Posted on 02/04/2020 6:55:11 AM PST by edwinland
[snip]
We estimate that Sanders’s chances of a majority would have shot up to from 31 percent to 58 percent with an Iowa win, Warren’s from 5 percent to 32 percent, and Buttigieg’s from 4 percent to 22 percent.
[snip]
To be even more blunt: The Iowa Democratic Party’s colossal screw-up in reporting results will potentially have direct effects on the outcome of the nomination process. The failure to report results will almost certainly help Biden, assuming that indications that he performed poorly in Iowa are correct, as they won’t get nearly as much media coverage. And they’ll hurt whichever candidate wins the state — most likely Sanders or Buttigieg. (Although if Sanders winds up finishing in second place or lower, he also might not mind a reduction in the importance of Iowa, especially with one of his best states, New Hampshire, coming up next.)
Furthermore, Iowa is typically a state that winnows the field. But with every candidate either having performed well there, potentially having an excuse for a disappointing finish there, or somewhere in between, it might not do that. Delaying the winnowing process would tangibly increase the chance of a contested convention.
It’s not a good situation for the Democratic Party. And it’s already too late for the damage to be entirely undone, even if Iowa eventually gets its act together.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
"Mission Accomplished – Chaos in Iowa Caucuses Helps and Hurts All The Right Candidates…
Posted on February 4, 2020 by sundance
From the DNC Club’s perspective there were three strategic needs surrounding the Iowa caucuses: (1) Hide the collapse of Joe Biden; (2) Diminish the win by Bernie Sanders; and (3) cover-up a less than enthusiastic voter turnout. Given the nature of very public primary races, this three-pronged challenge seemed almost impossible.
Almost."
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2020/02/04/mission-accomplished-chaos-in-iowa-caucuses-helps-and-hurts-all-the-right-candidates/comment-page-4/#comment-7815221
LOL Nate Silver. The tow truck driver trying to get the upside-down Clown Car out of the ditch.
Mike Bloomberg to the rescue!
Bernie won and the dems are trying to cover it up.
Trump vs Bernie would be a blowout Republican landslide.
Looks like all stops are out to get Bloomberg on the ticket.
Hellary to the rescue!
Smart would have been for the candidates to make the night all about their supporters and ideas. Instead the speeches were about Trump, the sole winner coming out of Iowa.
Two more campaign days wasted then to New Hampshire for the expected Bernie win and then...
See, one thing to remember, California is voting right now. Ballots are mailed 29 days before the election. Reporting a Bernie win would change the outcome there.
Probably done on purpose to make way for Bloomberg.
This is banana republic territory, isn’t it, to not be able to report results?
The news is that some app didn’t function properly, and other related excuses. How did they conduct Iowa caucuses in past years, before we had this allegedly superior computer technology? How hard it is, to count votes and report them to headquarters?
Banana Republic Democrats???
They should just let PDJT pick the nominee.
at least 8 counties in Iowa need voter roll purging, etc.
One fraked up mess.....
Nah. It’s a caucus. Just throw out all results and tell the folks in Iowa that they will be able to vote in the general if they desire. No harm no foul.
Wikipedia: “clusterf*ck” def. please see Iowa caucus.
A few liberal bloggers have already blamed the Iowa mess on - get ready for this - Vladimir Putin. Yes, that crafty Russian hacked into the voting app and messed everything up.
But I will not mock those bloggers, not just yet. Because if someone named Ivan or Boris ends up with the majority of Iowa delegates, they will have been proven right.
Hard to imagine what the DNC Convention might wrought if they don’t have a clear front runner. Going to be bad enough if they have a front runner and it isn’t Bernie. Bernie Bros like to burn stuff and be violent.
Let the dems fight it out
Russian interference. !!!!!
Maybe not Bloomers
Several Hillary staffers were involved with creating the tallying system
“Delaying the winnowing process would tangibly increase the chance of a contested convention.”
When are they going to figure out that this is all being rigged for Hillary?
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