Guys, I find this article really fascinating. In particular the Washington State primary results forecasting the general election.
So Trende has detected a pattern in how the Washington state primary results predicts November. Think of the primary as a “dry run” for November. The primary is a “jungle” format like California. Rep/Dems are both on the ballot at the same time.
Trende adds up R/D votes. Guess what the 2020 primary best resembles? 2016 (R year) or 2018 (D year)?
You guessed it correctly! 2016.
Thanks for the find.
Very nice! I think that was mentioned yesterday in Richard Bariss show. Its been recommended to us a few times on these threads but it really does live to the hype. It is like a show made for us - full of interesting stats.