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Ukraine: military situation update with maps, July 2, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)

War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos

Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).

(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)

••denotes transcribed dialogue.

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••BayraktarTB2 and Orlon-10 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orlan-10) drones deep dive tomorrow. Why Orlon the best and TB2 not the tool, price tag is very important.

••Sometime this week will be a special video of the Russian perspective of first 4 days of the war from Orc 45sfB, is the best of the best and cream of the crop - no known reason for this praise. The Plan, how it developed and how it changed. sfBs as a whole (except for those in the South) suffered 50% losses and some, like the 2sfB, were completely annihilated inside Kharkiv.

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Summary: Ukrainian troops lost Lysychans’k and surrounding area (Lysychans’k peninsula).
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead: no changes.
- Popasna area: Ukrainian troops managed to retreat from Lysychansk last second.
- Svitlodarsk area: no changes.
- Donetsk West: no changes
- Kherson bridgehead: no changes.

1. Kharkiv: No changes.
••North of Kharkiv was an exchange of rocket hits. UA targerted Belgorod & Kursk regions in Russia. Otherwise, artillery fire exchanges continues.
••East of Kharkiv. Orc pressure continues, not large scale attacks company size.

2. Izyum bridgehead. No changes.
••Orc attempt to take town failed.

3. Popasna area: Ukrainian troops are in process of retreat from Lysychansk area and establishing new frontline to the west of it.

••On July 1, Orc commando troops came through Pryvillya, a town in the north and to the west of Severodonetsk. They managed a pontoon bridge and then attacked through village of Shyplivka in the early evening - late day, and UA troops started hasty withdrawal to the west; northern retreat was disorderly, southern retreat no as bad but still a mess. Orc troops mopping up

Main Orc forces (BG90TD, BG76AD. BG=Battle Group - a combined force made up of surviving units, not BTG) captured oil refinery in there west. Mop up by 2AK and Chechen Russian Guards (Kadyrov’s troops) - (Edit: Both of these non-RGF/Naval Infamtry groups are expendable and are NOT counted in Russian losses.)

Negative outcome for ZSU troops because of the geography of the area. There are two ridges going west, with a valley between. Best option would have been to make a defensive line on the first ridge as it has a north-south road which is a very good defensive line.

Had the ZSU executed a timely withdrawal of Lysychans’k, they could have built those defenses from the giant coal slag heap in the north along the road to the south. But a timely withdrawal was not done for political reasons. But now impossible, since Orcs have captured a town (Verkhnokamyanske) on the other side of the ridge.

Now will have to fall back to 2nd ridge, forfeiting valley and a lot of territory.

This Severodonetsk-Lysychans’k defense collapsed quickly, lasting a week. UA not able UA to hold them back; UA morale has diminished considerably - biggest problem facing them.

4. Svtilodarsk area: No changes.
••No changes in the areas below because most of the front line troops were pulled to the Severodonetsk area.

5. West of Donetsk: Avdiyivka and Maryinka. No changes.

6. Vugledar: No changes.

7. Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. No changes.

8. Kherson bridgehead: No changes.