“There will be zero chance for Ukraine to exist a few years down the road when Russia does this all over again, just from a better starting position.”
Actually, my sources are telling me that Russia has no plans to stop, as there is NO WAY they can trust Ukraine or the West with any agreement, so they’ll get it done and over with in one shot.
Bottom line - by the end of the year, according to them, Poland will have Western Ukraine (per agreement with Russia), and other countries may have smaller pieces. The remnants of what was Ukraine, including Kiev, will have another puppet government, this time reporting to Moscow, instead of the Neocons.
Whenever the actual fighting stops, keep every possible sanction on them. End flyover rights, end cultural/scientific/educational visas for Russians, etc.. If they don't want to play nice with other kids, then let them play with themselves.