Interesting article.
If Xi wants to roll the dice, now is the best time.
He may never get another opportunity like it.
The crooks in DC are in total dis-array—even Stevie Wonder could see it.
Why invade when a blockade would do it without all out war?
Worse than losing 100K troops?
They won’t retake the island.
They’d lose 1 million before they’d let the world see them as losers.
For now, China is using propaganda to weaken the will of the Taiwanese to get them to be willing to unify to avoid war.
https://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2008/01/17/the-photo-op-that-tanked
“The costs in blood of such a move would be high”
A populous country suffering a surplus of young men, and facing limited supply with a need to reduce demand, may find such cost desirable to pay.
They don’t need total surprise.
They wrote the book on creating the chaos and distraction for the time needed to transit the strait.
If I had to make a bold prediction, Taiwan would fold in mere hours. And the Chinese know it.
The bigger question is the response, and if now isn’t the right time, a series of bombs going off in multiple US cities (and a couple in ME ports on USN ships) would provide the needed distraction.
And they have all the agents in place for such an action.
100k....that’s chump change to the chi-coms.
5-10 divisions lost is a drop in the bucket for the Chinese. They lost a million men in Korea before they slowed down. Taiwan is a huge prize and we are too distracted to be effective.
A drop in the bucket. Just watch what happens when China sinks one of our carriers. The US subs will launch non nuclear missiles like Roman candles.
100,000, nothing compared to losing the three gorges damn...
China does not have the resources for an invasion. Any ship or helicopter are sitting ducks for missiles.
