Let’s wait until we can compare mortality of 2018-2019 to 2020-2021. I think most of the deaths have been pulled forward by just a few months.
Excess Deaths are the one item of information we have that can resist agenda. Are more people dying this year than other years — that is the decisive question.
Your point about pulling deaths forward by X months has been asked before. It faces high challenge to play out as compelling — mostly because as old people die, new people become old. The virus prime target total is replenished.
We’re coming up on the time of the year when more people die in normal years, but the excess deaths curves are not flattening . . . at least not yet. Certainly not in Texas and the Southeast.
Of significant issue is the reality that Excess Death totals exceed the official Covid death totals. It’s popular and fun to talk about the heart attack who had a positive test and died and was called Covid. But the reality is far, far more old people get sick, try to tough it out at home, and are killed — and never tested. The official Covid counts are likely undercounts, not overcounts.