[chuckee]

I don’t believe 31% of blacks will be voting Trump. I do believe they are not as motivated to vote against him and will stay home as opposed to the times Obama and Hillary Clinton ran. I think early voting numbers may be bearing this out. I will take it.

[Starboard]

You may be right however don’t overlook the fact that Trump produced historic accomplishments for blacks, not the least of which was the lowest unemployment rate. The rioting and looting hasn’t exactly helped the Democrats either.

Trump will do better with them this time. The only question is how much better?

[cgbg]

will stay home

This.

One of the many hidden biases of the "experts" is they believe everyone is as interested in politics as they are, and therefore will turn out to vote.

I would bet that the majority of black folks are not going to turn out for _any_ old white guy.

That is what the low black turnout voters in early voting is telling us.

That will doom the Democrats in key states, just like it did in 2016.

We always hear "the greatest turnout ever" from the "experts".

It will _not_ happen this year.

Quiz: Which US election had the greatest turnout of registered voters?:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voter_turnout_in_the_United_States_presidential_elections

1876!