Posted on 01/30/2020 10:28:05 AM PST by davikkm
It was in FL, so probably.
He was very very sick though, on a respirator for part of that. Had a virus that attacked his heart. He’s only in his early 40’s but this thing whupped him and he looks easily 10 years older now.
Yikes! Retroactive well-wishes for him.
Ya, he’s fine now. Just a bit slower than he was. And some permanent chronic conditions but he’s alive and that’s what counts.
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
In China, there are now 8,237 infections reported.
171 have died and 143 have recovered.
At the John Hopkins site, the most interesting information is the graph at the far left bottom corner. Expand it! It shows that there are far fewer than 200 cases worldwide. This number is not subject to the Chinese "lying". It shows that after nearly 2 weeks, the containment has been quite effective.
Far and away, most of these international cases are singletons which can be traced directly back to people leaving China. There just hasn't been much spread of the disease outside of China.
Consider that even if you believe that the Chinese are grossly understating the number of cases (which I tend to believe), that just makes the worldwide numbers look BETTER in terms of containment.
The ratio of deaths to recoveries is bothersome, but that number probably won't be meaningful until three weeks has elapsed due to the weeks it takes to recover. Again, the Chinese deaths may be under-reported. So look at the individual international cases and see that there have currently been very few deaths outside of China.
Based on some epidemiological studies I’ve read, the increased mortality rate of over 10%, and an asymptomatic but contagious period of up to 14 days, this weaponized bug accidentally released by China from its P4 bioweapons lab could kill well over 100,000,000 people before it burns out. Possibly a lot more.
But Trump said something not PC, so it’s all his fault. /leftscum
Good points, thanks.
I thought I remember about 2000 cases last week. Maybe 3000.
Thank you for finally posting some NATURE of deaths.
Still not a very good sampling of what can happen (17 dead and only 2 were very elderly?), but it’s a start.
Actually this is EXACTLY the time to get a flu vaccine.
I probably still won’t, but I might consider it for the child.
It helps to weed out what might be ailing one.
If you stop regular flus, one might better identify a more serious threat like the latest virus.
Actually this is EXACTLY the time to get a flu vaccine.
I probably still won’t, but I might consider it for the child.
It helps to weed out what might be ailing one.
If you stop regular flus, one might better identify a more serious threat like the latest virus.
—
You should get the flu vaccine anyway, but you are right, now more than ever.
BTW, I used to get the flu every single year — every single year — (every single year), until I started getting flu vaccines in 1998... never had the flu again once. Ever.
“So far about 54% die vs recover.”
That’s a ridiculous and meaningless stat.
We haven’t been in this cycle nearly long enough to have good sampling. There are many many people in the PROCESS of (possibly) recovering.
And it is meaningless anyway, because it is not comparing deaths to INFECTED. See previous paragraph again.
Exactly. I think the numbers are far greater.
I rarely ever get a flu. My trouble is much more chronic, permanent maladies.
Although I must say, almost like clockwork I get sick somehow about a month after the semester starts. Looking forward to my next acute malady in about a month from now (basically, always late Feb and late Sept). Community college kids are dirty - as are our many “international” workers who insist on going back to their hellholes and bring things back for us.
Whoever is left can carve your comment on your grave marker, if they are still burying, and not just burning the bodies in mass pyres...
Yeah thanks. I used to work in vaccine development for BMS.
Had an adult lifetime of mandated flu vaccines for the other thirty years of working in clinical settings.
I get what you’re saying and I encourage flu vaccines but there’s no science behind your proposal.
Rofl
The source is a well-known doomer crackpot who has written on hundreds of “we’re all going to die” type topics. Check out his background.
What’s my proposal? I didn’t think I was making a proposal. Just agreeing that now more than ever it’s good to get a flu shot. But if someone doesn’t want to, I’m totally fine with that. No proposal.
Maybe “no science” but why not try to better tell if one has something different from an influenza bug?
I had my son do it when ebola was the big thing - that terrified me. I figured while it was quite different, maybe likely eliminating flu from his season would mean if he caught something I’d have to be more wary that it might be something much worse and worth going to the doctor.
Thanks alot.
Seriously, how is “how many died” vs “how many are finally recovered” in the span of 4 weeks meaningful, without reference to how many are infected, and how many are in the region (population)?
This is like the divorce non-stat. No, 50% of marriages did not end in divorce (since time immemorial - or at least since about 1978). Saying there are 100 married couples and 50 divorced couples in a given neighborhood does NOT mean half of marriages end in divorce, which is what that old saw was. It only means 1/3 of the population is divorced.
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