their stats are wrong. they’re making an assumption the entire population has been exposed, like the flu. but due to the self quarantine, the vast majority of the country has yet to be exposed.
Still waiting for the great pumpkin?
The Emporer’s New Plague will show you all! The bodies piled in the streets and the crematoriums are blackening the sky right now! Only the elite can see it!
Take your thorazine.
without antibody testing we just don’t know if that is the case
I’m guessing between 0.2 and 0.3 percent death rate when it’s all over, but it wouldn’t surprise me if it turned out to be 0.1 like a bad flu season.
Unfortunately, the R0 for this bug is as high as 5 or 6, while flu is between 1 and 2, so this much higher contagion is why hospitals in hot spots were at risk of being overwhelmed while still dealing with flu patients. Something is hinky with this article.
(FD: I prefer we all start opening up in most of the country, if not all of it, right now, including most of Maryland and New York State.)