Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine

Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Oct 11, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)

War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos

Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).

(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)

••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named War in Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... )

-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/

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Extras:
-—> Ukraine Situation Report: U.S. To Rush Delivery Of NASAMS Air Defense Systems <——
Ukraine also received its first of four promised IRIS-T SLM air defense system from Germany and four more HIMARS from the U.S.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-u-s-to-rush-delivery-of-nasams-air-defense-systems

Excerpt:
It remains unclear how the NASAMS heading to Ukraine will be configured. A number of different versions of the system exist, made up of different combinations of launchers, radars and other sensors, and command and control nodes. Some NASAMS variants can incorporate missile launchers mounted on Humvees or other light vehicles. Tests have also been conducted of the HIMARS vehicle, which Ukraine has now received at least 16 of, as a launch platform for the AIM-120 Advanced Medium Range Air-to-Air Missile (AMRAAM), which could be utilized with NASAMS.

Also unclear are the “munitions” the U.S. has said it will send along with these systems. NASAMS can fire versions of the radar-guided AMRAAM, including a new extended range derivative optimized for use in the ground-launched roles, as well as the AIM-9X Sidewinder heat-seeking missile, and more.

—
-—> Could Long-Range Iranian Missiles Be Next For Russia? <——
After supplying kamikaze drones for Russia’s war in Ukraine, cash-hungry Iran could restock Moscow’s dwindling long-range missile arsenal.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/could-long-range-iranian-missiles-be-next-for-russia

Excerpt:
The idea of Iran transferring ballistic missiles to Russia is something that was, briefly, raised by Iranian state media over the weekend. In a French-language article, a claim was made that a missile attack on Bohorodychne, in Donetsk Oblast, bore the hallmarks of the Iranian-made Khyber Shikan medium-range ballistic missile (MRBM). There is no evidence of that being the case, let alone of Iranian missiles already being sent to Russia. The article was since heavily edited, with these portions removed, but is now archived. While online, the full article did seem to at least raise the prospect of a missile deal between Moscow and Tehran, even running under the title “After Geran-2/Shahed-136, a place for Khyber Shikan?”

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Summary:
No major changes.
Wagner mercenaries are slowly advancing south of Bahmut.

Key areas:
- Oskil river area: no changes.
- North Donbas area:
Wagner mercenaries advanced again and captured village Ivangrad south of Bahmut.

- Central Donbas (Donetsk West): no changes.
- Zaporizhya: no changes.
- Kherson bridgehead: no changes.

———————————————————————————————————————
••General topics
A very long discussion about most everything economic and power related (Skipped)

••Russian mobilization:
Russian command is not creating new frontline units, but is sending those newly mobilized soldiers, and largely poorly trained, to existing frontline units, which is the right move and very correct move, because there is a backbone of experienced soldiers on the ground in existing units.

These newly mobilized people, even though they did not receive good training, they will be at least in okay situation because they will get like onward during like a training like straight there. They at least have people to learn from.

That also ensures that there is transfer of knowledge and to the new fresher soldiers that also gives the ability to consume those mobilized people in efficient way or relatively efficient way.

That’s on the positive side that means in probably in a months or two, once they mobilize enough or the Russian command feels like they have enough, they may renew large scale offensive, if Ukrainian side does not have strong winds in the meanwhile which as a whole, it looks like Ukrainian side has bogged down at this point.

••State Border:
The situation along the State border is somewhat more elevated Ukrainian troops also attacked one of those transformers on the Russian side I think it was Isaac Shebekino of a Valuyki one of those. Part of the Belogord region of Russia lost electricity, but it was quickly fixed.

••North Luhansk’
Russians claim that Ukraine command is accumulating large attacking forces in the North Luhansk’ section and in Kherson; those two areas that we’re seeing a lot of action.

This is where they expect renewed offensive from Ukrainian side, and partially all of these attacks against the for all of this electricity infrastructure are attempts to disrupt those future offensive by Ukrainian forces and by time for the Russian military system. This is speculative because the other way to do it is to destroy the bridges across the Dnipro River.

However, to destroy those bridges you really need the huge number of rockets - a thousand rockets, and its very clear that Russian site does not have that many rockets; they are running low on the rockets. So they need to shoot with whatever they still have, a limited amount and create as much disruption as possible. (Edit: Russia may be buying Iranian long range missiles).

The only way to do it is what they’re doing is hitting the electricity power grid because that affects literally everything, including railroad because then you can only use diesel locomotives as opposed to electrical.

I don’t know the distribution between diesel and electrical, but you probably have at best 60% left, maybe with half left, that disrupts the transfer of troops across the country.

On an unrelated note there is a confirmation that Ukraine received first Iris-T air defense system from Germany which is great news, but as I mentioned before that’s not enough; its not even a drop in the bucket - its less than a drop in the bucket to defend all of this infrastructure. Its to some extent, its too little, too late - its not gonna provide sufficient defense at this point.

I was able to confirm that Russian troops did not advance and didn’t capture the Diprova, Termy Nevs’ke; they didn’t clear this whole area - that was lies by Russian propaganda. The situation remains more or less stable.

Ukraine command has lost momentum and lost time which is the most important Russian side is actively digging in like they used all of the industrial equipment its not just soldiers but the industrial equipment to dig in and build defensive defensive lines.

Russian troops are getting more and more of those mobilized soldiers reinforcements which puts meat on the bones of all of these units, so they become again somewhat capable; it will or require more resources and higher waste of resources which means higher losses of Ukrainian soldiers to break through all of this.

Otherwise the situation here is for now stable without any major attacks by either side. Russian side is actively building digging actively digging in and expecting Ukrainian attacks sometime soon, and they claim that Ukrainian command is building a large group of troops to attack soon; we’ll see if that’s true or not, but that’s what they say.

Wagner mercenaries are is continuing their aggressive attacks, and they making progress. They again was where successful today they pushed Ukrainian troops out of tiny village you almost want to say hamlet called Ivanhrat. They are slowly engulfing Bakhmut and turning it into a salient which then will force out the Ukrainians.

By the way, Ukrainian authorities and Ukrainian military started evacuating all of their military civilian administration, all essential services are being evacuated from Bakhmut - not a great sign and its a potential sign that it can be lost.

There is preparation that it can be lost, that option is on the table. Nobody wants that to happen, but looking at their distribution, the balance of the forces, it seems like that’s a potential option.

In Bakhmut is there is a river called Bakhmutka which goes through the town and a little bit parallel to a main road so it goes parallel so this is the main part of the of the town on the western side of that river and the eastern part is smaller. Ukrainian troops probably will withdraw from the eastern part of Bakhmut and move to the western part of it, and try to continue defending in the near future situation here.

••Central Donbas:
now let’s move to let’s move South to section of the front line and things here without many changes Russian troops continuing their Dark Side of piscuit salient as I said before they they slowly but gaining ground they slowly moving west they are in this village called perumaska which is straight west of piscay and they moving through that village slowly but surely however that’s the only that’s the only like area of advance that they they where they’ve been having success for the past whatever two three months here.

••Zaporizhya:
Things here are stable for since since the beginning of the time. Nothing really changing here. This probably will remain quiet section of the front line, because Ukrainian command decided to first clear Kherson Bridgehead.

This is another opportunity where Ukrainian troops remain focused. There’s simply not enough resources for this area, and this area will require quite a bit of resources and skills, because its super hard to attack in this area where its everything is very open terrain, and partially for that reason, it is so hard on the Kherson Bridgehead, especially since Ukrainian troops lack the skills.

••Kherson Bridgehead:
The fate of the Russian troops here is sealed and, unless there is some dramatic change of the war or Russian troops use tactical nuclear weapons, but if things keep going the way they have been going, this is going to be lost - its the only question of time.

There were some reports, satellite images that Russian troops managed to rebuild pontoon bridges over the Inholets River, and apparently, they were successful for some time since the beginning of October transferring resources between the two pieces of the bridgehead.

The main bridges are no longer usable. They also use ferries and pontoon bridges to feed all of these troops. At the same time, the feeding is not enough relative to expenditure of the ammunition and that creates an ammunition hunger on the Russian side.

There were some pretty weak attempts by Ukrainian troops to attack from the southeastern direction and out of this Borazinski area without my success.

I would say the Russian position is pretty well fortified; they have artillery in the rear that can support the Russian troops; its gonna take quite a bit of time for Ukrainian artillery to weaken Russian artillery in counter battery fire.

It will take a while, unless there is decision by Ukrainian command to throw huge number of troops at once, but that will create huge losses. This is slow strategy minimizes losses, especially in human lives; it guarantees results.

The only thing that was surprising was to see those ferries & pontoon bridges were have been used for a while. Apparently the use of HIMARS is not as efficient; and there is room to full improvement and that’s all I can say.

IRIS-T SLM
—
4 units is nothing. They need hundreds more, maybe a thousand more to defend the electrical grid.

NATO has not pushed East. Countries have chose to flee to the West, for protection from Russia.

“It appears that Ukraine has picked up the pace on destroying Russian artillery“

They certainly have transformed the Artillery balance since the overwhelming Russian advantage in the Donbas, back in June. New counter battery radars, longer range and more mobile guns, spotter drones and precision rounds have given Ukrainian forces a big advantage in the Artillery duel.

Send more Artillery!

What’s that you say, Western Nations just announced more Artillery on the way?

Great! Send even more Artillery!

“Germany will deliver to Ukraine “more” howitzers Panzerhaubitze 2000 and multiple launch rocket systems MARS II “in the next few weeks,”

Germany has been warming up on the arms transfers, since they have gotten over the hump for this Winter’s gas. They just wrote a check for 100 tanks from third parties.

Another big PUTIN FAIL.

i don’t drink.
so tell me again how them rooskies are out of missiles...LOL

NATO has not pushed East. Countries have chose to flee to the West, for protection from Russia.

I guess you missed NATO, led by the evil fascist duo of Reagan and Thatcher, invading and conquering many of these poor defenseless countries. Big, mean ole NATO took advantage of poor weak Gorbachev and smashed the Glorious Soviet Empire, the savior and protector of mankind. /Putin

In the real world, they wished to survive and live in freedom rather than under the boot of Russia. How dare they.

“How Ukrainian Strategy Is Running Circles Around Russia’s Lumbering Military”

https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-ukraines-strategy-is-running-circles-around-russias-lumbering-military-11665584517?mod=hp_lead_pos5

https://archive.ph/7RZfy

You are a special kind of stupid. But, I’m thinking your of the idea that all of that nuke stuff will happen over there and none of us will be affected by it.

“#UkraineWar: #Russia is now visually confirmed to have lost more than 7000 vehicles and other pieces of heavy equipment since it began its invasion of Ukraine on February 24.”

https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1580267599447093248

“You are a special kind of stupid. “

Thanks!

Drone shot down.

“The sky over the Vinnitsa region is under the protection of our aviation. It was this fighter that eliminated two drones over the area.”

https://mobile.twitter.com/antiputler_news/status/1580251383718375424

Reportedly, the wait time for trucks for the Kerch Strait Ferry, is already 3-4 days. Remaining vehicle span of Crimean Bridge appears deformed/unstable in new photos:

900 trucks in line for the ferry across the Kerch Strait.

It is time for the Putinista insiders to start bailing out of Crimea, while they still can.

A reminder of what you wrote: "I would rather the world end in nuclear war than yield to Little Pukin."

"NATO has not pushed East. Countries have chose to flee to the West, for protection from Russia."

Grow up, Rip Van Winkle. It's not 1982.

Saying this as a Boomer Cold Warrior. (Who is not stuck in a time warp, who is so easily and reflexively used to push new wars, for the MIC.)

Don't be a patsy for globalist war mongers who dragged us into war after war on lies. "Iraq WMDs" etc etc.

Not much worse than yours. My portfolio is way up compared to October last year, more so if counted in USD.

VK PING

We have some real nutballz here!

I would rather the world end in nuclear war than yield to Little Pukin.

~~~~~~~~

Really good you outed yourself.

“Ukraine has the right to defend itself”

“I have no problem with us supplying them.”

There is a problem here. Two separate issues. You want to supply Ukraine with endless billions of $ and deplete our military by sending munitions and equipment?

Use your own money.