Russia is pulling back and will wait for the starvation and freezing cold feels to the EU and the Ukes. That will have the Ukrainians BEGGING to be let into the Russia fold once more.
It is what I would do. If they wanted to do that, all they would have to do is put some incendiary bombs into the crops, to lower the yield, and ‘voila.
If cold and starvation become the rule in Ukraine this winter, non-military Ukies in a bad way will largely become refugees in Europe. Even with transport problems, there is more than enough food in central and western Ukraine to feed the gov’t, military, and anyone else left.
And, Europe won’t starve or freeze. They might have to wear heavy clothes indoors with thermostats at 16 deg. C. Some factories’ operations may be curtailed. But, mostly they will outbid poorer countries for fuel and food, and it’ll be those poor countries who take the worst hits.