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Uh, That's Not A Conspiracy Theory
Market Ticket ^ | 11/02/21 | Karl Denniger

Posted on 11/03/2021 7:24:29 AM PDT by Enlightened1

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Karl over at Market Ticker has really dug into the VAERS data to analyze the following claim:

There is a wildly statistically-significant skew in the death rate from Covid-19 vaccines by lot number.

 

He was expecting to debunk it (he has a passionate hatred of tinfoil hats) but instead found that across all three of the vaccine producers they showed a similar abnormal grouping of deaths by lot number. Much less than 50% quoted, this is the TLDR summary:

The only thing all three of these vaccines have in common is that all three of them rely on the human body to produce the spike protein that is then attacked by the immune system and produces antibodies; none of them directly introduce the offending substance into the body. The mechanism of induction is different between the J&J and Pfizer/Moderna formulations but all exhibit the same problem. The differential shown in the data is wildly beyond reasonable explanation related to the cohort dosed and the reported person's average age for the full set of events (not just deaths) does not correlate with elevated risk in a given lot either so it is clearly not related to the age of the person jabbed (e.g. "certain lots all went to nursing homes since they were first.") While the highest AE rate lots all have early use dates so do some of the low-AE rate lots so the attempt to explain the data away as "but the highest risk got it first" fails as well.

In other words the best-fit hypothesis is that causing the body to produce part of a pathogen when that part has pathological capacity (as we know is the case for the spike) cannot be controlled adequately through commercial manufacturing process at-scale. This means that no vector-based, irrespective of how (e.g. viral vector or mRNA), not-directly-infused coronavirus jab will ever have an acceptable safety profile because some lots will be "hot" and harm crazy percentages of those they're given to with no way to know in advance. The basic premise used here -- to have the body produce the agent the immune system identifies rather than directly introduce it where you can control the quantity, is a failure.

The entire premise of calling something that does this a "vaccine" is bogus and in the context of a coronavirus this may never be able to be done safely.

1 posted on 11/03/2021 7:24:29 AM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: Enlightened1

You can see the graphs in the link below. Just scroll about half way and keep going.

https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=244109


2 posted on 11/03/2021 7:25:40 AM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: Enlightened1

BOOKMARK


3 posted on 11/03/2021 7:34:51 AM PDT by Lowell1775
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To: Lowell1775

Get Jabed, have adverse reactions, then die. It will help the community in some way.


4 posted on 11/03/2021 7:38:10 AM PDT by foundedonpurpose (Praise Hashem, for his restoration of all things!)
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To: Enlightened1

another possibility is that a lot went to a place that either mishandled the shot. Maybe they did not freeze them. Or they misadministered the shot. They put it in a vein rather than a muscle.


5 posted on 11/03/2021 7:39:37 AM PDT by poinq
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To: Enlightened1

Adverse reactions should be evenly distributed...

except you also have to factor in who’s doing the injection.
There’s been some evidence that improper injection technique can lead to adverse reactions.

Who’s training the people at Walmart and CVS, and how well are they doing it? Are these people even nurses? (No. They’re not.)


6 posted on 11/03/2021 7:40:07 AM PDT by Buttons12 ( )
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To: Enlightened1

Center for Deception and control =CDC


7 posted on 11/03/2021 7:40:40 AM PDT by azkathy (We the people are FED UP-pun intended)
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To: Enlightened1
Lots are quite large, especially when you're dealing with 200 million people and 400 million doses. Assuming the lots are not preferentially assigned to certain cohorts (e.g. one goes to all nursing homes, etc) adverse reactions should thus be evenly distributed between lots;

This is only true if the lots are the same size, which they aren't.

This fact invalidates his entire analysis.

This is high school level math.

Karl Denninger knows this but is playing you for a sucker for clicks.

Have some self respect and consider why you post drivel from people who think so little of you.

8 posted on 11/03/2021 7:41:16 AM PDT by semimojo
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To: Enlightened1

95% of the Lots had NO DEATHS. But, since I had 3 significant reactions I checked my lot off the vaccine card.

My dirty vaccine lot killed 7 people!

The worst 30 lots killed a total of 2111 people!

The most contaminated vaccine lot killed 119 people

I ran these numbers myself on VAERS.


9 posted on 11/03/2021 7:42:43 AM PDT by MattMusson (Sometimes the wind blows too much)
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To: Enlightened1

“But, grasshopper, I have Postgres. Indeed if you’re reading this article it is because I both have it and know how to program against it; this blog is, in fact, stored in Postgres.

Postgres, like all databases, is very good at taking something that can be foreign-key related and correlating it. In fact that’s one of a database’s prime strengths. Isn’t SQL, which I assume VAERS uses as well, wonderful?”

Anyone who wrote the semi-comp-sci-illiterate stuff above IS A GRASSHOPPER when it comes to databases and query languages.


10 posted on 11/03/2021 7:42:54 AM PDT by BiglyCommentary
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To: Enlightened1

Thanks for the post


11 posted on 11/03/2021 7:44:17 AM PDT by El Cid (Believe on the Lord Jesus Christ, and thou shalt be saved, and thy house...)
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To: Buttons12

Bad injections should be evenly distributed across lots.
Clearly, some lots are contaminated. 95% of the 5200 lots had NO DEATHS.4% had 1 death.

But, the top thirty contaminated lots killed 2111 Americans!

The single dirtiest lot killed 119 people!


12 posted on 11/03/2021 7:45:23 AM PDT by MattMusson (Sometimes the wind blows too much)
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To: Enlightened1

Here is the latest VAERS report from October 22nd. 17k dead and 1.6 million adverse reactions.

Once in the link you can click on the links to the right to get more detailed information.

https://openvaers.com/


13 posted on 11/03/2021 7:46:36 AM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: semimojo
This is only true if the lots are the same size, which they aren't.

This fact invalidates his entire analysis.

This is high school level math.

Ditto. TheExpose.uk is pure conspiracy drivel. That Denninger parrots it and subsequently ignores all the "What about lot size?" posts on his site is evidence he has an agenda.

14 posted on 11/03/2021 7:50:25 AM PDT by Rightwing Conspiratr1
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To: semimojo

Good catch. You have to use percentages (bad/total), not absolute counts, i.e bad.


15 posted on 11/03/2021 7:51:20 AM PDT by BiglyCommentary
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To: Enlightened1
it is subject to clinical judgment

One confound for this analysis that I didn't see (I might have missed it) is the fact that clinical judgment and willingness to perceive and report adverse events may not be evenly distributed geographically. I suspect that doctors in Portland, for instance, would be much more likely to attribute adverse events to other causes than their beloved vaccine. In contrast, other communities may have doctors highly skeptical of the vaccine and be more likely to link the jab with adverse events.

To test this hypothesis, he'd have to collect similar reports from different vaccines and see if there is a similar skew in reports.

16 posted on 11/03/2021 7:57:54 AM PDT by FateAmenableToChange
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To: Enlightened1
https://medalerts.org/vaersdb/

From the 10/22/2021 release of VAERS data:
Found 17,619 cases where Vaccine is COVID19 and Patient Died
Table

Vaccine/Manufacturer/Lot Count Percent
TOTAL † 19,047 † 108.1%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH 4,022 22.83%
COVID19 / MODERNA 1,380 7.83%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / UNKNOWN 709 4.02%
COVID19 / JANSSEN 426 2.42%
COVID19 / JANSSEN / UNKNOWN 306 1.74%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EM0477 229 1.3%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EJ6795 144 0.82%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EJ6788 144 0.82%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EK9788 127 0.72%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EN6201 118 0.67%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EJ6796 115 0.65%
UNK / UNKNOWN MANUFACTURER 102 0.58%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EN5318 100 0.57%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EN6200 99 0.56%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EP9598 97 0.55%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EN6198 92 0.52%
COVID19 / MODERNA / 039K20A 92 0.52%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EJ6789 91 0.52%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EP2166 90 0.51%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EL9261 86 0.49%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EL3248 86 0.49%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EJ6134 86 0.49%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / EM9810 83 0.47%
COVID19 / PFIZER/BIONTECH / ET3620 79 0.45%

17 posted on 11/03/2021 8:00:48 AM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: Enlightened1

Great article, but it will go over the head of most who read it I’m afraid.


18 posted on 11/03/2021 8:00:56 AM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: Enlightened1

How is it that where there is resistance all of a sudden there are outbreaks?


19 posted on 11/03/2021 8:02:49 AM PDT by Harpotoo (Being a socialist is a lot easier than having to WORK like the rest of US:-))
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To: Enlightened1

The term “conspiracy theory” is a trigger like “racist”. They are spewed out any time a commie doesn’t want to discuss or disagrees with what YOU are saying. If either term appears, they are cornered. Press on until they whither and die in a corner.


20 posted on 11/03/2021 8:04:11 AM PDT by bobbo666 (Baizuo)
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