Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine

Ukrainian Tank losses Running Total: 281

Ukrainian Artillery losses Running Total: 111

RuZZian Tank losses RunningTotal: 1298
October 2022 - 91
September 2022 - 217
August 2022 – 74
July 2022 – 108
June 2022 – 67
May 2022 – 148
April 2022 – 243
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 350

RuZZian Artillery losses Running Total: 327
October 2022 - 12
September 2022 - 73
August 2022 – 21
July 2022 – 21
June 2022 – 18
May 2022 – 20
April 2022 – 52
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 110

1300 coming up fast.

Was it you who mentioned that russia has about 2000 tanks left.

I’ve seen pictures of tanks on rails passing over the bridge that was just blown up that connected crimea to russia.

The ukes are near the rail line that comes down from belgorad in russia.

if the ukes cut that line—do the russians have any more rail lines into eastern ukraine?

No expert here, but I would expect that with Russia’s very long land border, they hardly need a bridge. But life just got a LOT harder for people living in Crimea.

Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Oct 7, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)

War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos

Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).

(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)

••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named War in Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... )

-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/

———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
-—> Explosion Rocks Russia’s Prized Kerch Strait Bridge Leading To Crimea (Updated) <——
The vital link between Russia and Crimea, Moscow’s prized Kerch Strait Bridge, has been severed by a massive explosion.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/explosion-rocks-russias-prized-kerch-strait-bridge-leading-to-crimea

—
-—> Ukraine Situation Report: European Vote Calls For Providing Leopard Tanks <——
Modern tanks could add a heavy punch to Ukraine’s ongoing offensive operations against Russian forces on the run in the east and south.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-european-vote-calls-for-providing-leopard-tanks

—
-—> Ukrainian Kamikaze Drone Attacks Bomber Base Deep In Russia (Updated) <——
A Ukrainian drone attacked a Russian Tu-22M bomber base, which has been a hub for strikes on Ukrainian targets, far across the border.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukrainian-kamikaze-drone-attacks-bomber-base-deep-in-russia

———————————————————————————————————————
Summary:
No major changes,
Ukrainian attacks in north-western sector of Kherson bridgehead that were not successful.

Key areas:
- Oskil river area: no changes.
- North Donbass area:
minor advance by Wagner mercenaries north of Bakhmut.

- Central Donbass (Donetsk West): no changes.
- Zaporizhya: no changes.

- Kherson bridgehead:
Unsuccessful attacks by Ukrainian troops in Pyatyhatky-Sukhanove area.

———————————————————————————————————————
Note this video was recorded before the Kersh Bridge was attacked.

War in Ukraine 12am US CTZ
URGENT UPDATE: Crimean bridge has been severely damaged. There was strong attack at Ilovaisk which is large railroad junction. This all looks like a coordinated attack to disrupt supply before major attack. It’s very likely that large attack is imminent in a day or so.

••General War Support in Russia:
I want to share some interesting research and there was sociological poll in Russia by a company called Russian Field. You can Google it. They have website called Russian fields.com or .ru, and you can you can check this whole research. Its a very interesting research; there is kernel of truth in it.

Its not completely fabricated and your typical propaganda; there’s some element of that there. The reason I picked it is because it shows you what they did: they stratified respondents by their financial situation, from excellent, about average, average, below average, poor, and extremely poor. Then they asked the question: do you support mobilization?

What is very interesting is those who support all of this military and mobilization are the top echelons of the Russian society - the better off you are, the more support. 71%-25% support among the people who are at the top of the social pyramid, and then, as you go down, the support goes down as well: 55%-41%.

••General Putin Support in Russia:
Something similar is going on the next question: Do you support actions of President Putin? Top: 81%-10% and Bottom: 61%-32%

This is very interesting observation, and I believe its true in every society. The reason for that is because the those who are gonna get the benefits of the aggression are those who are at the top of the social pyramid, and those who gonna pay for aggression are those at the bottom of the social pyramid. That’s why I don’t see much support at the bottom of the social pyramid because that’s who’s going to be dying in a trenches, not the top. I have not seen soldiers from Moscow; I’ve seen the couple from Saint Petersburg, but the majority of the soldiers in Russian units are coming from the not well off regions or not from the wealthy areas in general. Because the wealth is concentrated in Moscow and a little bit spillover in Saint Petersburg.

Those those two cities are not represented among the soldiers on the battlefield. This exact this whole story supports the idea that in every society there is the same idea, not just Russian society: every society that does aggressive wars is driven by the top of the social pyramid because that’s who benefits from it. The ones who are paying are at the bottom of the social pyramid. Hopefully that’s got a little bit interesting information for everyone to learn and understand how society functions.

••Mobilization Supplies:
There is a little bit more also information on this mobilization from a perspective of the supplies or in the Russian army. It looks like there’s a huge shortage of bulletproof vests. They’re hard to get; the majority of the mobilized soldiers don’t get them. There is an acute shortage of medical supplies, that’s also a big problem. There is a huge shortage of the helmets, to the point that World War II helmets are being issued to newly minted soldiers. There’s quite a problem with individual protective equipment for the new soldiers.

••Ukraine:
I mentioned about those two heads of the Central Bank that I believe are corrupt while the National Bureau of Investigation in Ukraine alleged the newly resigned head of a Central Bank stole a significant amount of money through kickbacks. Now he’s left Ukraine & went to Greece where he just started his own business doing some construction and stuff.

This began as a revolving board that attracts people, and then once they steal enough, they create their own capital, then they just leave. The Ukrainian parliament are overwhelmed I mean I think its 290 representatives out of. The Ukraine Parliament has voted in a new head, and that new head is as corrupt as all of this the previous ones. This corruption machine works seamlessly, and all three individuals, they’re not friends, they’re not related to each other.

Its just machine, its a system a corrupt system that self supports and self regenerates. A new set of people will be in the system helping themselves at the cost of the society. That’s just what’s going on in in terms of investigation, if you remember I was talking about the theft of foreign humanitarian aid in the Zaporizhya region, where the head of the region & his deputy were stealing. They have a little network there; they are still going as all of that investigation died off. All of those people in their places have no problems, everything is business as usual, nothing happened, everything’s going great.

This again gives you a better understanding. If you’re steal a billion everything’s gonna be okay for you; if you steal $10,000 Ukrainian, you’re gonna go to jail - that’s how system works, and its obviously such a system is a problem in itself.

••Military Situation:
••State Border:
There was some exchange of artillery fire along the State border, nothing unusual just all standard situation. You remember I mentioned that Valuyki is a large logistical distribution center for Russian military which operates in all of Ukraine. Because the front line now is next to Valuyki this distribution center was closed up and its moved somewhere to due east; now that’s going to be the source of supply of materials, and in addition all of that fuel and equipment to Russian troops in Ukraine.

••Kherson Bridgehead:
Things are not stable and not quiet, but there is no real movement, and apparently, there was enough time for the Russian troops to regain control and to create defensive line, they can hold on for some time.

We don’t think that they will be able to hold on to this front line for long, but they right now buying time in hope of ... its not even clear of what hope, because as long as Ukraine has those HIMARS, the supply is going to be difficult to nearly impossible. Their ammunition is going to be lost, and eventually Ukrainian troops well overrun Russian defenses.

Today was day of attack at the bridge here in Darifka. some Ukrainian troops hit the bridge there, but attacks in the northwestern sector were not successful by Ukrainian troops today.

I’m pretty sure they will continue their attacks. There were so also exchange of attacks - relatively small scale - where Ukrainian troops attacked; Russian troops counter attacked, but no real movement in the front line.

This situation somewhat stabilized, but I just want to reiterate the writing is on the wall as long as the supply for the Russian troops is severed or significantly impaired. Russian troops in the long run will not be able to hold on to this bridgehead.

Another highlight, the airborne divisions is a regiment even though it looks like there is a lot of units on the map, the reality is that most of those units are not even half strings; they are really drained on resources and especially the 90th tank division .

Its not even a brigade, probably battalion sized (1-2000 troops / 40-50% are trigger pullers) in reality. It does look like there are quite a bit of Russian units on this bridgehead, which again says that Russian commands wants to keep this bridgehead for as long as they can.

Kerch Bridge!

I suspect that they did not play that card randomly, but that it is an element in a larger Operational or Strategic Plan.

What a time to be on the road…

The only other route is the very long one for several hundred kilometers through Ukraine to Crimea. Also there is a matter of the fresh water supply to Crimea - most of it comes from a canal starting in Nova Kakhovka near the front for the semi arid, sandy, salt laden northern Crimea. Does some come from the south? Where does the chlorine and so on come from to purify the water? By rail and truck across the bridge?

Life maybe getting harder there, but soon it could be impossible.

Reportedly, arrests of military personnel in Moscow right now. All according to plan...

>> Was it you who mentioned that russia has about 2000 tanks left. <<

At the start of the war, Russia had about 3500 tanks in active service... but truly massive numbers in mothballs (figuratively). CW is that those tanks are largely crap, but then again the new ones aren’t benefitting too much from their high-tech defenses.

The Russians are doing what the Japanese did in WWII. They need to pull some of their best soldiers off the line and send them back as instructors for new soldiers. The Japanese ran out of their most experienced pilots and it quickly went downhill from there. The US does similar with training like Top Gun and other specialty training. In my case, we had 8 or weeks Basic Training, and then I had 8 or weeks of Artillery training. All the instructors/drill sergeants/black hats, had experience from Vietnam.

UK Intelligence (take that FWIW) estimates that 50% of Ukraine’s current tank forces are comprised of captured Russian tanks.

Curious where you get the 3500 number. The sources I’ve seen put it about 2500.

Perspective from Zelinsky’s top advisor Podolyak:

Now seriously. FSB/PMC try to eliminate leadership of Defense Ministry/GHQ. Before personnel change, FSB is in knockdown — missed Putin’s bridge explosion. Defense Ministry can now blame FSB for the future South loss. Isn’t it obvious who made an explosion? Truck arrived from RF.

https://twitter.com/Podolyak_M/status/1578714525867859969

I have two questions for the group...looking for opinions or guesses.

1. Why now?

2. What is the impact on fighting in the Kherson oblast?

Putin’s birthday.

The best Russian soldiers were wiped out in Feb in the open hours. There are only a few AB/NI trigger pullers remaining from that time - here is really no one to pull off the line for training, as that would worsen an already crippling shortage of troops.

The big strikes by Ukraine take place while Putin is out of Moscow on vacation or medical treatments

1. Moskva sinking - Putin in Sochi
2. Kharkiv offensive - Putin in Sochi
3. Kherson offensive breakthrough- Putin in Siberia
4. Kerch bridge strike- Putin in St Petersburg - Birthday

This all looks like a coordinated attack to disrupt supply before major attack. It’s very likely that large attack is imminent in a day or so.

//////////
My vote is for a major attack goes to Melitopol. When the ukes reach Melitopol—the kherson bridgehead becomes untenable.

This all looks like a coordinated attack to disrupt supply before major attack. It’s very likely that large attack is imminent in a day or so.

I agree...however, I'm guessing that Ukraine will watch the Russian response to the bridge collapse as that might change the location of the large attack.

For example, Russia might send reinforcements to Kherson before reinforcing Melitopol. In that case, Ukraine could then launch the attack on Melitopol.