Posted on 02/03/2022 12:15:38 PM PST by KC Burke
The North Carolina Supreme Court heard oral arguments on a pair of redistricting lawsuits on February 2. A quick ruling on the case is expected. The ruling could alter some or many of North Carolina’s 14 congressional, 50 state Senate, and 120 state House districts.
How the Court Could Rule
The court, which currently has a 4-3 Democratic majority, has a range of options, from upholding the maps to overturning decades, if not centuries, of precedent. Here are some possible outcomes, ranging from the most positive for Republicans to the most positive for Democrats.
Uphold the maps: The trial court hearing the case upheld the maps the General Assembly drew last fall. That court determined that district map boundaries are “political questions and thus non-justiciable.”
Based on ratings of the Civitas Partisan Index and other analyses, here are the likely partisan leanings* of districts in the current maps:
Congress: 10-4 Republican NC Senate: 28-22 Republican NC House: 69-51 Republican Impose median maps: This would incorporate data from some of the plaintiffs’ expert witnesses to create guidelines for map drawers (legislative or court-appointed) to follow. For example, one expert witness for the plaintiffs found that the median congressional map was 9-5 Republican while another found 8-6 was slightly more likely than 9-5.
There are a couple of questions that justices would have to answer as part of their ruling to further define what median maps are. ....[SNIP]
(Excerpt) Read more at johnlocke.org ...
How the heck did NC voters end up with a Dem majority on their court?
The courts don’t have any jurisdiction over redistricting. The legislature should simply ignore their decision.
North Carolina has a Democrat governor for one. The old line state Democrat Party is still the home of the Jim Crow forces to a great extent. They may not agree with the the national party direction but they don’t want to cede ownership of their party controlled areas to “those people.”
Voter fraud.
Durham county tosses in a huge amount of votes at the end when they’re counting. McCrory lost in 2016 that way. (D) Cooper won, but they didn’t give the same treatment to the Lieutenant Governor race, so Mark Robinson won in 2020.
“The court, which currently has a 4-3 Democratic majority,“
All you need to know. There is no doubt how it comes out. None.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.