Since the Covid-19 death rate has been exhagerated by labelling anyone who died while having any type of resperatory distress a “presumptive Covid-19 death... the most reliable indicator of where we are really at is the CDC’s death from all causes rate. This peaked on April 18 and was back to normal levels by the end of May.
The following chart in the middle of the page takes a few seconds to load up. Change the meausure from Covid-19 deaths to Deaths from all causes.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm
Totally agree with you fireman15. But my herd immunity model is based on case trends at state level compared to total cases at state level then extrapolated to national level. The death numbers are pumped up for a lot of reasons, not the least of which is now the CDC has to cover their ass for creating a panic over something that had the death rate of a typical flu.