Wonder why didn’t the FR Corvid fan club not post this?
covid-19 cases are reported or confirmed. not estimated figures as per CDCs annual figures. anyone extrapolating mortality rate from the covid-19 figures is exaggerating/hyping the situation, and adding to the panic. why? for political or commercial reasons perhaps:
also note change in methodology after Donald Trump became President:
CDC: What was the 2017-2018 flu season like?
The 2017-2018 influenza season was a high severity season with high levels of outpatient clinic and emergency department visits for influenza-like illness (ILI), high influenza-related hospitalization rates, and elevated and geographically widespread influenza activity for an extended period. In 2017, CDC began using new methodology to classify seasonal severity and applied the methodology to the 2003-2004 through 2016-2017 seasons. The 2017-18 season was the first season to be classified as a high severity across all age groups...
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season-2017-2018.htm
estimated:
CDC: Estimated Influenza Illnesses, Medical visits, Hospitalizations, and Deaths in the United States 20172018 influenza season
The overall burden of influenza for the 2017-2018 season was an estimated 45 million influenza illnesses, 21 million influenza-associated medical visits, 810,000 influenza-related hospitalizations, and 61,000 influenza-associated deaths
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2017-2018.htm
estimated:
CDC: Estimated Influenza Illnesses, Medical visits, Hospitalizations, and Deaths in the United States 20182019 influenza season
Introduction
For the past several years, CDC has estimated the numbers of influenza illnesses, medical visits, hospitalizations, and deaths...
CDC estimates that the burden of illness during the 20182019 season included an estimated 35.5 million people getting sick with influenza, 16.5 million people going to a health care provider for their illness, 490,600 hospitalizations, and 34,200 deaths from influenza...
Limitations
These estimates are subject to several limitations...
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html
and, if you ESTIMATE covid-19:
6 Mar: Gateway Pundit: HHS Assistant Secretary: Estimates of Coronavirus Mortality Rate Somewhere between .1% and 1% Or Similar to a Flu Virus (VIDEO)
by Jim Hoft
On Thursday HHS Assistant Secretary Admiral Brett Giroir told reporters,
The best estimates now of the overall mortality rate for COVID-19 is somewhere between 0.1% and 1%. Thats lower than you heard probably in many reports
its not likely in the range of 2 to 3%.
This puts coronavirus on par with a typical flu epidemic to something slightly higher NOT something like a SARS or MERS virus with a much higher mortality rate.
Via NBC News:
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/03/hhs-assistant-secretary-estimates-of-coronavirus-mortality-rate-somewhere-between-1-and-1-or-similar-to-a-flu-virus-video/
1% is 7x the typical flu. Worst flu years in the US are about .14%
Wonder why didnt the FR Corvid fan club not post this?Bring Out Your DeadCan't speak for the rest of us, but I just got to it. It's been a day full of interuptions.
I note that he says using people who aren't even sick in his calculations.
That might skew the results, doncha think?
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the Bring Out Your Dead ping list (formerly the Ebola ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
So far the false positive rate is 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the Bring Out Your Dead threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
If a quarantine saves just one child's life, it's worth it.
BTW, thanks for calling it Corvid, I tried to get that to happen a while back, no other takers.
Corvids are birds in the family that includes crows and ravens.
Birds associated with death...
The reason the Live Thread FR people are not posting this is there is it doesn’t get the attention of saying the world is ending
The New England Journal of Medicine also says the fatality rate is much lower than reported. Basically because thousands of cases are not being reported because the virus is so mild for most. “ more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza pandemic [which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%] or a pandemic influenza”
It reports that :
“Furthermore, the 1.4% figure cited in the new Chinese report, published Feb. 28 in the New England Journal of Medicine, is probably higher than the “real” death rate, Fauci added.
That’s because many corona virus cases are so mild they’re not even being reported, Fauci explained in an editorial he co-wrote in the same issue of the NEJM. Co-authors include Dr. Robert Redfield, who directs the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and Dr. Clifford Lane, deputy director of the NIAID.
“If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%,” Dr. Fauci and his colleagues explained
“This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of COVID-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza pandemic [which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%] or a pandemic influenza [similar to those in 1957 and 1968],” the experts wrote.