[deport]

and in 2020 in particular, in-person votes tilted Republican

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IMO that is probably true. But keep in mind the mail voting
due to Covid 19 was a major influence also. People were boxed
in and many still not working and lots of businesses still down.
The situation was prime for voter manipulation JMO.

[Observator]

But keep in mind the mail voting due to Covid 19 was a major influence also.

Agreed, more people on both sides (including Trump) voted by mail.

60% of Dems voted by mail in 2020, 32% Republicans.