I’m not saying this can’t turn into a disaster, but Biden is a fool and Putin is an SOB. Russia is in over its head. The only way out for Putin is to win in Ukraine. But then again failure and a war with the United States is their worst nightmare.
From our perspective, Russia needs to lose this war or it will emerge much stronger.
Putin is likely not very worried about how this is going to turn out. His only worry may be that Biden is obviously not calling the shots and they may not be sure who is.
The Russians were out of Afghanistan before Putin became Russia's leader. And in fact, this failure was one of the factors that put him into power. Putin has never lost a “war” or “incursion” or whatever you want to call this latest action in Ukraine. Putin and his generals are known for precise planning and the all the outrageous propaganda that is resulting from this conflict isn't likely to have much of an effect.
What is going to happen always been a foregone conclusion. The Russians are going to change the current corrupt regime in the Ukraine. Things got pushed far further than most would have thought the Russians would ever have let them go. Our own "defense department" was funding a dozen bio-labs in Ukraine for God's sake. Why because the current regime would allow anything if enough coin rolled into their pockets.
Look at Hunter Biden for another type of example. Anyone who had any perceived influence was eligible to receive $$$ millions to channel more $$$ millions to the corrupt regime's people. We have given the regime we helped put in power $$$ 1.5 Billion above the table since 2014 and $$$ Billions more in secret arrangements like the "bio-labs". It has been nothing short of astounding. The “west” is going to scream and cry and accuse the Russians of every form of evil to protect the regime that they installed. Look at the sheer volume of already disproved nonsense. It is enough to make even a hardenned vax pusher blush. But this is not likely to change the outcome. The only wild card is that Zelenskyy is holed up somewhere in Poland pretending to be sticking around longer than expected to try and get his greedy little paws on more of the $$$ 13.6 Billion that he now knows is heading his direction... along with $$$ Billions more from other countries/marks.
This is all about money and that is about it.