Hope your checks are clearing.
RuZZian Tank losses RunningTotal: 1195
September 2022 - 201
August 2022 – 74
July 2022 – 108
June 2022 – 67
May 2022 – 148
April 2022 – 243
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 350
RuZZian Artillery losses Running Total: 312
September 2022 - 70
August 2022 – 21
July 2022 – 21
June 2022 – 18
May 2022 – 20
April 2022 – 52
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 110
“Our total count of visually documented Russian BMP-2 losses during their 2022 invasion of Ukraine has exceeded 500! What an epic failure from a self-proclaimed military superpower.”
https://twitter.com/Rebel44CZ/status/1575221343876190208
“Ukrainian Tank losses Running Total: 271
Ukrainian Artillery losses Running Total: 108”
As par for the CIA/MI6 front ORYX.
Yet, Zelenskyyidiot still begging for more tanks, planes, artillery assets, military hardware, munitions and more money.
Something is far from smelling right when Russian MOD is indicating near 5000 Ukrainian tanks destroyed.
Just yesterday.....
“Where is Liz Truss?: Zelenskyy asks PM for more cash on phone call amid panic”
https://12ft.io/proxy?q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thenational.scot%2Fnews%2F22817827.liz-truss-zelenskyy-asks-pm-cash-phone-call-amid-panic%2F
Hope your checks are clearing.
This highlights the importance of establishing air superiority. We’ve done well in our recent war fighting because we first put out the enemy’s eyes.
The new age of cheap drones has definitely added a new wrinkle. That combined with satellite surveillance makes armor a death trap.
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Sept 28, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••denotes transcribed dialogue.
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Extras:
Ukraine Situation Report: Another 18 HIMARS Launchers For Ukraine
Ukraine could eventually field 34 HIMARS systems, though the newly promised launchers will take time to reach the battlefield.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-another-18-himars-launchers-for-ukraine
Excerpts:
Most of the equipment already donated to Ukraine by the U.S. came from existing Defense Department stocks ...
Items in the $1.1 billion package include:
8 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS) and associated ammunition
150 Armored High Mobility Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicles (HMMWVs)
150 Tactical Vehicles to tow weapons
40 trucks and 80 trailers to transport heavy equipment
Two radars for Unmanned Aerial Systems
20 multi-mission radars
Counter-Unmanned Aerial Systems
Tactical secure communications systems, surveillance systems, and optics
Explosive ordnance disposal equipment
Funding for training, maintenance, and sustainment
Introducing another 18 HIMARS will more than double the number of them in Ukraine’s arsenal, although the timeline for achieving this is still unknown. Every wheeled launcher can precisely strike targets within a 43-mile radius of its position. As Ukraine pushes consistently eastward along its two axes of advance, its HIMARS can reach further into Russian-occupied territory.
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Fingers Point At Russia In Baltic Undersea Pipeline Attack (Updated)
EU and other officials say the available evidence increasingly points to deliberate acts causing ruptures in two Baltic Sea gas pipelines.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/fingers-point-at-russia-in-baltic-undersea-pipeline-attack
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Summary:
Ukrainian forces made small progress today by liberating village Kovshivka near Kupyansk.
Key areas:
- Oskil river area:
Ukrainian troops liberated village Kovshivka (eastern bank of Oskil river).
- North Donbass area: no changes.
- Central Donbass (Donetsk West): no changes.
- Zaporizhya: no changes.
- Kherson bridgehead: no changes.
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••First of all, I’m feeling almost pretty much perfect and it feels great.
World Situation:
There is definitely something going on with this explosion on Nordstrom 1 and 2 and you definitely can say that it’s being done by West. There’s very little defense you can put against that, and it’s totally possible. There was one Twitter by former polish Minister of Foreign Affairs who said, “Thank you USA” after that explosion. I’m not saying that there is evidence or anything, but its an interesting tweet.
Related to all of this, there were alerts sent to U.S citizens abroad, specifically in Russia, asking them to immediately leave Russia. Something similar was done to U.S citizens in Ukraine before the start of the war..
Then a day before, a couple days before, a number of countries did the same thing to their citizens: Poland, Denmark, Bulgaria, Romania, Estonia, others. That’s roughly all countries, then to add to this, Turkish President Erdogan is calling Putin to broker last minute peace negotiation between Ukraine and Russia. There is something going on behind the scenes that may or may not, erupt in the next five days, early October. We’ll see how it all plays out.
We don’t know what’s going on, but there’s something definitely going on behind the scenes, and something serious. The chances of successful negotiations are pretty slim, for that reason, Russian leadership decided not to go ahead with approval of these referendums and annexation of these territories. They still want to have a conversation with Ukrainian president.
The chances of any kind of success are close to zero, as you know Ukraine wants all of its territories back, including Crimea. For Russia to concede, that a start, but who knows, maybe it’s not, but it definitely can lead to 1917 in Russia. Russian leadership is probably fully aware of that, and they will do everything to avoid it. They could face the destiny of Qaddafi and so on. They definitely would fight against that.
There was also news that there is negotiations between Ukraine and Russia’s side, of exchanging all of the POWs whatever Russia has in Ukraine, but Ukraine has fewer, and Ukraine returns all of the Russians. This is pointing to something happening behind the scene & sounds serious. Maybe it will dissipate on its own, and nothing is going to happen in the end,.
In terms of tactical nuclear weapons, Russian got from the former Soviet Union - it’s all from the Soviet Union. They have two artillery shells:
One is RD-4, it’s for 152mm howitzers, it can shoot ~70 kilometers and it’s 2 or 2.5 kilotons. For reference, I think smallest bomb in Japan in 1945 was about 15 or 16Kt; if it’s 2Kt, then it’s probably one shell is 1/8th of that.
There is the RD-5 for 203mm howitzer which is only 2 kilotons; I’m not sure why the smaller caliber is 2.5Kt. That’s just the information I got and the 203mm howitzer can shoot for ~50 kilometers, it’s 1/8th smaller nuclear bomb that was dropped on Hiroshima, Nagasaki - whichever one had the smaller one, because they were not not the same in their capabilities.
North Luhansk’:
This is where the main action is, and where it’s easiest for Ukrainian side to achieve success the before arrival of the mobilized troops in large numbers to the front line. The only known advances was the Ukrainian forces’ expansion of the bridgehead on the eastern side of on Oskil towards south an liberating a village.
Its very clear that the Russians front along this Oskill River is definitely destroyed and crumbling and falling apart really. The question is will Ukrainian troops will be able to reach Svatove before arrival of the mobilized troops or not? Based on our information there were no new advances towards the north; we mentioned that there was quite a bit of advance towards north yesterday now its more or less stable on eastern section of this whole bridgehead.
South:
By the way, one correction: the remnants of 752nd Regiment of 3rd Mechanized Division is actually in Drobysheve. Before there was some information its on the northern side of the bridgehead and it’s actually in Drobysheve. There are some troops in the potential pocket. Ukrainian troops are actually attacking towards Tors’ka, but no success. With with Russian troops holding on to as much as they can, because they realized, if Ukrainian troops liberate Tors’ka, then they are in a pocket and even unmotivated soldiers probably will fight, because they understand otherwise they’re going to be in pocket.
Otherwise, there are no other advances or movements. Russian troops still holding on in Drobysheve, Lyman, Yampil’: those are three main strongholds and obviously Tors’ka the region is a fourth one that this whole potential pocket is based on.
There were no major advances, at least we’re not aware of, that’s potentially not a positive sign. Ukrainian troops might be exhausted, over extended . Even the Russian troops are super exhausted, but they they need break and being rested. This is just a hypothesis; I’m not saying this is true, because Russian sources are saying there’s a significant number of reinforcements, reserves.
A larger scale attack is totally possible. We don’t have reports from Ukrainian General Staff and we don’t have reports from the Russian General Staff. This is based on information we have; we’ll see what happens in the next couple days, but the immediate objective is really Svatove. Then the next goal is Starobil’s’k & liberation of all of North Luhansk’, its economic value is pretty low: there’s nothing there except for agriculture Its purely an agricultural area.
The previously liberated area is agriculture & food processing, nothing high value added, with exception in a Izyum, but all of that was destroyed along with Severodonetsk & Rubizhne.
North Donbas:
It looks like Russians decided to slowly switch tactical strategy. They decided to be more concentrated, more focused, and probably create significant advantage on very narrow section on the front line. There were attacks in the northwestern direction to prevent Ukrainian troops from taking reserves from here. Russian troops didn’t achieve anything.
Kherson bridgehead:
We do know there were new attacks at Antonioski Bridge in this war against the Russians resupply and logistic it’s successful, its not widely successful, but its successful enough to drain Russian forces on this bridgehead to eventually of artillery shells so they cannot put up an effective resistance. Its a stalemate right now. For the most part, Ukrainian troops are waiting for the Russian troops to be drained of their resources, before launching attack.
Add the Russian pipeline that was damaged by Biden and the Poles.
This war has also highlighted the importance of logistics in war-fighting. They fight from cross-roads to cross-roads, as each seeks to cut the other’s supply lines.
Another thing I notice is that the Ukrainian Air Force was grounded during most of this conflict, while the Russian Air Force flew freely. Now it is the opposite. Ukrainian jets fly freely while Russian jets fly mainly over Russian-held territory.