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My intelligence priorities for 2021 and reasoning. If you have other areas, please recommend them and help by following them up in posts. Each region/subject area may be expanded as required over the course of the year to adjust to changing situations and scenarios.

REGION 1 - United States

Globalism - Efforts to place the world under one rule via the Great Reset. These will manifest through wuhan, economy and civil disturbance.

Wuhan Virus - I won’t be counting off numbers, they are too far compromised to be worth anything since just about any death is being counted as be wuhan caused. But I fully expect that this virus will continue to be used to intimidate, demoralize and condition the sheeple throughout the year - yes in spite of the vaccine.

Economy - The economy isn’t out of the woods, regardless of record stock market values at the end of the year. Newly instituted lockdowns in major states will kill what few smaller businesses that were able to eke out a chance to reopen. This will open our country to the “Great Reset”, a hybrid communistic remake of ‘capitalism’ with green new deal tossed in for chaotic measure. If Biden gets into the WH, expect this globalistic disaster to be pushed - hard.

2020 Election- We still have this month for the last of this dumpster fire to play out.
Key dates - House of Representatives officially counts electoral votes on Jan. 6. Inauguration is Jan 20.
Either something happens to be a massive game changer and Trump stays in office, or the constitution and this republic dies (see economy and CW2)

CW2/Civil Disturbances -
Two potential paths that will become clear after Jan 20th.
1. Trump retains the WH, all hell breaks loose in BLM/Antifa controlled urban regions and they will attempt to selectively target red areas for violence. Leftists will go to insurrection mode and CW mode when stopped by Patriots.
2. Biden takes the WH, slow burn commences. BLM/Antifa et al have just used the democrats as the frog in the old frog and scorpion story. They have no allegiance to democrats, only in the destruction of the current way of governing - meaning they will not stop until our constitutional republic is just another socialistic banana republic (btw, they’ve said that). This may delay the kinetic civil war stage, but expect a biden administration to try to strip citizen rights and in particularly the 1st and 2d amendment rights away first.

Regardless of the 20th, the US is on a trajectory of continued unrest and increasing crime. Data from 57 big city police departments, has the number of murders in those cities is up 36.7 percent compared to last year. In quite a few of those cities, new all-time records are being established in 2020, and many Americans are anticipating even more violence in 2021.

REGION 2 - International General

Strategic Developments /Deployments - Force projection by the US as indicators of potential actions or responses to regions considered critical to the US.

Cyber Warfare - Our country and world are increasingly vulnerable to cyber attacks that can create grave damage if critical assets are exposed.

China - China is most dangerous superpower the US is facing. It crushed the Hong Kong independence movement with the assistance of the Wuhan virus and seeks to do same to Taiwan and the China sea region. Very high probability of some level of conflict this coming year. Under this will be the China/India standoff, Taiwan, South China Sea and Trade wars.

Russia - The bear may be old, but it isn’t fangless either. Putin’s days are numbered (health and age questions), their economy is severely distressed and it has become increasingly tied down in regions of the world facing off with an ascending Turkey (Syria, Libya and Armenian/Azerbaijan). In spite of this, Russia is attempting to maneuver itself to maintain a threat against the US both strategically (new weapons) and tactically (deployments).

N Korea - With NK walking away from Trump’s initiatives, NK is trying to regain momentum for strategic weapons - nuclear tipped ICBMs. Sanctions, wuhan and famine have ravaged its economy over the past year, making expenditures for its military a challenge. A biden administration may provide an opportunity for Kim to flex his muscles again in this realm.

REGION 3 - Middle East

Israel - By far the focus of most of the action today (as well as historically). It is facing its 4th election in 2 years, increasing threats from Hezbollah and Iran via Lebanon and Syria and its almost routine tit for tat with Hamas in Gaza. There is a high potential for conflict between Israel and Iran this year especially under a biden administration and disrupted government functioning due to elections.

Iran - Date to remember, January 3d - anniversary of the death of Soleimani. Iran continues to be the most dangerous element in the middle east. Sponsoring terrorism / proxy forces it has influences in Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, Yemen/Saudi Arabia and even Venezuela here in the western hemisphere. During the Trump administration, wuhan, sanctions and low oil prices have hammered the Iranian economy. This has caused turmoil internally. The death of Soleimani last year threw Iran’s proxy wars into confusion as he was recognized for his leadership by these groups and his replacement hasn’t earned their full confidence. Constant hammering by Israel AF of munitions and factories in western Syria has cost Iran greatly in lost material and personnel. This has diverted resources away from other goals, such as quickly ramping up its nuclear program.

Iraq - Essentially dominated by Iran via its supported militias, Iraq is an intermediary in the struggle between Iran and US/Israel. Over the past couple years, though, the iranian backed militias have been losing the hearts of Iranians in general due to their aggressiveness and domineering. Any Iranian/western conflict will see Iraq as a major hot spot.

Lebanon - Essentially controlled by Iran via Hezbollah, the country is just a shell of its former self. As a rocket base, Hezbollah has established its self in areas surrounded by civilian facilities. However, the prolonged Syrian civil war and the loss of fighters in it PLUS significant decreases in funding from Iran have served to limit some of its aggressiveness. But make no mistake - should Israel and Iran get into a direct war, missiles in Lebanon will rain over most of Israel.

Saudi Arabia - Regional opponent of Iran, stuck in the civil war in Yemen against the Houthi’s supported by Iran. Oil superpower drives a lot of the economic push in the region.

Syria - By itself, still caught up in a long running civil war against separatists (mostly in Idlib Provence) and remnants of ISIS. Caught in a proxy war against Israel by Iran and Hezbollah is hit on a regular basis by Israeli forces.

Afghanistan - Still an unstable region with the Taliban attempting to regain ascendency in the county. US trying to draw down forces and leave the country

REGION 4 - Western Asia / Europe

Turkey - Turkey is on the ascent in the region and quickly burning bridges with NATO. It has been directly involved in Syria, Libya and the Armenian/Azerbaijan conflict. It has gotten close to get into a shooting situation with Greek and French military forces in the Mediterranean Sea. Turkey’s intermediate goals are to control oil/gas production and transmission in the region with the ultimate goal of reestablishing the Ottoman empire.

Also monitoring BREXIT, France, Greece, Libya and other for blowups that could ripple over to the US.

Black Swans - This is maintained because of the unexpected/unforeseen. Last year it was wuhan. This year it could be one of many things, such as smaller wars getting out of hand, or major natural disasters that threaten to upset power balances.