Posted on 07/22/2022 8:03:38 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Small arms, ATGMs, MANPADS, loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles, trailers and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it is not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
“Ukrainian airborne and ground forces artillery targeted eight Russian Msta-B howitzers and ammunition.”
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1550471995351076869
Don’t die for your country, let the enemy die for their country.
“At any cemetery in z-country”
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1550491710840610823
We need a surge, like 200 tank kills in a month.
The Russians are not ten feet tall. The nukes are less of a concern only because they’re losing a lot without their being involved in the equation. Russia will have to eat crow and confine themselves to borders that are more manageable to them and it’s neighbors. They should be worried about the Chicoms and Chechnya.
“Girkin quotes today “informed people” who tell him the Russian army has more defections and KIA than new recruits per day, will “soon have almost no resources to go on the offensive with”.”
https://twitter.com/christogrozev/status/1550390768937861121?t=blp0v6G4SVmFYknoyIPkXA&s=34
1) The CIA says Vladimir Putin is in good health. No, he doesn't have stomach, thyroid or blood cancer or Parkinson's.
2) The CIA now claims 15,000 Russian troops have been killed as opposed the 50,000 or more many the neocon morons have been claiming.
And, keep in mind, that CIA has in every incentive to exaggerate the number of Russian loses not underestimate them. It's very likely Russian losses are lower than that and/or that majority of troops lost are actually from the DPR and LPR militias who are doing most of the work on the ground.
I don't take any of the numbers you're reporting seriously. You and your ilk constantly have been posting unverified propaganda. In the case of Putin's health and Russian causalities, even the CIA has refuted your propaganda.
As we knew...
“Russia hasn’t destroyed any of the devastating HIMARS artillery given Ukraine, US says, contradicting Russia’s own claims”
Good to see you rely on your leftist, globalist sources. There are other sources.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d7oKEc3h2FE&t=5s
Japan should take back its islands.
“NEW from Senior U.S. Defense Official on the war in #Ukraine:
Russia has committed nearly 85% of its military to the war in Ukraine… It has removed military coverage from other areas on their border and around the world.”
“15,000 Russian troops have been killed”
The Dirty RuZZian is happy “only” 15,000 are dead.
How the mighty have fallen...
I think casualties are over 100,000 counting RuZZian Nazis, Wagner and DPR/LNR.
Good to see you rely on your Fellow Communist Comrades.
“who tell him the Russian army has more defections and KIA than new recruits per day”
Did he mention that Russia has taken out 4 of the HIMARS systems already?
What?
That’s not in his provided script?
Dirty RuZZian.
“Russia hasn’t destroyed any of the devastating HIMARS artillery given Ukraine, US says, contradicting Russia’s own claims”
Dirty RuZZian.
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, July 21, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••denotes transcribed dialogue.
———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
Giving A-10 Warthogs To Ukraine Isn’t Off The Table
Top U.S. Air Force officials have left the door open to the possibility of transferring some of the iconic Warthogs to Ukraine.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/giving-a-10-warthogs-to-ukraine-isnt-off-the-table
———————————————————————————————————————
••Russian Credit Card Use:
We got some information in terms of credit card use: Russian banks issued 1.7 million new credit cards in June. At the same time the number of delinquent credit card cards accounts went to a record 3 million, while upper middle class of the Russian society is actively buying apartments in Turkey, specifically where their number of partners being sold to Russian citizens rose by three times. In second place is United Arab Emirates and the third place is Montenegro.
As you can see the most affluent Russian rations they are trying to create sort of second base or backup option in case things are not going to go well. Probably that tells us that internally, they vote with their feet, with their money in terms of how they feel about the future.
••Live Russian Poll:
There was a live poll on TV in the city Krasnoyarsk - 1.1 million people. The question asked: do you support continuation of the war or peace negotiation? 59% of those who responded they were for negotiations and 41% was to continue the war. Inside of Russia, there’s a wind of change, and obviously we cannot extrapolate for entire Russia, but it’s pretty big sample.
Lot of complaints in Russian social media and sources where they say: a lot of Russian soldiers refuse to go to Ukraine. There’s increasing number of those that refuse to go, to fight in Ukraine - even despite pretty high salary of about 200,000 Russian rubles (sometimes could be even more to 40); for Russia that’s pretty big money
Obviously you can you can easily die. So apparently that’s not enough of incentive for most of the rational population to to join the Russian forces in Ukraine.
••Titanium Industry
There is a titanium monopoly by the Russian company VSMPO-AVISMA Corporation that controls about 30 percent of the world titanium production. It imports a significant portion of its titanium ore from Ukraine from northern Ukraine close to the this city called Dnieper. They were importing 50 of the titanium ore, and apparently they cannot find a replacement.
They now actively asking Russian government to do some geological surveying and trying to find some promising replacement. There are some that were previously identified, but they’re not cost effective and they were not developed. Given the whole difficult situation, the company is asking Russian government to allow it to extract titanium ore from those deposits which are middle quality.
The equipment for that for that company, VSMPO-AVISMA, was actually made in Kramatorsk at the Novo Kramatorsk Machine Building Factory there which produces heavy machinery for various fields: coal mines, steel making.
It can be used also for military purposes, but it’s not being used by Ukrainian government. Technically that factory can produce rifled cannon barrels which are a huge problem in Ukrainian army because they were from Soviet Union.
So what happens is that factory is actually not being utilized as it probably should have been to produce those barrels which it is perfectly capable of doing. It’s actually capable of doing much more complex things than that.
This is interesting, kind of like situation where the ore to produce titanium is mined in Ukraine, transported to AVISMA in Russia. Probably the reason that’s being done in Russia is because they are close to cheap energy; smelting titanium consumes a huge amount of energy. That’s another reason why it’s in Russia and then equipment to smelt the titanium is made here in Ukraine
••Titanium Related:
Per request from Airbus sanctions on AVISMA were lifted so Russia will be able probably to export its titanium; Boeing actually managed to stockpile large amount of titanium. Airbus got caught with their pants off without much of a titanium stockpile. That obviously puts them at threatening their aircraft manufacturing.
••Russian Crude Oil:
In addition, with respect to Russian crude oil, we spoke about this strange dip that was reported by Bloomberg that two largest buyers China and India slowed down their purchases at the end of June of Russian crude oil by quite large amounts about up to 30 percent.
Our thought was maybe there is an agreement to join this Western sanctions in terms of putting a ceiling on a Russian crude around 30 to 40 dollars. That’s obviously going to be painful for Russia, but very beneficial for both China and India, so there is an economic incentive for them to join it.’
But it turns out that that’s probably not true. The US Department of State came out with statements saying that, if those sort of sanctions will happen, that’s probably going to be a December situation which is light years away from from perspective how things are developing. There’s probably something else going on, and there’s also a possibility that the information from Bloomberg is also in error.
••Russian Statistical Secrets:
The reason could be because actually Russian government made a secret all of their statistics related to anything produce production of energy, transportation of energy, export of energy, products like coal, crude oil, natural gas, everything - all of that is now secret. You cannot really get it from Russian resources. So ‘sources’ are trying to get it using spy satellites.
We mentioned that from other sources that Russia is actually maintaining high production volume of crude at about 10.708 million barrels per day, which is close to its record. That that really it doesn’t sort of make sense if India and China are not buying. Where is it going? There’s some questions about this whole situation.
••Overview of The Military Situation - Casualties:
Casualties are secret numbers on both sides. No hard numbers - just guesses, estimates and so on, specifically with deaths.
For us to understand where things are going, it’s important to at least understand the magnitude, direction and so on. Our estimates are based on anecdotal evidence and extrapolation.
Ukrainian Losses:
Our estimate is that Ukraine is probably losing about 20,000 dead, maybe 21,000, maybe 22,000, or could be as low as 19,000 (somewhere in this range), since the beginning of the war.
Wounded, that’s going to be probably another 60,000 to 80,000. That doesn’t mean that all of this 60,000 to 80,000 are heavily wounded and
can never return to the battlefield; all this means that our estimate of this 60,000 to 80,000, probably not more than 20,000 are heavily wounded, meaning that they cannot return to battlefield.
Call it the ballpark number that Ukrainian losses are unrecoverable are about 40,000, maybe 42,00, maybe 43,000. This is very rough numbers just for direction and to give you perspective of how painful it is in society
Let’s use that as a yardstick number of deaths from car accidents so in Ukraine: it’s about 3,000 people per year. You can see 20,000-21,000, whatever 18,000- 19,000, so that’s probably felt painfully throughout the society because we can assume that 3,000 is their sort of threshold where it’s very clear society can swallow that number of deaths without even sort of thinking twice.
Let’s put this way because that’s what happening every year: society loses 3,000 people and it doesn’t move society to do anything about it.
You can see that the threshold of pain probably has been exceeded quite a bit, it still doesn’t change the resolve in Ukraine in terms of spirit to continue fighting for independence. We just want to give you perspective on how painful it is.
Russian Losses:
Another important point is to compare: look at the Russian side of the equation.
Our take is that Russia (plus this collaborator troops from Luhansk and the Donetsk region) probably lost slightly more, mostly to Luhansk and Donetsk region. Probably 23,000/22,000, maybe 24,000 collectively. If you subtract the collaborator troops from Luhansk and Donetsk, then the Russian troops probably lost less than Ukrainian troops. That’s probably gonna be ~17,000/18,000/19,000.
Let’s just compare that for the wounded. We just assume the same kind of proportion, basically their invasion troops and collaborators probably lost more or less the similar number to to Ukrainian side about probably ~43,000/44,000/45,000, maybe 46,000 people
Let’s actually compare that again use the sort of statistics from the traffic or car accidents how many people die in car accidents in Russia every year and it fluctuates, but it’s somewhere between 15,000/16,000. You can see that this is barely exceeds any kind of pain threshold.
The loss for the Russian society, we can probably assume that the the pain is still not truly felt. It’s kind of close to what society would lose anyways in car accidents. You can kind of see the sort of relative situation for both societies and how much they feel the pain and and difference in attitude by both societies.
••HIMARS:
It is important. It’s basically turned into strategic weapon and creating strategic opportunities for Ukrainian army.
We expected the Ukrainian army to attempted a new round of strikes against those bridges.
One is a bridge, the other is just a road over the dam. The HIMARS rockets were shot down by Russian equipment and specifically (not confirmed), the Russian side is claiming that they shot them down with the Pantsyr-S1 (https://www.army-technology.com/projects/pantsyr/), a hybrid rocket/canon system that’s intended to shoot down rockets and any UAVs, helicopters; anything in the air not terribly high or terribly fast.
What this probably means is that Russian forces had to put quite a few of those units there; probably at least six or seven of the Pantsyr-S1 units in order to fully protect, to give close to 100 percent guarantee that the HIMARS rockets will be shot down. The Russian side reporting that there were 12 HIMARS rockets launched, meaning there were two launching trucks used by Ukrainian side.
This was only one engagement, not the long term. Sooner or later the Ukrainian side will figure out the strategy to overload that deployment.
we mentioned this before how it being how it’s been used before by Ukrainian side is they basically do do kind of like a decoy attack using rockets using more so like a dumb Soviet rockets like Tochka U (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OTR-21_Tochka) or another similar system.
Basically those unguided rockets are similar to HIMARS system, but unguided rockets are launched by the Soviet launching systems, overloading anti-air defenses, and once the batteries’ rockets are exhausted, you shoot with the HIMARS system. Maybe Ukraine command got a little bit overconfident and didn’t use this strategy and those rockets were shot down.
Probably what’s gonna happen next is this rocket decoy strategy will be used; it’s probably gonna be more successful - this is continuous process; it’s not gonna be a quick solution, but sooner or later this this nut will be cracked, the writing is on the wall.
••Opportunity for Ukrainians:
That creates an excellent opportunity for Ukrainian side, for Ukrainian command because what it allows them to do; it allows Ukrainian troops to successfully liberate the Kherson bridge with the skills that they have.
There is a clear lack of skills (this isn’t about the sort of soldiers or motivation), it’s really referring to the communication system at the top command and middle command. That’s where the problems are and that’s where everything is stemming from. That problem has not been resolved in the Ukrainian Army as a whole.
Even without resolving that problem then Ukrainian army will be capable to squeeze out Russian troops from this bridgehead because simply they don’t have enough supplies. In a way it’s going to be something similar to what happened west of Kiev and east of Kiev. Basically Ukrainian troops were killing Russian side by a death of thousand cuts.
Eventually, the pain will be enough that the Russian side will have to fall. From our observation, the Russian command or people who advise it (we don’t think it’s actually the Minister of Defense or a facade we see), it’s more probably KGB etc think tanks. They are excellent strategists, and if they see they’re gonna be defeated in the long run, they just fold pretty quickly; they don’t try to fight against all odds.
What they do is fall pretty quickly and just pack up and leave. They don’t try. This is actually very different, even mental approach, from Soviet Union and Soviet Army where they would just fight against all odds, with motivation of machine guns behind your back. Nevertheless, there was a huge determination to do whatever no matter.
Here, it’s more these people are more like a chess player: if they calculated that in two or three turns, they’re gonna lose, they’re just gonna fold up and leave. In this situation, it’s very clear, the writing is in the wall: that Antonivsky Bridge is already essentially destroyed, that this road over the Nova Kahoka dam is gonna be damaged enough that you’re gonna have problems there,
There is nothing to do, you cannot throw up another bridge. Some people were saying you can use ferries - first of all, there is simply not enough fairies or if there are even any.
In this region of Ukraine on this river, I haven’t seen single ferry. Ferries are more popular in western Europe, but in Ukraine they are non-existent.
So that’s also not a solution and a pontoon bridge is going to be destroyed the same way. You can see a pontoon bridge needs to be huge because this river is about 300 meter width; it’s not like 20 meter or something. You have to use huge like huge amount of your pontoon stock. To do that and then lose pretty much all of your pontoon stock as a result of several successful hits.
Basically the risk and reward is simply not there. It’s going to be super expensive to resupply these troops. This is why we say it’s an excellent opportunity: because Ukrainian army doesn’t even need to get better to win.
The result is going to be guaranteed by the lack of resupply to the Russian troops, and then Ukrainian army just will push, putting the final finishing hit on the exhausted Russian troops.
———————————————————————————————————————
Summary: No changes on the frontline.
HIMARS system attempt to hit main bridge (Antonivsky) in Kherson again.
All 12 rockets were intercepted by Russian anti-air defense system (allegedly by Pantsyr C1).
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead: no changes
- North Donbass area: no changes
- Donetsk West: no changes
- Kherson bridgehead: no changes.
1. Kharkiv: No changes.
2. Izyum bridgehead. No changes.
••Important to note that Izyum used to have large scale attacks, even small scale action is petering out. Just not enough Orc troops.
3. North Donbass: No changes.
4. West of Donetsk: Avdiyivka and Maryinka. No changes.
5. Vugledar: No changes.
6. Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. No changes.
7. Kherson bridgehead: No changes.
••New information: whole area is filled with confusion - a black hole of information. UA did manage to maintain one or two tiny villages south of Davydiv Brid bridge. Orcs troops trying to destroy UA bridgehead - not successful yet.
We need a surge,
—
Look to Kherson region for a surge or even a rout.
Long update today. Thanks!
It should be pointed out that whatever the actual number of dead, and the real numbers are secret, they include the cream of the RGF and Naval Infantry (by their own ratings), further the majority of those losses are the trigger pullers, not the supply, artillery, and other sorts of units.
Further of the wounded, a full third of them will be too severely wounded to return to the front lines.
Those highly trained and professional combat troops, whatever you rate them at, cannot be easily replaced without years and years of training, dedication, and motivation.
It was one of the worst, with confusing shuddering at critical parts, words garbled and not in the transcript - I tried to make sense of it best I could.
And Ukraine is still losing, and with the US lying about NOT sending Ukraine HIMARs with 300KM missiles, Russia about to make Ukraine even smaller. Thank the US for playing ionto the hands of the RuZZians, kkthx.
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