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To: bitt; 2ndreconmarine; Fitzcarraldo; Covenantor; Mother Abigail; EBH; Dog Gone; ...
Infectious Disease ping - Covid vaccinations effect on hospitalizations and death, results differ based on which statistical analysis is used
T'is quite perplexing !

" On Sep. 20, using data covering 9 million people, Swedish researchers published a paper showing mRNA jabs may increase the risk of Omicron infection after three months.
That finding received attention.
But an even more intriguing nugget in the paper has so far gone unnoticed.
Based on one statistical analysis vaccinated people had a HIGHER risk of death or hospitalization from Covid roughly a year after receiving their second dose.
The charts — b and d below — show that vaccine protection against death and hospitalization begins to decline slowly after about five months and then plunges about nine months.

This data provides real-world evidence of possible vaccine-caused “antibody dependent enhancement.”
In ADE, vaccines cause our immune systems to produce antibodies that help a virus or other pathogen to attack us.
Still, the finding should not be viewed as definitive.
It is based on relatively few deaths in the later time periods, which is why the confidence intervals (the dashed lines around the blue line) widen hugely after 40 weeks.
When the researchers used a different statistical method known as standard polynomial regression to analyze the data, they found the vaccines remained moderately effective against hospitalizations and death.
In fact, protection actually appeared to increase slightly around a year - a trend that is counterintuitive at best.

In any case, even the standard model shows a sharp decrease in the value of a two-dose regimen over time.
It falls below 45 percent protection from death around nine months before making its odd turn up.

Yes, mRNA vaccines will save you from dying from Covid.
For months, I tell ya, months!"

10 posted on 10/04/2022 6:45:14 AM PDT by Tilted Irish Kilt
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To: bitt
(from the article) :" This data provides real-world evidence of possible vaccine-caused “antibody dependent enhancement.”
In ADE, vaccines cause our immune systems to produce antibodies that help a virus or other pathogen to attack us."

What remains to be seen is whether this change in the human immune system is temporary, or permanent
There is still much to learn about the mRNA vaccine protocol.

11 posted on 10/04/2022 7:00:22 AM PDT by Tilted Irish Kilt
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