Ukraine: military situation update with maps, August 23, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••denotes transcribed dialogue.
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••Energy Situation:
General discussion on energy in Europe and Ukraine.
Side effect of the drought in Europe is some nuclear power plants in France had to shut down because there was not enough water to cool them. Electrical prices go up further as a result. This helps kill industries.
Fertilizer plants from UK to Poland shutting down because energy prices are too high. Food supply for next year under real threat. Expensive energy = no fertilizer. No fertilizer = no food. No food = starvation and social chaos.
The only solution is to restart coal fired power plants. But no one is moving in that direction.
Ukraine NG producers shut down they are too close to the front & the company is a corrupt monopoly. Ukraine will definitely not have enough NG for the winter.
Meanwhile, the Russians are trying to disconnect the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant and its 6 reactors from the Ukraine power grid and connect it to theRussian grid. Electrical capacity now has some to spare, but the situation will become dire in the winter.
US NG prices dropped because a Texas LNG plant exporting LNG to Europe caught fire. So that production has to go somewhere. Until around November, when the problems will be fixed. There is a lot of financial pressure to export to Europe because of the extreme high price there. Even the Asian NG producers are exporting to Europe because there is a lot of profit to be had with Europe as the highest bidder.
Russian grain exports were only 6 Mt for July and the August numbers so far are at 2017 levels.
The combinations of high NG prices, high electrical prices, low grain supplies could all come together this winter. Unless misguided policies change.
••Military situation:
While attacks continue, the Orcs are not making much progress.
Most of the Russian groups that fought east of Kyiv have returned to the front: the 31st AB is back, believed to be somewhere west of Donetsk in the SE corner.
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Summary:
No major changes.
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead: no changes
- North Donbass area: no changes
- Donetsk West: no changes.
- Kherson bridgehead: no changes
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1. Kharkiv: No changes.
••Quiet. Not Russian priority
2. Izyum bridgehead: No changes.
••Quiet.
3. North Donbass: No changes.
••Attack continue. Repulsed.
4. West of Donetsk: No changes.
••No progress by Orcs. Significant artillery fire near Pisky.
••Looks more and more like Russian command has decided to northern-southern pincer. Still have to capture Donbas region. Their strategic objective here.
5. Vugledar - Velyka Novosilka, Gulyapole:
••Whole point of attacks here is to destroy UA defenses in Vugledar - Velyka Novosilka area.
6. Kherson bridgehead:
UA has retreated from the salient. Snihurivka captured. They increased their Crimea buffer. The objective is Mykolaiv to the west and later Kryvyi Rih to the north, but that attack has not happened yet.
Russia is generally using up its oldest and least strategic equipment, while we’re depleting our stores of advanced weaponry.
Thanks for posting!
Still haven’t seen any “after” pictures of the Antonivsky Bridge. Have either of you?
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