There’s a million different possible paths!
My father-in-law pointed out to me many years ago a way to outpredict the meerolgists. Back then the weatherman’s maps on TV all had the air pressure shown at many points on the map. FIL told me when a storm was coming up the gulf, to look behind the weatherman who was speculating many farflung landfall points, to find the lowest pressure number on the coast and that is where the storm would go. It has worked out pretty well these last 40 years, though, Ihave to find specialized weather sites on the puter now as pressure is usually not shown on the TV maps. Too many viewers have caught on to that trick and it undermines the meerolgist’s attempts to sound like he knows something.