versions of the Skyguard short-range air-defense (SHORAD) system designed by Oerlikon Contraves now known as Rheinmetall Air Defense and the Spada 2000 SHORAD system built by Selenia. The Aspide 2000 missile system features a semi-active radar-homing seeker and can effectively engage targets at a range of up to 15 miles (25 km) while flying at speeds of Mach 4. It’s equipped with a 77-pound (35-kg) high-lethality fragmentation warhead and a high-thrust single-stage rocket motor.
—
-—> Ukraine Claims MiG-29 Pilot Downed Five Drones Before Ejecting <——
Accounts from the Ukrainian Air Force provide further indications of a burgeoning aerial drone war being fought over the country.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukrainian-claims-mig-29-pilot-downed-five-drones-before-ejecting
—
-—> This Drone-Versus-Drone Kill In Ukraine Could Be An Air Combat First <——
A video of one drone taking out another over Ukraine provides a glimpse of what may be a first in air combat history.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/this-drone-versus-drone-kill-in-ukraine-could-be-an-air-combat-first
—
Oldie but goodie of those that missed this piece earlier:
-—> A Rundown Of Russia’s Arsenal Of Artillery That Could Wreak Havoc On Ukraine’s Cities <——
We keep hearing about Russia’s huge artillery force that could devastate Ukraine’s cities. Here is a breakdown of the weapons that make up that force.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/44579/this-is-russias-much-feared-artillery-arsenal-that-could-wreak-havoc-on-ukraine
Artillery pieces, rocket launchers: descriptions and pictures
———————————————————————————————————————
Summary:
No major changes.
Key areas:
- Oskil river area: no changes.
- North Donbass area: no changes
- Central Donbass (Donetsk West): no changes.
Zaporizhya: no changes.
- Kherson bridgehead: no changes.
———————————————————————————————————————
••Long discussion on Ukrainian Internet (Skipped)
••Long discussion on Ukrainian Farming (Skipped)
••
Military Situation:
On the 13th there was a batch of the Russian attacks against the energy infrastructure, but they were roughly 10% of what they used to be in the previous two days. What I’m seeing now is that it looks like there is another round of attacks.
The President of Belarus created a state of emergency there, or anti-terrorist attack emergency situation, but there are no terrorists there. Its an opportunity to seize even more power and trade even more control over the lives of ordinary people in Belarus.
There are rumors that he will prevent Belarus citizens from leaving Belarus so they can be mobilized into the army. That also tells us that there is a chance that Belarus will join Russian forces, and not even sure if its going to be in Ukraine, or this this war is gonna spill over ... who knows, but they are preparing for something, and its not not a good sign, not a good news.
••State Border:
Ukraine created a bunch of retaliation attacks against Russian energy infrastructure, at least what it could reach, because the Ukraine doesn’t have long range missiles. It hit a couple of transformers in a Belogrod or in Belogrod area and also somewhere in the Kursk region near the border. Ukraine tried to hit back as much as it could, but its nothing to the Russian energy system because its huge; its pretty much it didn’t even notice the attacks, its more for propaganda attacks.
••North Luhansk’:
Things here are without much change. Ukrainian troops are advancing at a snail’s space, and there are reports they are coming closer to Svatove. Unfortunately, there’s not enough information to update. This extremely slow paced advance is a lost opportunity; and that lost opportunity translates into many more lost human lives as a result of the lost opportunity and as a result of the slowdown.
Russian troops are literally building an industrial defense system on this front line in on this north front line. They they putting dragon teeth at least two rows. Apparently, also they are building trenches or anti-tank ditches behind the dragon’s teeth. But the building in from industrial way on defensive line there so almost like a mini-Maginot Line or maybe a Siegfried Line, almost a Stalin Line.
This translates into a lot of problems for Ukrainian troops down the road, trying to overcome that system; also there are many Russian conscripts already on the front line, specifically here in North Luhansk’ frontline. Anecdotally, it looks like some of them are surrendering; they are talking to Ukrainian soldiers and negotiating saying, ‘we’ll surrender, let’s arrange that’, and some of them do surrender; this is anecdotal. I’m not saying this is everywhere, but this happens.
This tells us that the fighting spirit is not there, and part of the reason is how they are being treated as people, because they are, literally, sent by their commanders somewhere without any instructions, in the darkness: just go there and sit there; no communication or nothing, and they don’t feel they want to fight, if they’ve been treated like that.
You cannot succeed fighting like that; they totally understand that, and that’s probably why some of them decided to surrender without even Ukrainian troops putting any pressure there, because they feel abandoned and desperate. Its a logical decision to surrender.
There are already reports in Russia that some of these conscripts are dying in meaningful numbers. There was one small report that surfaced in ??Chalabits??region, the head of that region said we got five dead from the front line in Ukraine; this is just the tip of the iceberg - this is just one region, one case.
There’s definitely much more going on, I just want to make it very clear because some people say, ‘okay well this conscripts they totally not prepared, and they are thrown into the battle unprepared’. That is probably happening, but this is not a systemic issue, not systemic approach.
The majority of those who need that training are still in their training areas, so those who dying, are those who had previous a military experience which was pretty fresh and relevant. They don’t need much to refresh, so those are sent in the first place to the battlefield because Russian command is desperate: they really need people on the ground, because they cannot create the front line without them.
••North Donbas:
Today, there were no advances by Wagner mercenaries - they continue hammering and Ukrainian defenses. They have zero success. Over the past month and a half, two months they advanced. This is probably the only part of the Russian military that’s still able is able to achieve something ... to make some some advances, have some successes, limited successes. They’re not anything huge or major, but at least, for Russian propaganda, they can say there is something positive going on.
Adding to this is Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin, the manager of Wagner mercenaries or the face figure for all of the system because this whole system is really part of the KGB system and he’s not really owner. He’s just the figurehead for the world external, for the external world.
What he’s trying to do now is trying to build on this relative success; and he has started to overshadow Russian military top, specifically Russian Minister of Defense. He started commenting on the actions of the Russian Ministry of Defense, and they are not successful actions.
Many people start to think that he is becoming too prominent, too strong, that Putin may consider removing him, because he can potentially create a threat to the center of the power; that he can potentially displace Putin, if there is internal coup.
Its not going to change anything, because Prigozhin is even more aggressive and capable than Putin. That’s not going to change anything from what’s going on now, but internally there is t definitely tension within their Russian top because all of the failures.
If you have failures, the natural step is to search for new leaders, search for new approaches. As a result of that he can potentially raise to power in Russia. I’m not saying this is happening, but this is something that needs to be paid attention to and watched, because he’s clearly has that aspiration in him.
••Central Donbas:
Russian troops are continuing to advance. They advance 20 meters every day or 50 meters every day, as a result, its just tiny progress which has been going on for well more than a month and a half, but probably almost two months. This is extremely slow progress, but nevertheless, we see some some progress.
••Kherson Bridgehead:
No major Ukrainian offenses. For whatever reason we don’t have an explanation why Ukrainian command was not paying enough attention to the situation with the bridges, and they were somewhat rebuilt. From what we’ve seen, there are reports that there were again attacks by HIMARS against those bridges. I don’t know how successful they were, but there were attacks again to destroy those pontoon bridges ferries and those those artificial bridges.
The weapons handed over by NATO countries tremble, the Russians are dragging 57-mm anti-aircraft guns AZP-57, developed back in the mid-1940s, to the front.
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1581028739495780353
“...these Russians attempted an assault and as soon as they broke cover they got lit up by the arty as you see in the video.”
https://giant.gfycat.com/QuarrelsomeCluelessHaddock.mp4
