Read the more recent report:
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1022238/Vaccine_surveillance_report_-_week_39.pdf
If I read this correctly:
Page 8 - If you are going to get vaccinated, go with Moderna.
Page 14 - Looking at cases per 100,000, starting at about age 40, you are MORE likely to get the virus if you are vaccinated.
HOWEVER, and again looking at cases per 100,000, the charts on pages 15 and 16 show your are FAR more likely to need hospitalization or die if you have NOT been vaccinated.
I am only talking about deaths though, and the vaccine is working in preventing that.