Some other interesting questions:
* When will the “mud season” begin when even the best built tanks will have trouble going off road
* When will it get warm enough that Europe no longer needs to buy Russian gas for heating
Mud season probably late March into April/May. Europe can probably survive without much heating from now on, it will be uncomfortable but in most cases not unlivable.
I think there’s enough residual moisture in soils at present that heavy military equipment can get bogged down even though it is not muddy without that disruption. But as to more severe mud problems, that appears to be at least 3 weeks away in this pattern.