“Callifornia is going to secede after the 2024 elections, and the PLA Navy will be homeported in San Diego and San Francisco within 3 months.”
Just plain stupid.
Democrats would never let that happen. Without the big enchilada, they will be out of power permanently.
Why do you say that?
If California goes independent and FedGov allows it or reacts slowly. California will be free to make foreign alliances as does any nation state. It will need allies, it will need any ally that can potentially protect it from its powerful neighbor - USA. Do you think Mexico would be a good choice ? Canada maybe ? Cuba ? How about Guatemala ? There’s only one choice - the PRC ! Would the PRC park naval assets in California? Probably not but they might ! More likely the assets would be Chinese Special Forces & Intel to set up sites in the Rockies. There’s no huge equipment footprint needed here. Not at first, once you consolidate then maybe. In the beginning you can fly in the personnel and most of the equipment needed commercially. Then start training the former California National Guard to be a reliable obedient regime protection force for California regime. Then start destabilizing the US states bordering California.
If I was in charge of an independent California that’s what I would do. If I was Beijing it’s what I would do.