I have been saying 40% since Jan and everyone laughed.
Maybe they’re finally waking up to how much they’ve been used and abused by the Democratic Party machine. They’ve been isolated and held down by failing public schools and a welfare state that robbed them of any incentive to succeed for so long, perhaps they’re beginning to see that President Trump is the way out of generational poverty and dependence?
It’s been decades of Democratic leadership in the cities that failed them. Decades of Democratic policies in the public schools that left them ill equipped to excel. Decades of Democratic criminal justice policies that left them battered, beaten, robbed, and murdered. One can hope that they’re now going to wake up and see why they’re really in the situation their in and that professional victimhood and generational dependence have done them nothing but harm.
Everyone needs to quit dreaming. You don’t go from 8% to 30% of the black vote in 4 years. Black women, especially, are not going to vote for Trump.
A reasonable prediction: Trump will carry 21% of black men and 5% of black women, which puts him at around 11% (more black women vote than black men). 11% would be a great number.
Be nice if it is true.
‘Pubbies haven’t had that much of the black vote since 1944...
But I'd be willing to bet money that Democrat internal polling and focus groups have been showing this alarming trend since the beginning of his presidency. Hence the non-stop barrage of "Trump is a racist!" media propaganda this past three years.
Untrue because they aren’t black according to Joe.
I’d be extremely surprised — shocked — if it’s that high, but I do expect President Trump to receive a higher percentage of black votes than he did last time — and that was DOUBLE what Romney got.
All their votes belong to us.
I’ll believe it when it happens.
I’ll be happy for 15%, and for the rest to have their eyes open.
We are all skeptical and he was suppose to do much better in 2016, BUT, haven’t we been hearing this for a couple of years now? Especially this year? No one is keeping track but it seems like several different sources and polls keep saying he is getting 15, 20, 25 + of the black vote. How could many sources all be wrong. It’s not like ABC or Reuters is saying the opposite like Trump is doing worse than last time, like there are opposing polls for every other statistic.
I will believe it when I see it.
It’s a garbage number.
Look Trump will do far better with black voter this time than he did in 16, where he underperformed the GOP average getting only 8% of their vote.
However he’s not going to get 30%. This is garbage.
Look, when they poll 600 people and say 60 of them are Black and you find 20 of those 60 say they plan to vote Trump.
That shows a 33% support for Trump among that sample... however that sample size is so small it has a huge margin of error..
The Latino vote is even bigger and his percent there is also climbing. I think that is even a bigger factor.
Blacks were told in 2016 Trump was a racist, they’ve had four years now to discover it wasn’t true.
31% makes is sound like a landslide compared to what that thread I read said.
A few reasons why I think this could be true:
1) ZERO enthusiasm for Kamala within Black community.... she’s every bit as Black as Obama was, and maybe that’s the problem....Obama was not authentically African American...was raised by White mother and grandparents.... And what’s the biggest complaint about Obama from Blacks?....”he did more for Gays and illegal immigrants than he did for us”.....Kamala is also not authentically AA, and was raised by her Indian mother, so they are wary of her.....I think this is a big reason why we’re not seeing Blacks wearing Kamala shirts and hats......back in the day, the TV show Touched By An Angel had very high Black viewership, even though the star was a White woman...why? because the co-star, Della Reese was Black....but it doesn’t look like Biden’s co-star is getting the same treatment
2) Blacks see that Trump is sincerely trying to win them over, PLUS Blacks are very into conspiracy theories.....I think a lot of Blacks are suspicious about COVID being an election year bio weapon, as well as how Big Tech, the media, and Democrats have ganged up on Trump with overheated rhetoric and endless talk about White supremacists.....a lot of Blacks may finally be ready to own up to how they’ve been used and abused by the Dems for so long
3) I think Candace Owens is making a impact....not only is she smart and fearless, she’s also young and attractive....and that’s important.....I would assume that Owens was an inspiration for Kim Klacik....Owen’s visibility amongst Blacks is higher than the media wants you to believe
We’ll see... we had that “Blexit” narrative teased out back in 2018, but the GOP still received <10% of the black vote.
In the early 1990s, I worked with a black lady at USMEPCOM in North Chicago... she was really nice, very connected to her church, and rock-solid conservative values. She detested the very idea of homosexuals having access to joining the military (a big issue then), despised abortion, etc.
Yet in the 1992 election, she voted for Bill Clinton. When I asked her what motivated her to do so, despite her conservative ideals, she responded, “It’s just what we blacks do. We vote for democrats.”
THAT is the hurdle that must be overcome.
If that’s even close to being true no wonder Biden is dragging Obama out of his mansion, sweating like a hog, to campaign for him, now it makes sense
The real concern is white women.