“A Russian channel gives 3 reasons why Russian forces are retreating in Kherson: 1) A lack of rotation/exhaustion (he mentions the 126th Coastal Defense Brigade) 2) Because of a lack of infantry, Russian forces stay in strongpoints in towns. Ukrainian forces push between them.”
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these are only small parts of the reason. what we’re seeing is that the ukes have learned to coordinate a whole lot of military parts in the battlespace.
this is the latest—they have learned how to jam russian communications. so the troops on the front lines are cut off from rear area commanders. that creates an impossible situation for the front line soldiers. they will break fast without orders.
imho the uke demand for 200 mile range missles will wane after they have punched south to melitopol.
the ukes can take back much of their territory faster than most realize because they have learned the modern way of war. and the russians have learned nothing.
what I don’t like about this —is that the natural result of this war will be the complete destabilization of russia.
those guys don’t have an orderly way to change. they just go from one ossified state to another. in between those two ossified states are terrible disorder.
now that they have 7000 nukes —this is an incredibly dangerous situation for the whole world. and its most dangerous to the ukes.
“and its most dangerous to the ukes.”
I read an analysis that a nuke attack on Kiev would kill more RuZZians than Ukrainians.
The nuclear fallout will hit Belgorad RuZZia which has a population of 1.5 million.
Punched south to Melitopol... The front north of Melitopol has been relatively quiet for quite some time. I also expect a punch fairly soon aimed right at Melitopol and possibly aiming for the Azov coast.