I agree, overall, last night was a B for the Republicans.
BUT
Republicans did not win the popular vote in Virginia. For the state Senate, it was:
1.2 million D votes, 54%
0.8 million R votes, 40%
with the remainder going to other (independents, third party and write-ins)
IF, if the races with no R or D candidate, I shift the entire “other” vote to missing candidate, then it’s
1.2 million D votes, 55%
1.0 million R votes, 45%
So, the D’s did have a big win in Virginia.
As for 2020, Virginia is below Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and. Michigan in terms of priority, and also below Minnesota and New Hampshire, and also below Nevada, Colorado and Maine-at large. It’s in the next tier, along with New Mexico.
Those numbers were House races, several (A good handful) State Senate seats won by democrats did not have a GOP opponent.
You can’t count the seats where no candidate was fielded. The GOP didn’t contest 24 seats.
The numbers I posted were for the contested seats.