Let’s do some pandemic math. Suppose everyone in the US gets the coronavirus, 330 million. The number of people in Santa Clara County who had antibodies for the virus has now been estimated to be 50 times to 85 times the number who tested positive(reported today). So let’s divide by 66 to keep thing even. That means that 5 million will eventually test positive. About 10% of these will need hospitalization, so divide by 10. That becomes 500,000 hospitalizations. Preliminary results from the University of Chicago shows that 92% of patients treated with the new drug Remdesivir were cured (reported yesterday). Most of those enrolled in the trial were in an advanced stage in the hospital. So take 500,000 hospitalizations and divide by 2 to take the worst half = 250,000 needing Remdesivir. If only 1 in 12.5 treated with Remdesivir die, that becomes 20,000 deaths once this drug is approved for treatment. Compare that to the flu that kills 60,000 to 80,000 people per year. Bye-bye fear!
RE: The number of people in Santa Clara County who had antibodies for the virus has now been estimated to be 50 times to 85 times the number who tested positive(reported today)
So, ignoring the antibodies estimate for the moment, how many in Santa Clara County have actually tested positive?
Too Logical.../s
Two weeks ago 11 firefighters on the department that I retired from tested positive. 1 had symptoms that he thought were from seasonal allergies. 10 never developed any symptoms, all now test negative. None needed any type of medical treatment. At least in this case your assumption your assumption is off by a large amount.
I have a friend who is a supervisor for the TSA at SeaTac; the number of employees they had infected and those with and without symptoms were almost identical.