Shock Poll Shows Trump on Track to Win Reelection

amgreatness.com ^ | Deborah Heine

[RoosterRedux]

A new poll conducted by the Washington based Democracy Institute for the Sunday Express shows President Trump tied with his rival Joe Biden at 47 percent, but surpassing him in the electoral college 309 to 229.

These positive results for Trump come amid a constant drumbeat of negative media coverage in recent weeks that paints his electoral chances in November as virtually nil.

According to the shock poll, Trump is “on course to win the crucial swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin where he outpolls Vice President Biden by 48 percent to 44 percent.”

According to David Maddox, the political editor of the Sunday Express, the poll indicates that the Black Lives Matter riots have created a backlash that is helping Trump.

A new shock US poll for @DemocraticINST and #SundayExpress shows that the Black Lives Matter protests are boosting @realDonaldTrump chances of victory…plus voters are worried about Biden's cognitive state amid concerns he has early signs of dementia https://t.co/VkXEIyurmh

— David Maddox (@DavidPBMaddox) July 7, 2020

The poll was conducted Jul 1–3, before the president went to the Mount Rushmore to make a speech that was very well received by most Americans, but furiously derided by Democrats and their allies in the corporate media.

In his speech, Trump blasted the “cancel culture” and “the angry mobs” who want to erase America’s history: “There is a new far-left fascism that demands absolute allegiance. If you do not speak its language, perform its rituals, recite its mantras, and follow its commandments then you will be censored, banished, blacklisted, persecuted, and punished. Not gonna happen to us,” the president said.

This left-wing cultural revolution will never be allowed to destroy our way of life or take away our freedom. pic.twitter.com/BZPYERHXdy

— The White House (@WhiteHouse) July 4, 2020

“Fallout from the Black Lives Matter protests” is helping the president’s campaign for reelection, Maddox opined in the The UK Express article.

Given a choice between which phrases identified their views 71 percent chose “all lives matter” while 29 percent picked “black lives matter”.

Meanwhile, with statues of presidents and other historic figures being attacked and pulled down across the US, 74 percent said they disapproved of the actions while 77 percent disagreed with the assertion supported by many Democrat politicians that Mount Rushmore with the faces of four US Presidents carved on it “is racist”.

The poll showed that 59 percent approved of the President’s handling of the riots and protests but 40 percent want him to be tougher while 60 percent think Mr Biden has not been critical enough.

In addition, 67 percent prefer President Trump’s law and order message compared to 29 percent who want black community relations improved with the police.

According to the poll, 76 percent of people said it made no difference to them whether of not Biden chose a black running mate.

The poll also shows the president doing well with minority voters—35 percent for black voters and 34 percent for Hispanics.

Worse still is Mr Biden’s mental health after some stumbling performances and public concerns that he may be suffering from the early stages of dementia have also had an impact.

According to the poll 55 percent believe he is suffering from cognitive problems and 44 percent say that it means they are less likely to vote for him while 58 percent think aged 77 he is too old to be President.

Patrick Basham, the director of the Democracy Institute, said: “Between now and Election Day, the factor that will most influence the final outcome will be the debates between President Trump and his Democratic opponent. Should Biden regain some of his past skill at coasting through such encounters with moderate, platitudinous comments delivered with a smile, a little humour, and an Everyman demeanour, he will retain a good chance of enjoying a very competitive election.

“But, should Biden have even one ‘senior moment’ during which he forgets what he’s saying, or where he is, or the question posed to him, his chances of beating Trump will be somewhere between slim and none.”

Indeed, Biden’s campaign has had the candidate on a short leash in recent months, only allowing him to participate in minor, scripted online events where he continues to struggle nonetheless.

Biden’s apparent cognitive decline has likely contributed to the “enthusiasm gap,” that continues to benefit Trump, with 77 percent of Trump voters “enthusiastic” about voting for their candidate compared to only 43 percent of Biden voters.

The poll results suggest that President Trump has much more support than can be gleaned through polling because of this “shy Trump voter” effect. When asked whether they are “comfortable with your relatives, friends, and coworkers knowing how you vote?” only 29 percent of Trump supporters responded in the affirmative, while 82 percent of Biden voters said they were.

The majority of respondents [67 percent], saw Trump as a strong leader, while Biden ws seen as a consensus builder [55 percent], and more likeable [60 percent].

Q. “Are you strongly or very enthusiastic about your choice of candidate?”

Trump voters = 77%

Biden voters = 43%

Q “Is your vote for Trump/Biden a positive vote for your candidate or a negative vote against his opponent?

Trump voters: positive vote = 81%; negative vote = 19%

Biden voters: positive vote = 29%; negative vote = 71%

Q “Could your vote change before Election Day?”

Trump voters: Yes = 4%

Biden voters: Yes = 12%

“Shy” Trump Vote?

Questions to Undecided Voters

Q “Does a relative or a friend plan to vote for Trump?”

Yes = 66%

No = 34%

Q. “Will President Trump be reelected?”

Yes = 52%

No = 48%

Question to All Voters

Q. “Are you comfortable with your relatives, friends, and coworkers knowing how you vote?”

Trump voters: Yes = 29%

Biden voters: Yes = 82%

National Popular Vote

Trump = 47%

Biden = 47%

Undecided = 6%

White voters: Trump = 52% Biden = 46%

Black: Trump 16% Biden = 81%

Hispanic: Trump 34% Biden = 51%

[taxcontrol]

I was talking this over with the wife yesterday. Seems to me that the DNC KNOWS it is going to lose 2020 and have put up the sacrificial candidate. The one guy that post election failure, everyone on the DNC can point to and say that it was HIS fault.

That way, none of the others are damaged goods running in 2024.

[Paladin2]

Good Idea.

With today’s digital printing hardware, one could fairly easily build a truck to do drive by MAGA “muraling” on the fly.

[Phillyred]

Shocking to who? Delusional dems?

[Shark Ranger]

Of course Trump is going to win again.

They have no idea how pissed off America is at the immoral puke left.

[ealgeone]

Trump wins MN and we’re gonna have a great night.

[Flick Lives]

Q. “Are you strongly or very enthusiastic about your choice of candidate?”
Trump voters = 77%

Biden voters = 43%

—

I’ve yet to see a single Biden yard sign or bumper sticker in this deep blue state I’m in. I have, however, seen Trump 2020 signs.

[LeoTDB69]

“while 60 percent think Mr Biden has not been critical enough. “

Biden has done NOTHING nor said ANYTHING (that made sense) so how do they even establish an opinion on him?

[simpson96]

The MSM is going out of their minds trying to gaslight the public.

[adorno]

No way in hell was Joe the Sniffer ever going to beat Trump. But, the liberal phony polls was/is their way of consoling themselves before the nightmare in November happens, where Trump annihilates Biden and democrats all over the country fill the sewers with their tears.

The phony polls is their way of trying to make the impossible happen.

[genghis]

Excellent campaign meme

[TECTopcat]

yeah, it's all how you weigh these polls, here's what I see but...So, why call themselves independents? Typically, according to one leading study, it is “not because they disagree with the parties ideologically or politically but because being a party member is embarrassing.” In fact, only about 10% of Americans are what political scientists call “pure independents” – that is, people who identify as independents and claim not to favor either of the two major parties. Nor has that percentage grown in recent years. This means that the vast majority of Americans – consistently around 90% – are partisans, whether they like to admit it or not. So, which party do more Americans identify with – Democratic or Republican? The Democratic Party, usually. According to the Gallup poll in late 2019, 47% of Americans either called themselves Democrats or admitted leaning toward the Democratic Party, versus 42% for Republicans and 11% independents. However, there are some signs that Republicans gained ground on Democrats in recent months. Historically speaking, there have always been more Democrats than Republicans in the American electorate – with rare and very brief exceptions – ever since Gallup began polling party identification in the 1930s. But identifying with a party is not the same as voting for it. Self-identified Democrats are less likely than Republicans to turn out to vote – particularly in midterm elections. This is because young people and other Democratic constituencies tend to be more engaged by the spectacle of a presidential election. That should be good news for Democrats this year - since, in the 2018 midterms, they won back the House of Representatives. It figures that Democrats would be even more energized to defeat Donald Trump at the polls in 2020. Right? Not so fast. Recently, Gallup asked Americans whether they are more enthusiastic about voting in 2020 than in previous elections. As it turns out, Republicans are just as enthusiastic about voting as Democrats. This is unusual. In previous elections, the party out of power always expressed more enthusiasm. But not this time. In 2020, partisans on both sides are highly energized. The good news for Democrats is that there may be more of them to mobilize in 2020 than there are Republicans. The bad news is that Republicans are united behind President Trump – and ready to vote.

[preacher]

l8r

[elbook]

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KEEP GOING and BE VIGILANCE

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The Left will do Voter Fraud and should be hung for it.

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